Aston Villa vs Newcastle Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Feb 2026

FA Cup Betting Preview: Aston Villa vs Newcastle

Premier League teams Aston Villa and Newcastle clash at Villa Park, with kick-off set for 12:45 on Saturday 14 February.

Aston Villa could land the money against Newcastle and we’ll take this pick on the Full-Time Result market. There are appealing odds of +112 and we can’t pass up the chance to back the favourites.

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Aston Villa were winners in their last game, overcoming Brighton by a 1-0 scoreline at Villa Park in the Premier League. The Villans managed one shot on target and had 50% possession, with an late own goal making the difference.

Newcastle United won their previous game by a 2-1 Premier League scoreline. It was away from home against Tottenham at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Eddie Howe's team enjoyed 47% possession and five shots on goal, with Malick Thiaw and Jacob Ramsey on the scoresheet.

In their previous FA Cup engagements, Villa won 2-1 when travelling to Tottenham, with Newcastle winning at home to Bournemouth on penalties (3-3 AET).

Head-to-Head Statistics

Villa are unbeaten in the past three games against Newcastle. In the last encounter, Villa banked a 2-0 Premier League victory when visiting St James' Park. The 10 past H2H meetings have involved five Newcastle victories, one draw and four Villa wins.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Aston Villa	26	15	5	6	37	27	10	37:27	50
10	Newcastle	26	10	6	10	37	37	0	37:37	36

View Full Table

2 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.8 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 15.8 attempts. Villa have had 54.4% possession and 6.8 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 0.6 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts, while being awarded 5.4 corners.

Morgan Rogers, Ollie Watkins and Emiliano Buendia are joint-top scorers with 1 goals on the board. Jadon Sancho, Lucas Digne and Morgan Rogers have the most assists with 1, while goalie Emiliano Martinez has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Newcastle have won 1, lost 3 and drawn 1, with an average of 1.0 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 14.6 attempts. The Tyneside outfit have averaged 54.6% possession, 434.8 passes, 9.0 corners taken and 4.2 corners against, while conceding 2.0 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts.

We’ve seen Jacob Ramsey, Malick Thiaw, Bruno Guimaraes, Sven Botman and Anthony Gordon score 1 goals each. Anthony Gordon and Bruno Guimaraes are the top assist makers on 1, with Nick Pope recording one clean sheet in the previous 5 games.

Aston Villa vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Aston Villa vs Newcastle betting outlook has it all, including a trusted match forecast, our predicted score, top player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

We can’t pass up the opportunity to back Aston Villa considering they are +112 to record a FA Cup victory. We’ll take this bet with confidence based on the stats that are available to us.

Team news is very useful and our football tipsters are keen to identify the players who are doubtful with injury. You’ll also find us studying the form guide, with lots of FA Cup data available which provides a clear picture from the stats.

Key Aston Villa vs Newcastle FA Cup & league stats:

• Villa have won 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• Villa have won 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• Newcastle have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Newcastle have lost 3 of their last 5 games.

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 47.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 50-55% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

Many bettors looking to back Villa to claim a victory will look to combine this pick in a Bet Builder. That allows you to secure bigger odds by including a number of selections.

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Our Match Prediction

Aston Villa To Win @ +112 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Aston Villa 1 - 0 Newcastle

Aston Villa can be backed to win 1-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +800 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Morgan Rogers Over 2.5 Shots +108

Morgan Rogers (Villa) has covered the 2.5 shots total in three straight home matches. He should be capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of +108 are now available.

Latest Morgan Rogers Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+210

First

+600

Shots

Over 2.5

+108

Under 2.5

-

---

Ollie Watkins to Score +150

Ollie Watkins (Villa) has netted five goals in his past nine games. This data directs us to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds of +150.

Latest Ollie Watkins Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+150

First

+410

Shots

Over 2.5

-116

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Aston Villa vs Newcastle Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Aston Villa are the shortest price to win this FA Cup clash according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 47% probability due to their +112 betting odds. Newcastle United are regarded as the least likely winner at +220.

There are different betting angles when backing Villa including the Asian Handicap -0.25 wager. This is available at -116 and there’s a half stake return if they only draw with Newcastle.

The Over 2.5 option is currently favourite on the Total Goals betting market. BTTS Yes is on offer at -200 for anyone who wants to side with Both Teams to Score.

It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for FA Cup matches. You simply need to visit the best betting apps and select from the various football options that are presented.

Full-Time Result

1

+112

X

+250

2

+220

Half-Time Result

1

+160

X

+138

2

+250

Double Chance

1X

-303

12

-345

X2

-147

Draw No Bet

1

-185

2

+128

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-116

2 Hcp +0.25

-106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+120

Over 2.5

-159

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-200

No

+143

Ollie Watkins is the First Goalscorer favourite at +410. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at +150.

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

First

+150

Anytime

+410

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

First

+190

Anytime

+550

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

First

+210

Anytime

+600

Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)

First

+220

Anytime

+600

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

First

+290

Anytime

+750

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Leon Bailey (Villa)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

John McGinn (Villa)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Matty Cash (Villa)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Joelinton (Newcastle)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Amadou Onana (Villa)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 2.5

-116

Under 2.5

-

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 2.5

+108

Under 2.5

-

Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+114

Under 2.5

-

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Leon Bailey (Villa)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Matty Cash (Villa)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Joelinton (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Amadou Onana (Villa)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Latest FA Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Aston Villa Stats

Newcastle Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.40 goals scored and 2.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 4.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.89 corners awarded and 4.78 corners conceded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 10.67 corners awarded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 2 of the last 9 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 8.44 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 7.00 corners awarded and 5.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 12.44 corners awarded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 12.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 0 of the last 9 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 55.00% possession in the last 9 matches
• An average of 55.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 9 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 57.00% possession in the last 9 matches
• An average of 54.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 9 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches

Aston Villa vs Newcastle Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Villa vs Newcastle team news before placing your bets. Receive the predicted and confirmed FA Cup lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

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