Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Dec 2025
Premier League Betting Preview: Aston Villa vs Arsenal
Third-placed Aston Villa welcome Premier League leaders Arsenal to Villa Park, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Saturday 6 December.
By backing Aston Villa +0.5 at -110, we are essentially betting on the home team to avoid defeat. We think that this can be achieved against Arsenal, with the stats backing up our Asian Handicap prediction.
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Aston Villa have enjoyed five Premier League home victories on the spin. Their last win was a 4-3 road success at American Express Stadium against Brighton. The Birmingham outfit recorded 44% possession and had ten shots on target, with Ollie Watkins scoring two, while Amadou Onana and Donyell Malen also getting a goal.
Arsenal won their previous game which was at home. It was a 2-0 victory against Brentford at Emirates Stadium. The Gunners boasted 63% possession and had seven shots on goal, while Mikel Merino and Bukayo Saka were on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last encounter between the teams saw Villa draw 2-2 away to Arsenal at Emirates Stadium. In the previous 10 H2H matches, we have seen five Arsenal victories, four Villa wins and one draw.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 46 | 17 | 29 | 46:17 | 53 |
| 3 | Aston Villa |
24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 35:26 | 46 |
8 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts. Villa have had 51.7% possession, 419.5 passes and 5.0 corners per game. On average, Unai Emery's team have conceded 1.0 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 5.1 corners.
Top goalscorer Donyell Malen has found the net 4 times, with Ollie Watkins, Morgan Rogers and Emiliano Buendia scoring 3 each. Morgan Rogers and Lucas Digne have been top assistors on 3, with goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez keeping 3 clean sheets.
Arsenal have 7 victories and 3 draws, averaging 5.7 shots on goal, 14.4 attempts and 1.8 goals. The North London side average 62.2% possession, 6.4 corners taken and 3.5 corners against them, while 0.6 goals have been conceded from 6.1 attempts and 1.6 shots on goal.
Eberechi Eze has scored 4, followed by Mikel Merino, Bukayo Saka and Leandro Trossard with 3 goals apiece. Mikel Merino has been the top assist maker on 3, with David Raya notching 5 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Aston Villa confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez (GK), Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Ian Maatsen, Boubacar Kamara, Amadou Onana, John McGinn, Youri Tielemans, Morgan Rogers, Ollie Watkins.
Arsenal confirmed lineup (4-3-3): David Raya (GK), Ben White, Jurrien Timber, Piero Hincapie, Riccardo Calafiori, Martin Oedegaard, Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Bukayo Saka, Mikel Merino, Eberechi Eze.
Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips
Discover our expert Aston Villa vs Arsenal betting tips, featuring a match prediction, correct score suggestion, corners market outlook, top player prop picks and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.
Match Prediction
We’re going to side with Aston Villa on the Asian Handicap with +0.5 goal start. The hosts can either win or avoid defeat in this Premier League game, with this bet looking like a value proposition at -110.
Our team of experts monitor the current Premier League injuries and suspensions. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.
Key Aston Villa vs Arsenal league stats:
If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
There’s the option to wager on Villa to triumph by a specific number of goals through the Winning Margin market. This offers an attractive Asian Handicap alternative.
Before you make your picks, explore our detailed betting guide filled with free bets, the latest promo codes and welcome bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
Let’s go for the game to end in a 1-1 scoreline, a wager which is available at +500. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.
Player Prop Picks
We’ve decided to back him on the Overs for Shots on Target, with this line looking attractive at odds of -147.
Morgan Rogers (Villa) has registered two goals in his past five Premier League matches. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at +475 which will hopefully see him find the net.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered in six straight Aston Villa home games, with the previous five Arsenal away matches averaging 10.40 corners. We’re going to take the Overs for Total Corners, with this line making appeal and you can get odds of -116.
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’re happy to go with a same-game multi that has Aston Villa to cover the +0.5 Asian Handicap, both teams to find the net and Ollie Watkins (Villa) to record a minimum of one shot on target.
The bet builder feature allows football punters to place a multiple wager on the same game. If a bettor has all predictions correct, it’s possible to land a nice pay out from a relatively small amount of money.
Aston Villa vs Arsenal Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Arsenal are forecasted to have a 54% chance of triumphing in this Premier League encounter according to the bookmakers. It leads to their latest betting odds being -118. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +340 for Aston Villa.
