Almería vs Eldense Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 May 2025

Don’t Underestimate the Underdogs

Eldense +1 on the Asian Handicap looks like a good plan when they clash with Almería. The underdogs can be backed at -111 and we benefit if the Elda side draw or win, while there’s money back for a single goal defeat.

Eldense 1-0 Victory in Previous H2H Meeting

Play-off chasing Almería have enjoyed four consecutive home wins at Power Horse Stadium. Last time out, Racing de Ferrol were beaten 2-1. Rubi's team boasted 54% possession and recorded four shots on target, while Luis Suarez grabbed the goals.

Eldense drew their previous game which was at home. The action at Estadio Pepico Amat ended 1-1 against Córdoba. Los Azulgranas recorded just 33% possession and had four shots on goal, while Amadou Diawara found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 1-0 in favour of home side Eldense when they last played Almería, with the clash taking place at Estadio Pepico Amat.

Almería have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts. The Andalusia club have averaged 52.1% possession and 6.0 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.7 goals from 3.6 shots on goal, 7.8 attempts and 3.7 corners.

Luis Suarez is the top scorer with 6 goals, while Nico Ribaudo, Leo Baptistao and Gonzalo Melero each have 2. Leading assistor is Lucas Robertone with 3.

Eldense have 3 victories, 4 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.1 goals from 8.8 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal. Jose Luis Oltra's side average 46.9% possession, 6.1 corners awarded and 3.9 corners against them, while conceding 1.2 goals from 10.1 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.

The leading scorers have been Juanto Ortuno and Victor Garcia with 3, while Amadou Diawara has 1. Fran Gamez has been the top assist maker with 2 in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Almería confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Fernando Martinez (GK), Marc Pubill, Kaiky, Edgar Gonzalez, Alex Centelles, Gonzalo Melero, Dion Lopy, Leo Baptistao, Sergio Arribas, Nico Ribaudo, Luis Suarez.

Eldense confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Dani Martin (GK), Raul Parra, Dario Dumic, Matia Barzic, Marc Mateu, Victor Garcia, Victor Camarasa, Amadou Diawara, Fede Vico, Masca, Javi Llabres.

Almería vs Eldense Prediction & Betting Tips

We’re siding with Eldense on the Asian Handicap +1 and expect them to win or draw this La Liga 2 clash. We think there’s a tremendous amount of value when it comes to odds of -111.

We’re always monitoring the team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.

Key Almería vs Eldense league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by Eldense in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +1 line has been covered by Eldense in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Almería in 2 of their last 5 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Almería in 6 of their last 10 games.

Eldense +1 Probability

The bookies are estimating that there is a 52.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Bettors have the flexibility of being able to buy or sell goals depending on whether they want a safer or a riskier wager, with the odds moving according to the line.

Our Match Prediction

Eldense Asian Hcp +1 @ -111 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Almería 1 - 1 Eldense

When it comes to the correct score, we’re going to take a chance on a 1-1 outcome. We’ll go for the +700 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Corners Prediction

Eldense Over 3.5 Corners -100

The 3.5 corners line has been covered by Eldense in their past six games. We’re expecting plenty of Eldense corners and that the Team Corners line is going to be covered, with odds of -100 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Almería

Total

9.70 6.00 3.70

Home

9.50 6.40 3.10

Away

9.20 4.80 4.40

Eldense

Total

10.00 6.10 3.90

Home

10.20 6.50 3.70

Away

8.80 4.10 4.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-120

Almería Corners

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-120

Eldense Corners

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-110

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Almería vs Eldense Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Make Almería Most Likely Winners

Almería are the shortest price to win this La Liga 2 game according to the bookies, with the gambling operators giving them a 68% probability due to their -208 betting odds. Eldense are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and they can be backed at +550.

The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds.

The football betting sites offer a Draw No Bet market for all La Liga 2 matches and you can back Almería at -599 and Eldense at +400.

Full-Time Result

1

-208

X

+310

2

+550

Half-Time Result

1

-105

X

+150

2

+500

Double Chance

1X

-901

12

-450

X2

+162.5

Draw No Bet

1

-599

2

+400

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

+105

2 Hcp +1.25

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+125

Over 2.5

-163

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-138

No

-100

Almería vs Eldense Lineups & Team News

If you’re looking for Almería vs Eldense team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.

If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the La Liga 2 squads.

Almería Team Page Eldense Team Page