Alavés vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Aug 2025

La Liga Betting Preview: Alavés vs Atlético Madrid

Alavés host Atlético Madrid in this Spanish La Liga fixture at Estadio Mendizorroza, with kick-off set for 11:00 on Saturday 30 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Will Alavés Stay in Reach of the Favourites?

Back Alavés +0.75 at -125 when they clash against Atlético Madrid. Splitting Asian Handicap stakes between +0.5 and +1.0 means we get insurance if the hosts lose by a goal, although a full return for a draw or win.

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Goalless Draw When Teams Last Clashed

Deportivo Alavés were defeated in their last game. Away from home, they suffered a 1-0 loss against Real Betis at Estadio de La Cartuja. Los Babazorros enjoyed 51% possession and five shots on target.

Atlético Madrid hosted Elche at Riyadh Air Metropolitano in their previous game, ending in a 1-1 draw. Diego Simeone's side had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 58% possession and six shots on goal, while Alexander Soerloth found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The most recent clash between the teams saw Atléti draw 0-0 away to Alavés at Estadio Mendizorroza. The past 10 H2H games have seen six Atléti triumphs, two Alavés wins and two draws.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Alavés	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	2:2	3
14	Atlético Madrid	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	2:3	1

View Full Table

4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 10.3 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal. Alavés have had 47.7% possession, 381.5 passes and 5.7 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 0.6 goals from 9.9 attempts and 2.7 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 5.3 corners.

Top goalscorers are Nahuel Tenaglia and Kike Garcia on 2 goals, while Antonio Martinez has bagged 1. Carlos Vicente is the leading assists maker on 2, with goalkeeper Antonio Sivera keeping 4 clean sheets.

Atléti have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 2.1 goals from 13.3 attempts and 6.2 shots on goal. Diego Simeone's team average 56.7% possession, 542.8 passes, 5.6 corners awarded and 2.5 corners against them, while conceding 0.9 goals from 7.5 attempts and 3.1 shots on goal.

Alexander Soerloth has landed 10 goals, Julian Alvarez 6, with Clement Lenglet and two others scoring 1. Rodrigo De Paul, Julian Alvarez and Antoine Griezmann have clocked up 2 assists, with Jan Oblak keeping 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Alavés predicted lineup (4-1-4-1): Antonio Sivera (GK), Jonny, Facundo Garces, Nahuel Tenaglia, Victor Parada, Antonio Blanco, Carlos Vicente, Jon Guridi, Pablo Ibáñez, Carles Aleña, Toni Martínez.

Atlético Madrid predicted lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet, David Hancko, Giuliano Simeone, Johnny, Pablo Barrios, Thiago Almada, Alexander Sørloth, Julián Álvarez.

Alavés vs Atlético Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve got your Alavés vs Atlético Madrid bets covered, including our expert match prediction, correct score tip, corners outlook, must-see player props and a tailored bet builder built for value.

Match Prediction

Our experts think that siding with Alavés +0.75 at -125 on the Asian Handicap is the way forward for this La Liga encounter. The home team should be able to avoid defeat in this contest and have the potential to win.

Our team of experts monitor the current La Liga injuries and suspensions. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.

Key Alavés vs Atlético Madrid league stats:

• The +0.75 line has been covered by Alavés in 5 consecutive games at home.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Alavés in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Alavés in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Atléti in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Atléti in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Atléti in 2 consecutive games.

Alavés +0.75 Probability

The best football betting sites make it a 55.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our experts have this number between 60-65% based on their in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

There are ways of betting on Alavés to win by a certain number of goals thanks to the Winning Margin market, with this being a nice alternative to Asian Handicap.

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Our Match Prediction

Alavés Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -125 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Alavés 1 - 1 Atléti

Let’s go for the game to end in a 1-1 scoreline, a wager which is available at +550. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Player Prop Picks

Jon Guridi Over 0.5 Shots On Target +270

Jon Guridi (Alavés) has an average of 0.6 shots on goal in his past five La Liga matches. We think this could be a decisive stat and we’ll bet on him to cover the Shots on Target line which is on offer at odds of +270.

Latest Jon Guridi Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+850

First

+2000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-526

Shots

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

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Thiago Almada To Score +370

Thiago Almada (Atléti) can be backed at +370 to find the net. Using all information, we’ll head to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds.

