Aston Villa vs Manchester United Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Dec 2025

Premier League Betting Preview: Aston Villa vs Manchester United

Third-placed Aston Villa square off against Manchester United at Villa Park, with kick-off set for 11:30 on Sunday 21 December.

The betting odds for Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market is -159 and we think that this price looks really appealing. Aston Villa and Man United should combine to cover the line and it’s a value wager.

Feeling our Total Goals pick? Have a quick read of our BetMGM review and grab the latest promo code before you place your bet.

Aston Villa head into this match on the back of six consecutive Premier League wins, having beaten West Ham United 3–2 away at the London Stadium last time out. Unai Emery's side enjoyed 59% possession and had four shots on target, while Morgan Rogers netted twice along with a goal for Konstantinos Mavropanos (own goal).

Manchester United hosted Bournemouth at Old Trafford in their previous game, ending in a 4-4 draw. The Red Devils had the lion’s share of the ball recording 56% possession and nine shots on goal, while Amad, Casemiro, Bruno Fernandes and Matheus Cunha were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

United haven’t lost to Villa in their past six games. In their last clash, United came out with a 2-0 home win at Old Trafford. The past 10 meetings between these sides have resulted in six United victories and two Villa wins. There have also been two draws.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Aston Villa	16	10	3	3	25	17	8	25:17	33
6	Man United	16	7	5	4	30	26	4	30:26	26

View Full Table

9 wins and 1 loss, averaging 2.1 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts. Villa have had 50.3% possession, 419.7 passes and 4.9 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.1 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.5 corners.

Top goalscorer Morgan Rogers has found the net 5 times, with Donyell Malen and Emiliano Buendia scoring 4 and 3 respectively. Youri Tielemans, Boubacar Kamara and Morgan Rogers have the most assists with 2, while goalie Emiliano Martinez has recorded 3 clean sheets.

United have 5 victories, 1 defeat and 4 draws, averaging 6.3 shots on goal, 17.1 attempts and 2.3 goals. Ruben Amorim's team average 54.7% possession, 459.7 passes, 4.8 corners taken and 4.7 corners against them, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 11.9 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.

Bryan Mbeumo has top scored with 5, while Casemiro, Bruno Fernandes and Mason Mount are next on 3. Bruno Fernandes has been the top assist maker on 7, with Senne Lammens notching one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Aston Villa predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Marco Bizot (GK), Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Victor Nilsson Lindeloef, Ian Maatsen, Boubacar Kamara, Amadou Onana, John McGinn, Youri Tielemans, Morgan Rogers, Ollie Watkins.

Manchester United predicted lineup (4-4-2): Senne Lammens (GK), Leny Yoro, Lisandro Martinez, Luke Shaw, Diogo Dalot, Bruno Fernandes, Manuel Ugarte, Patrick Dorgu, Matheus Cunha, Mason Mount, Joshua Zirkzee.

Aston Villa vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips

The Aston Villa vs Manchester United betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, our best corners bet, player prop picks, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

The two Premier League sides can combine to score three goals or more. We are therefore going to play Over 2.5 Goals at -159 in the expectation that we can land a solid return if our prediction is correct.

Injuries and suspensions are taken into account by the Premier League experts at Sportsgambler.com. Our football betting tips are also shaped by the latest form, with the stats playing a big part before predictions are made.

Key Aston Villa vs Manchester United league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Villa games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Villa games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Villa games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 7 United games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 United games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 United games on the road.

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 61.3% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

In the quest for a larger price, then consider combining Over 2.5 Goals with other picks. This involves going for a Bet Builder and there are some attractive odds on the cards.

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Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -159 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Aston Villa 2 - 1 Man United

You can secure odds of +650 that Aston Villa are able to land a 2-1 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bruno Fernandes Over 0.5 Shots On Target -133

Bruno Fernandes (United) has bagged at least one shot on goal in three straight Premier League games. We’re expecting this data to be backed up and for him to cover the Shots on Target line at odds of -133.

