Arouca vs Casa Pia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 May 2025

We’re Expecting a Low-Scoring Encounter

We are expecting a low number of goals when Arouca meet Casa Pia. The odds of -143 for Under 2.5 look really attractive and we can play the Total Goals market with confidence.

Casa Pia 3-1 Winners in Last H2H Battle

Arouca suffered a defeat in their last game. A 2-0 scoreline occurred on the road at Estadio do Sao Miguel against Santa Clara. The Wolves had most of the ball enjoying 62% possession and five shots on target.

Casa Pia lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Estoril Praia 3-1 at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. Joao Pereira's side managed four shots on goal and had 41% possession, with Cassiano finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It has been three wins on the bounce for Casa Pia when playing Arouca. In the last clash, home side Casa Pia claimed a 3-1 victory at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The past 5 H2H games have involved three Casa Pia victories, a single draw and one Arouca win.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Arouca	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
6	Casa Pia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts. Arouca have had 51.2% possession, 391.1 passes and 4.5 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.5 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 5.7 corners.

Dylan Nandin, Henrique Araujo and Alfonso Trezza are joint-top scorers with 2 goals on the board. Morlaye Sylla, Dylan Nandin and Henrique Araujo are top assists makers with 1, while goalkeeper Nico Mantl has kept 2 clean sheets.

Casa Pia have won 2, lost 6 and drawn 2, averaging 8.6 attempts, 2.7 shots on goal and 0.9 goals. The Geese average 48.5% possession, 366.8 passes, 4.0 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against them, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 4.1 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts.

Cassiano is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Caue Vinicius, Duplexe Tchamba, Gaizka Larrazabal and Andrian Kraev have 1. Leonardo Lelo is top assists provider with 2, while Patrick Sequeira has kept 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Arouca confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Joao Valido (GK), Alex Pinto, Boris Popovic, Jose Fontan, Weverson, Pedro Santos, Taichi Fukui, Brian Mansilla, Alfonso Trezza, Morlaye Sylla, Dylan Nandin.

Casa Pia confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), Andre Geraldes, Jose Fonte, Leonardo Lelo, Gaizka Larrazabal, Andrian Kraev, Iyad Mohamed, Fahem Benaissa-Yahia, Pablo, Cassiano, Caue Vinicius.

Arouca vs Casa Pia Prediction & Betting Tips

If you agree with our view of a low-scoring Primeira Liga clash, then you can get odds of -143 on the Under 2.5 Goals market. We think that this bet has a strong chance of landing.

The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while the latest stats are also taken into consideration.

Key Arouca vs Casa Pia league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Arouca games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 18 Arouca games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Arouca games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Casa Pia games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Casa Pia games on the road.

Under 2.5 Probability

The bookies make it a 58.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

Bigger odds can be secured by going for an alternative wager where Under 2.5 Goals is combined with BTTS No. This means you need at least one team to draw a blank for the bet to land.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -143 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Arouca 1 - 0 Casa Pia

Arouca are available to back at +550 to secure a 1-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Güven Yalçin To Score +205

Güven Yalçin (Arouca) can be backed to be among the goals at +205. It’s worth a gamble on him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Güven Yalçin Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+215

First

+460

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Corners Prediction

Arouca Under 5.5 Corners -120

The 5.5 corners line has not been covered by Arouca in their past six games, with the corner count against Casa Pia going under 5.5 in their last three matches. There is value when it comes to going under the Arouca Team Corners line and this is available at -120.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Arouca

Total

10.20 4.50 5.70

Home

9.70 5.10 4.60

Away

10.00 4.90 5.10

Casa Pia

Total

8.90 4.00 4.90

Home

8.70 4.20 4.50

Away

9.50 3.60 5.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-120

Arouca Corners

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-120

Casa Pia Corners

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-110

Most Corners

1

-179

X

+575

2

+170

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Arouca vs Casa Pia Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Giving Arouca Plenty of Respect

Arouca are the +105 favourites and that means a 49% chance of winning this Primeira Liga match according to the betting odds at the bookies. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Casa Pia are trading at +270.

If you think there will be two goals or less during the ninety minutes, then Under 2.5 Goals is a potential option.

If you’re betting on Primeira Liga games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+105

X

+230

2

+270

Half-Time Result

1

+175

X

+110

2

+333.3

Double Chance

1X

-350

12

-300

X2

-138

Draw No Bet

1

-225

2

+162.5

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

+107

2 Hcp +0.5

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-133

Over 2.5

+105

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-110

No

-110

Güven Yalçin is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Güven Yalçin is the First Goalscorer favourite at +460 and there’s an opportunity to back him to find the net anytime at +215.

Güven Yalçin (Arouca)

First

+215

Anytime

+460

Henrique Araújo (Arouca)

First

+290

Anytime

+575

Alfonso Trezza (Arouca)

First

+295

Anytime

+575

Miguel Puche (Arouca)

First

+295

Anytime

+600

David "Jason" Remeseiro (Arouca)

First

+310

Anytime

+600

Cassiano Dias Moreira (Casa Pia)

First

+340

Anytime

+750

Claudio Mendes (Casa Pia)

First

+360

Anytime

+700

'Samu' de Ceita (Casa Pia)

First

+390

Anytime

+800

Henrique Pereira (Casa Pia)

First

+390

Anytime

+800

Morlaye Sylla (Arouca)

First

+540

Anytime

+1150

Pedro Carvalho Santos (Arouca)

First

+575

Anytime

+1150

Pablo Gozálbez (Arouca)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Pablo Roberto (Casa Pia)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Andrian Kraev (Casa Pia)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Miguel Sousa (Casa Pia)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Nino Galovic (Arouca)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Mamadou Loum (Arouca)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Alex Pinto (Arouca)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Tiago Dias (Casa Pia)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Weverson Moreira da Costa (Arouca)

First

+900

Anytime

+1800

Jose Fontan (Arouca)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Matías Rocha (Arouca)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Chico Lamba (Arouca)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Boris Popovic (Arouca)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Duplexe Tchamba (Casa Pia)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Leonardo Lelo (Casa Pia)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Arouca vs Casa Pia Lineups & Team News

You’ve found the right place for Arouca vs Casa Pia team news, with all the latest information available including lineups and injuries so you’re fully informed.

If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the Primeira Liga squads.

Arouca Team Page Casa Pia Team Page