AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Sep 2025

Coppa Italia Betting Preview: AC Milan vs Lecce

Serie A clubs AC Milan and Lecce lock horns in this Coppa Italia second round game, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 23 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.

Can Lecce Avoid a Heavy Defeat?

Lecce could punch above their weight against Milan and we’ll take the underdogs at +1.75 on the Asian Handicap. We can secure odds of -115 where our money is divided between +1.5 and +2.0.

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Milan Overcame Lecce in Last Meeting

AC Milan triumphed in their last game which was away from home in Serie A. Udinese were beaten 3-0 at Stadio Friuli. Massimiliano Allegri's team had most of the ball enjoying 60% possession and six shots on target, with Christian Pulisic bagging two goals and Youssouf Fofana scoring the other.

Lecce lost when last in action. In a Serie A home game at Stadio Via del Mare, they were turned over 2-1 by Cagliari. The Apulia club had five shots on goal and 52% possession, with Tiago Gabriel finding the net.

In the first round, Milan claimed a 2-0 home win against Serie B side Bari, while Lecce won 2-0 when hosting Serie B outfit Juve Stabia

Head-to-Head Statistics

It has been four wins on the bounce for Milan when playing Lecce. Their last encounter saw Milan leave Stadio Via del Mare with a 2-0 Serie A victory. The 9 most recent H2H games have included six Milan victories along with three draws.

7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 1.7 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 14.1 attempts. Milan have had 52.5% possession, 496.8 passes and 5.0 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.8 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 8.7 attempts, while being awarded 4.5 corners.

Top scorer is Christian Pulisic on 5 goals, while Santiago Gimenez has racked up 3 and Joao Felix 2. Christian Pulisic and Samuel Chukwueze are top assists makers with 2, while goalkeeper Mike Maignan has kept 3 clean sheets.

Lecce have won 2, lost 5 and drawn 3, with an average of 0.6 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts. The Apulia side have averaged 41.4% possession, 309.0 passes, 4.7 corners taken and 6.2 corners against, while conceding 1.4 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts.

Tiago Gabriel is the leading scorer along with five others, with 1 goals on the board each. Nikola Krstovic has been the top assist maker on 2, with Wladimiro Falcone notching 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

AC Milan confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Mike Maignan (GK), Fikayo Tomori, Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlovic, Alexis Saelemaekers, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Samuele Ricci, Adrien Rabiot, Davide Bartesaghi, Santiago Gimenez, Christopher Nkunku.

Lecce confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Christian Fruechtl (GK), Jamil Siebert, Tiago Gabriel, Corrie Ndaba, Danilo Veiga, Tete Morente, Mohamed Kaba, Medon Berisha, Thorir Helgason, Konan N'Dri, Francesco Camarda.

AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips

The AC Milan vs Lecce betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, player prop bets, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Let’s back the outsiders to deliver the goods, with Lecce providing lots of appeal at +1.75. There are attractive odds of -115 for this Coppa Italia game and we’re optimistic about a payout.

Team news can have a significant impact on the betting odds, and we factor this in alongside recent form and the latest Coppa Italia stats when making our football predictions.

Key AC Milan vs Lecce Coppa Italia & league stats:

• The +1.75 line has been covered by Lecce in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +1.75 line has been covered by Lecce in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Milan in 2 consecutive games at home.

Lecce +1.75 Probability

The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 53.5% prospect of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

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Our Match Prediction

Lecce Asian Hcp +1.75 @ -115 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Milan 2 - 1 Lecce

Let’s go for Milan to win 2-1, a bet which is available at +700. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Christian Pulisic to Score +104

Christian Pulisic (Milan) has scored three goals in his past four games. We’re content to land the +104 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.

Latest Christian Pulisic Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-112

First

+280

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AC Milan vs Lecce Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Betting Sites Running Scared of Milan Victory

AC Milan have been priced up as the overwhelming -625 favourites for this Coppa Italia clash. This means the bookies give them a 86% chance of claiming victory. For those wanting to back Lecce, you will find +1500 about the outsider.

You can take advantage of the Half-Time Result market if you think a team will lead at the break. There's the chance to back Milan at -200, go for Lecce at +950 or take the draw at +210.

Over 2.5 Goals is available at shorter odds than Under 2.5 Goals as things stand. Both Teams to Score betting is highly popular and the No pick on the BTTS market is chalked up at -192.

The leading football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all Coppa Italia games. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.

Full-Time Result

1

-625

X

+600

2

+1500

Half-Time Result

1

-200

X

+210

2

+950

Double Chance

1X

-5000

12

-1250

X2

+350

Draw No Bet

1

-3333

2

+950

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -2.25

-108

2 Hcp +2.25

-130

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+160

Over 2.5

-213

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+133

No

-192

Santiago Giménez Favourite to Score the First Goal

Santiago Giménez is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +220, while you can get similar odds if you want him to score the last goal.

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

First

-135

Anytime

+220

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

First

-112

Anytime

+280

Rafael Leão (Milan)

First

+133

Anytime

+400

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

First

+220

Anytime

+650

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

First

+235

Anytime

+650

Luka Modric (Milan)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

First

+280

Anytime

+800

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

First

+410

Anytime

+1100

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

First

+410

Anytime

+1150

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

First

+440

Anytime

+1200

Nikola Stulic (Lecce)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Francesco Camarda (Lecce)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Santiago Pierotti (Lecce)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Tete Morente (Lecce)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Matteo Gabbia (Milan)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Riccardo Sottil (Lecce)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Konan Ignace Jocelyn N'dri (Lecce)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Strahinja Pavlovic (Milan)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Mohamed Kaba (Lecce)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Lameck Banda (Lecce)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Medon Berisha (Lecce)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Álex Sala (Lecce)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Thórir Helgason (Lecce)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Latest Coppa Italia and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

AC Milan Stats

Lecce Stats

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 6.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 6.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 52.50% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 52.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 41.40% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 42.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches

AC Milan vs Lecce Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Milan vs Lecce team news before you bet. Stay in the know with the confirmed Coppa Italia lineups and up-to-date injury news.