Atalanta vs AC Milan Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Oct 2025

Serie A Betting Preview: Atalanta vs AC Milan

Atalanta host AC Milan in this Italian Serie A fixture at Gewiss Stadium, with kick-off set for 15:45 on Tuesday 28 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Atalanta Facing Tough Test vs Milan

Milan have a strong chance against Atalanta and we’ll side with the visitors on the Asian Handicap. It’s worth chancing the -152 with a +0.25 goal headstart, meaning that our stake is split between 0 and +0.5.

Like the look of our Asian Handicap prediction? Claim the newest BetMGM promo code and check out our expert site review before making a move.

1-0 Win for Atalanta in Last H2H Clash

Atalanta played out a 1-1 draw when last in action. This was on the road at Stadio Giovanni Zini against Cremonese. La Dea enjoyed 66% possession and had six shots on target, while Marco Brescianini scored the goal.

AC Milan drew 2-2 in their previous game. This was at home against Pisa at San Siro. Massimiliano Allegri's men racked up seven shots on goal and enjoyed 67% possession, while Rafael Leao and Zachary Athekame were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Atalanta have claimed back-to-back wins over Milan. A 1-0 away win at San Siro came after a 2-1 home victory at Gewiss Stadium. Each team have landed four wins from the previous 10 H2H games, along with two draws.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	AC Milan	8	5	2	1	13	6	7	13:6	17
7	Atalanta	8	2	6	0	12	6	6	12:6	12

View Full Table

3 wins, 1 loss and 6 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 14.3 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal. Atalanta have had 53.6% possession and 5.5 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.1 goals from 11.6 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.1 corners.

Daniel Maldini is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Kamaldeen Sulemana, Nikola Krstovic and Charles De Ketelaere each have 2. Nikola Krstovic has the most assists with 3, while goalkeeper Marco Carnesecchi has 2 clean sheets.

Milan have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, with an average of 4.8 shots on goal, 15.2 attempts and 1.6 goals. I Rossoneri average 52.8% possession, 502.5 passes, 3.9 corners taken and 3.9 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 8.9 attempts and 3.0 shots on goal.

Christian Pulisic has scored 4 goals, followed by Rafael Leao on 3 and Joao Felix with 2. Luka Modric and Christian Pulisic have both had 2 assists, with Mike Maignan notching 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Atalanta predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Marco Carnesecchi (GK), Berat Djimsiti, Isak Hien, Marten De Roon, Raoul Bellanova, Ederson José, Mario Pasalic, Nicola Zalewski, Charles De Ketelaere, Ademola Lookman, Nikola Krstovic.

AC Milan predicted lineup (3-5-2): Mike Maignan (GK), Koni De Winter, Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic, Alexis Saelemaekers, Youssouf Fofana, Luka Modric, Samuele Ricci, Davide Bartesaghi, Santiago Giménez, Rafael Leão.

Atalanta vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips

This Atalanta vs AC Milan betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including a match prediction, correct score bet, corner kick insight, valuable player prop picks and a strategic bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re siding with Milan at -152 in this Serie A match with a +0.25 goal advantage. It’s expected that they will have an edge and we can therefore feel bullish of a return with this wager.

The football betting tips are only provided once we have a handle on the team news and the latest form guide. We are also on point when it comes to the most valuable Serie A stats.

Key Atalanta vs AC Milan league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Milan in 7 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Milan in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Milan in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atalanta in 4 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atalanta in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atalanta in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atalanta in 6 of their last 10 games against Milan.

Milan +0.25 Probability

The best betting apps make it a 60.2% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Wanting bigger odds when it comes to your pick? With the line being moved, you can secure a larger price although the wager is a more risky one.

Your next bet could start with a welcome bonus. Explore our expert guide to the newest sign-up and betting offers.

Our Match Prediction

Milan Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -152 Watch Live Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Atalanta 0 - 1 Milan

Milan can be backed to win 1-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +850 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ademola Lookman Under 0.5 Shots On Target +120

Ademola Lookman (Atalanta) hasn’t registered a shot on goal in four of the past five Serie A matches. We think he might not cover the line, with odds of +120 being served up for this Shots on Target bet.

