Fiorentina vs Roma Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Oct 2025

Serie A Betting Preview: Fiorentina vs Roma

Fiorentina host Roma in this Italian Serie A meeting at Stadio Artemio Franchi, with kick-off set for 09:00 on Sunday 5 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’re not anticipating that the net will be found too many times, with Under 2.5 Goals expected when Fiorentina and Roma lock horns. This Total Goals prediction affords us attractive betting odds of -143.

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Fiorentina played Pisa away in their last Serie A game. It was a 0-0 draw at Stadio Romeo Anconetani. The Florence club had two shots on target and boasted 61% possession.

On Thursday night, Fiorentina hosted Sigma Olomouc in the Europa Conference League and won 2-0.

Roma claimed a home victory in their previous league game. A 2-0 triumph against Hellas Verona at Stadio Olimpico made it back-to-back Serie A wins. I Giallorossi had five shots on goal and enjoyed 57% possession, with Artem Dovbyk and Matias Soule both on target.

Three days ago, Roma suffered a 1-0 Europa League home defeat at the hands of LOSC Lille.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Roma who came out on top when they last played Fiorentina. At Stadio Olimpico, a 1-0 home win was recorded. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved five Roma wins, three Fiorentina victories and two draws.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Roma	22	14	1	7	27	13	14	27:13	43
18	Fiorentina	22	3	8	11	24	34	-10	24:34	17

View Full Table

Fiorentina have 3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts. La Viola have averaged 54.5% possession, 441.3 passes and 4.1 corners per match, conceding 1.4 goals and 4.5 corners from 4.5 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts.

Top goalscorer Rolando Mandragora has found the net 4 times, Moise Kean 2, with Luca Ranieri and two other players on 1. The leading assistors are Albert Gudmundsson and Yacine Adli with 2, while goalie David de Gea has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Roma have 8 victories and 2 defeats, with an average of 1.3 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 13.9 attempts. Gian Piero Gasperini's side have averaged 52.4% possession, 452.4 passes, 5.2 corners taken and 3.3 corners against, while conceding 0.4 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts.

Matias Soule has scored 3, followed by Artem Dovbyk, Leandro Paredes and Bryan Cristante with 2 goals apiece. Matias Soule has had 4 assists, with Mile Svilar notching 7 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Fiorentina confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): David De Gea (GK), Marin Pongračić, Pablo Mari, Luca Ranieri, Dodo, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Rolando Mandragora, Robin Gosens, Jacopo Fazzini, Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean.

Roma confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Mile Svilar (GK), Zeki Celik, Gianluca Mancini, Evan NDicka, Wesley, Bryan Cristante, Manu Koné, Konstantinos Tsimikas, Matias Soule, Tommaso Baldanzi, Artem Dovbyk.

Fiorentina vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the essential Fiorentina vs Roma betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, a corners value pick, correct score guidance, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

We are expecting a low number of goals for this Serie A encounter. The odds of -143 for Under 2.5 look really attractive and we can play this bet with a fair amount of confidence.

The Serie A injury and suspension data can be utilised to provide expert football betting tips. You can also identify that a stats-led approach is adopted by considering the most important stats.

Key Fiorentina vs Roma league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Fiorentina games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 6 Roma games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Roma games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 16 of the last 20 Roma games.

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 58.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

Bettors wanting to boost their odds might want to combine the Under 2.5 Goals pick with a specific side to land a victory. This is available through the Result & Total Goals market.

Before you place your bets, explore our updated guide packed with the latest free bets and betting bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -143 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (15:08, 03 October 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Fiorentina 1 - 1 Roma

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves a 1-1 scoreline. The odds of +450 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Rolando Mandragora Over 0.5 Shots On Target +150

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina) has registered at least one shot on goal in eight of his past ten Serie A games. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to him covering the Shots on Target line, with betting odds of +150 now available.

