Flamengo vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Jul 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Flamengo vs Atlético Mineiro

Flamengo host Atlético Mineiro in this Brazilian Série A match, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Sunday 27 July 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’re Siding With the Favourites

There’s a case for backing Flamengo -1 at odds of -121, meaning money back if they beat Atlético Mineiro by a single goal. A victory by two goals or more would land a nice return with this Asian Handicap wager.

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Goalless Draw in in Pair’s Previous H2H

Flamengo have triumphed in their last three home games. Most recently, Red Bull Bragantino were beaten 2-1 on the road. Filipe Luis' men had six shots on target and boasted 63% possession, with Leo Pereira and Wesley each scoring one goal.

Atlético Mineiro have been beaten in back-to-back games. In their previous appearance which was on the road, Palmeiras inflicted a 3-2 defeat. The Belo Horizonte team were restricted to 42% possession and had three shots on goal, with Hulk scoring twice.

Three days ago, Atlético claimed a penalty shoot-out victory (0-1 AET) when hosting Atlético Bucaramanga in the Copa Sudamericana.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Flamengo have not lost to Atlético in the past four meetings, with their last encounter ending in a 0-0 draw. The 10 past H2H meetings have involved six Flamengo victories, one draw and three Atlético wins.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Flamengo	20	14	4	2	44	9	35	44:9	46
12	Atlético MG	19	6	6	7	20	23	-3	20:23	24

View Full Table

Flamengo have 7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.8 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts. The Rio de Janeiro side have averaged 61.6% possession and 6.1 corners per match, conceding 0.4 goals and 3.0 corners from 2.8 shots on goal and 7.6 attempts.

Giorgian De Arrascaeta leads the way with 5 goals, with Pedro and Luiz Araujo getting 3 apiece. Giorgian De Arrascaeta has recorded the most assists with 3.

Atlético have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 9.5 attempts, 4.1 shots on goal and 1.3 goals. Galo average 52.4% possession, 5.3 corners in their favour and 5.8 corners against, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 3.7 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts.

Hulk is top of the team’s scoring charts with 4, while Junior Santos and Rony have 2. Hulk has managed 2 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Flamengo confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Agustin Rossi (GK), Guillermo Varela, Leo Ortiz, Leo Pereira, Matias Vina, Allan, Jorginho, Giorgian De Arrascaeta, Gonzalo Plata, Pedro, Bruno Henrique.

Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Everson (GK), Renzo Saravia, Igor Rabello, Junior Alonso, Alan Franco, Fausto Vera, Gabriel Menino, Gustavo Scarpa, Hulk, Rony, Tomas Cuello.

Flamengo vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction & Betting Tips

We dive into the top Flamengo vs Atlético Mineiro betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, corners market tip, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

Flamengo are available to back at -1 on the Asian Handicap. The tempting odds of -121 means we that we’ll have a play on the home team to claim a comfortable victory in this Série A game.

Our Série A experts like to go through the form guide, with injuries and suspensions also having a bearing on the match. Before making our football predictions, we combine this information with the latest numbers.

Key Flamengo vs Atlético Mineiro league stats:

• The +1 line hasn’t been covered by Atlético MG in 6 of their last 10 games against Flamengo.

Flamengo -1 Probability

The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 54.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability close to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

If you want to back Flamengo without taking them on the Asian Handicap, there’s the alternative to go for a Winning Margin wager instead. There are lots of different options here.

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Our Match Prediction

Flamengo Asian Hcp -1 @ -121 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Flamengo 2 - 0 Atlético

There could be merit in backing Flamengo to win 2-0. Odds of +460 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Giorgian de Arrascaeta to Score +150

Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Flamengo) has managed four goals in his past six Série A home matches. There are odds of +150 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Giorgian de Arrascaeta Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+150

First

+335

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-244

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -120

The average number of corners in the previous five Atlético Mineiro away matches has been 12.00. The Total Corners line could be on the low side based on the stats and -120 is available to back.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Flamengo

Total

9.10 6.10 3.00

Home

9.00 6.40 2.60

Away

9.60 5.90 3.70

Atlético

Total

11.10 5.30 5.80

Home

10.80 7.10 3.70

Away

11.40 5.10 6.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-127

Under 9.5

-111

Flamengo Corners

Over 6.5

-110

Under 6.5

-125

Atlético Corners

Over 2.5

-163

Under 2.5

+120

Most Corners

1

-500

X

+700

2

+390

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Flamengo vs Atlético Mineiro Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Flamengo Big Favourites With the Bookies

Flamengo are the shortest price to win this Série A clash according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 69% probability due to their -222 betting odds. Atlético Mineiro are the +650 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.

It sometimes pays to go down the Half-Time Result route and the draw is available at +125. Alternatively, Flamengo can be backed at +102 and Atlético are on offer at +575.

For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. An alternative angle is a BTTS bet and Both Teams to Score No is available at -189.

The top sports betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every Série A game. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.

Full-Time Result

1

-222

X

+320

2

+650

Half-Time Result

1

+102

X

+125

2

+575

Double Chance

1X

-1250

12

-500

X2

+155

Draw No Bet

1

-714

2

+390

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-128

2 Hcp +1

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-143

Over 2.5

+110

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+132

No

-189

Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos Top of First Goalscorer List

The First Goalscorer favourite is Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos at +335. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.

Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos (Flamengo)

First

+145

Anytime

+335

Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Flamengo)

First

+150

Anytime

+335

Luiz Araújo (Flamengo)

First

+225

Anytime

+480

Bruno Henrique Pinto (Flamengo)

First

+240

Anytime

+525

Gonzalo Plata (Flamengo)

First

+245

Anytime

+550

Éverton "Cebolinha" Souza Soares (Flamengo)

First

+275

Anytime

+575

Givanildo "Hulk" Souza (Atlético MG)

First

+390

Anytime

+850

Ronielson "Rony" Da Silva Barbosa (Atlético MG)

First

+425

Anytime

+900

Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araújo (Flamengo)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Nicolás de la Cruz (Flamengo)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

First

+950

Anytime

+1800

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Bruno Henrique Pinto (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

+133

Luiz Araújo (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

+135

Gonzalo Plata (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

+110

Éverton "Cebolinha" Souza Soares (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-106

Givanildo "Hulk" Souza (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-122

Ronielson "Rony" Da Silva Barbosa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-156

Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-185

Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-244

Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araújo (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-244

Nicolás de la Cruz (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-357

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-385

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-476

Flamengo vs Atlético Mineiro Lineups & Team News

Check the Flamengo vs Atlético team news before you place your bets. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A together with updated injury news.

Flamengo Team Page Atlético Mineiro Team Page