Latest Ademola Lookman Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+225

First

+550

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

+120

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Santiago Giménez To Score +195

Santiago Giménez (Milan) is available to be on the scoresheet at +195. It’s worth a play that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Santiago Giménez Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+195

First

+460

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

+150

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Corners Prediction

Milan Under 4.5 Corners -156

We’ve seen an average of 2.40 Milan corners in the past 5 games, with Atalanta conceding under 4.5 corners in the previous four home matches. We think Milan might fall short of the mark, with odds of -156 available when it comes to this Team Corners pick.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atalanta

Total

9.60 5.50 4.10

Home

11.60 7.50 4.10

Away

8.40 4.20 4.20

Milan

Total

7.80 3.90 3.90

Home

8.70 4.50 4.20

Away

8.80 4.50 4.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-125

Under 9.5

-114

Atalanta Corners

Over 4.5

-154

Under 4.5

+108

Milan Corners

Over 4.5

-108

Under 4.5

-132

Most Corners

1

-120

X

+650

2

+132

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Atalanta vs AC Milan Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Betting Sites Expecting Tight Affair

You can get betting odds of +155 for Atalanta winning this Serie A clash and the bookies have AC Milan available at +165. If you want to back the draw, it’s on offer at +235.

The Draw No Bet market simplifies things as it offers two options and money back if the game finishes level. Atalanta are -122, while Milan are alternatively priced at -114.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. If you think both sides will find the net, then you can back the Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market at -167.

For those visiting one of our recommended sports betting sites, you are guaranteed a fantastic service for all the Serie A matches. The hundreds of football markets always ensure lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+155

X

+235

2

+165

Half-Time Result

1

+205

X

+130

2

+205

Double Chance

1X

-217

12

-333

X2

-204

Draw No Bet

1

-122

2

-114

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+118

2 Hcp +0.25

-152

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+102

Over 2.5

-132

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-167

No

+125

Santiago Giménez Favourite to Find the Net First

Favourite Santiago Giménez is priced at +460 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of +195.

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

First

+195

Anytime

+460

Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta)

First

+200

Anytime

+500

Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta)

First

+210

Anytime

+500

Ademola Lookman (Atalanta)

First

+225

Anytime

+550

Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta)

First

+270

Anytime

+650

Rafael Leão (Milan)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Daniel Maldini (Atalanta)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Kamal-Deen Sulemana (Atalanta)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

First

+460

Anytime

+1100

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

First

+460

Anytime

+1100

Luka Modric (Milan)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Lazar Samardzic (Atalanta)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Marco Brescianini (Atalanta)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Nicola Zalewski (Atalanta)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Éderson José dos Santos Lourenco da Silva (Atalanta)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Marten de Roon (Atalanta)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Davide Zappacosta (Atalanta)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

+150

Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

+140

Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

+138

Ademola Lookman (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

+120

Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-112

Rafael Leão (Milan)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-114

Daniel Maldini (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-139

Kamal-Deen Sulemana (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-175

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-233

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-250

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-263

Lazar Samardzic (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-278

Luka Modric (Milan)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-286

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-526

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-588

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-625

Atalanta Bidding to Continue Unbeaten Home Run

Atalanta are unbeaten in the last six games at Gewiss Stadium. La Dea have racked up five draws, four wins and one loss in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Milan have swerved defeat on their travels in the previous three matches. Massimiliano Allegri's men have managed six victories, three losses and one draw in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

When the sides last met at Gewiss Stadium, Atalanta beat Milan 2-1. The past 7 H2H meetings at Gewiss Stadium have involved three wins each and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Atalanta Home Stats		4-5-1	2.40	1.50	0.90	4	6	7	3
AC Milan Away Stats		6-1-3	2.90	1.90	1.00	7	3	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Live streaming is available for Serie A games depending on where you are located. Sign into your funded sportsbook account and enjoy the action.

The leading betting apps stream many of the latest events across a wide range of sports and leagues.

Atalanta vs AC Milan Live Streaming Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Atalanta vs AC Milan Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the Atalanta vs Milan team news beforehand. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for Serie A and the newest injury information.

Atalanta Team Page AC Milan Team Page