Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Mar 2025

Ajax to Outscore AZ

We believe that Ajax will get the better of AZ and the favourites are excellent value at -125. The Full-Time Result odds look really attractive and we’re confident of landing a return here.

AZ Too Good for Ajax in Last H2H

Ajax won last time out by a 1-0 scoreline. On the road against PEC Zwolle at MAC3PARK Stadion, they made it ten wins on the spin. The Amsterdam team had most of the ball enjoying 56% possession and six shots on target, with Kenneth Taylor scoring the winning goal in the 61st minute.

AZ Alkmaar suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 3-1 scoreline occurred away from home at Abe Lenstra Stadion against Heerenveen. Maarten Martens' side had four shots on goal and enjoyed 59% possession, with Zico Buurmeester finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

AZ have racked up four straight victories over Ajax. In their last clash, AZ claimed a 2-0 KNVB Cup win at home. The past 10 meetings between these sides have resulted in six AZ victories and two Ajax wins. There have also been two draws.

Eredivisie		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
2	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Ajax have won all of their previous 10 games, averaging 2.1 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts. Francesco Farioli's men have averaged 54.7% possession, 518.6 passes and 4.4 corners per match, conceding 0.2 goals and 3.6 corners from 2.5 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts.

Kenneth Taylor leads the way with 6 goals, Brian Brobbey has 3, with Oliver Edvardsen and Wout Weghorst scoring 2. Leading assistor is Anton Gaaei with 3, while goalkeepers Remko Pasveer and Matheus have collectively recorded 8 clean sheets.

AZ have 6 victories, 2 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.4 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts. There’s been an average of 51.7% possession, 476.7 passes, 6.0 corners awarded and 3.2 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.9 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 8.1 attempts.

Troy Parrott has top scored with 5, while Zico Buurmeester, Mexx Meerdink and Mayckel Lahdo are next on 2. Peer Koopmeiners has clocked up 4 assists, with Rome Owusu-Oduro and Jeroen Zoet collectively keeping 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Ajax confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Matheus (GK), Anton Gaaei, Josip Sutalo, Youri Baas, Jorrel Hato, Kian Fitz-Jim, Jordan Henderson, Kenneth Taylor, Bertrand Traore, Brian Brobbey, Mika Godts.

AZ Alkmaar confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rome Owusu-Oduro (GK), Denso Kasius, Wouter Goes, Alexandre Penetra, David Moeller Wolfe, Peer Koopmeiners, Jordy Clasie, Ernest Poku, Kristijan Belic, Zico Buurmeester, Troy Parrott.

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Betting Tips

We can back Ajax at -125 to claim a Eredivisie victory and this looks like a standout price. The betting sites give us the chance to grab a slice of value for this selection.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of stats and present the key numbers to our readers.

Key Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar league stats:

• Ajax have won all of their last 10 games.
• Ajax have won all of their last 5 games.
• Ajax have won 10 consecutive games.

Ajax to Win Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 55.6% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

It’s worth considering all the options. If you’re looking for tastier odds about Ajax to win and a certain number of goals to be scored, then the Match Result & Total market could be a good way forward.

Our Match Prediction

Ajax To Win @ -125 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Ajax 3 - 1 AZ Alkmaar

Ajax can be backed to win 3-1 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +1300 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Corners Prediction

Ajax Under 4.5 Corners -110

Ajax have failed to cover the 4.5 corners line in three straight games, with AZ Alkmaar conceding under 4.5 corners in the past six matches. We think Ajax might fall short of the mark, with odds of -110 available when it comes to this Team Corners pick.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Ajax

Total

8.00 4.40 3.60

Home

8.40 6.00 2.40

Away

7.20 2.50 4.70

AZ Alkmaar

Total

9.20 6.00 3.20

Home

8.40 6.00 2.40

Away

10.70 5.70 5.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-138

Under 8.5

-100

Ajax Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-110

AZ Alkmaar Corners

Over 3.5

-150

Under 3.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-125

X

+525

2

+123

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Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Odds

The bookies betting odds have Ajax as -100 favourites for this Eredivisie clash, implying that they are 50% likely to win the match. At +250, AZ Alkmaar are regarded as having a lower probability of winning this match.

The latest betting suggests it’s a close call between Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals.

The football betting sites offer a Draw No Bet market for all Eredivisie matches and you can back Ajax at -200 and AZ Alkmaar at +150.

Full-Time Result

1

-100

X

+260

2

+250

Half-Time Result

1

+162.5

X

+120

2

+300

Double Chance

1X

-350

12

-350

X2

-125

Draw No Bet

1

-200

2

+150

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

+105

2 Hcp +0.5

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-105

Over 2.5

-118

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-133

No

-100

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Lineups & Team News

If you’re looking for Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.

If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the Eredivisie squads.

Ajax Team Page AZ Alkmaar Team Page