AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Jan 2026

Serie A Betting Preview: AC Milan vs Lecce

AC Milan host Lecce at San Siro, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Sunday 18 January.

We’re expecting a low goal tally when Milan and Lecce go up against each other. The Total Goals market provides the opportunity to wager on Under 2.5 and the price of -108 looks attractive.

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AC Milan won last time out by a 3-1 scoreline. It was on the road against Como at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia. I Rossoneri recorded just 32% possession and had four shots on target, while Adrien Rabiot registered two goals and Christopher Nkunku scored one.

Lecce have been defeated in their previous three games. On the road, they recently suffered a 1-0 loss against Inter Milan at Giuseppe Meazza. Eusebio Di Francesco's team didn’t see much of the ball with just 32% possession and one shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Milan have landed five consecutive wins over Lecce. In their last encounter, it was a 3-0 Coppa Italia home victory for Milan. The previous 10 H2H games have featured seven Milan victories and three draws.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	AC Milan	20	12	7	1	33	16	17	33:16	43
17	Lecce	20	4	5	11	13	28	-15	13:28	17

View Full Table

6 wins and 4 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 13.5 attempts. Milan have had 50.8% possession, 475.0 passes and 5.1 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.9 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 11.5 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.8 corners.

Christopher Nkunku, Rafael Leao and Christian Pulisic are the leading goalscorers with 4, while Adrien Rabiot has 3. Adrien Rabiot, Christopher Nkunku and Fikayo Tomori have recorded the most assists with 2 apiece. Meanwhile, goalkeeper Mike Maignan has kept 4 clean sheets.

Lecce have 2 victories, 6 defeats and 2 draws, averaging 2.2 shots on goal, 9.6 attempts and 0.5 goals. The Apulia club average 43.2% possession, 328.9 passes, 4.5 corners awarded and 5.4 corners against, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 13.5 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal.

Nikola Stulic and Lameck Banda have top scored with 2, while Lassana Coulibaly is next on 1. Lameck Banda and Medon Berisha have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Wladimiro Falcone has 2 clean sheets to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

AC Milan predicted lineup (3-5-2): Mike Maignan (GK), Fikayo Tomori, Matteo Gabbia, Koni De Winter, Alexis Saelemaekers, Youssouf Fofana, Luka Modric, Adrien Rabiot, Davide Bartesaghi, Christopher Nkunku, Rafael Leao.

Lecce predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Wladimiro Falcone (GK), Matias Perez, Jamil Siebert, Tiago Gabriel, Antonino Gallo, Lassana Coulibaly, Youssef Maleh, Santiago Pierotti, Omri Gandelman, Riccardo Sottil, Nikola Stulic.

AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips

Take in the full AC Milan vs Lecce betting outlook — from our expert match prediction and correct score pick to sharp corners advice, player prop insights and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

After careful consideration, the betting odds of -108 for Under 2.5 Goals looks to be the best bet. Neither side can set the stage alight and this Serie A wager looks to be a sound one.

The team news that emerges can have an impact on the odds depending on which players are missing. Our football experts also study the form guide, while the latest stats are also checked before a Serie A verdict is reached.

Key AC Milan vs Lecce league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Milan games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 Lecce games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Lecce games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Lecce games.

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 51.8% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

There are a number of different bets if you’re in the market for a bigger price, with bettors able to consider the Result & Total Goals market. Select Under 2.5 Goals and a specific team to win.

Before you place your next wager, browse our guide for top betting offers including the latest free bets and welcome bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -108 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Milan 2 - 0 Lecce

Milan are available to back at +410 to secure a 2-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Adrien Rabiot Over 0.5 Shots On Target -111

Adrien Rabiot (Milan) has had a minimum of one shot on goal in back-to-back Serie A games. We’re anticipating that he is able to perform well and cover the Shots on Target line, with odds of -111 currently available.

Latest Adrien Rabiot Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-175

Shots

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

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Christopher Nkunku to Score +170

Christopher Nkunku (Milan) has scored at least one goal in three straight Serie A games. It’s worth a gamble on the +170 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Christopher Nkunku Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+420

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

+128

Shots

Over 2.5

-137

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -122

There has been six straight Milan games where 9.5 Total Corners has been covered, while it has been four consecutive Lecce away matches where the same thing has happened. There’s a chance to go over the Total Corners line and we’re confident this will happen, with odds of -122 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Milan

Total

9.90 5.10 4.80

Home

9.50 5.80 3.70

Away

9.40 3.70 5.70

Lecce

Total

9.90 4.50 5.40

Home

9.50 5.00 4.50

Away

11.70 4.60 7.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-130

Under 9.5

-110

Milan Corners

Over 6.5

-133

Under 6.5

-106

Lecce Corners

Over 2.5

-123

Under 2.5

-114

Most Corners

1

-667

X

+900

2

+525

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AC Milan vs Lecce Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The bookies are taking few risks with their betting odds of -385 for AC Milan winning which indicates that they have a 79% chance of triumphing in this Serie A encounter. If you want to wager on the underdog, Lecce have been priced up at +1150.

