Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Feb 2026

Eredivisie Betting Preview: Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen

Ajax meet NEC Nijmegen at Johan Cruyff Arena, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Saturday 21 February.

Ajax look like a standout bet when it comes to the Full-Time Result market. There are odds of -137 that the home team overcome NEC and we’re confident that this is a value play.

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Ajax beat Fortuna Sittard 4-1 at Johan Cruyff Arena in their last league game. That means it’s now been two Eredivisie home victories on the spin. Fred Grim's team had most of the ball boasting 56% possession and eight shots on target, while Mika Godts scored two, with Jorthy Mokio and Rayane Bounida also getting a goal.

NEC Nijmegen played out a 1-1 draw in their previous game. This was on their travels to Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, with Sparta Rotterdam the opponents. NEC boasted 59% possession and recorded five shots on goal, while Koki Ogawa was on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

NEC were at home when the teams last met and it was a 2-2 draw versus Ajax at Stadion De Goffert. The past 9 meetings between these sides have resulted in five Ajax victories and one NEC win. There have also been three draws.

Eredivisie		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	NEC Nijmegen	23	12	6	5	58	39	19	58:39	42
4	Ajax	23	11	9	3	46	30	16	46:30	42

View Full Table

Ajax have 6 wins and 4 draws, averaging 2.3 goals from 6.9 shots on goal and 16.4 attempts. The Sons of God have averaged 56.9% possession, 535.9 passes and 4.0 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.1 goals from 4.4 shots on goal, 12.1 attempts and 4.1 corners.

Mika Godts is the top goalscorer with 7, Youri Baas has 3, with Jorthy Mokio and two other players on 2. Leading assistor is Rayane Bounida with 4, while goalkeeper Vitezslav Jaros has 3 clean sheets.

NEC have 6 victories, 1 defeat and 3 draws, with an average of 6.3 shots on goal, 15.7 attempts and 2.5 goals. Dick Schreuder's side average 57.0% possession, 436.8 passes, 5.2 corners taken and 4.8 corners against them, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 12.5 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal.

Koki Ogawa has scored 4 goals, followed by Tjaronn Chery, Bryan Linssen, Basar Onal and Sami Ouaissa on 3. Kodai Sano has managed 4 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Ajax predicted lineup (4-3-3): Vitezslav Jaros (GK), Lucas Rosa, Youri Baas, Josip Sutalo, Owen Wijndal, Davy Klaassen, Jorthy Mokio, Sean Steur, Rayane Bounida, Kasper Dolberg, Mika Godts.

NEC Nijmegen predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Gonzalo Crettaz (GK), Eli Dasa, Ahmetcan Kaplan, Deveron Fonville, Brayann Pereira, Kodai Sano, Darko Nejasmic, Başar Önal, Willum Thór Willumsson, Tjaronn Chery, Brian Linssen.

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction & Betting Tips

We dive into the top Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, corners market tip, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

If you agree with our verdict that Ajax can claim a Eredivisie victory, then there’s the chance to get betting odds of -137 that this happens. We think that this price sticks out.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Eredivisie form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen league stats:

• Ajax have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Ajax have won 13 of their last 20 games at home.
• Ajax have won 2 consecutive games at home.
• Ajax have won 5 of their last 9 games against NEC.

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 57.8% chance of landing a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Want to back Ajax at a bigger price? The Match Result & Total market provides an opportunity to predict the number of goals that will be scored along with our selection to win.

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Our Match Prediction

Ajax To Win @ -137 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 19, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Ajax 3 - 1 NEC

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing Ajax to win 3-1. We can’t pass up the odds of +800 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Davy Klaassen to Score +340

Davy Klaassen (Ajax) has netted two goals in his past five Eredivisie home games. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at +340 which will hopefully see him find the net.

