Aston Villa vs Brighton Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Feb 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Aston Villa vs Brighton

Third-placed Aston Villa go head-to-head with Brighton at Villa Park, with kick-off set for 14:30 on Wednesday 11 February.

We’re confident in the chances of Aston Villa when they clash with Brighton, with our selection appealing on the Full-Time Result market. Take the odds of -108 that the favourites claim a victory.

Confident in Villa to win? Unlock the latest BetMGM promo code and read our expert review before placing your bet.

Aston Villa faced Bournemouth away when last in action. It was a 1-1 draw at Vitality Stadium. The Birmingham outfit had 47% possession and recorded four shots on target, while Morgan Rogers registered the goal.

Brighton lost when last in action. In a home game at American Express Stadium, they were beaten 1-0 by Crystal Palace. The Seagulls managed two shots on goal and enjoyed 63% possession.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Villa have claimed back-to-back victories over Brighton, achieving winning away scorelines of 4-3 and 3-0 at American Express Stadium. Villa have seven wins from the previous 10 H2H meetings, with two draws and one Brighton triumph also happening.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Aston Villa	25	14	5	6	36	27	9	36:27	47
14	Brighton	25	7	10	8	34	33	1	34:33	31

View Full Table

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 13.2 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal. Villa have had 54.7% possession, 447.2 passes and 5.4 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.2 goals from 12.7 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal, while earning 4.8 corners.

Morgan Rogers and Ollie Watkins are the leading goalscorers with 5, while John McGinn has 2. Youri Tielemans is the leading assists maker on 3, with goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez keeping one clean sheet.

Brighton have 1 victory, 4 defeats and 5 draws, with an average of 3.6 shots on goal, 12.6 attempts and 0.9 goals. The Sussex side average 54.6% possession, 490.6 passes, 4.3 corners taken and 4.6 corners against them, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 13.1 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.

Yasin Ayari has scored 2 goals, followed by Pascal Gross, Charalampos Kostoulas, Kaoru Mitoma and Georginio Rutter on 1. Yasin Ayari is top assists provider with 2, while Bart Verbruggen has kept 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Aston Villa predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez (GK), Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Tyrone Mings, Lucas Digne, Amadou Onana, Douglas Luiz, Jadon Sancho, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendia, Ollie Watkins.

Brighton predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Ferdi Kadioglu, Lewis Dunk, Olivier Boscagli, Maxim De Cuyper, Pascal Gross, Carlos Baleba, Harry Howell, Georginio Rutter, Kaoru Mitoma, Charalampos Kostoulas.

Aston Villa vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Aston Villa vs Brighton with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners angle, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Match Prediction

Aston Villa should be able to deliver a return when they line up in this Premier League game, with odds of -108 looking really appealing. We are confident that this is the best way to play this wager.

We only create the football betting tips after consulting the latest Premier League team news along with the form of both sides. There are also stats that can be mined to good effect to come up with predictions.

Key Aston Villa vs Brighton league stats:

• Villa have won 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• Villa have won 14 of their last 20 games.
• Brighton have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Villa have won the last 2 games between these teams.

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 51.8% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you think the odds for Villa to triumph are a touch too skinny, then why not boost your price by combining this pick with both teams to find the net on the Result & BTTS market.

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Our Match Prediction

Aston Villa To Win @ -108 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (20:38, 09 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Aston Villa 2 - 1 Brighton

Aston Villa are available at +650 to secure a 2-1 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Morgan Rogers Over 2.5 Shots +107

Morgan Rogers (Villa) has had over 2.5 shots in back-to-back Premier League games on home soil. There is odds of +107 on offer for this Player Shots wager and we think he’ll cover the line.

Latest Morgan Rogers Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+210

First

+550

Shots

Over 2.5

+107

Under 2.5

-

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Ollie Watkins to Score +170

Ollie Watkins (Villa) has racked up five goals in his past nine Premier League games. We’re content to land the +170 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.