Latest Thiago Almada Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+360

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-161

Shots

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -125

The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in five consecutive Atlético Madrid away matches. It looks a logical viewpoint that the line won’t be reached and you can land a price of -125 for this Total Corners wager.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Alavés

Total

11.00 5.70 5.30

Home

10.60 6.20 4.40

Away

8.90 4.30 4.60

Atléti

Total

8.10 5.60 2.50

Home

9.80 6.00 3.80

Away

8.00 4.00 4.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-125

Alavés Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-138

Atléti Corners

Over 4.5

-138

Under 4.5

-100

Most Corners

1

+133

X

+600

2

-116

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Alavés vs Atlético Madrid Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Atléti Have the Shortest Odds to Win

The favourites are 56% likely to win according to the latest betting odds, with Atlético Madrid being priced at -125 to come away with a victory in this La Liga encounter. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +375 for Deportivo Alavés.

You can back Atléti at +140 on the Half-Time Result market, meaning you need them to be ahead at the break. Alavés are +400 and the draw is chalked up at +110.

For those expecting a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader on the Total Goals market. A different wager could be betting BTTS No where you can land -133 when it comes to the Both Teams to Score No market.

If you visit one of the recommended betting sites, it’s fantastic to access hundreds of markets for whichever La Liga game appeals. Scan through the choices and pick your football wager.

Full-Time Result

1

+375

X

+250

2

-125

Half-Time Result

1

+400

X

+110

2

+140

Double Chance

1X

-105

12

-350

X2

-549

Draw No Bet

1

+240

2

-333

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

+105

2 Hcp -0.5

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-150

Over 2.5

+120

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-100

No

-133

Julián Álvarez is the First Goalscorer Favourite

There’s the chance to back Julián Álvarez at +310 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

+140

Anytime

+310

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+175

Anytime

+370

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+270

Anytime

+550

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

First

+350

Anytime

+700

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

First

+460

Anytime

+1150

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+550

Anytime

+1150

Carlos Vicente (Alavés)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Carles Aleñá (Alavés)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

David Hancko (Atléti)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Conor Gallagher (Atléti)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Jon Guridi (Alavés)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva (Alavés)

First

+900

Anytime

+1800

Abde Rebbach (Alavés)

First

+1000

Anytime

+1900

Matteo Ruggeri (Atléti)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Hugo Novoa (Alavés)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Pablo Ibáñez (Alavés)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Marc Pubill (Atléti)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Marcos Llorente (Atléti)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-111

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-147

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-161

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-204

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-227

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-213

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-227

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-250

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-294

Carles Aleñá (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-357

Carlos Vicente (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-357

David Hancko (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-455

Jon Guridi (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-526

Conor Gallagher (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-526

Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-526

Abde Rebbach (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-588

Matteo Ruggeri (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-769

Pablo Ibáñez (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-769

Marcos Llorente (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-833

Hugo Novoa (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-909

Marc Pubill (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-909

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 3.5

+118

Under 3.5

-

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 3.5

+133

Under 3.5

-

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

Over 1.5

-116

Under 1.5

-

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Abde Rebbach (Alavés)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Marc Pubill (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Ibáñez (Alavés)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Hugo Novoa (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Matteo Ruggeri (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-

Carles Aleñá (Alavés)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva (Alavés)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Jon Guridi (Alavés)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Conor Gallagher (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

David Hancko (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Vicente (Alavés)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Marcos Llorente (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Alavés Aiming to Extend Unbeaten Home Streak

Alavés haven’t lost any of their past five games at Estadio Mendizorroza. The Vitoria-Gasteiz club have collected four victories, four losses and two draws in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 0.60 goals per match and conceding 0.70.

Atléti have four defeats, three victories and three draws in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

Alavés drew 0-0 with Atléti when they last met at Estadio Mendizorroza. The previous 6 H2H meetings at Estadio Mendizorroza have led to two wins each and two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Alavés Home Stats		4-2-4	1.30	0.60	0.70	1	9	2	8
Atlético Madrid Away Stats		3-3-4	2.30	1.30	1.00	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Alavés vs Atlético Madrid Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the Alavés vs Atléti team news beforehand. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for La Liga together with updated injury news.

Alavés Team Page Atlético Madrid Team Page