Alverca vs Casa Pia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Apr 2026
Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Alverca vs Casa Pia
Alverca clash with Casa Pia at Complexo Desportivo Futebol Clube de Alverca, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Sunday 12 April.
Alverca should be able to deliver a return when they go up against Casa Pia, with odds of +104 looking really appealing. We think that the Full-Time Result market is the way to play this wager.
Alverca won their last game. It was on their travels where Rio Ave were beaten 2-1 at Estadio dos Arcos. Custodio's side managed six shots on target and had 48% possession, with Lucas Figueiredo and Sandro Lima scoring one goal each.
Casa Pia hosted Benfica in their previous game, ending in a 1-1 draw at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The Geese were restricted to just 22% possession and managed two shots on goal, while Rafael Brito found the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The most recent head-to-head saw Alverca land a 2-0 away victory over Casa Pia at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |  Alverca |
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 46 | -17 | 29:46 | 32 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia |
27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 27 | 49 | -22 | 27:49 | 25 |
Alverca have 1 win, 3 losses and 6 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts. The Villains have averaged 45.1% possession, 368.1 passes and 5.3 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.8 goals from 5.3 shots on goal, 15.2 attempts and 4.3 corners.
Marko Milovanovic and Lucas Figueiredo lead the way with 3 goals, while Sandro Lima has scored 2. Lincoln has the most assists with 3, while goalie Andre Gomes has recorded one clean sheet.
Casa Pia have 2 victories, 3 defeats and 5 draws, with an average of 1.0 goals from 2.5 shots on goal and 8.2 attempts. There’s been an average of 35.3% possession, 260.4 passes, 2.8 corners awarded and 7.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.7 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 17.3 attempts.
Cassiano has scored 3 goals, followed by Rafael Brito and Gaizka Larrazabal on 2. Jeremy Livolant is top assists provider with 3, while Patrick Sequeira has recorded 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Alverca predicted lineup (3-4-3): Mateus (GK), Kaiky Naves, Sergi Gomez, Bastien Meupiyou, Nabil Touaizi, Rhaldney, Lincoln, Isaac James, Lucas Figueiredo, Sandro Lima, Chiquinho.
Casa Pia predicted lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), João Goulart, Andres Geraldes, David Sousa, Gaizka Larrazabal, Iyad Mohamed, Rafael Brito, Pedro Rosas, Jeremy Livolant, Cassiano, Tiago Morais.
Alverca vs Casa Pia Prediction & Betting Tips
This expert Alverca vs Casa Pia betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score tip, corners analysis, player prop suggestions and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.
Match Prediction
Alverca could land the money in this Primeira Liga game and we’ll take this pick with confidence. There are appealing odds of +104 and we can’t pass up the chance to back the favourites.
The Primeira Liga injury and suspension data can be utilised to provide expert football betting tips. You can also identify that a stats-led approach is adopted by considering the most important stats.
Key Alverca vs Casa Pia league stats:
The latest odds imply that our pick has a 49% prospect of winning. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.
If you want to wager Alverca to win at bigger odds, why not consider a bet on the Double Result? You simply need them to be leading at half-time and full-time.
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Correct Score Prediction
2
-
1
Casa Pia
Alverca are available at +575 when it comes to them winning 2-1. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.
Player Prop Picks
Lucas Figueiredo (Alverca) has registered two goals in his past five Primeira Liga games. This data directs us to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds of +275.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 3.5 corners line has not been covered by Casa Pia in their past two games, with the corner count against Alverca going under 3.5 in their last five home matches. There’s a price of +105 for this Team Corners bet and we think the Casa Pia line is too big.
Alverca
Casa Pia
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Take a bet builder that incorporates Alverca on the 1x2, BTTS Yes and Lucas Figueiredo (Alverca) to find the net.
A football bet builder is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same game. The bookmakers provide this personalised betting facility where you select various picks and the odds are combined.
Alverca vs Casa Pia Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Favourites Alverca are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Primeira Liga clash. The +104 about them triumphing means a 49% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. The market implies that Casa Pia are the most unlikely to win at +255.
The Asian Handicap -0.5 option is the same as a win on the 1x2 market. Alverca are -103 when it comes to this selection, with their opponents Casa Pia +0.5 at -139 which means the draw is also included with this pick.
If you think there will be two goals or less during the ninety minutes, then Under 2.5 Goals is a potential option. There are always two Both Teams to Score choices, with Yes available at -118 and No at -120.
There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred bet when it comes to Primeira Liga matches. The leading football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.
The First Goalscorer favourite is Chiquinho at +550. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.
Alverca haven’t tasted victory at Complexo Desportivo Futebol Clube de Alverca in the previous four matches. Custodio's side have finished with four draws, three wins and three defeats in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 0.80 goals per match and conceding 1.50.
Casa Pia are winless over their previous six games on their travels. The Geese have managed six losses, three draws and one victory in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.50 goals per game and conceding 2.00.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alverca Home Stats |
3-4-3 | 2.30 | 0.80 | 1.50 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
| Casa Pia Away Stats |
1-3-6 | 2.50 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Alverca League Stats
Casa Pia League Stats
- 1 win, 3 defeats and 6 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 1.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 corners awarded and 7.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 6.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 45.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 35.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 42.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Alverca this season are Marko Milovanovic (8), Sandro Lima (5), Lucas Figueiredo (4)
- Top Assistors for Alverca this season are Lincoln (5), Nabili Touaizi (3), Chiquinho (2)
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Alverca vs Casa Pia Lineups & Team News
Don’t bet on Alverca vs Casa Pia without reviewing the latest team news. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups and the latest on injuries.
Alverca Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Casa Pia Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Alverca Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Casa Pia Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Previous Alverca Lineups
Previous Casa Pia Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Alverca Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Custodio
Casa Pia Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 56:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Sporting | 27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 72:17 | 68 |
| 3 | Benfica | 28 | 19 | 9 | 0 | 59:18 | 66 |
| 4 | Braga | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 54:27 | 49 |
| 5 | Famalicão | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 36:25 | 47 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 42:28 | 45 |
| 7 | Estoril | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 50:47 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32:41 | 36 |
| 9 | Vitória | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 34:42 | 35 |
| 10 | Arouca | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 37:57 | 32 |
| 11 | Alverca | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:46 | 32 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 29:48 | 30 |
| 13 | Estrela | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 33:47 | 28 |
| 14 | Santa Clara | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:35 | 28 |
| 15 | Nacional | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 31:39 | 25 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 27:49 | 25 |
| 17 | Tondela | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 19:44 | 20 |
| 18 | AVS | 28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 18:61 | 11 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 29:6 | 36 |
| 2 | Sporting | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 40:6 | 34 |
| 3 | Benfica | 14 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 33:10 | 32 |
| 4 | Famalicão | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24:10 | 27 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 25:12 | 27 |
| 6 | Vitória | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 24:18 | 25 |
| 7 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 28:13 | 24 |
| 8 | Estoril | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 27:19 | 23 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:19 | 20 |
| 10 | Alverca | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:20 | 19 |
| 11 | Arouca | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21:27 | 18 |
| 12 | Estrela | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13:14 | 17 |
| 14 | Nacional | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 19:21 | 14 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 17:23 | 13 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14:23 | 13 |
| 17 | Tondela | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9:17 | 9 |
| 18 | AVS | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10:24 | 7 |
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