AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Apr 2025

Milan Good Value against Fiorentina

Milan can deliver the goods when it comes to Full-Time Result betting and we’ll back them with confidence against Fiorentina. The odds of -111 look attractive when it comes to the home team.

Fiorentina Won When They Last Played Milan

AC Milan were defeated in their last Serie A game. On the road, they suffered a 2-1 loss against Napoli at Diego Armando Maradona. Sergio Conceicao's team had 49% possession and recorded four shots on target, with Luka Jovic registering the goal.

On Wednesday night, Milan drew 1-1 with Inter in the first leg of the Coppa Italia semi-final stage.

Fiorentina have suffered three straight away defeats. In their previous game, they enjoyed a 1-0 home victory against Atalanta at Stadio Artemio Franchi. La Viola had 46% possession and totalled four shots on goal, with Moise Kean on target late in the first half.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last encounter between Fiorentina and Milan saw the former win at home. It was a 2-1 scoreline at Stadio Artemio Franchi. In the previous 10 H2H matches, we have seen six Milan victories, three Fiorentina wins and one draw.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
7	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Milan have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.6 goals from 15.0 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal. I Rossoneri have averaged 56.5% possession, 457.4 passes and 6.3 corners per game, conceding 1.4 goals and 4.6 corners from 12.0 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.

Top goalscorers Christian Pulisic and Tijjani Reijnders have found the net 4 times, with Samuel Chukwueze scoring 2. Rafael Leao is top assists maker with 3, while goalkeeper Mike Maignan has kept 2 clean sheets.

Fiorentina have 6 victories and 4 defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals from 8.0 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal. Raffaele Palladino's men average 42.5% possession, 358.9 passes, 2.0 corners in their favour and 5.9 corners against, while conceding 0.9 goals from 13.6 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.

Moise Kean is the leading goalscorer with 4, Albert Gudmundsson has 3, with Robin Gosens and Rolando Mandragora getting 2. Dodo has had 3 assists, with David De Gea notching 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

AC Milan confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Mike Maignan (GK), Kyle Walker, Fikayo Tomori, Malick Thiaw, Theo Hernandez, Yunus Musah, Youssouf Fofana, Christian Pulisic, Tijjani Reijnders, Rafael Leao, Tammy Abraham.

Fiorentina confirmed lineup (3-5-2): David De Gea (GK), Marin Pongracic, Pablo Mari, Luca Ranieri, Dodo, Rolando Mandragora, Danilo Cataldi, Nicolo Fagioli, Fabiano Parisi, Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean.

AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips

We’re going for a straight pick on Milan as we think they’re the likely winners of this Serie A contest. We think the hosts can achieve some kind of victory, with odds of -111 currently available.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news. We also use a form guide for our betting tips along with checking out the stats that are going to help inform our final decision.

Key AC Milan vs Fiorentina league stats:

• Milan have won 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• Fiorentina have lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Fiorentina have lost their last 3 games on the road.
• Milan have won 6 of their last 10 games against Fiorentina.

Milan to Win Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.6% chance of winning. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

A betting alternative to supporting Milan is the Double Result. You can get bigger odds by siding with them to lead at the halfway phase before running out winners.

Our Match Prediction

Milan To Win @ -111 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Milan 1 - 0 Fiorentina

You can secure odds of +650 that Milan are able to land a 1-0 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -125

It has been nine consecutive Fiorentina matches involving the 9.5 Total Corners line not being covered, with five  straight Milan games seeing the same thing happen. There’s a chance to go under the Total Corners line and we’re confident this will happen, with odds of -125 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Milan

Total

10.90 6.30 4.60

Home

10.80 6.10 4.70

Away

9.20 5.50 3.70

Fiorentina

Total

7.90 2.00 5.90

Home

8.00 4.10 3.90

Away

7.50 2.70 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-125

Milan Corners

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-150

Fiorentina Corners

Over 3.5

-150

Under 3.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-167

X

+540

2

+163

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AC Milan vs Fiorentina Odds

AC Milan are the -111 favourites and that means a 53% chance of winning this Serie A match according to the betting odds at the bookies. Fiorentina are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and they can be backed at +320.

The Over 2.5 Goals option is currently favourite on the Total Goals market.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Serie A match. All the leading football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

-111

X

+260

2

+320

Half-Time Result

1

+150

X

+125

2

+333.3

Double Chance

1X

-450

12

-350

X2

-110

Draw No Bet

1

-275

2

+200

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-109

2 Hcp +0.5

+101

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-100

Over 2.5

-125

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-143

No

+105

AC Milan vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News

If you’re looking for Milan vs Fiorentina team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.

Getting the player information you need is easy thanks to the Serie A squads.

AC Milan Team Page Fiorentina Team Page