AC Milan vs Genoa Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 08 Jan 2026

Serie A Betting Preview: AC Milan vs Genoa

Second-placed AC Milan go head-to-head with Genoa at San Siro, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Thursday 8 January.

Genoa +1.25 looks an interesting Asian Handicap wager at odds of -122. Our stake is divided between +1 and +1.5 when the underdogs clash with Milan and that gives us a fighting chance.

AC Milan have won two Serie A games on the spin, triumphing 1-0 in their previous league clash. This was away from home against Cagliari at Unipol Domus. Massimiliano Allegri's men had four shots on target and boasted 54% possession, with an early second half strike from Rafael Leao proving the difference.

Genoa hosted Pisa in their previous game, ending in a 1-1 draw at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Il Grifone recorded 62% possession and had four shots on goal, with Lorenzo Colombo finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Milan haven’t lost to Genoa in their past nine games. Their last clash took place at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, with Milan winning 2-1 away. The past 10 H2H games have featured six triumphs for Milan, one for Genoa along with three draws.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	AC Milan	25	15	9	1	41	19	22	41:19	54
16	Genoa	25	5	9	11	29	37	-8	29:37	24

View Full Table

Milan have 6 wins and 4 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 12.7 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal. I Rossoneri have averaged 51.5% possession, 480.8 passes and 4.7 corners per game, conceding 0.9 goals and 5.0 corners from 11.3 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal.

Top goalscorers Rafael Leao and Christian Pulisic have found the net 4 times, with Christopher Nkunku scoring 2. Adrien Rabiot, Christopher Nkunku and Fikayo Tomori have recorded the most assists with 2 apiece. Meanwhile, goalkeeper Mike Maignan has kept 5 clean sheets.

Genoa have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, with an average of 4.0 shots on goal, 10.7 attempts and 1.4 goals. The Liguria side average 45.2% possession, 340.3 passes, 3.3 corners awarded and 5.7 corners against, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 14.2 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal.

Lorenzo Colombo and Leo Oestigard have scored 3, followed by Vitinha with 2. Aaron Martin Caricol has managed to clock up 3 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

AC Milan confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Mike Maignan (GK), Fikayo Tomori, Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic, Alexis Saelemaekers, Youssouf Fofana, Luka Modric, Adrien Rabiot, Davide Bartesaghi, Christian Pulisic, Rafael Leao.

Genoa confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Nicola Leali (GK), Alessandro Marcandalli, Leo Oestigard, Johan Vasquez, Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Morten Frendrup, Ruslan Malinovsky, Morten Thorsby, Aaron Martin Caricol, Vitinha, Lorenzo Colombo.

AC Milan vs Genoa Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the edge with our best AC Milan vs Genoa tips: a key match prediction, expert corners pick, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Genoa enjoying a +1.25 goal start on the Asian Handicap could be a wise move at odds of -122. We anticipate a close battle when it comes to this Serie A game, so let’s back our selection with confidence.

In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the Serie A team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key AC Milan vs Genoa league stats:

• The +1.25 line has been covered by Genoa in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +1.25 line has been covered by Genoa in 18 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 17 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 4 consecutive games against Genoa.

The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 54.9% chance of winning. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

If you want to back Genoa without taking them on the Asian Handicap, there’s the alternative to go for a Winning Margin wager instead. There are lots of different options here.

Start your betting journey with value. Our guide features the best free bets and sign-up bonuses available today.

Our Match Prediction

Genoa Asian Hcp +1.25 @ -122 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 6, 21:07). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Milan 1 - 1 Genoa

When it comes to the correct score, we’re going to take a chance on a 1-1 outcome. We’ll go for the +600 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Lorenzo Colombo Over 0.5 Shots On Target +104

Lorenzo Colombo (Genoa) has recorded one or more shots on goal in six of his past ten Serie A games. There is odds of +104 available when it comes to this Shots on Target wager and we think he’ll cover the line.

