AC Milan vs Genoa Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 08 Jan 2026

Serie A Betting Preview: AC Milan vs Genoa

Second-placed AC Milan go head-to-head with Genoa at San Siro, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Thursday 8 January.

Genoa +1.25 looks an interesting Asian Handicap wager at odds of -122. Our stake is divided between +1 and +1.5 when the underdogs clash with Milan and that gives us a fighting chance.

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AC Milan have won two Serie A games on the spin, triumphing 1-0 in their previous league clash. This was away from home against Cagliari at Unipol Domus. Massimiliano Allegri's men had four shots on target and boasted 54% possession, with an early second half strike from Rafael Leao proving the difference.

Genoa hosted Pisa in their previous game, ending in a 1-1 draw at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Il Grifone recorded 62% possession and had four shots on goal, with Lorenzo Colombo finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Milan haven’t lost to Genoa in their past nine games. Their last clash took place at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, with Milan winning 2-1 away. The past 10 H2H games have featured six triumphs for Milan, one for Genoa along with three draws.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	AC Milan	17	11	5	1	28	13	15	28:13	38
17	Genoa	18	3	6	9	18	28	-10	18:28	15

View Full Table

Milan have 6 wins and 4 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 12.7 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal. I Rossoneri have averaged 51.5% possession, 480.8 passes and 4.7 corners per game, conceding 0.9 goals and 5.0 corners from 11.3 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal.

Top goalscorers Rafael Leao and Christian Pulisic have found the net 4 times, with Christopher Nkunku scoring 2. Adrien Rabiot, Christopher Nkunku and Fikayo Tomori have recorded the most assists with 2 apiece. Meanwhile, goalkeeper Mike Maignan has kept 5 clean sheets.

Genoa have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, with an average of 4.0 shots on goal, 10.7 attempts and 1.4 goals. The Liguria side average 45.2% possession, 340.3 passes, 3.3 corners awarded and 5.7 corners against, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 14.2 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal.

Lorenzo Colombo and Leo Oestigard have scored 3, followed by Vitinha with 2. Aaron Martin Caricol has managed to clock up 3 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

AC Milan predicted lineup (3-5-2): Mike Maignan (GK), Fikayo Tomori, Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic, Alexis Saelemaekers, Youssouf Fofana, Luka Modric, Adrien Rabiot, Davide Bartesaghi, Christian Pulisic, Rafael Leao.

Genoa predicted lineup (3-5-2): Nicola Leali (GK), Alessandro Marcandalli, Leo Oestigard, Johan Vasquez, Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Ruslan Malinovsky, Morten Frendrup, Mikael Egill Ellertsson, Aaron Martin Caricol, Lorenzo Colombo, Vitinha.

AC Milan vs Genoa Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the edge with our best AC Milan vs Genoa tips: a key match prediction, expert corners pick, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Genoa enjoying a +1.25 goal start on the Asian Handicap could be a wise move at odds of -122. We anticipate a close battle when it comes to this Serie A game, so let’s back our selection with confidence.

In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the Serie A team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key AC Milan vs Genoa league stats:

• The +1.25 line has been covered by Genoa in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +1.25 line has been covered by Genoa in 18 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 17 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 4 consecutive games against Genoa.

The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 54.9% chance of winning. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

If you want to back Genoa without taking them on the Asian Handicap, there’s the alternative to go for a Winning Margin wager instead. There are lots of different options here.

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Our Match Prediction

Genoa Asian Hcp +1.25 @ -122 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Milan 1 - 1 Genoa

When it comes to the correct score, we’re going to take a chance on a 1-1 outcome. We’ll go for the +700 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Lorenzo Colombo Over 0.5 Shots On Target +108

Lorenzo Colombo (Genoa) has registered at least one shot on goal in six of his past ten Serie A games. If you side with our view that he can cover the Shots on Target line, then you are able to secure odds of +108 for this outcome.