Latest Rolando Mandragora Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+525

First

+1200

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-250

Shots

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

---

Moise Kean to Score +200

Moise Kean (Fiorentina) has scored four goals in his past seven Serie A home matches. It’s worth a gamble on the +200 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Moise Kean Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+200

First

+450

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

+150

Shots

Over 3.5

-109

Under 3.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Fiorentina Under 4.5 Corners -125

Fiorentina have averaged 2.60 corners in the past 10 home matches, with the corner count against Roma going under 4.5 in their previous seven games. If you agree with our verdict that the Fiorentina Team Corners line is too big, go for odds of -125 that they go under.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Fiorentina

Total

8.60 4.10 4.50

Home

7.00 2.60 4.40

Away

8.40 4.10 4.30

Roma

Total

8.50 5.20 3.30

Home

8.40 5.10 3.30

Away

10.00 6.00 4.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-127

Under 8.5

-111

Fiorentina Corners

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-125

Roma Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-150

Most Corners

1

+106

X

+600

2

+108

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Fiorentina vs Roma Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies have priced up the draw at +210 on the Full-Time Result, with Roma available to back at betting odds of +140. Fiorentina are +205 to win this Serie A clash.

Roma -0.25 on the Asian Handicap can be backed at +104. It means your stake is split between 0 and -0.5, with a full payout if they beat Fiorentina. Half your stake is refunded if we see a draw.

Under 2.5 Goals is currently the betting favourite and a bet on this option would mean you need no more than two goals to be scored. There are always two Both Teams to Score choices, with Yes available at -120 and No at -110.

There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred wager when it comes to Serie A games. The best football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+205

X

+210

2

+140

Half-Time Result

1

+255

X

+114

2

+195

Double Chance

1X

-185

12

-286

X2

-278

Draw No Bet

1

+110

2

-152

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-132

2 Hcp -0.25

+104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-147

Over 2.5

+112

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-120

No

-110

Moise Kean is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +450 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at +200.

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

First

+200

Anytime

+450

Artem Dovbyk (Roma)

First

+260

Anytime

+540

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

First

+270

Anytime

+550

Evan Ferguson (Roma)

First

+270

Anytime

+550

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Matías Soulé (Roma)

First

+370

Anytime

+800

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Stephan El Shaarawy (Roma)

First

+430

Anytime

+950

Neil El Aynaoui (Roma)

First

+475

Anytime

+1000

Niccolò Pisilli (Roma)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Tommaso Baldanzi (Roma)

First

+480

Anytime

+1100

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Lorenzo Pellegrini (Roma)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Bryan Cristante (Roma)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Fiorentina)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Kouadio Kone (Roma)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Evan Ndicka (Roma)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Devyne Rensch (Roma)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Robin Gosens (Fiorentina)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Cher Ndour (Fiorentina)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Zeki Çelik (Roma)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Simon Sohm (Fiorentina)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

+150

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

+118

Artem Dovbyk (Roma)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

+115

Evan Ferguson (Roma)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-100

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-108

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-159

Matías Soulé (Roma)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-172

Stephan El Shaarawy (Roma)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-222

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-244

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-250

Neil El Aynaoui (Roma)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-244

Niccolò Pisilli (Roma)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Tommaso Baldanzi (Roma)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-278

Lorenzo Pellegrini (Roma)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-303

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-333

Bryan Cristante (Roma)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-357

Kouadio Kone (Roma)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-400

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-500

Evan Ndicka (Roma)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-714

Devyne Rensch (Roma)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-714

Zeki Çelik (Roma)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-909

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 3.5

-109

Under 3.5

-

Artem Dovbyk (Roma)

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

Evan Ferguson (Roma)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Matías Soulé (Roma)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Stephan El Shaarawy (Roma)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Neil El Aynaoui (Roma)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Niccolò Pisilli (Roma)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Tommaso Baldanzi (Roma)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Lorenzo Pellegrini (Roma)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Bryan Cristante (Roma)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Fiorentina have racked up five victories, three draws and two defeats in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

Roma have managed three consecutive victories on the road. I Giallorossi have eight wins, one draw and one loss in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 0.30.

When the teams previously met at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Fiorentina defeated Roma 5-1. In the past 6 H2H matches at Stadio Artemio Franchi, we have seen three Fiorentina wins, two Roma victories and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Fiorentina Home Stats		5-3-2	2.80	1.70	1.10	7	3	6	4
Roma Away Stats		8-1-1	1.40	1.10	0.30	1	9	2	8

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Fiorentina vs Roma Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Fiorentina vs Roma team news before betting. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Serie A lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

Fiorentina Team Page Roma Team Page

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