Latest Lorenzo Colombo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+475

First

+1150

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-208

Shots

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Milan Under 6.5 Corners -143

The past 10 Milan matches have involved them having an average of 4.70 corners, with Genoa conceding under 6.5 corners in their last four away games. We can use these numbers for our gain, with odds of -143 that Milan come up short when it comes to the Team Corners line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Milan

Total

9.70 4.70 5.00

Home

9.20 5.00 4.20

Away

9.00 3.70 5.30

Genoa

Total

9.00 3.30 5.70

Home

8.30 3.60 4.70

Away

9.50 2.90 6.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-103

Under 9.5

-137

Milan Corners

Over 6.5

+106

Under 6.5

-152

Genoa Corners

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

+102

Most Corners

1

-435

X

+800

2

+390

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

AC Milan vs Genoa Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

AC Milan are the skinniest price to succeed in this Serie A clash, with the favourites afforded a 70% probability based on their -238 betting odds with the bookies. Genoa are regarded as the least likely winner at +750.

There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Half-Time Result market, with Milan available at -104 and Genoa at +600. The third option is the draw which is priced at +130.

The Total Goals market is a great option and Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds right now. For those wanting to back Both Teams to Score No, this is currently priced at -179.

All of the Serie A matches see the best betting apps go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.

Full-Time Result

1

-238

X

+310

2

+750

Half-Time Result

1

-104

X

+130

2

+600

Double Chance

1X

-1429

12

-455

X2

+165

Draw No Bet

1

-909

2

+430

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

+104

2 Hcp +1.25

-130

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-143

Over 2.5

+110

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+133

No

-179

Rafael Leão is the market leader at +340 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Rafael Leão (Milan)

First

+135

Anytime

+340

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

First

+150

Anytime

+380

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

First

+200

Anytime

+480

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

First

+340

Anytime

+850

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Luka Modric (Milan)

First

+430

Anytime

+1000

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

First

+430

Anytime

+1050

Lorenzo Colombo (Genoa)

First

+475

Anytime

+1150

Caleb Ekuban (Genoa)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Vitor Oliveira "Vitinha" (Genoa)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Junior Messias (Genoa)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Ruslan Malinovskyi (Genoa)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Samuele Ricci (Milan)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Nicolae Stanciu (Genoa)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Koni De Winter (Milan)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Matteo Gabbia (Milan)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Fikayo Tomori (Milan)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Strahinja Pavlovic (Milan)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Seydou Fini (Genoa)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+102

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-192

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-200

Lorenzo Colombo (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-208

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-213

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-217

Caleb Ekuban (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-270

Rafael Leão (Milan)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-286

Luka Modric (Milan)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-313

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-313

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-313

Junior Messias (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-370

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-357

Vitor Oliveira "Vitinha" (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-370

Ruslan Malinovskyi (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-417

Nicolae Stanciu (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-526

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-588

Seydou Fini (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-714

Koni De Winter (Milan)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-1667

Matteo Gabbia (Milan)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1667

Fikayo Tomori (Milan)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1667

Strahinja Pavlovic (Milan)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1667

Rafael Leão (Milan)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

-

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 1.5

-108

Under 1.5

-

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Luka Modric (Milan)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Lorenzo Colombo (Genoa)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Vitor Oliveira "Vitinha" (Genoa)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Junior Messias (Genoa)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

-

Ruslan Malinovskyi (Genoa)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

-

Milan have not lost at San Siro in the past eight matches. Massimiliano Allegri's men have clocked up seven wins, two draws and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 0.80.

Genoa have finished with four defeats, three wins and three draws in the past 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.70 goals per game and conceding 1.80.

Milan drew 0-0 with Genoa when the sides last met at San Siro. Milan have landed victory in two of the past 5 H2H meetings at San Siro, with Genoa securing a win along with two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
AC Milan Home Stats		7-2-1	2.50	1.70	0.80	6	4	5	5
Genoa Away Stats		3-3-4	3.50	1.70	1.80	9	1	10	0

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

AC Milan vs Genoa Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Milan vs Genoa team news before you bet. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for Serie A and all current injury news.

AC Milan Team Page Genoa Team Page

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