Latest Lorenzo Colombo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+500

First

+1200

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-222

Shots

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Milan Under 6.5 Corners -143

The past 10 Milan matches have involved them having an average of 4.70 corners, with Genoa conceding under 6.5 corners in their last four away games. We can use these numbers for our gain, with odds of -143 that Milan come up short when it comes to the Team Corners line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Milan

Total

9.70 4.70 5.00

Home

9.20 5.00 4.20

Away

9.00 3.70 5.30

Genoa

Total

9.00 3.30 5.70

Home

8.30 3.60 4.70

Away

9.50 2.90 6.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-109

Under 9.5

-132

Milan Corners

Over 6.5

-104

Under 6.5

-137

Genoa Corners

Over 2.5

-137

Under 2.5

-104

Most Corners

1

-500

X

+800

2

+440

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AC Milan vs Genoa Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bettors might not get rich backing AC Milan at -286 to triumph in this Serie A clash although these odds suggest a 74% probability that the favourites end up triumphing. Genoa are the underdogs at +800 which implies a low percentage prospect of winning.

There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Half-Time Result market, with Milan available at -114 and Genoa at +600. The third option is the draw which is priced at +143.

The Total Goals market could be a toss-up considering that Under and Over 2.5 Goals are available at similar odds. For those wanting to back Both Teams to Score No, this is currently priced at -182.

All of the Serie A matches see the best betting apps go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.

Full-Time Result

1

-286

X

+370

2

+800

Half-Time Result

1

-114

X

+143

2

+600

Double Chance

1X

-1667

12

-556

X2

+195

Draw No Bet

1

-1111

2

+480

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-116

2 Hcp +1.25

-106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-125

Over 2.5

-104

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+135

No

-182

Rafael Leão is the market leader at +360 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Rafael Leão (Milan)

First

+140

Anytime

+360

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

First

+140

Anytime

+360

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

First

+190

Anytime

+475

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

First

+320

Anytime

+750

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Luka Modric (Milan)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Lorenzo Colombo (Genoa)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Caleb Ekuban (Genoa)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Vitor Oliveira "Vitinha" (Genoa)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Junior Messias (Genoa)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Samuele Ricci (Milan)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Ruslan Malinovskyi (Genoa)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Nicolae Stanciu (Genoa)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Koni De Winter (Milan)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Matteo Gabbia (Milan)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Strahinja Pavlovic (Milan)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Fikayo Tomori (Milan)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Seydou Fini (Genoa)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

+108

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-179

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-182

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 0.5

-104

Under 0.5

-189

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-200

Lorenzo Colombo (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-222

Rafael Leão (Milan)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-263

Caleb Ekuban (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-270

Luka Modric (Milan)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-278

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 1.5

+133

Under 1.5

-278

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-303

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-333

Vitor Oliveira "Vitinha" (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-370

Junior Messias (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-370

Ruslan Malinovskyi (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-455

Nicolae Stanciu (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-526

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-588

Seydou Fini (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-769

Fikayo Tomori (Milan)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-1250

Koni De Winter (Milan)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-1250

Matteo Gabbia (Milan)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-1250

Strahinja Pavlovic (Milan)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-1667

Rafael Leão (Milan)

Over 3.5

+105

Under 3.5

-

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

Over 2.5

-106

Under 2.5

-

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

Lorenzo Colombo (Genoa)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Vitor Oliveira "Vitinha" (Genoa)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Junior Messias (Genoa)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Ruslan Malinovskyi (Genoa)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Milan have not lost at San Siro in the past eight matches. Massimiliano Allegri's men have clocked up seven wins, two draws and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 0.80.

Genoa have finished with four defeats, three wins and three draws in the past 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.70 goals per game and conceding 1.80.

Milan drew 0-0 with Genoa when the sides last met at San Siro. Milan have landed victory in two of the past 5 H2H meetings at San Siro, with Genoa securing a win along with two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
AC Milan Home Stats		7-2-1	2.50	1.70	0.80	6	4	5	5
Genoa Away Stats		3-3-4	3.50	1.70	1.80	9	1	10	0

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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AC Milan vs Genoa Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Milan vs Genoa team news before you bet. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for Serie A and all current injury news.

AC Milan Team Page Genoa Team Page

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