Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Oct 2025

Premier League Betting Preview: Aston Villa vs Manchester City

Aston Villa host Manchester City in this Premier League meeting at Villa Park, with kick-off set for 09:00 on Sunday 26 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Citizens Worth Backing

We’re of the opinion that Man City will have the upper hand against Aston Villa and they stand out at -125. The Full-Time Result price looks value and we’re bullish when it comes to yielding dividends.

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7 of Last 10 H2H Clashes Have Been City Wins

Aston Villa got a third straight league victory in their last Premier League outing. It was a 2-1 away win at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium when meeting Tottenham Hotspur. The Birmingham team recorded two shots on target and had 47% possession, while Morgan Rogers and Emiliano Buendia scored one goal apiece.

On Thursday night, Villa travelled to Go Ahead Eagles in the Europa League and were defeated 2-1.

Manchester City have won their previous three Premier League games. The latest was a 2-0 home win at Etihad Stadium against Everton. Pep Guardiola's side boasted 71% possession and had seven shots on goal, while Erling Haaland scored twice.

Five days ago, City claimed a 2-0 victory when facing Villarreal away in the Champions League.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Etihad Stadium, with City claiming the home win. Beating Villa by a 2-1 scoreline. The 10 H2H games most recently played have featured seven City wins, one draw and two victories for Villa.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Man City	8	5	1	2	17	6	11	17:6	16
11	Aston Villa	8	3	3	2	8	8	0	8:8	12

View Full Table

Villa have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts. The Villans have averaged 55.0% possession, 415.4 passes and 5.6 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.0 goals from 3.5 shots on goal, 11.6 attempts and 4.8 corners.

Emiliano Buendia and Donyell Malen lead the way with 2 goals, while Morgan Rogers has 1. Leading assistor is Morgan Rogers with 3, while goalies Emiliano Martinez and Marco Bizot have 3 clean sheets between them.

City have 7 victories, 2 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 2.2 goals from 13.7 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal. The North-West club average 58.3% possession, 552.4 passes, 4.9 corners awarded and 3.4 corners against them, while conceding 0.7 goals from 9.8 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal.

Erling Haaland is top of the team’s scoring charts with 12, while Matheus Nunes, Phil Foden, Tijjani Reijnders and Rayan Cherki have 1. Jeremy Doku is the top assist maker on 3, with Gianluigi Donnarumma, James Trafford and Ederson collectively recording 5 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Aston Villa predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez (GK), Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Francisco Torres, Lucas Digne, Amadou Onana, Boubacar Kamara, Donyell Malen, Morgan Rogers, John McGinn, Ollie Watkins.

Manchester City predicted lineup (4-1-4-1): Gianluigi Donnarumma (GK), Matheus Nunes, Ruben Dias, Josko Gvardiol, Nico O'Reilly, Mateo Kovacic, Savinho, Phil Foden, Tijjani Reijnders, Jérémy Doku, Erling Haaland.

Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Aston Villa vs Manchester City preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to corners advice, player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

Man City can’t be passed over when they play this Premier League encounter, especially as a price of -125 is available for this selection. Head to the betting sites and back this value pick.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of Premier League stats and present the key numbers to our readers.

Key Aston Villa vs Manchester City league stats:

• City have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• City have won 7 of their last 10 games.
• City have won 3 consecutive games.
• Villa have lost 7 of their last 10 games against City.

City to Win Probability

According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 55.6% chance of landing a return. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

The Asian Handicap supplies you with the opportunity to get more juice on your bets. You can alter the line for City and select the odds for your betting preference.

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Our Match Prediction

City To Win @ -125 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Aston Villa 1 - 2 Man City

There are odds of +700 available that Man City land a 2-1 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ollie Watkins Over 0.5 Shots On Target -167

Ollie Watkins (Villa) has recorded one or more shots on goal in seven straight Premier League home matches. Out of the prop bets currently on offer, we’re opting for the -167 when it comes to this Shots on Target wager.

