AC Milan vs Parma Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Feb 2026

Serie A Betting Preview: AC Milan vs Parma

AC Milan take on Parma at Giuseppe Meazza, with kick-off set for 12:00 on Sunday 22 February.

For those that agree with our view that this will be low-scoring, take the -100 when it comes to Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. We don’t think Milan and Parma will serve up a goalfest.

AC Milan played Como in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at Giuseppe Meazza. Massimiliano Allegri's men had 53% possession and managed four shots on target, while Rafael Leao registered the goal.

Parma beat Hellas Verona in their previous Serie A match, making it back-to-back league wins. It was a 2-1 home victory at Stadio Ennio Tardini. The Emilia-Romagna side enjoyed 71% possession and managed seven shots on goal, with Adrian Bernabe and Mateo Pellegrino finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The most recent clash between the teams saw Milan draw 2-2 away to Parma at Stadio Ennio Tardini. The past 8 H2H meetings have resulted in four Milan wins, three draws and one Parma victory.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	AC Milan	25	15	9	1	41	19	22	41:19	54
12	Parma	25	7	8	10	18	31	-13	18:31	29

View Full Table

Milan have 6 wins and 4 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts. I Rossoneri have averaged 52.2% possession, 498.0 passes and 5.3 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 0.6 goals from 3.4 shots on goal, 10.6 attempts and 4.5 corners.

Christopher Nkunku leads the way with 5 goals, with Rafael Leao and Adrien Rabiot getting 3 apiece. Adrien Rabiot has the most assists with 3, while goalkeeper Mike Maignan has 4 clean sheets.

Parma have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 0.8 goals from 2.6 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts. Carlos Cuesta's team have averaged 47.8% possession, 409.8 passes, 5.5 corners awarded and 4.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 14.6 attempts.

Mateo Pellegrino has scored 3, followed by Adrian Bernabe, Christian Ordonez and Oliver Soerensen with 1 goals apiece. Hans Nicolussi Caviglia is top assists provider with 2, while Edoardo Corvi and Filippo Rinaldi have kept 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

AC Milan predicted lineup (3-5-2): Mike Maignan (GK), Fikayo Tomori, Koni De Winter, David Odogu, Zachary Athekame, Samuele Ricci, Luka Modric, Ardon Jashari, Davide Bartesaghi, Rafael Leao, Christopher Nkunku.

Parma predicted lineup (3-5-2): Edoardo Corvi (GK), Enrico Del Prato, Dominik Drobnic, Lautaro Valenti, Sascha Britschgi, Adrian Bernabe, Mandela Keita, Oliver Soerensen, Emanuele Valeri, Mateo Pellegrino, Gabriel Strefezza.

AC Milan vs Parma Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the key AC Milan vs Parma betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best corners pick, correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

After weighing everything up, the price of -100 for Under 2.5 Goals looks to be a solid wager. Both teams might struggle to net and this Serie A prediction should be a sensible play.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the Serie A form guide are important duties ahead of making football predictions. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can sometimes be effective.

Key AC Milan vs Parma league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Milan games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Milan games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Milan games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Parma games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Parma games.

The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 50% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you are looking for bigger odds, then you can combine Under 2.5 Goals with other selections in a Bet Builder. Load up the bet slip with the outcomes that you think will happen.

Make smarter wagers by browsing today’s best betting offers, complete with promos, free bets, and welcome bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -100 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 20, 18:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Milan 1 - 0 Parma

One bet that has caught our eye is Milan to claim a 1-0 correct score win. This selection is available at +525 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mateo Pellegrino Over 1.5 Shots -156

Mateo Pellegrino (Parma) has finished with over 1.5 shots in six of his past ten Serie A games. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll back him to cover the Player Shots line which is available at odds of -156.

Latest Mateo Pellegrino Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+410

First

+1100

Shots

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

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Christopher Nkunku to Score +135

Christopher Nkunku (Milan) has managed five goals in his past eight Serie A games. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +135 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Christopher Nkunku Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+135

First

+340

Shots

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Parma Over 2.5 Corners -139

The past 5 Parma games have involved them having an average of 7.60 corners, with Milan conceding over 2.5 corners in their previous four matches. The Parma Team Corners line is on the low side and we’re looking to go over this number at odds of -139.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Milan

Total

9.80 5.30 4.50

Home

9.30 5.60 3.70

Away

9.10 3.20 5.90

Parma

Total

9.50 5.50 4.00

Home

8.70 4.70 4.00

Away

8.30 3.40 4.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-125

Under 9.5

-114

Milan Corners

Over 6.5

-103

Under 6.5

-139

Parma Corners

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+117

Most Corners

1

-400

X

+800

2

+350

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

AC Milan vs Parma Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Bettors might not get rich backing AC Milan at -313 to triumph in this Serie A clash although these odds suggest a 76% probability that the favourites end up triumphing. Parma are trading at a much larger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +900.

There are different ways to bet Milan against Parma and one of them is taking the +102 that they overcome the -1.5 deficit on the Asian Handicap. This means a victory is needed by two or more goals.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. If you’re expecting at least one team to keep a clean sheet, you might be interested in the -147 about Both Teams to Score No.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Serie A match. All the leading football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

-313

X

+400

2

+900

Half-Time Result

1

-125

X

+150

2

+650

Double Chance

1X

-2000

12

-588

X2

+215

Draw No Bet

1

-1250

2

+500

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.5

+102

2 Hcp +1.5

-127

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-100

Over 2.5

-130

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+110

No

-147

Christopher Nkunku is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +340, while you can get similar odds if you want him to score the last goal.

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

First

+135

Anytime

+340

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

First

+135

Anytime

+360

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

First

+150

Anytime

+390

Rafael Leão (Milan)

First

+160

Anytime

+420

Niclas Füllkrug (Milan)

First

+185

Anytime

+460

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

First

+240

Anytime

+575

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

First

+320

Anytime

+900

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Mateo Pellegrino (Parma)

First

+410

Anytime

+1100

Luka Modric (Milan)

First

+420

Anytime

+1100

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

First

+420

Anytime

+1050

Samuele Ricci (Milan)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Jacob Ondrejka (Parma)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Zachary Athekame (Milan)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Matteo Gabbia (Milan)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Strahinja Pavlovic (Milan)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Fikayo Tomori (Milan)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Koni De Winter (Milan)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Oliver Sørensen (Parma)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Gaetano Oristanio (Parma)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

Over 3.5

-122

Under 3.5

-

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-

Rafael Leão (Milan)

Over 2.5

-182

Under 2.5

-

Niclas Füllkrug (Milan)

Over 2.5

-116

Under 2.5

-

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 1.5

-238

Under 1.5

-

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Mateo Pellegrino (Parma)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Luka Modric (Milan)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Jacob Ondrejka (Parma)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Matteo Gabbia (Milan)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Oliver Sørensen (Parma)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Koni De Winter (Milan)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Fikayo Tomori (Milan)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

Over 0.5

-294

Under 0.5

-

Zachary Athekame (Milan)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Samuele Ricci (Milan)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Gaetano Oristanio (Parma)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

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AC Milan vs Parma Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Milan vs Parma team news before you bet. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Serie A lineups and injury news right here.

AC Milan Team Page Parma Team Page

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