Latest Davy Klaassen Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+340

First

+1000

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

NEC Over 3.5 Corners -141

We’ve seen an average of 5.20 corners for NEC Nijmegen in their past ten matches, while Ajax have let the opposition average 4.40 corners in the previous five home games. NEC should be able to cover the line when it comes to Team Corners and betting odds of -141 are available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Ajax

Total

8.10 4.00 4.10

Home

9.00 5.00 4.00

Away

8.80 4.00 4.80

NEC

Total

10.00 5.20 4.80

Home

9.40 5.40 4.00

Away

10.00 4.80 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-137

Under 9.5

-103

Ajax Corners

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-114

NEC Corners

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

-100

Most Corners

1

-200

X

+700

2

+200

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Ajax are forecasted to have a 58% chance of triumphing in this Eredivisie encounter according to the bookmakers. It leads to their latest betting odds being -137. If you want to back the outsider, NEC Nijmegen are available at +320.

Betting Ajax -0.75 on the Asian Handicap at -108 means splitting stake between -0.5 and -1.0. Therefore, a one-goal win over NEC means a win and a push, with a 2+ goal victory meaning a full payout.

Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted. An alternative angle is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been chalked up at -233.

If you’re wanting hundreds of football markets, then the good news is that the best betting apps can provide this. For any Eredivisie game, take your pick and hopefully find a winning angle.

Full-Time Result

1

-137

X

+300

2

+320

Half-Time Result

1

+118

X

+160

2

+310

Double Chance

1X

-455

12

-435

X2

+102

Draw No Bet

1

-303

2

+200

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-108

2 Hcp +0.75

-116

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+170

Over 2.5

-227

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-233

No

+170

You will find favourite Mika Godts at +475 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get +155 that he finds the net any time.

Mika Godts (Ajax)

First

+155

Anytime

+475

Kasper Dolberg (Ajax)

First

+160

Anytime

+450

Wout Weghorst (Ajax)

First

+180

Anytime

+540

Oscar Gloukh (Ajax)

First

+210

Anytime

+600

Maher Carrizo (Ajax)

First

+210

Anytime

+600

Tjaronn Chery (NEC)

First

+210

Anytime

+700

Koki Ogawa (NEC)

First

+250

Anytime

+800

Rayane Bounida (Ajax)

First

+250

Anytime

+800

Steven Berghuis (Ajax)

First

+260

Anytime

+750

Oliver Edvardsen (Ajax)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Bryan Linssen (NEC)

First

+300

Anytime

+850

Pereira Da Silva Danilo (NEC)

First

+320

Anytime

+950

Davy Klaassen (Ajax)

First

+340

Anytime

+1000

Don-Angelo Konadu (Ajax)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Willum Willumsson (NEC)

First

+400

Anytime

+1200

Basar Önal (NEC)

First

+400

Anytime

+1200

Sami Ouaissa (NEC)

First

+450

Anytime

+1400

Kodai Sano (NEC)

First

+600

Anytime

+1900

Anton Gaaei (Ajax)

First

+600

Anytime

+1900

Thomas Ouwejan (NEC)

First

+600

Anytime

+1900

Youri Baas (Ajax)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Oleksandr Zinchenko (Ajax)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Jorthy Mokio (Ajax)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Kian Fitz-Jim (Ajax)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Dirk Proper (NEC)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Ajax have secured four victories, four defeats and two draws in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

NEC haven’t been beaten in six straight games away from home. NEC have secured four wins, four draws and two defeats in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 2.20 goals per game and conceding 1.80.

The most recent Johan Cruyff Arena meeting saw NEC claim a 3-0 win over Ajax. In the past 4 H2H matches at Johan Cruyff Arena, we have seen two Ajax wins, one NEC victory and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Ajax Home Stats		4-2-4	2.80	1.50	1.30	5	5	5	5
NEC Nijmegen Away Stats		4-4-2	4.00	2.20	1.80	7	3	9	1

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen before you bet. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Eredivisie together with updated injury news.

Ajax Team Page NEC Nijmegen Team Page

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