Albirex Niigata vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Oct 2025
J1 League Betting Preview: Albirex Niigata vs Fagiano Okayama
Albirex Niigata host Fagiano Okayama in this Japanese J1 league encounter at Denka Big Swan Stadium, with kick-off set for 01:00 on Saturday 4 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and confirmed lineups.
Albirex Niigata at 0.0 look like an attractive bet on the Asian Handicap when they meet Fagiano Okayama. Backing the hosts at -152 means a nice payout if they win and our stake returned if they only draw the game.
Confident in our Asian Handicap pick? Unlock the best BetMGM promo code and read our expert review of the site before jumping in.
Albirex Niigata were beaten in their last game. On their travels, they suffered a 4-2 loss against Gamba Osaka at Panasonic Stadium Suita. Toru Irie's side enjoyed just 38% possession and had two shots on target, with Taiki Arai and Jin Okumura scoring one goal apiece.
Fagiano Okayama have been defeated in their previous three away games and the latest was at Machida GION Stadium. Machida Zelvia claimed a 1-0 victory. The Pheasants were restricted to 46% possession and didn’t have any shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Fagiano had the upper hand in the previous clash between these sides. At JFE Harenokuni Stadium, they recorded a 2-1 home victory over Albi.
| J1 League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | F. Okayama |
36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 32:41 | 42 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata |
36 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 34 | 63 | -29 | 34:63 | 23 |
Albi have 8 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.6 goals from 2.1 shots on goal and 7.6 attempts. The Swans have averaged 50.5% possession and 5.6 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.7 goals from 4.9 shots on goal, 9.9 attempts and 5.3 corners.
Taiki Arai is the top scorer along with five other players, with each of them scoring 1 goals. The top assist makers are Motoki Hasegawa, Matheus Moraes and Keisuke Kasai, all of whom have 1 on the board.
Fagiano have won 3, lost 6 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.8 shots on goal, 6.2 attempts and 0.9 goals. Takashi Kiyama's team average 45.4% possession, 4.8 corners awarded and 5.5 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 7.8 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal.
Hiroto Iwabuchi has landed 3 goals, Ataru Esaka 2, with Kazunari Ichimi and two others scoring 1. Ataru Esaka has been the top assist maker with 3 in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Albirex Niigata confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Ryuga Tashiro (GK), Soya Fujiwara, Michael James Fitzgerald, Fumiya Hayakawa, Yuto Horigome, Takuya Shimamura, Taiki Arai, Eiji Shirai, Jin Okumura, Motoki Hasegawa, Yuji Ono.
Fagiano Okayama confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Svend Brodersen (GK), Kaito Abe, Daichi Tagami, Kota Kudo, Haruka Motoyama, Yuta Kamiya, Eiji Miyamoto, Hijiri Kato, Takaya Kimura, Ataru Esaka, Kazunari Ichimi.
Albirex Niigata vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction & Betting Tips
Make the most of Albirex Niigata vs Fagiano Okayama with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, corners advice and a value-focused bet builder.
Match Prediction
Albirex Niigata are available at odds of -152 and that can be taken with confidence when it comes to Asian Handicap 0.0 for this J1 League game. We believe the home team can claim a victory.
The latest injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.
Key Albirex Niigata vs Fagiano Okayama league stats:
According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 60.2% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
There are ways of betting on Albi to win by a certain number of goals thanks to the Winning Margin market, with this being a nice alternative to Asian Handicap.
Boost your betting strategy with exclusive offers, free bets, and welcome bonuses—all in our straightforward guide.
Correct Score Prediction
We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves Albirex winning 2-1. Odds of +550 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.
Corners Prediction
It’s been an average of 6.40 Albirex Niigata corners in the past five games, with Fagiano Okayama conceding a corner average of 7.60 in their previous five away matches. We’re expecting plenty of Albi corners and that the Team Corners line is going to be covered, with odds of -150 available.
Albirex
Fagiano
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Bet Builder Tips
If you’re up for a bet builder, then we’ve got Albirex Niigata to cover the 0.0 Asian Handicap, at least three goals to be scored accompanied by Albirex Niigata to rack up over 4.5 corners.
The bet builder option is great for football fans wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.
Albirex Niigata vs Fagiano Okayama Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The bookmakers have betting odds of +135 for Albirex Niigata to triumph in this J1 League clash, with Fagiano Okayama trading at a price of +185 if you think they’ll win, while the draw is chalked up at +215.
You can back Albi at +220 on the Half-Time Result market, meaning you need them to be ahead at the break. Fagiano are +250 and the draw is chalked up at +105.
Under 2.5 Goals is currently the betting favourite and a bet on this option would mean you need no more than two goals to be scored. If you’re expecting at least one team to draw a blank, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market is available at -143.
The online bookmakers definitely give customers lots of choice. When it comes to J1 League games, choose from hundreds of markets until you find the most attractive odds.
Albirex Niigata haven’t triumphed in six straight games at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Toru Irie's side have managed five losses, three draws and two victories in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.50.
It’s now been three consecutive Fagiano Okayama losses on their travels. The Pheasants have collected five defeats, three wins and two draws in the previous 10 away matches, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.60.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Albirex Niigata Home Stats |
2-3-5 | 2.30 | 0.80 | 1.50 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
Fagiano Okayama Away Stats |
3-2-5 | 2.50 | 0.90 | 1.60 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Albirex Niigata League Stats
Fagiano Okayama League Stats
- 8 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 5.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 6.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 50.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 45.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 39.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Albirex Niigata this season are Motoki Hasegawa (6), Ken Yamura (4), Danilo (3)
- Top Assistors for Albirex Niigata this season are Keisuke Kasai (2), Kento Hashimoto (2), Motoki Hasegawa (2)
Albirex Niigata vs Fagiano Okayama Lineups & Team News
Don’t miss the latest Albirex vs Fagiano team news before you bet. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the J1 League, along with current injury news.
Albirex Niigata Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Fagiano Okayama Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Albirex Niigata Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Fagiano Okayama Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Albirex Niigata Substitutes
- 1Kazuki Fujita
- 2Jason Geria
- 7Kaito Taniguchi
- 14Motoki Ohara
- 18Yamato Wakatsuki
- 33Yoshiaki Takagi
- 42Kento Hashimoto
- 50Hiroto Uemura
- 65Abdelrahman Boudah
Fagiano Okayama Substitutes
- 3Kaito Fujii
- 7Ryo Takeuchi
- 17Rui Sueyoshi
- 19Hiroto Iwabuchi
- 28Masaya Matsumoto
- 43Yoshitake Suzuki
- 77Goro Kawanami
- 88Takahiro Yanagi
- 99Lucao
Previous Albirex Niigata Lineups
Previous Fagiano Okayama Lineups
J1 League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 55:30 | 70 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 56:33 | 69 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 46:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Kyoto Sanga | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 59:40 | 62 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce H. | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 42:26 | 62 |
| 6 | K. Frontale | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 66:51 | 57 |
| 7 | Machida Zelvia | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 49:36 | 57 |
| 8 | Gamba Osaka | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 49:53 | 54 |
| 9 | Urawa Reds | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 40:39 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 58:51 | 52 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 40:47 | 48 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 33:37 | 45 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 40:48 | 44 |
| 14 | Tokyo Verdy | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 22:36 | 43 |
| 15 | F. Okayama | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | 42 |
| 16 | Yokohama F.M. | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 42:53 | 40 |
| 18 | Yokohama | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 24:43 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 34:61 | 29 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 36 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 34:63 | 23 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 32:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Urawa Reds | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:12 | 39 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 26:15 | 38 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 24:12 | 34 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce H. | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 19:13 | 31 |
| 7 | K. Frontale | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 40:30 | 30 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 27:17 | 30 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:18 | 30 |
| 10 | Machida Zelvia | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:17 | 27 |
| 11 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 15:17 | 27 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 22:25 | 27 |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 26:25 | 26 |
| 14 | F. Okayama | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 17:15 | 25 |
| 15 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23:23 | 25 |
| 16 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19:19 | 25 |
| 17 | Yokohama F.M. | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22:20 | 23 |
| 18 | Yokohama | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 13:19 | 22 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25:27 | 18 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 19:28 | 15 |
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