Atalanta vs AC Milan Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Oct 2025

Serie A Betting Preview: Atalanta vs AC Milan

Atalanta host AC Milan in this Italian Serie A fixture at Gewiss Stadium, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Tuesday 28 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Milan have a strong chance against Atalanta and we’ll side with the visitors on the Asian Handicap. It’s worth chancing the -152 with a +0.25 goal headstart, meaning that our stake is split between 0 and +0.5.

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Atalanta played out a 1-1 draw when last in action. This was on the road at Stadio Giovanni Zini against Cremonese. La Dea enjoyed 66% possession and had six shots on target, while Marco Brescianini scored the goal.

AC Milan drew 2-2 in their previous game. This was at home against Pisa at San Siro. Massimiliano Allegri's men racked up seven shots on goal and enjoyed 67% possession, while Rafael Leao and Zachary Athekame were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Atalanta have claimed back-to-back wins over Milan. A 1-0 away win at San Siro came after a 2-1 home victory at Gewiss Stadium. Each team have landed four wins from the previous 10 H2H games, along with two draws.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	AC Milan	15	9	5	1	24	13	11	24:13	32
12	Atalanta	15	4	7	4	19	18	1	19:18	19

View Full Table

3 wins, 1 loss and 6 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 14.3 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal. Atalanta have had 53.6% possession and 5.5 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.1 goals from 11.6 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.1 corners.

Daniel Maldini is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Kamaldeen Sulemana, Nikola Krstovic and Charles De Ketelaere each have 2. Nikola Krstovic has the most assists with 3, while goalkeeper Marco Carnesecchi has 2 clean sheets.

Milan have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, with an average of 4.8 shots on goal, 15.2 attempts and 1.6 goals. I Rossoneri average 52.8% possession, 502.5 passes, 3.9 corners taken and 3.9 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 8.9 attempts and 3.0 shots on goal.

Christian Pulisic has scored 4 goals, followed by Rafael Leao on 3 and Joao Felix with 2. Luka Modric and Christian Pulisic have both had 2 assists, with Mike Maignan notching 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Atalanta confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Marco Carnesecchi (GK), Odilon Kossounou, Isak Hien, Honest Ahanor, Davide Zappacosta, Ederson, Marten de Roon, Lorenzo Bernasconi, Mario Pasalic, Charles De Ketelaere, Ademola Lookman.

AC Milan confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Mike Maignan (GK), Fikayo Tomori, Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic, Alexis Saelemaekers, Youssouf Fofana, Samuele Ricci, Luka Modric, Davide Bartesaghi, Santiago Gimenez, Rafael Leao.

Atalanta vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips

This Atalanta vs AC Milan betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including a match prediction, correct score bet, corner kick insight, valuable player prop picks and a strategic bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re siding with Milan at -152 in this Serie A match with a +0.25 goal advantage. It’s expected that they will have an edge and we can therefore feel bullish of a return with this wager.

The football betting tips are only provided once we have a handle on the team news and the latest form guide. We are also on point when it comes to the most valuable Serie A stats.

Key Atalanta vs AC Milan league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Milan in 7 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Milan in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Milan in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atalanta in 4 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atalanta in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atalanta in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atalanta in 6 of their last 10 games against Milan.

The best betting apps make it a 60.2% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

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Our Match Prediction

Milan Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -152 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Atalanta 0 - 1 Milan

Milan can be backed to win 1-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +750 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ademola Lookman Under 0.5 Shots On Target +120

Ademola Lookman (Atalanta) hasn’t registered a shot on goal in four of the past five Serie A matches. We think he might not cover the line, with odds of +120 being served up for this Shots on Target bet.

