Alavés vs Real Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Dec 2025

La Liga Betting Preview: Alavés vs Real Madrid

Alavés go head-to-head with second-placed Real Madrid at Estadio Mendizorroza, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 14 December.

We’re confident that there will be a low goal count when Alavés and Real Madrid meet. The Total Goals market offers us the chance to bet on Under 2.5 and the odds of -105 look really appealing.

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Deportivo Alavés were winners in their last game. A 1-0 scoreline was enjoyed at home to Real Sociedad at Estadio Mendizorroza. Eduardo Coudet's team ended up with just 38% possession and had three shots on target, with a 45th minute goal from Lucas Boye making all the difference.

Real Madrid were beaten in their previous La Liga game, losing 2-0 at home to Celta Vigo at Santiago Bernabéu. Los Merengues, who had Fran García sent off in the 64th minute, also saw Álvaro Carreras and unused substitute Endrick sent off in stoppage time, managed seven shots on target and 58% possession.

Four days ago, Real suffered a 2-1 home defeat to Manchester City in the Champions League.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Real have enjoyed seven consecutive victories against Alavés. In their last encounter, visitors Real secured a 1-0 win at Estadio Mendizorroza. The previous 10 H2H matches have involved nine Real victories and just one triumph for Alavés.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Real Madrid	21	16	3	2	45	17	28	45:17	51
15	Alavés	21	6	4	11	18	26	-8	18:26	22

View Full Table

Alavés have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts. Los Babazorros have averaged 49.5% possession, 421.2 passes and 5.6 corners per match, conceding 1.0 goals and 4.4 corners from 2.9 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts.

Lucas Boye is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Pablo Ibanez, Denis Suarez, Antonio Martinez and Carlos Vicente each have 1. Carles Alena has the most assists with 2, while goalie Antonio Sivera has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Real have won 5, lost 2 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.8 goals from 7.0 shots on goal and 19.9 attempts. Xabi Alonso's men have averaged 58.9% possession, 563.2 passes, 6.5 corners awarded and 2.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts.

Kylian Mbappe has top scored with 9, followed by Jude Bellingham and Vinicius Junior on 3 and 2. Kylian Mbappe and Arda Guler have been top assists providers with 3, while Thibaut Courtois has kept 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Alavés confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Antonio Sivera (GK), Jonny Otto, Nahuel Tenaglia, Jon Pacheco, Victor Parada, Antonio Blanco, Calebe, Pablo Ibanez, Denis Suarez, Abderrahman Rebbach, Lucas Boye.

Real Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Federico Valverde, Raul Asencio, Antonio Ruediger, Victor Valdepenas, Rodrygo, Arda Guler, Aurelien Tchouameni, Jude Bellingham, Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior.

Alavés vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve lined up expert Alavés vs Real Madrid betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to corners betting insight, best player prop picks and bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Match Prediction

We can’t resist the opportunity to back Under 2.5 for this La Liga encounter. This wager gives us the opportunity to land odds of -105 and we feel confident of securing a return.

The latest La Liga team news and current form are always useful information when it comes to providing football betting tips. It’s also important to pay attention to the available stats so that we make the best picks.

Key Alavés vs Real Madrid league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 16 of the last 20 Alavés games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Alavés games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Alavés games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Real games.

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 51.3% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability close to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

There’s the chance to back Under 2.5 Goals and BTTS No if you want to get more bang for your buck, with bettors able to take this selection through the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market.

Before you dive in, check our guide for the newest betting promotions and generous sign-up bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (00:07, 13 December 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Alavés 0 - 1 Real Madrid

Real Madrid can be backed to win 1-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +650 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jude Bellingham Over 1.5 Shots -159

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) has had over 1.5 shots in eight of his past ten La Liga matches. It certainly looks possible that he will cover the Player Shots line and there are odds of -159 up for grabs.

Latest Jude Bellingham Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+240

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-128

Shots

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

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Rodrygo To Score +290

Rodrygo (Real Madrid) can be wagered at +290 to be on the scoresheet. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll plump for him to find the net.

Latest Rodrygo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+175

First

+500

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

+110

Shots

Over 2.5

-123

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Alavés Over 3.5 Corners -147

Alavés have averaged 6.20 corners in the past five home games. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to Alavés covering the Team Corners line, with odds of -147 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Alavés

Total

10.00 5.60 4.40

Home

10.60 6.10 4.50

Away

10.30 5.00 5.30

Real Madrid

Total

9.30 6.50 2.80

Home

11.20 8.80 2.40

Away

9.80 6.10 3.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-128

Under 9.5

-110

Alavés Corners

Over 3.5

-127

Under 3.5

-112

Real Madrid Corners

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-110

Most Corners

1

+225

X

+650

2

-227

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Alavés vs Real Madrid Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 66% prospect of triumphing according to the 1x2 odds, Real Madrid are favourites to come out on top in this La Liga clash and they’re available at -192 with the bookmakers. If you want to wager on the underdog, Deportivo Alavés have been priced up at +540.

Taking Real -1 on the Asian Handicap means a full payout at -114 if they beat Alavés by two or more goals. A one-goal victory would see your stake pushed which means a full refund.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. If you think both teams will score, then you can back BTTS Yes at -128.

No matter what La Liga match is taking place, you will find hundreds of markets being offered. Peruse the various choices that are presented at the leading football betting sites.

Full-Time Result

1

+540

X

+300

2

-192

Half-Time Result

1

+460

X

+148

2

-102

Double Chance

1X

+138

12

-435

X2

-909

Draw No Bet

1

+320

2

-588

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1

-110

2 Hcp -1

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+107

Over 2.5

-139

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-128

No

-103

Favourite Kylian Mbappé is available at +230 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

First

-143

Anytime

+230

Rodrygo (Real Madrid)

First

+175

Anytime

+500

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

First

+190

Anytime

+500

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

First

+360

Anytime

+900

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

First

+370

Anytime

+1100

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

First

+380

Anytime

+1050

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

First

+390

Anytime

+1050

Carlos Vicente (Alavés)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

First

+510

Anytime

+1200

Carles Aleñá (Alavés)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva (Alavés)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Abde Rebbach (Alavés)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Jon Guridi (Alavés)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Denis Suárez (Alavés)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

+125

Rodrygo (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

+110

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

+102

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-128

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-133

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-161

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-167

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-172

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-172

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-208

Carlos Vicente (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-238

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Carles Aleñá (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-357

Denis Suárez (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-588

Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-769

Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-909

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

Over 4.5

-123

Under 4.5

-

Rodrygo (Real Madrid)

Over 2.5

-123

Under 2.5

-

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

Over 2.5

-159

Under 2.5

-

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

+106

Under 1.5

-

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-112

Under 1.5

-

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Carlos Vicente (Alavés)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Alavés have five wins, three draws and two losses in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 0.80.

Real Madrid have not lost on their travels in the past five matches. Los Merengues have recorded six victories, three draws and one defeat in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

Real were 1-0 victors against Alavés last time out at Estadio Mendizorroza. In the past 5 H2H meetings at Estadio Mendizorroza, Real have won every time.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Alavés Home Stats		5-3-2	2.00	1.20	0.80	4	6	6	4
Real Madrid Away Stats		6-3-1	3.00	2.00	1.00	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Alavés vs Real Madrid Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Alavés vs Real without reviewing the latest team news. Get the predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Alavés Team Page Real Madrid Team Page

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