Arouca vs Famalicão Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Oct 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Arouca vs Famalicão

Arouca host Famalicão in this Portuguese Primeira Liga meeting at Municipal de Arouca, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Sunday 5 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Arouca Should Put Up a Fight

The way forward could be to back Arouca with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -111 against Famalicão. This means our stake is split between 0 and +0.5, which allows us to land a return with a draw.

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Fama Claimed 2-1 Victory in Last H2H

Arouca lost when last in action. In a home game at Municipal de Arouca, they were turned over 4-0 by Porto. Vasco Seabra's side managed three shots on target and recorded 46% possession.

Famalicão played Rio Ave at home in their previous game. It was a 0-0 draw at Municipal 22 de Junho. The Vila Nova de Famalicão outfit had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 58% possession and six shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Famalicão triumphed in the last encounter between the pair. Landing a 2-1 away victory when playing Arouca at Municipal de Arouca. Arouca have four wins from the past 8 H2H games, with two draws and two Famalicão victories also happening.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Famalicão	7	3	3	1	7	3	4	7:3	12
11	Arouca	7	2	2	3	9	18	-9	9:18	8

View Full Table

3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts. Arouca have had 51.8% possession, 400.0 passes and 3.6 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 2.0 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 13.6 attempts, while being awarded 4.7 corners.

Top goalscorer is Alfonso Trezza on 4 goals, while Nais Djouahra has bagged 3 and Miguel Puche 2. Leading assistor is Alfonso Trezza with 3, while goalie Joao Valido has recorded one clean sheet.

Fama have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.1 goals from 11.3 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal. Hugo Oliveira's team average 50.3% possession, 364.6 passes, 6.5 corners awarded and 4.6 corners against them, while conceding 0.8 goals from 9.8 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal.

Simon Elisor is the leading scorer with 4 goals, followed by Gustavo Sa on 3, with Leonardo Realpe and two others bagging 1. Sorriso has had 2 assists, with Lazar Carevic notching 5 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Arouca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Joao Valido (GK), Tiago Esgaio, Boris Popovic, Matias Rocha, Arnau Sola, David Simao, Taichi Fukui, Alfonso Trezza, Pablo Gozalbez, Nais Djouahra, Ivan Barbero.

Famalicão predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Lazar Carevic (GK), Rodrigo Pinheiro, Leonardo Realpe, Justin De Haas, Rafa Soares, Tommie van de Looi, Mathias De Amorim, Gil Dias, Gustavo Sa, Sorriso, Simon Elisor.

Arouca vs Famalicão Prediction & Betting Tips

Explore our best Arouca vs Famalicão picks, including our main match prediction, top corners bet, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

We’ll back Arouca +0.25 for this Primeira Liga game, with odds of -111 available. We have a feeling that they can perform well and the Asian Handicap line looks more than fair for this outcome.

When it comes to making our expert football predictions, it’s important to study team news and observe the latest form. There are lots of Primeira Liga stats that can also help to shape our picks.

Key Arouca vs Famalicão league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Arouca in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Arouca in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Famalicão in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Famalicão in 12 of their last 18 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Famalicão in 3 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Arouca in 6 of their last 8 games against Famalicão.

Arouca +0.25 Probability

If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 52.6% likelihood of our pick winning. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

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Our Match Prediction

Arouca Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -111 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Arouca 2 - 1 Famalicão

Arouca can be backed to win 2-1 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +750 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Alfonso Trezza to Score +375

Alfonso Trezza (Arouca) has racked up four goals in his past five Primeira Liga home matches. We’re happy to take the +375 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Alfonso Trezza Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+375

First

+800

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Corners Prediction

Arouca Over 4.5 Corners -125

The 4.5 corners line has been covered by Arouca in their past %first_number_straight_matches_text% matches, while Famalicão have conceded more than 4.5 corners in 4 of the previous 5 games. The Arouca Team Corners line looks too low and we’re happy to go over this number at odds of -125.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Arouca

Total

8.30 3.60 4.70

Home

9.00 4.10 4.90

Away

8.80 3.90 4.90

Famalicão

Total

11.10 6.50 4.60

Home

10.10 5.40 4.70

Away

10.90 6.50 4.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+102

Under 10.5

-147

Arouca Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-110

Famalicão Corners

Over 4.5

-163

Under 4.5

+120

Most Corners

1

+140

X

+600

2

-133

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Arouca vs Famalicão Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Fama Betting Favourites to Win

The bookies have Famalicão as +108 favourites for this Primeira Liga clash, with the Full-Time Result betting odds implying that they are 48% likely to win. Arouca are the underdogs at +225 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.

For those wanting to reduce their risk, Famalicão are -200 on the Draw No Bet market. This means a refund if the game ends level, with Arouca being priced up at +130 with the same money back guarantee.

If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. When it comes to BTTS betting, the market suggests that Both Teams to Score Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.

If you head to the best football betting sites, you can take your pick when it comes to Primeira Liga matches. The hundreds of markets always ensure lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+225

X

+230

2

+108

Half-Time Result

1

+290

X

+112

2

+170

Double Chance

1X

-159

12

-357

X2

-357

Draw No Bet

1

+130

2

-200

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-111

2 Hcp -0.25

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-152

Over 2.5

+112

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-115

No

-123

Simon Elisor Favourite to Find the Net First

There is +188 available that Simon Elisor finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +400.

Simon Elisor (Famalicão)

First

+188

Anytime

+400

Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura "Sorriso" (Famalicão)

First

+240

Anytime

+550

Oscar Aranda (Famalicão)

First

+300

Anytime

+650

Gil Dias (Famalicão)

First

+300

Anytime

+650

Barbero (Arouca)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Rochinha (Famalicão)

First

+320

Anytime

+650

Alfonso Trezza (Arouca)

First

+375

Anytime

+800

Miguel Puche (Arouca)

First

+390

Anytime

+800

Otar Mamageishvili (Famalicão)

First

+510

Anytime

+1000

Gustavo Sá (Famalicão)

First

+510

Anytime

+1000

Justin de Haas (Famalicão)

First

+550

Anytime

+1150

Pedro Santos (Famalicão)

First

+600

Anytime

+1150

Tom van de Looi (Famalicão)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Gustavo García dos Santos (Famalicão)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Pablo Gozálbez (Arouca)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Pedro Carvalho Santos (Arouca)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Léo Realpe (Famalicão)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Espen van Ee (Arouca)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Rodrigo Pinheiro Ferreira (Famalicão)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Matías Rocha (Arouca)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Alex Pinto (Arouca)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Arouca Searching For Improved Results at Home

Arouca have failed to win in their last three matches at Municipal de Arouca. Vasco Seabra's side have recorded four defeats, three victories and three draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.60.

Famalicão have swerved defeat on their travels in the previous three matches. The Vila Nova de Famalicão outfit have finished with five defeats, four wins and one draw in the past 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

The last Municipal de Arouca meeting saw Famalicão beat Arouca 2-1. Arouca have won three of the past 4 H2H games at Municipal de Arouca, with Famalicão picking up one win.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Arouca Home Stats		3-3-4	2.90	1.30	1.60	5	5	5	5
Famalicão Away Stats		4-1-5	2.50	1.20	1.30	6	4	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Arouca vs Famalicão Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Arouca vs Famalicão before you bet. Get the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Arouca Team Page Famalicão Team Page