You can back Arsenal at +140 on the Half-Time Result market, meaning you need them to be ahead at the break. Villa are +350 and the draw is chalked up at +123.
Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. For those wanting to bet on Both Teams to Score, you won’t find much between Yes and No.
The best football betting sites provide bettors with an abundance of options. For every Premier League game, you’re able to select from hundreds of markets and make the best choice.
Viktor Gyökeres is the market leader at +350 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.
Aston Villa have now managed eight wins on the bounce at Villa Park. The Birmingham outfit have racked up eight victories, one draw and one defeat in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 0.60.
Arsenal haven’t lost any of their past five away games. The Gunners have racked up six victories, three draws and one defeat in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 0.80.
When the sides last met at Villa Park, Arsenal beat Villa 2-0. The past 6 H2H games at Villa Park have seen both teams register three wins.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aston Villa Home Stats |
8-1-1 | 2.20 | 1.60 | 0.60 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 7 | |
Arsenal Away Stats |
6-3-1 | 2.50 | 1.70 | 0.80 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Premier League: 18/01 2025 Arsenal 2 Aston Villa 2
- Premier League: 24/08 2024 Aston Villa 0 Arsenal 2
- Premier League: 14/04 2024 Arsenal 0 Aston Villa 2
- Premier League: 09/12 2023 Aston Villa 1 Arsenal 0
- Premier League: 18/02 2023 Aston Villa 2 Arsenal 4
- Premier League: 31/08 2022 Arsenal 2 Aston Villa 1
- Premier League: 19/03 2022 Aston Villa 0 Arsenal 1
- Premier League: 22/10 2021 Arsenal 3 Aston Villa 1
- Premier League: 06/02 2021 Aston Villa 1 Arsenal 0
- Premier League: 08/11 2020 Arsenal 0 Aston Villa 3
Aston Villa League Stats
Arsenal League Stats
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 3.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 51.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 62.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Aston Villa this season are Donyell Malen (4), Emiliano Buendia (3), Morgan Rogers (3)
- Top Assistors for Aston Villa this season are Lucas Digne (3), Morgan Rogers (3), Boubacar Kamara (2)
Aston Villa vs Arsenal Lineups & Team News
Don’t bet on Villa vs Arsenal without reviewing the latest team news. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups and injury news right here.
Aston Villa Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Arsenal Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Aston Villa Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Arsenal Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Aston Villa Substitutes
- 3V. Nilsson Lindeloef
- 10Emiliano Buendia
- 12Lucas Digne
- 16Andres Garcia
- 17Donyell Malen
- 19Jadon Sancho
- 26Lamare Bogarde
- 40Marco Bizot
- 53George Hemmings
Arsenal Substitutes
- 11Gabriel Martinelli
- 13Kepa Arrizabalaga
- 14Viktor Gyoekeres
- 16Christian Noergaard
- 19Leandro Trossard
- 20Noni Madueke
- 22Ethan Nwaneri
- 49Myles Lewis-Skelly
- 89Marli Salmon
Previous Aston Villa Lineups
Previous Arsenal Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Aston Villa Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Unai Emery
Arsenal Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 46:17 | 53 |
| 2 | Man City | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 49:23 | 47 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 4 | Man United | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 44:36 | 41 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 42:27 | 40 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 39:33 | 39 |
| 7 | Brentford | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 36:32 | 36 |
| 8 | Sunderland | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 27:26 | 36 |
| 9 | Fulham | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 34:35 | 34 |
| 10 | Everton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 26:27 | 34 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 33:33 | 33 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 40:43 | 33 |
| 13 | Brighton | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 34:32 | 31 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 35:33 | 29 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 25:29 | 29 |
| 16 | Leeds | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 31:42 | 26 |
| 17 | Nott’m Forest | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 24:35 | 26 |
| 18 | West Ham | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 29:48 | 20 |
| 19 | Burnley | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25:47 | 15 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 24 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 15:45 | 8 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 29:8 | 29 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 28:8 | 29 |
| 3 | Sunderland | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 21:9 | 26 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 18:10 | 25 |
| 5 | Brentford | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23:12 | 24 |
| 6 | Man United | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23:15 | 24 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 24 |
| 8 | Fulham | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:17 | 23 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:13 | 21 |
| 12 | Brighton | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 20:13 | 21 |
| 13 | Leeds | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Everton | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | 16 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 18 | Burnley | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 19 | West Ham | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 16:26 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10:25 | 5 |
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