Latest Ademola Lookman Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+210

First

+525

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

+123

Shots

Over 2.5

-119

Under 2.5

-

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Santiago Giménez To Score +195

Santiago Giménez (Milan) is available to be on the scoresheet at +195. It’s worth a play that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Santiago Giménez Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+195

First

+450

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-294

Under 0.5

+140

Shots

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Milan Under 4.5 Corners -156

We’ve seen an average of 2.40 Milan corners in the past 5 games, with Atalanta conceding under 4.5 corners in the previous four home matches. We think Milan might fall short of the mark, with odds of -156 available when it comes to this Team Corners pick.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atalanta

Total

9.60 5.50 4.10

Home

11.60 7.50 4.10

Away

8.40 4.20 4.20

Milan

Total

7.80 3.90 3.90

Home

8.70 4.50 4.20

Away

8.80 4.50 4.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-147

Under 8.5

+104

Atalanta Corners

Over 4.5

-147

Under 4.5

+102

Milan Corners

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

-100

Most Corners

1

-147

X

+600

2

+170

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Atalanta vs AC Milan Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

You can get betting odds of +163 for Atalanta winning this Serie A clash and the bookies have AC Milan available at +165. If you want to back the draw, it’s on offer at +225.

The Draw No Bet market simplifies things as it offers two options and money back if the game finishes level. Atalanta are -118, while Milan are alternatively priced at -115.

Over and Under 2.5 Goals backers are able to get odds which are similar for the Total Goals market. If you think both sides will find the net, then you can back the Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market at -149.

For those visiting one of our recommended sports betting sites, you are guaranteed a fantastic service for all the Serie A matches. The hundreds of football markets always ensure lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+163

X

+225

2

+165

Half-Time Result

1

+220

X

+120

2

+215

Double Chance

1X

-222

12

-303

X2

-217

Draw No Bet

1

-118

2

-115

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+125

2 Hcp +0.25

-156

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-116

Over 2.5

-111

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-149

No

+112

Favourite Santiago Giménez is priced at +450 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of +195.

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

First

+195

Anytime

+450

Ademola Lookman (Atalanta)

First

+210

Anytime

+525

Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta)

First

+215

Anytime

+500

Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta)

First

+215

Anytime

+500

Rafael Leão (Milan)

First

+235

Anytime

+575

Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta)

First

+270

Anytime

+650

Daniel Maldini (Atalanta)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Kamal-Deen Sulemana (Atalanta)

First

+370

Anytime

+800

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

First

+460

Anytime

+1150

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Luka Modric (Milan)

First

+510

Anytime

+1200

Lazar Samardzic (Atalanta)

First

+510

Anytime

+1200

Marco Brescianini (Atalanta)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Nicola Zalewski (Atalanta)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Marten de Roon (Atalanta)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Éderson José dos Santos Lourenco da Silva (Atalanta)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Davide Zappacosta (Atalanta)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Yunus Musah (Atalanta)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

Over 0.5

-294

Under 0.5

+140

Ademola Lookman (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

+123

Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+143

Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

+140

Rafael Leão (Milan)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

+105

Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-103

Daniel Maldini (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-133

Kamal-Deen Sulemana (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-172

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-222

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-303

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-250

Luka Modric (Milan)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-370

Lazar Samardzic (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Marco Brescianini (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Marten de Roon (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-435

Éderson José dos Santos Lourenco da Silva (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-476

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-714

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-588

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

Over 0.5

+295

Under 0.5

-1000

Davide Zappacosta (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-625

Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta)

Over 3.5

+128

Under 3.5

-

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

-

Ademola Lookman (Atalanta)

Over 2.5

-119

Under 2.5

-

Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta)

Over 2.5

-156

Under 2.5

-

Rafael Leão (Milan)

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

-

Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta)

Over 2.5

-109

Under 2.5

-

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Kamal-Deen Sulemana (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

Daniel Maldini (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Luka Modric (Milan)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Marten de Roon (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Éderson José dos Santos Lourenco da Silva (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-

Davide Zappacosta (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Atalanta are unbeaten in the last six games at Gewiss Stadium. La Dea have racked up five draws, four wins and one loss in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Milan have swerved defeat on their travels in the previous three matches. Massimiliano Allegri's men have managed six victories, three losses and one draw in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

When the sides last met at Gewiss Stadium, Atalanta beat Milan 2-1. The past 7 H2H meetings at Gewiss Stadium have involved three wins each and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Atalanta Home Stats		4-5-1	2.40	1.50	0.90	4	6	7	3
AC Milan Away Stats		6-1-3	2.90	1.90	1.00	7	3	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Atalanta vs AC Milan Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the Atalanta vs Milan team news beforehand. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for Serie A and the newest injury information.

Atalanta Team Page AC Milan Team Page

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