Latest Ollie Watkins Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+205

First

+500

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

+106

Shots

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

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Erling Haaland to Score -120

Erling Haaland (City) has scored in six straight Premier League games. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the -120 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Erling Haaland Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-120

First

+230

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-154

Shots

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -137

It has now been seven consecutive Aston Villa games where the 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered. We’re content to wager the -137 for the teams to cover the Total Corners line as this looks appealing.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Aston Villa

Total

10.40 5.60 4.80

Home

9.90 5.40 4.50

Away

10.60 4.60 6.00

Man City

Total

8.30 4.90 3.40

Home

8.50 5.70 2.80

Away

8.50 4.40 4.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-132

Under 9.5

-108

Aston Villa Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-150

Man City Corners

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-150

Most Corners

1

+185

X

+650

2

-167

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Aston Villa vs Manchester City Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Have City as Favourites

The bookies have Manchester City as -125 favourites for this Premier League clash, with the Full-Time Result betting odds implying that they are 56% likely to win. The market suggests that Aston Villa are least likely to win at +335.

You can choose between City -0.5 at -125 or Villa +0.5 at -100 if you’re looking to bet on the Asian Handicap. The former is the same as the 1x2 market, while the latter means you also get a payout if it’s a draw.

If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -149.

If you’re wanting hundreds of football markets, then the good news is that the best betting apps can provide this. For any Premier League game, take your pick and hopefully find a winning angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+335

X

+275

2

-125

Half-Time Result

1

+335

X

+135

2

+130

Double Chance

1X

-103

12

-370

X2

-455

Draw No Bet

1

+205

2

-294

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-100

2 Hcp -0.5

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+107

Over 2.5

-135

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-149

No

+112

Erling Haaland is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Those interested in Erling Haaland to find the net anytime can get -120, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +230.

Erling Haaland (City)

First

-120

Anytime

+230

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

First

+205

Anytime

+500

Divine Mukasa (City)

First

+230

Anytime

+500

Omar Marmoush (City)

First

+260

Anytime

+600

Phil Foden (City)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

First

+320

Anytime

+750

Donyell Malen (Villa)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Oscar Bobb (City)

First

+360

Anytime

+900

Rayan Cherki (City)

First

+370

Anytime

+800

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Jérémy Doku (City)

First

+430

Anytime

+1050

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

First

+440

Anytime

+1100

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Evann Guessand (Villa)

First

+510

Anytime

+1200

John McGinn (Villa)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Rodri (City)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Harvey Elliott (Villa)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Bernardo Silva (City)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Rayan Aït Nouri (City)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Amadou Onana (Villa)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Nico O'Reilly (City)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Mateo Kovacic (City)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Divine Mukasa (City)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

+108

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

+106

Omar Marmoush (City)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-122

Phil Foden (City)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-139

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-147

Donyell Malen (Villa)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-149

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-154

Rayan Cherki (City)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-200

Oscar Bobb (City)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-204

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-208

Evann Guessand (Villa)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-233

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-227

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-263

Harvey Elliott (Villa)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-278

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-294

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Rodri (City)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-370

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-500

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-500

Amadou Onana (Villa)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-714

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

-

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Omar Marmoush (City)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Phil Foden (City)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Donyell Malen (Villa)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Oscar Bobb (City)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Rayan Cherki (City)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Evann Guessand (Villa)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Harvey Elliott (Villa)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Villa Bidding to Continue Strong Home Form

Aston Villa are three wins from three at Villa Park. The Birmingham team have eight wins, one draw and one loss in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.80 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

City have collected five wins, three draws and two defeats in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 0.40.

Villa were 2-1 victors against City last time out at Villa Park. The past 6 H2H matches at Villa Park have included three victories for City, two wins for Villa and a single draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Aston Villa Home Stats		8-1-1	2.70	1.80	0.90	6	4	5	5
Manchester City Away Stats		5-3-2	1.60	1.20	0.40	2	8	2	8

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Aston Villa vs Manchester City Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Villa vs City team news before betting. Expect the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups along with timely injury updates.

Aston Villa Team Page Manchester City Team Page