Alavés vs Real Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Dec 2025

La Liga Betting Preview: Alavés vs Real Madrid

Alavés go head-to-head with Real Madrid at Estadio Mendizorroza, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 14 December.

We’re confident that there will be a low goal count when Alavés and Real Madrid meet. The Total Goals market offers us the chance to bet on Under 2.5 and the odds of -105 look really appealing.

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Deportivo Alavés were winners in their last game. A 1-0 scoreline was enjoyed at home to Real Sociedad at Estadio Mendizorroza. Eduardo Coudet's team ended up with just 38% possession and had three shots on target, with a 45th minute goal from Lucas Boye making all the difference.

Real Madrid were beaten in their previous La Liga game, losing 2-0 at home to Celta Vigo at Santiago Bernabéu. Los Merengues managed seven shots on goal and enjoyed 58% possession.

Four days ago, Real were beaten 2-1 at home to Manchester City in the Champions League.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Real have enjoyed seven consecutive victories against Alavés. In their last encounter, visitors Real secured a 1-0 win at Estadio Mendizorroza. The previous 10 H2H matches have involved nine Real victories and just one triumph for Alavés.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Real Madrid	16	11	3	2	32	15	17	32:15	36
11	Alavés	15	5	3	7	13	15	-2	13:15	18

View Full Table

Alavés have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts. Los Babazorros have averaged 49.5% possession, 421.2 passes and 5.6 corners per match, conceding 1.0 goals and 4.4 corners from 2.9 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts.

Lucas Boye is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Pablo Ibanez, Denis Suarez, Antonio Martinez and Carlos Vicente each have 1. Carles Alena has the most assists with 2, while goalie Antonio Sivera has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Real have won 5, lost 2 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.8 goals from 7.0 shots on goal and 19.9 attempts. Xabi Alonso's men have averaged 58.9% possession, 563.2 passes, 6.5 corners awarded and 2.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts.

Kylian Mbappe has top scored with 9, followed by Jude Bellingham and Vinicius Junior on 3 and 2. Kylian Mbappe and Arda Guler have been top assists providers with 3, while Thibaut Courtois has kept 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Alavés predicted lineup (4-1-4-1): Antonio Sivera (GK), Jonny Otto, Nahuel Tenaglia, Jon Pacheco, Victor Parada, Ander Guevara, Calebe, Pablo Ibanez, Denis Suarez, Abderrahman Rebbach, Lucas Boye.

Real Madrid predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Federico Valverde, Aurelien Tchouameni, Raul Asencio, Victor Valdepenas, Dani Ceballos, Arda Guler, Rodrygo, Jude Bellingham, Vinicius Junior, Gonzalo Garcia.

Alavés vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve lined up expert Alavés vs Real Madrid betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to corners betting insight, best player prop picks and bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Match Prediction

We can’t resist the opportunity to back Under 2.5 for this La Liga encounter. This wager gives us the opportunity to land odds of -105 and we feel confident of securing a return.

The latest La Liga team news and current form are always useful information when it comes to providing football betting tips. It’s also important to pay attention to the available stats so that we make the best picks.

Key Alavés vs Real Madrid league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 16 of the last 20 Alavés games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Alavés games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Alavés games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Real games.

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 51.3% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability close to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

There’s the chance to back Under 2.5 Goals and BTTS No if you want to get more bang for your buck, with bettors able to take this selection through the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market.

Before you dive in, check our guide for the newest betting promotions and generous sign-up bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -105 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Alavés 0 - 1 Real Madrid

Real Madrid can be backed to win 1-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +600 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jude Bellingham Over 1.5 Shots -159

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) has had over 1.5 shots in eight of his past ten La Liga matches. It certainly looks possible that he will cover the Player Shots line and there are odds of -159 up for grabs.

Latest Jude Bellingham Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+270

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-139

Shots

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

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Rodrygo To Score +290

Rodrygo (Real Madrid) can be wagered at +290 to be on the scoresheet. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll plump for him to find the net.

Latest Rodrygo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+290

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-159

Shots

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Alavés Over 3.5 Corners -147

Alavés have averaged 6.20 corners in the past five home games. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to Alavés covering the Team Corners line, with odds of -147 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Alavés

Total

10.00 5.60 4.40

Home

10.60 6.10 4.50

Away

10.30 5.00 5.30

Real Madrid

Total

9.30 6.50 2.80

Home

11.20 8.80 2.40

Away

9.80 6.10 3.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-118

Alavés Corners

Over 3.5

-147

Under 3.5

+102

Real Madrid Corners

Over 5.5

-109

Under 5.5

-132

Most Corners

1

+185

X

+700

2

-185

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Alavés vs Real Madrid Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With a 60% prospect of triumphing according to the 1x2 odds, Real Madrid are favourites to come out on top in this La Liga clash and they’re available at -149 with the bookmakers. If you want to wager on the underdog, Deportivo Alavés have been priced up at +410.

If you think Real can win by two or more goals against Alavés, consider them at -0.75 on the Asian Handicap at -115. You’ll even win with half your stake if they win by one goal, with the other half refunded.

The current odds reflect that there’s not much between Under 2.5 Goals and Over 2.5 Goals. If you think both teams will score, then you can back BTTS Yes at -128.

No matter what La Liga match is taking place, you will find hundreds of markets being offered. Peruse the various choices that are presented at the leading football betting sites.

Full-Time Result

1

+410

X

+270

2

-149

Half-Time Result

1

+390

X

+138

2

+117

Double Chance

1X

+112

12

-370

X2

-625

Draw No Bet

1

+245

2

-400

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-109

2 Hcp -0.75

-115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-105

Over 2.5

-122

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-128

No

-103

Favourite Kylian Mbappé is available at +260 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

First

-118

Anytime

+260

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

First

+200

Anytime

+525

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Rodrygo (Real Madrid)

First

+290

Anytime

+750

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

First

+360

Anytime

+850

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

First

+390

Anytime

+1050

Carlos Vicente (Alavés)

First

+480

Anytime

+1150

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Carles Aleñá (Alavés)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva (Alavés)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Jon Guridi (Alavés)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Abde Rebbach (Alavés)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Denis Suárez (Alavés)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-102

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-111

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-137

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-139

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-159

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-159

Rodrygo (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-159

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-164

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-200

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-208

Carlos Vicente (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-238

Carles Aleñá (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-345

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Denis Suárez (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-556

Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-769

Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1000

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

Over 4.5

-112

Under 4.5

-

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Rodrygo (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Carlos Vicente (Alavés)

Over 1.5

+114

Under 1.5

-

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Alavés have five wins, three draws and two losses in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 0.80.

Real Madrid have not lost on their travels in the past five matches. Los Merengues have recorded six victories, three draws and one defeat in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

Real were 1-0 victors against Alavés last time out at Estadio Mendizorroza. In the past 5 H2H meetings at Estadio Mendizorroza, Real have won every time.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Alavés Home Stats		5-3-2	2.00	1.20	0.80	4	6	6	4
Real Madrid Away Stats		6-3-1	3.00	2.00	1.00	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Alavés vs Real Madrid Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Alavés vs Real without reviewing the latest team news. Get the predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Alavés Team Page Real Madrid Team Page

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