AC Milan vs Parma Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Feb 2026

Serie A Betting Preview: AC Milan vs Parma

Second-placed AC Milan take on Parma at Giuseppe Meazza, with kick-off set for 12:00 on Sunday 22 February.

For those that agree with our view that this will be low-scoring, take the -100 when it comes to Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. We don’t think Milan and Parma will serve up a goalfest.

AC Milan played Como in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at Giuseppe Meazza. Massimiliano Allegri's men had 53% possession and managed four shots on target, while Rafael Leao registered the goal.

Parma beat Hellas Verona in their previous Serie A match, making it back-to-back league wins. It was a 2-1 home victory at Stadio Ennio Tardini. The Emilia-Romagna side enjoyed 71% possession and managed seven shots on goal, with Adrian Bernabe and Mateo Pellegrino finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The most recent clash between the teams saw Milan draw 2-2 away to Parma at Stadio Ennio Tardini. The past 8 H2H meetings have resulted in four Milan wins, three draws and one Parma victory.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	AC Milan	31	18	9	4	47	24	23	47:24	63
13	Parma	31	8	11	12	22	39	-17	22:39	35

View Full Table

Milan have 6 wins and 4 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts. I Rossoneri have averaged 52.2% possession, 498.0 passes and 5.3 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 0.6 goals from 3.4 shots on goal, 10.6 attempts and 4.5 corners.

Christopher Nkunku leads the way with 5 goals, with Rafael Leao and Adrien Rabiot getting 3 apiece. Adrien Rabiot has the most assists with 3, while goalkeeper Mike Maignan has 4 clean sheets.

Parma have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 0.8 goals from 2.6 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts. Carlos Cuesta's team have averaged 47.8% possession, 409.8 passes, 5.5 corners awarded and 4.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 14.6 attempts.

Mateo Pellegrino has scored 3, followed by Adrian Bernabe, Christian Ordonez and Oliver Soerensen with 1 goals apiece. Hans Nicolussi Caviglia is top assists provider with 2, while Edoardo Corvi and Filippo Rinaldi have kept 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

AC Milan confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Mike Maignan (GK), Fikayo Tomori, Koni De Winter, Davide Bartesaghi, Alexis Saelemaekers, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Luka Modric, Adrien Rabiot, Pervis Estupinan, Rafael Leao, Christian Pulisic.

Parma confirmed lineup (3-5-1-1): Edoardo Corvi (GK), Enrico Del Prato, Mariano Troilo, Lautaro Valenti, Sascha Britschgi, Adrian Bernabe, Mandela Keita, Christian Ordonez, Emanuele Valeri, Gabriel Strefezza, Mateo Pellegrino.

AC Milan vs Parma Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the key AC Milan vs Parma betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best corners pick, correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

After weighing everything up, the price of -100 for Under 2.5 Goals looks to be a solid wager. Both teams might struggle to net and this Serie A prediction should be a sensible play.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the Serie A form guide are important duties ahead of making football predictions. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can sometimes be effective.

Key AC Milan vs Parma league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Milan games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Milan games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Milan games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Parma games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Parma games.

The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 50% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you are looking for bigger odds, then you can combine Under 2.5 Goals with other selections in a Bet Builder. Load up the bet slip with the outcomes that you think will happen.

Make smarter wagers by browsing today’s best betting offers, complete with promos, free bets, and welcome bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -100 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 20, 18:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Milan 1 - 0 Parma

One bet that has caught our eye is Milan to claim a 1-0 correct score win. This selection is available at +550 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mateo Pellegrino Over 1.5 Shots -156

Mateo Pellegrino (Parma) has finished with over 1.5 shots in six of his past ten Serie A games. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll back him to cover the Player Shots line which is available at odds of -156.

Latest Mateo Pellegrino Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+380

First

+1000

Shots

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

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Christopher Nkunku to Score +135

Christopher Nkunku (Milan) has managed five goals in his past eight Serie A games. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +135 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Christopher Nkunku Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+130

First

+330

Shots

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Parma Over 2.5 Corners -139

The past 5 Parma games have involved them having an average of 7.60 corners, with Milan conceding over 2.5 corners in their previous four matches. The Parma Team Corners line is on the low side and we’re looking to go over this number at odds of -139.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Milan

Total

9.80 5.30 4.50

Home

9.30 5.60 3.70

Away

9.10 3.20 5.90

Parma

Total

9.50 5.50 4.00

Home

8.70 4.70 4.00

Away

8.30 3.40 4.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-141

Under 9.5

-100

Milan Corners

Over 6.5

-120

Under 6.5

-118

Parma Corners

Over 2.5

-159

Under 2.5

+112

Most Corners

1

-476

X

+850

2

+400

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

AC Milan vs Parma Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Bettors might not get rich backing AC Milan at -370 to triumph in this Serie A clash although these odds suggest a 79% probability that the favourites end up triumphing. Parma are trading at a much larger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +950.

There are different ways to bet Milan against Parma and one of them is taking the -111 that they overcome the -1.5 deficit on the Asian Handicap. This means a victory is needed by two or more goals.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. If you’re expecting at least one team to keep a clean sheet, you might be interested in the -147 about Both Teams to Score No.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Serie A match. All the leading football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

-370

X

+440

2

+950

Half-Time Result

1

-133

X

+160

2

+700

Double Chance

1X

-2500

12

-714

X2

+240

Draw No Bet

1

-1429

2

+550

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.5

-111

2 Hcp +1.5

-111

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+114

Over 2.5

-147

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+110

No

-147

Santiago Giménez is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +350, while you can get similar odds if you want him to score the last goal.

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

First

+125

Anytime

+350

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

First

+130

Anytime

+330

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

First

+140

Anytime

+380

Rafael Leão (Milan)

First

+155

Anytime

+420

Niclas Füllkrug (Milan)

First

+175

Anytime

+450

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

First

+230

Anytime

+550

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

First

+290

Anytime

+800

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

First

+320

Anytime

+850

Mateo Pellegrino (Parma)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Luka Modric (Milan)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

First

+475

Anytime

+1200

Samuele Ricci (Milan)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Zachary Athekame (Milan)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Jacob Ondrejka (Parma)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Matteo Gabbia (Milan)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Koni De Winter (Milan)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Fikayo Tomori (Milan)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Strahinja Pavlovic (Milan)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Oliver Sørensen (Parma)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Gaetano Oristanio (Parma)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

Over 3.5

-132

Under 3.5

-

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 3.5

+106

Under 3.5

-

Rafael Leão (Milan)

Over 2.5

-208

Under 2.5

-

Niclas Füllkrug (Milan)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-

Mateo Pellegrino (Parma)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Luka Modric (Milan)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 1.5

-250

Under 1.5

-

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

Over 0.5

-303

Under 0.5

-

Samuele Ricci (Milan)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

Zachary Athekame (Milan)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-

Jacob Ondrejka (Parma)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

-

Matteo Gabbia (Milan)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Koni De Winter (Milan)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-

Fikayo Tomori (Milan)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Oliver Sørensen (Parma)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Gaetano Oristanio (Parma)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

AC Milan vs Parma Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Milan vs Parma team news before you bet. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Serie A lineups and injury news right here.

AC Milan Team Page Parma Team Page

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