There are different ways to bet Milan against Lecce and one of them is taking the -118 that they overcome the -1.5 deficit on the Asian Handicap. This means a victory is needed by two or more goals.

The Total Goals market could be a toss-up considering that Over and Under 2.5 Goals are trading at a similar price. The Both Teams to Score No option is -204 if you think at least one side will fail to score.

If you visit one of the recommended sports betting sites, it’s fantastic to access hundreds of markets for whichever Serie A match appeals. Scan through the choices and pick your football wager.

Full-Time Result

1

-385

X

+440

2

+1150

Half-Time Result

1

-139

X

+160

2

+750

Double Chance

1X

-3333

12

-667

X2

+255

Draw No Bet

1

-1667

2

+650

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.5

-118

2 Hcp +1.5

-104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-108

Over 2.5

-119

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+150

No

-204

Rafael Leão is the market leader at +330 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Rafael Leão (Milan)

First

+120

Anytime

+330

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

First

+120

Anytime

+330

Niclas Füllkrug (Milan)

First

+155

Anytime

+400

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

First

+170

Anytime

+420

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Luka Modric (Milan)

First

+370

Anytime

+950

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Samuele Ricci (Milan)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Riccardo Sottil (Lecce)

First

+525

Anytime

+1100

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Lameck Banda (Lecce)

First

+550

Anytime

+1150

Nikola Stulic (Lecce)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Francesco Camarda (Lecce)

First

+550

Anytime

+1150

Tete Morente (Lecce)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Fikayo Tomori (Milan)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Koni De Winter (Milan)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Strahinja Pavlovic (Milan)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Matteo Gabbia (Milan)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Santiago Pierotti (Lecce)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Omri Gandelman (Lecce)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Mohamed Kaba (Lecce)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Niclas Füllkrug (Milan)

Over 0.5

-286

Under 0.5

+138

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

+128

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-164

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-175

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-185

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

Over 0.5

-104

Under 0.5

-189

Rafael Leão (Milan)

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-204

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-222

Luka Modric (Milan)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-263

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-263

Nikola Stulic (Lecce)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-333

Lameck Banda (Lecce)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-333

Francesco Camarda (Lecce)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-333

Riccardo Sottil (Lecce)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-333

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-345

Samuele Ricci (Milan)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-385

Tete Morente (Lecce)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-435

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-526

Santiago Pierotti (Lecce)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-588

Omri Gandelman (Lecce)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-588

Mohamed Kaba (Lecce)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-588

Matteo Gabbia (Milan)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-1111

Fikayo Tomori (Milan)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-1111

Koni De Winter (Milan)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-1111

Strahinja Pavlovic (Milan)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-1250

Rafael Leão (Milan)

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 3.5

-106

Under 3.5

-

Niclas Füllkrug (Milan)

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

-

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

Over 2.5

-137

Under 2.5

-

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Nikola Stulic (Lecce)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Lameck Banda (Lecce)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Luka Modric (Milan)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 1.5

-208

Under 1.5

-

Samuele Ricci (Milan)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Riccardo Sottil (Lecce)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Tete Morente (Lecce)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Fikayo Tomori (Milan)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-

Koni De Winter (Milan)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Matteo Gabbia (Milan)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Santiago Pierotti (Lecce)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Omri Gandelman (Lecce)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Mohamed Kaba (Lecce)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Milan have swerved defeat at San Siro in the previous nine matches. I Rossoneri have managed six victories, three draws and one loss in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 0.90.

Lecce are winless in the last four away games. Eusebio Di Francesco's team have collected five defeats, three wins and two draws in the previous 10 away matches, scoring an average of 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

When the sides last met at San Siro, Milan beat Lecce 3-0. Milan have secured three wins from the previous 4 H2H games at San Siro, with the other result being a draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
AC Milan Home Stats		6-3-1	2.50	1.60	0.90	6	4	6	4
Lecce Away Stats		3-2-5	2.00	0.70	1.30	2	8	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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AC Milan vs Lecce Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the Milan vs Lecce team news before betting. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for Serie A along with the latest injury news.

AC Milan Team Page Lecce Team Page

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