UMBC vs Dayton Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Nov 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: UMBC vs Dayton

The UMBC Retrievers battle the Dayton Flyers, with tip-off scheduled for 14:00 on Saturday, November 8. Our betting preview features expert NCAAB predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Dayton Can Cover the Spread

We’d be surprised if Dayton don’t exceed a -23.5 spread against UMBC. That is why the bet has to be the big favorites to cover the line at -110.

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Each Team Won Previous Clash

UMBC Retrievers won their previous game which was at home. It was a 74-53 triumph against Penn State York Nittany Lions.

Dayton Flyers last game saw them claim a 88-48 home win over Canisius Golden Griffins.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Dayton	1-0	88	48	40	1-0	0-0	1W
UMBC	1-0	74	53	21	1-0	0-0	1W

View Full Standings

UMBC vs Dayton Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our UMBC vs Dayton betting tips: our expert match prediction, most likely correct score outcome and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

If you agree with our prediction that Dayton can be superior in this college contest, you can get -110 for this selection against the spread. The favorites should be capable of covering the -23.5 line.

Our expert college basketball handicappers study recent form and take injuries into account when assessing each matchup. Before delivering a verdict, we combine that insight with the latest stats to strengthen our analysis.

Key UMBC vs Dayton stats:

• The -23.5 line has been covered by Dayton in 1 of their last 5 games.

Dayton -23.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. Based on our analysts in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball bet.

There are several alternatives to the spread and we particularly like the Winning Margin lines. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.

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Best Bet

Dayton -23.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

UMBC 60 - 87 Dayton

We’re going for Dayton to claim a 87-60 victory and the good news is that there are massive betting odds for this outcome. A small stake can return a potentially large amount.

UMBC vs Dayton Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Dayton Heavy Favorites to Win

With an estimated 99% chance of winning, the sportsbooks are taking no chances with their -10000 betting odds about Dayton triumphing in this college game. At +3000, UMBC are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread is 23.5 and the total points line is currently 152.5. Basketball bettors love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you’re going for Under 152.5, this outcome can be backed at -105.

The good news is that you’ll find a strong selection of game lines and team props for most college contests. The best basketball betting sites provide a wide range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

UMBC

+3000

Dayton

-10000

Point Spread

UMBC +23.5

-110

Dayton -23.5

-110

Total Points

Under 152.5

-105

Over 152.5

-115

Player Props & Micro Betting

As an alternative to the game lines and team props, check out the player props that are available. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on a player’s performance. The best gambling sites will provide lots of options.

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to college basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

UMBC Stats

Dayton Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +23.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
• +23.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -23.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -23.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 154.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 160.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 152.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 152.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.30 pts and allowed 79.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 79.70 pts and allowed 81.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 149.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 146.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 152.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 152.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 77.60 pts and allowed 72.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 76.50 pts and allowed 69.60 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic 10	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Davidson	2-0	182	132	50	2-0	0-0	2W
Saint Louis	2-0	200	153	47	2-0	0-0	2W
Dayton	1-0	88	48	40	1-0	0-0	1W
Duquesne	2-0	175	143	32	2-0	0-0	2W
George Mason	2-0	166	136	30	2-0	0-0	2W
La Salle	1-0	87	59	28	1-0	0-0	1W
Richmond	1-0	84	56	28	1-0	0-0	1W
George Washington	1-0	67	47	20	1-0	0-0	1W
Saint Joseph's	1-0	85	76	9	1-0	0-0	1W
St. Bonaventure	1-0	69	63	6	1-0	0-0	1W
Fordham	1-1	167	109	58	1-1	0-0	1W
VCU	1-1	180	154	26	1-0	0-1	1L
Rhode Island	1-1	158	144	14	1-1	0-0	1L
Loyola Chicago	1-1	156	161	-5	1-1	0-0	1L

America East	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Vermont	2-0	188	130	58	2-0	0-0	2W
UMBC	1-0	74	53	21	1-0	0-0	1W
NJIT	1-0	72	61	11	0-0	1-0	1W
New Hampshire	1-1	151	119	32	1-0	0-1	1W
UMass Lowell	1-1	154	165	-11	1-0	0-1	1L
Binghamton	1-1	113	141	-28	1-0	0-1	1W
Maine	0-1	47	67	-20	0-0	0-1	1L
Albany	0-1	53	80	-27	0-0	0-1	1L
Bryant	0-2	111	156	-45	0-0	0-2	2L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak