Almería vs Ceuta Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Feb 2026

La Liga 2 Betting Preview: Almería vs Ceuta

Almería welcome Ceuta to UD Almeria Stadium, with kick-off set for 09:00 on Sunday 1 February.

Our opinion is that Almería will prove too strong in all departments and we’ll therefore take the -161 that they beat Ceuta. This Full-Time Result bet looks like a value proposition.

Almería have been beaten in back-to-back La Liga 2 games. On their travels, they recently suffered a 1-0 defeat against Eibar at Municipal de Ipurua. Rubi's side enjoyed 51% possession and had four shots on target.

Ceuta won their previous game which was at home. It was a 3-1 triumph at Estadio Alfonso Murube against Cultural Leonesa. Caballas had 52% of possession and nine shots on goal, while Marcos Fernandez, Jose Campana and Yann Bodiger were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Ceuta had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At Estadio Alfonso Murube, they recorded a 3-2 home win over Almería.

La Liga 2		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Almería	30	15	7	8	56	42	14	56:42	52
9	Ceuta	30	13	5	12	37	45	-8	37:45	44

View Full Table

3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts. Almería have had 53.9% possession and 3.9 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.5 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts, while being awarded 3.8 corners.

Top scorer is Sergio Arribas on 5 goals, while Leo Baptistao and Adrian Embarba have both racked up 2. Adrian Embarba has recorded the most assists with 5.

Ceuta have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, averaging 8.7 attempts, 5.0 shots on goal and 1.6 goals. Jose Juan Romero's men average 47.9% possession, 4.8 corners in their favour and 5.1 corners against, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 4.9 shots on goal and 8.0 attempts.

The leading scorers have been Marcos Fernandez and Kuki Zalazar with 3, while Jamelli has 2. Youness Lachhab and Kuki Zalazar are the top assist makers with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Almería confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Andres Fernandez (GK), Marcos Luna, Nelson Monte, Federico Bonini, Alex Munoz, Andre Horta, Stefan Dzodic, Leo Baptistao, Sergio Arribas, Jon Morcillo, Miguel de la Fuente.

Ceuta confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Guillermo Vallejo (GK), Anuar, Carlos Hernandez, Diego Gonzalez, Jose Matos, Kuki Zalazar, Youness Lachhab, Jose Campana, Salvi Sanchez, Marcos Fernandez, Konrad de la Fuente.

Almería vs Ceuta Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve broken down Almería vs Ceuta from every angle, offering our expert match prediction, expected final score, best corners pick, player prop recommendations and a well-constructed bet builder.

Match Prediction

We really like Almería at odds of -161 to win this La Liga 2 game, with this bet making lots of appeal. There’s a nice potential return and we think a victory could be on the cards.

Our football picks always stem from lots of research and it begins by looking at the latest La Liga 2 team news and current form. When we have a strong view of what might happen, we match up the latest numbers.

Key Almería vs Ceuta league stats:

• Almería have won 13 of their last 20 games at home.
• Almería have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Ceuta have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 61.7% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Those that feel bullish when it comes to Almería delivering a big win can find some big priced alternatives on the Asian Handicap. Choose your line and secure a larger potential return.

Explore the best betting offers before you stake your money. Our guide showcases a variety of welcome bonuses worth grabbing.

Our Match Prediction

Almería To Win @ -161 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 30, 15:08). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Almería 2 - 0 Ceuta

We’re betting on Almería to secure a 2-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +550 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sergio Arribas to Score +255

Sergio Arribas (Almería) has scored five goals in his past ten La Liga 2 matches. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +255 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Sergio Arribas Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+255

First

+575

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Ceuta Over 3.5 Corners -102

In their past five games, Ceuta have covered the 3.5 corners line. Ceuta should be capable of covering the line when it comes to Team Corners and odds of -102 are on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Almería

Total

7.70 3.90 3.80

Home

9.80 6.30 3.50

Away

7.10 2.40 4.70

Ceuta

Total

9.90 4.80 5.10

Home

10.30 5.40 4.90

Away

8.80 3.60 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+102

Under 9.5

-147

Almería Corners

Over 5.5

-115

Under 5.5

-130

Ceuta Corners

Over 3.5

-102

Under 3.5

-147

Most Corners

1

-244

X

+700

2

+230

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Almería vs Ceuta Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this La Liga 2 encounter, the bookmakers have Almería as the -161 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 62% chance of triumphing. If you want to back the outsider, Ceuta are available at +390.

If you wager Almería -0.75 on the Asian Handicap at -128, your stake is split between -0.5 and -1.0. A 2+ goal victory over Ceuta achieves a full payout, with a one goal win meaning half the stake is a winner and the other half refunded.

There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. A different approach is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been priced at -139.

If you head to our recommended sports betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each La Liga 2 game. Go through the options and choose your football wager.

Full-Time Result

1

-161

X

+275

2

+390

Half-Time Result

1

+117

X

+138

2

+390

Double Chance

1X

-714

12

-455

X2

+108

Draw No Bet

1

-417

2

+255

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-128

2 Hcp +0.75

-111

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-104

Over 2.5

-137

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-139

No

-102

Those interested in favourite Ibrahima Koné to find the net first can get +430, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is +185.

Ibrahima Koné (Almería)

First

+185

Anytime

+430

Jon Morcillo (Almería)

First

+225

Anytime

+525

Patrick Soko (Almería)

First

+230

Anytime

+550

Adri Embarba (Almería)

First

+240

Anytime

+525

Miguel De La Fuente (Almería)

First

+240

Anytime

+550

Sergio Arribas (Almería)

First

+255

Anytime

+575

Léo Baptistão (Almería)

First

+270

Anytime

+600

Kialy Abdoul Kone (Ceuta)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Juanto Ortuño (Ceuta)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Nicolás Melamed (Almería)

First

+320

Anytime

+750

Manu Vallejo (Ceuta)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Kuki Zalazar (Ceuta)

First

+390

Anytime

+950

Aisar Ahmed (Ceuta)

First

+390

Anytime

+900

Youness Lachhab (Ceuta)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Arnau Puigmal (Almería)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Anuar Tuhami (Ceuta)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Nélson Monte (Almería)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Aridane Hernández (Almería)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Álex Centelles (Almería)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Carlos Redru (Ceuta)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Daijiro Chirino (Almería)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Marcos Luna (Almería)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Yann Bodiger (Ceuta)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Álex Muñoz (Almería)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Almería have racked up six wins, three defeats and one draw in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Ceuta have managed four draws, four losses and two victories in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Almería Home Stats		6-1-3	3.30	2.00	1.30	8	2	7	3
Ceuta Away Stats		2-4-4	2.60	1.10	1.50	5	5	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Almería vs Ceuta Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Almería vs Ceuta before making your bets. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed La Liga 2 lineups and the latest on injuries.

Almería Team Page Ceuta Team Page

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