Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Feb 2026

EFL Cup Betting Preview: Arsenal vs Chelsea

Arsenal host Chelsea at Emirates Stadium in the second of this EFL Cup semi-final, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 3 February. The Gunners won the first leg 3-2.

Our opinion is that Arsenal will prove too strong in all departments and we’ll therefore take the -154 that the Gunners beat Chelsea. This Full-Time Result bet looks like a value proposition.

Backing the Gunners for the win? Make sure you’ve got the promo code from BetMGM and our comprehensive site review in your corner ahead of making your move.

Premier League leaders Arsenal triumphed in their last game, cruising to a 4–0 away victory over Leeds United at Elland Road. Mikel Arteta's side enjoyed 51% possession and had seven shots on target, with Martin Zubimendi, Viktor Gyoekeres, Gabriel Jesus and a Karl Darlow own goal on the scoresheet.

Chelsea claimed a home win in their previous game. A 3-2 Premier League victory occurred against West Ham United at Stamford Bridge. The Blues racked up six shots on goal and enjoyed 70% possession, with Joao Pedro, Marc Cucurella and Enzo Fernandez finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arsenal are unbeaten in their last nine head-to-head meetings with Chelsea. In the first leg of this semi-final tie, the Gunners claimed a 3–2 away victory at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea dominated possession with 58%, but Arsenal edged the shots on target 6–5. Alejandro Garnacho netted both goals for the Blues, while Ben White, Viktor Gyokeres and Martin Zubimendi were on target for Arsenal.

The past 10 H2H matches have included six Arsenal victories, three draws and one Chelsea win.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Arsenal	24	16	5	3	46	17	29	46:17	53
5	Chelsea	24	11	7	6	42	27	15	42:27	40

View Full Table

7 wins, 1 loss and 2 draws, averaging 2.8 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 16.4 attempts. Arsenal have had 55.1% possession and 6.8 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.7 goals from 2.0 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts, while being awarded 3.2 corners.

Viktor Gyoekeres and Martin Zubimendi lead the way with 3 goals, while Gabriel Jesus has scored 2. Martin Oedegaard has the most assists with 3, while goalie David Raya has recorded 4 clean sheets.

Chelsea have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 2.0 goals from 12.7 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 55.5% possession, 6.6 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 13.6 attempts and 5.5 shots on goal.

Joao Pedro has scored 5 goals, followed by Enzo Fernandez and Alejandro Garnacho on 4. Joao Pedro has been the top assist maker on 2, with Robert Sanchez notching one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for Arsenal vs Chelsea, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key corners pick, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

It wouldn’t be surprising to see Arsenal come out on top in this EFL Cup semi-final. We will therefore back them at -154 and get a nice potential return if the hosts manage to land a victory.

The EFL Cup experts at Sportsgambler.com have a strong handle when it comes to injuries and suspensions. The recent form also helps to shape our football predictions, with this being cross-referenced with the latest numbers.

Key Arsenal vs Chelsea EFL Cup & league stats:

• Arsenal have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Arsenal have won 13 of their last 20 games.
• Arsenal have won 6 of their last 10 games against Chelsea.

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 60.6% chance of winning. However, our tipsters research has found that the actual probability is closer to 70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

For bettors anticipating the net bulging at both ends along with Arsenal winning, then why not combine this pick with BTTS Yes and get yourself a bigger price as part of the deal.

Maximize your first bet with the latest betting promotions. Our guide covers all the top welcome bonuses out there.

Our Match Prediction

Arsenal To Win @ -154 Watch Live Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (21:08, 01 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Arsenal 2 - 0 Chelsea

We’re predicting Arsenal to land a 2-0 victory and this is available at +600. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Gabriel Jesus To Score +190

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal) can be wagered at +190 to score. It’s worth a gamble on him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Gabriel Jesus Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+190

First

+500

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -102

The 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered in four straight Arsenal games, with the previous five Chelsea matches averaging 12.20 corners. There’s an opportunity to go over the Total Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -102 on offer.

EFL Cup & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Arsenal

Total

10.00 6.80 3.20

Home

8.10 5.80 2.30

Away

10.00 6.20 3.80

Chelsea

Total

11.90 6.60 5.30

Home

11.40 6.90 4.50

Away

8.90 4.70 4.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-135

Under 9.5

-100

Arsenal Corners

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-112

Chelsea Corners

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+106

Most Corners

1

-192

X

+700

2

+190

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Arsenal vs Chelsea Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest Arsenal odds are -154 which leads to them being favourites in this EFL Cup semi-final. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 61% prospect of securing a victory. Chelsea are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +380.

A 2+ goal margin of victory for Arsenal against Chelsea means a full payout at -122 when backing them on the Asian Handicap -0.75. A one-goal win means half the stake wins and half is refunded.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -154.

For those wagering on EFL Cup games, it’s all about heading to the top football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.

Full-Time Result

1

-154

X

+320

2

+380

Half-Time Result

1

+112

X

+143

2

+370

Double Chance

1X

-556

12

-455

X2

+118

Draw No Bet

1

-385

2

+240

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-122

2 Hcp +0.75

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+116

Over 2.5

-152

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-154

No

+112

Viktor Gyökeres is available at +125 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favourite is now priced at odds of +360 to find the net first.

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

First

+125

Anytime

+360

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

First

+160

Anytime

+430

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

First

+190

Anytime

+500

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

First

+230

Anytime

+600

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Mikel Merino (Arsenal)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

First

+300

Anytime

+850

João Pedro (Chelsea)

First

+320

Anytime

+900

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

First

+340

Anytime

+950

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

First

+350

Anytime

+1000

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

First

+360

Anytime

+950

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Tyrique George (Chelsea)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

First

+540

Anytime

+1500

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Ben White (Arsenal)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

William Saliba (Arsenal)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Latest EFL Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Arsenal Stats

Chelsea Stats

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 4.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 4.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 6.80 corners awarded and 3.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 2.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 11.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 55.10% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 57.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 55.50% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 55.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches

Enjoy EFL Cup live streaming on your mobile, laptop or tablet. It’s great to watch the latest games through your online sportsbook account, with customers able to access high definition streams.

It’s great to enjoy thousands of sporting events on an annual basis. Watch the action and get audio commentary too.

Arsenal vs Chelsea Live Streaming Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Arsenal vs Chelsea Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Arsenal vs Chelsea team news. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the EFL Cup along with the latest injury news.

Top Football Pages