Latest Bruno Fernandes Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-130

Shots

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

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Morgan Rogers to Score +230

Morgan Rogers (Villa) has netted four goals in his past five Premier League games. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at +230 which will hopefully see him find the net.

Latest Morgan Rogers Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+230

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-133

Shots

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -147

Each of the previous three United matches have featured under 10.5 corners. We’re willing to wager the -147 when it comes to the sides being short of the Total Corners line which looks appealing.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Aston Villa

Total

9.40 4.90 4.50

Home

10.00 5.60 4.40

Away

9.40 4.20 5.20

Man United

Total

9.50 4.80 4.70

Home

8.80 5.00 3.80

Away

9.80 4.20 5.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-108

Under 10.5

-132

Aston Villa Corners

Over 5.5

-132

Under 5.5

-106

Man United Corners

Over 4.5

+105

Under 4.5

-149

Most Corners

1

-179

X

+700

2

+175

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Aston Villa vs Manchester United Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With the bookmakers affording them a 48% chance of winning, Aston Villa might be a popular accumulator selection. Their betting odds are +108 when it comes to this Premier League encounter. Manchester United are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +225.

There are different betting angles when backing Villa including the Asian Handicap -0.25 wager. This is available at -122 and there’s a half stake return if they only draw with United.

There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -185.

There’s lots to like about the top football betting sites and that includes the hundreds of markets available for each Premier League match. You are spoilt for choice when it comes to available options.

Full-Time Result

1

+108

X

+275

2

+225

Half-Time Result

1

+155

X

+140

2

+250

Double Chance

1X

-303

12

-370

X2

-137

Draw No Bet

1

-189

2

+130

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-122

2 Hcp +0.25

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+125

Over 2.5

-159

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-185

No

+138

Ollie Watkins is the First Goalscorer favourite at +400 and there’s an opportunity to back him to find the net anytime at +145.

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

First

+145

Anytime

+400

Donyell Malen (Villa)

First

+180

Anytime

+510

Benjamin Sesko (United)

First

+210

Anytime

+550

Matheus Cunha (United)

First

+210

Anytime

+600

Bruno Fernandes (United)

First

+220

Anytime

+600

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Joshua Zirkzee (United)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Mason Mount (United)

First

+360

Anytime

+1000

John McGinn (Villa)

First

+380

Anytime

+1050

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

First

+400

Anytime

+1150

Carlos Casemiro (United)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Matty Cash (Villa)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Amadou Onana (Villa)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Kobbie Mainoo (United)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Patrick Dorgu (United)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

+125

Benjamin Sesko (United)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-100

Donyell Malen (Villa)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-102

Matheus Cunha (United)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-103

Bruno Fernandes (United)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-130

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-133

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-172

Joshua Zirkzee (United)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-172

Mason Mount (United)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-200

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-263

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-286

Carlos Casemiro (United)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-313

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-370

Matty Cash (Villa)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-400

Amadou Onana (Villa)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-714

Kobbie Mainoo (United)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-667

Patrick Dorgu (United)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1111

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 2.5

-110

Under 2.5

-

Donyell Malen (Villa)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Benjamin Sesko (United)

Over 2.5

-106

Under 2.5

-

Matheus Cunha (United)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Bruno Fernandes (United)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Joshua Zirkzee (United)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Mason Mount (United)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-

Matty Cash (Villa)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Aston Villa have enjoyed nine straight wins at Villa Park. Unai Emery's side have collected nine victories and one defeat in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 0.70.

Man United haven’t tasted defeat in five consecutive away matches. The Red Devils have clocked up four losses, three wins and three draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 1.90.

It was a 0-0 draw when Villa last faced United at Villa Park. It has been three United victories, one Villa win and two draws in the previous 6 H2H games at Villa Park.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Aston Villa Home Stats		9-0-1	2.50	1.80	0.70	6	4	4	6
Manchester United Away Stats		3-3-4	3.60	1.70	1.90	8	2	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Aston Villa vs Manchester United Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Villa vs United, check the team news first. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for the Premier League and all current injury news.

Aston Villa Team Page Manchester United Team Page

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