Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Feb 2026

EFL Cup Betting Preview: Arsenal vs Chelsea

Arsenal host Chelsea at Emirates Stadium in the second leg of this EFL Cup semi-final tie, with kick-off set for 16:00 on Tuesday 3 February. The Gunners won the first leg 3-2.

Our opinion is that Arsenal will prove too strong in all departments and we’ll therefore take the -154 that the Gunners beat Chelsea. This Full-Time Result bet looks like a value proposition.

Premier League leaders Arsenal triumphed in their last game, cruising to a 4–0 away victory over Leeds United at Elland Road. Mikel Arteta's side enjoyed 51% possession and had seven shots on target, with Martin Zubimendi, Viktor Gyoekeres, Gabriel Jesus and a Karl Darlow own goal on the scoresheet.

Chelsea claimed a home win in their previous game. A 3-2 Premier League victory occurred against West Ham United at Stamford Bridge. The Blues racked up six shots on goal and enjoyed 70% possession, with Joao Pedro, Marc Cucurella and Enzo Fernandez finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arsenal are unbeaten in their last nine head-to-head meetings with Chelsea. In the first leg of this semi-final tie, the Gunners claimed a 3–2 away victory at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea dominated possession with 58%, but Arsenal edged the shots on target 6–5. Alejandro Garnacho netted both goals for the Blues, while Ben White, Viktor Gyokeres and Martin Zubimendi were on target for Arsenal.

The past 10 H2H matches have included six Arsenal victories, three draws and one Chelsea win.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Arsenal	31	21	7	3	61	22	39	61:22	70
6	Chelsea	31	13	9	9	53	38	15	53:38	48

View Full Table

7 wins, 1 loss and 2 draws, averaging 2.8 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 16.4 attempts. Arsenal have had 55.1% possession and 6.8 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.7 goals from 2.0 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts, while being awarded 3.2 corners.

Viktor Gyoekeres and Martin Zubimendi lead the way with 3 goals, while Gabriel Jesus has scored 2. Martin Oedegaard has the most assists with 3, while goalie David Raya has recorded 4 clean sheets.

Chelsea have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 2.0 goals from 12.7 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 55.5% possession, 6.6 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 13.6 attempts and 5.5 shots on goal.

Joao Pedro has scored 5 goals, followed by Enzo Fernandez and Alejandro Garnacho on 4. Joao Pedro has been the top assist maker on 2, with Robert Sanchez notching one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Arsenal confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Kepa Arrizabalaga (GK), Jurrien Timber, William Saliba, Gabriel, Piero Hincapie, Eberechi Eze, Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Noni Madueke, Viktor Gyoekeres, Gabriel Martinelli.

Chelsea confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Robert Sanchez (GK), Wesley Fofana, Trevoh Chalobah, Jorrel Hato, Malo Gusto, Moises Caicedo, Andrey Santos, Enzo Fernandez, Marc Cucurella, Liam Delap, Joao Pedro.

Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for Arsenal vs Chelsea, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key corners pick, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

It wouldn’t be surprising to see Arsenal come out on top in this EFL Cup semi-final. We will therefore back them at -154 and get a nice potential return if the hosts manage to land a victory.

The EFL Cup experts at Sportsgambler.com have a strong handle when it comes to injuries and suspensions. The recent form also helps to shape our football predictions, with this being cross-referenced with the latest numbers.

Key Arsenal vs Chelsea EFL Cup & league stats:

• Arsenal have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Arsenal have won 13 of their last 20 games.
• Arsenal have won 6 of their last 10 games against Chelsea.

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 60.6% chance of winning. However, our tipsters research has found that the actual probability is closer to 70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

For bettors anticipating the net bulging at both ends along with Arsenal winning, then why not combine this pick with BTTS Yes and get yourself a bigger price as part of the deal.

Maximize your first bet with the latest betting promotions. Our guide covers all the top welcome bonuses out there.

Our Match Prediction

Arsenal To Win @ -154 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 1, 22:08). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Arsenal 2 - 0 Chelsea

We’re predicting Arsenal to land a 2-0 victory and this is available at +650. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Cole Palmer Over 1.5 Shots -120

Cole Palmer (Chelsea) has totalled over 1.5 shots in three straight games. He should be capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of -120 are now available.

Latest Cole Palmer Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+230

First

+650

Shots

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

---

Bukayo Saka To Score +160

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal) can be wagered at +160 to find the net. We’ll have a play on this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Bukayo Saka Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+160

First

+440

Shots

Over 1.5

-333

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -102

The 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered in four straight Arsenal games, with the previous five Chelsea matches averaging 12.20 corners. There’s an opportunity to go over the Total Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -102 on offer.

EFL Cup & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Arsenal

Total

8.90 5.80 3.10

Home

7.90 5.50 2.40

Away

8.30 4.90 3.40

Chelsea

Total

11.00 6.50 4.50

Home

10.90 6.90 4.00

Away

8.80 4.40 4.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-106

Under 10.5

-128

Arsenal Corners

Over 5.5

-137

Under 5.5

-100

Chelsea Corners

Over 3.5

-156

Under 3.5

+115

Most Corners

1

-200

X

+700

2

+195

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Arsenal vs Chelsea Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest Arsenal odds are -141 which leads to them being favourites in this EFL Cup semi-final. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 58% prospect of securing a victory. Chelsea are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +370.

A 2+ goal margin of victory for Arsenal against Chelsea means a full payout at -114 when backing them on the Asian Handicap -0.75. A one-goal win means half the stake wins and half is refunded.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -164.

For those wagering on EFL Cup games, it’s all about heading to the top football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.

Full-Time Result

1

-141

X

+295

2

+370

Half-Time Result

1

+117

X

+140

2

+350

Double Chance

1X

-526

12

-417

X2

+110

Draw No Bet

1

-357

2

+225

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-114

2 Hcp +0.75

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+120

Over 2.5

-156

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-164

No

+120

Viktor Gyökeres is available at +140 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favourite is now priced at odds of +370 to find the net first.

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

First

+140

Anytime

+370

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

First

+155

Anytime

+410

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

First

+160

Anytime

+440

Kai Havertz (Arsenal)

First

+220

Anytime

+550

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

First

+230

Anytime

+600

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

First

+230

Anytime

+600

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Mikel Merino (Arsenal)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

João Pedro (Chelsea)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

First

+310

Anytime

+900

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

First

+360

Anytime

+950

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

First

+475

Anytime

+1300

Tyrique George (Chelsea)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

First

+540

Anytime

+1500

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

First

+540

Anytime

+1500

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Jurriën Timber (Arsenal)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Reece James (Chelsea)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

William Saliba (Arsenal)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Ben White (Arsenal)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Myles Lewis-Skelly (Arsenal)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Piero Hincapié (Arsenal)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-238

Under 1.5

-

João Pedro (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Mikel Merino (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Kai Havertz (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-333

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Tyrique George (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Jurriën Timber (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-

Reece James (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Latest EFL Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Arsenal Stats

Chelsea Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 3.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 2.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 55.00% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 57.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 59.00% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 55.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches

Arsenal vs Chelsea Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Arsenal vs Chelsea team news. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the EFL Cup along with the latest injury news.

Top Football Pages