Latest Ollie Watkins Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+420

Shots

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -139

There has been four consecutive Aston Villa games where 9.5 Total Corners has been covered, while it has been an average of 10.20 corners in the last five Brighton matches. We endorse betting on the -139 that the teams successfully cover the line, with this Total Corners wager landing a handsome potential return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Aston Villa

Total

10.20 5.40 4.80

Home

10.30 5.60 4.70

Away

9.50 4.60 4.90

Brighton

Total

8.90 4.30 4.60

Home

10.70 6.00 4.70

Away

9.50 4.80 4.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-141

Under 9.5

-100

Aston Villa Corners

Over 5.5

-112

Under 5.5

-125

Brighton Corners

Over 3.5

-164

Under 3.5

+115

Most Corners

1

-172

X

+700

2

+170

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Aston Villa vs Brighton Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The favourites have a 52% likelihood of success according to the bookies, with Aston Villa chalked up at -108 to land a win in this Premier League clash. The market implies that Brighton are the most unlikely to win at +285.

Villa are -109 on the Asian Handicap -0.5 which is the same as a victory on the Full-Time Result. The alternative is to oppose the favourites and get the draw onside by going for Brighton +0.5 at -114 instead.

The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -159 for the BTTS Yes option.

It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for Premier League games. You simply need to visit the best sports betting sites and select from the various football options that are presented.

Full-Time Result

1

-108

X

+265

2

+285

Half-Time Result

1

+143

X

+133

2

+300

Double Chance

1X

-385

12

-357

X2

-119

Draw No Bet

1

-244

2

+165

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-109

2 Hcp +0.5

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+107

Over 2.5

-133

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-159

No

+118

Those interested in favourite Tammy Abraham to find the net first are able to get +420. If the Anytime Goalscorer angle makes more appeal, then this is +160.

Tammy Abraham (Villa)

First

+160

Anytime

+420

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

First

+170

Anytime

+420

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

First

+210

Anytime

+550

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)

First

+370

Anytime

+950

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Villa)

First

+390

Anytime

+900

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

First

+390

Anytime

+1000

Harvey Elliott (Villa)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Diego Gómez (Brighton)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Harry Howell (Brighton)

First

+420

Anytime

+1050

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

First

+430

Anytime

+1150

Leon Bailey (Villa)

First

+440

Anytime

+1000

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

First

+510

Anytime

+1300

Douglas Luiz (Villa)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Matty Cash (Villa)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Yasin Ayari (Brighton)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Pascal Gross (Brighton)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Maxim De Cuyper (Brighton)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Amadou Onana (Villa)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Jan Paul van Hecke (Brighton)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Ferdi Kadioglu (Brighton)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Tammy Abraham (Villa)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 2.5

+107

Under 2.5

-

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 2.5

+106

Under 2.5

-

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

Harry Howell (Brighton)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Leon Bailey (Villa)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Diego Gómez (Brighton)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

Over 1.5

+114

Under 1.5

-

Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

-

Douglas Luiz (Villa)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Matty Cash (Villa)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Yasin Ayari (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-357

Under 0.5

-

Pascal Gross (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Maxim De Cuyper (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-

Amadou Onana (Villa)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Jan Paul van Hecke (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Ferdi Kadioglu (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Villa have managed eight victories and two losses in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 0.80.

Brighton have not won in the past five away matches. The Seagulls have clocked up four draws, four losses and two wins in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

The previous Villa Park encounter involved a 2-2 draw between Villa and Brighton. In the past 6 H2H matches at Villa Park, we have seen four Villa wins, one Brighton victory and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Aston Villa Home Stats		8-0-2	2.70	1.90	0.80	6	4	5	5
Brighton Away Stats		2-4-4	2.80	1.30	1.50	5	5	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Aston Villa vs Brighton Lineups & Team News

Check the Villa vs Brighton team news before you place your bets. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

Aston Villa Team Page Brighton & Hove Albion Team Page

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