Arouca vs Casa Pia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Sep 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Arouca vs Casa Pia

Arouca host Casa Pia in this Portuguese Primeira Liga game at Municipal de Arouca, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Sunday 14 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Arouca Good Value against Casa Pia

Arouca look a great bet to beat Casa Pia on the Full-Time Result market. You can get odds of -108 with BetMGM that the home team claim a victory and this looks like a value wager based on the latest stats and team news.

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Goalless Draw When Teams Last Met

Arouca played out a 1-1 draw when last in action. This was on the road at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques against Vitória de Guimarães. Vasco Seabra's side had 46% possession and recorded three shots on target, while Nais Djouahra scored the goal.

Casa Pia have been defeated in back-to-back Primeira Liga outings. In a recent home game at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, they were turned over 2-0 by Nacional. The Geese recorded 62% possession and had three shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Casa Pia haven’t lost to Arouca in their past four games, with the last clash ending 0-0 at Municipal de Arouca. The past 6 H2H games have featured three triumphs for Casa Pia, one for Arouca along with two draws.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Arouca	4	1	2	1	7	11	-4	7:11	5
15	Casa Pia	4	1	0	3	2	8	-6	2:8	3

View Full Table

3 wins, 2 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 11.9 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal. Arouca have had 52.8% possession, 416.4 passes and 3.3 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.7 goals from 13.9 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.8 corners.

Alfonso Trezza leads the way with 4 goals, Nais Djouahra has 3, with Miguel Puche and Dylan Nandin scoring 2. Alfonso Trezza is the top assists maker on 3, with goalkeepers Joao Valido and Nico Mantl managing 2 clean sheets between them.

Casa Pia have won 2, lost 6 and drawn 2, with an average of 2.6 shots on goal, 7.0 attempts and 0.7 goals. Joao Pereira's team average 45.7% possession, 337.2 passes, 2.7 corners taken and 5.5 corners against them, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 15.0 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal.

Duplexe Tchamba has scored 1 goals which makes him top scorer alongside five other players. Jeremy Livolant has been chief assist maker on 3, with Patrick Sequeira recording 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Arouca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): João Valido (GK), Tiago Esgaio, Jose Fontán, Matias Rocha, Amadou Dante, Taichi Fukui, David Simão, Alfonso Trezza, Hyun-ju Lee, Näis Djouahra, Dylan Nandín.

Casa Pia predicted lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), João Goulart, Jose Fonte, Duplexe Tchamba, Gaizka Larrazabal, Iyad Mohamed, Seba Pérez, Fahem Benaissa-Yahia, Jeremy Livolant, Max Svensson, Korede Osundina.

Arouca vs Casa Pia Prediction & Betting Tips

This Arouca vs Casa Pia betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including a match prediction, correct score bet, corner kick insight and a strategic bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ve identified a value bet in the form of Arouca who are trading at odds of -108. There’s plenty of juice in the price when it comes to this selection and they can win this Primeira Liga clash.

The latest Primeira Liga injury and suspension news can have a big bearing and we use this data as well as the latest form guide. We’re also keen to study the football stats so that we can get the fullest picture of how the action might happen.

Key Arouca vs Casa Pia league stats:

• Arouca have won 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• Casa Pia have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
• Casa Pia have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
• Casa Pia have lost their last 2 games.

Arouca to Win Probability

The best football betting sites make it a 51.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

Those looking for tastier odds about a win for Arouca can take a look at the Match Result & Total market. You can combine your match winner pick with an Under / Over goals prediction for more juice.

Before placing your bets, take advantage of our guide packed with up-to-date free bets and the latest bonus offers.

Our Match Prediction

Arouca To Win @ -108 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Arouca 1 - 0 Casa Pia

A 1-0 win in favor of Arouca can be backed at odds of +450. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Corners Prediction

Arouca Under 5.5 Corners -120

In ten consecutive games, Arouca have fallen short of 5.5 corners. It looks a logical viewpoint that the Team Corners line won’t be reached and you can land a price of -120 for this Arouca wager.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Arouca

Total

8.10 3.30 4.80

Home

8.60 3.90 4.70

Away

9.40 3.90 5.50

Casa Pia

Total

8.20 2.70 5.50

Home

8.40 3.40 5.00

Away

9.00 3.00 6.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-106

Under 9.5

-135

Arouca Corners

Over 5.5

-110

Under 5.5

-125

Casa Pia Corners

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-200

X

+650

2

+200

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Arouca vs Casa Pia Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Arouca Could Have Edge According to Bookies

With a roughly 52% chance of triumphing, the bookmakers aren’t giving too much away with their -108 betting odds for Arouca winning this Primeira Liga clash. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +270 about Casa Pia.

You can choose between Arouca -0.5 at -108 or Casa Pia +0.5 at -127 if you’re looking to bet on the Asian Handicap. The former is the same as the 1x2 market, while the latter means you also get a payout if it’s a draw.

When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. If you’re expecting at least one team to keep a clean sheet, you might be interested in the -139 about Both Teams to Score No.

Primeira Liga matches are always really well covered at the best betting sites. Customers are able to find a suitable betting angle thanks to the hundreds of football markets which are made available.

Full-Time Result

1

-108

X

+240

2

+270

Half-Time Result

1

+165

X

+112

2

+320

Double Chance

1X

-435

12

-370

X2

-137

Draw No Bet

1

-233

2

+160

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-108

2 Hcp +0.5

-127

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-156

Over 2.5

+117

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-103

No

-139

Barbero is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Barbero is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +525. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +235.

Barbero (Arouca)

First

+235

Anytime

+525

Alfonso Trezza (Arouca)

First

+290

Anytime

+600

Miguel Puche (Arouca)

First

+300

Anytime

+600

Claudio Mendes (Casa Pia)

First

+400

Anytime

+800

Yassin Oukili (Casa Pia)

First

+525

Anytime

+1100

Tiago Morais (Casa Pia)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Pedro Carvalho Santos (Arouca)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Espen van Ee (Arouca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Pablo Gozálbez (Arouca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Miguel Sousa (Casa Pia)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Alex Pinto (Arouca)

First

+900

Anytime

+1800

Jose Fontan (Arouca)

First

+900

Anytime

+1800

Matías Rocha (Arouca)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Boris Popovic (Arouca)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Arouca Aiming to Extend Unbeaten Home Streak

Arouca haven’t been beaten in five straight games at Municipal de Arouca. Vasco Seabra's men have finished with five draws, three wins and two defeats in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

Casa Pia have six losses, three draws and one victory in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.60.

Arouca drew 0-0 with Casa Pia in their last Municipal de Arouca meeting. The past 3 H2H meetings at Municipal de Arouca have seen Arouca triumphing once, one draw and a win for Casa Pia.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Arouca Home Stats		3-5-2	2.90	1.60	1.30	5	5	7	3
Casa Pia Away Stats		1-3-6	2.40	0.80	1.60	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Arouca vs Casa Pia Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Arouca vs Casa Pia, check the team news first. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

Arouca Team Page Casa Pia Team Page