Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Feb 2026

Champions League Betting Preview: Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund

Italian Serie A side Atalanta host German Bundesliga outfit Borussia Dortmund at New Balance Arena in the second leg of this Champions League play-off tie, with kick-off set for 12:45 on Wednesday 25 February.

There’s a strong case for siding with Atalanta when it comes to the Full-Time Result betting market. We think La Dea could prove too strong for Dortmund and odds of +110 are attractive.

Atalanta landed a win when last in action. It was a 2-1 scoreline at home to Napoli at New Balance Arena in Serie A. The Bergamo outfit had seven shots on target and boasted 57% possession, while Mario Pasalic and Lazar Samardzic each scored one goal.

Borussia Dortmund played out a 2-2 Bundesliga draw in their previous game. This was on their travels to Red Bull Arena, with RB Leipzig the opponents. BVB had 45% of possession and five shots on goal, with Romulo Cruz (own goal) and Fabio Silva both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Dortmund had the edge in the first leg, recording a 2-0 home win over Atalanta at Signal Iduna Park. Atalanta enjoyed 52% possession, while Dortmund edged the shots on target 8-6 as Serhou Guirassy and Maximilian Beier found the net.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
15	Atalanta	8	4	1	3	10	10	0	10:10	13
17	Dortmund	8	3	2	3	19	17	2	19:17	11

View Full Table

Atalanta have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 13.6 attempts. Raffaele Palladino's men have averaged 52.6% possession, 485.5 passes and 4.9 corners per game, with the opposition getting 0.9 goals from 3.9 shots on goal, 12.7 attempts and 4.3 corners.

Nikola Krstovic leads the way with 4 goals, with Mario Pasalic and Gianluca Scamacca scoring 2 each. Lorenzo Bernasconi is the leading assists maker with 3, while goalie Marco Carnesecchi has 4 clean sheets.

Dortmund have 7 victories, 2 defeats and 1 draw, averaging 13.1 attempts, 4.6 shots on goal and 2.2 goals. The North Rhine-Westphalia club average 51.7% possession, 462.3 passes, 4.9 corners in their favour and 3.8 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 3.6 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts.

Serhou Guirassy is the leading scorer with 7 goals, followed by Maximilian Beier on 3, with Julian Brandt and two others bagging 2. Julian Ryerson has been chief assist maker on 8, with Gregor Kobel recording 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Atalanta predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Marco Carnesecchi (GK), Odilon Kossounou, Berat Djimsiti, Sead Kolasinac, Davide Zappacosta, Marten De Roon, Ederson José, Lorenzo Bernasconi, Mario Pasalic, Nicola Zalewski, Gianluca Scamacca.

Borussia Dortmund predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Gregor Kobel (GK), Luca Reggiani, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini, Julian Ryerson, Felix Nmecha, Jobe Bellingham, Daniel Svensson, Maximilian Beier, Julian Brandt, Serhou Guirassy.

Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips

We dive into the best Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund betting angles, including a key match prediction, our corners pick, correct score forecast, top player prop bets and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

We believe that Atalanta are excellent value at +110 when it comes to this Champions League encounter. The odds look really attractive and we’re confident of landing a return here.

The Champions League experts at Sportsgambler.com have a strong handle when it comes to injuries and suspensions. The recent form also helps to shape our football predictions, with this being cross-referenced with the latest numbers.

Key Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund Champions League & league stats:

• Atalanta have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Atalanta have won 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• Atalanta have won 3 consecutive games at home.

The best betting apps make it a 47.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 50-55%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

If you’re looking to squeeze more juice from the odds, consider Atalanta on the Asian Handicap. Those expecting our winner to exceed expectations can bet them to cover the line.

Check out the most rewarding betting offers in our in-depth guide before your next wager. The best bonuses and free bets await.

Our Match Prediction

Atalanta To Win @ +110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 23, 18:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Atalanta 1 - 0 Dortmund

There are odds of +800 available that Atalanta land a 1-0 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mario Pasalic Over 1.5 Shots -123

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta) has recorded over 1.5 shots in back-to-back matches on home soil. We anticipate that these numbers will prove telling and that he will cover the Player Shots line at odds of -123.

Latest Mario Pasalic Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+950

Shots

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

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Gianluca Scamacca to Score +170

Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta) has racked up five goals in his past nine games on home soil. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +170.

Latest Gianluca Scamacca Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+450

Shots

Over 3.5

-108

Under 3.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -105

It has been three straight Atalanta games involving the 9.5 Total Corners line not being covered, with three  consecutive Dortmund matches seeing the same thing happen. There are odds of -105 for this Total Corners wager and we think the line is too high.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atalanta

Total

9.20 4.90 4.30

Home

10.10 5.70 4.40

Away

9.60 4.40 5.20

Dortmund

Total

8.70 4.90 3.80

Home

9.40 6.10 3.30

Away

8.30 3.50 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-132

Under 9.5

-109

Atalanta Corners

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-110

Dortmund Corners

Over 3.5

-130

Under 3.5

-110

Most Corners

1

-222

X

+700

2

+215

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Favourites Atalanta are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Champions League clash. The +110 about them triumphing means a 48% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. Borussia Dortmund are seen as the most unlikely winner at +225.

Atalanta are available at odds of -120 on the Asian Handicap -0.25. With this bet, you need them to simply beat Dortmund to win, although a draw would see half your stake returned.

The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -189.

You’ll love the hundreds of markets if you want to wager on the Champions League coupon and we advise heading to the leading sports betting sites to get the football wager that you think is value.

Full-Time Result

1

+110

X

+275

2

+225

Half-Time Result

1

+160

X

+138

2

+255

Double Chance

1X

-303

12

-370

X2

-143

Draw No Bet

1

-185

2

+128

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-120

2 Hcp +0.25

-103

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+125

Over 2.5

-154

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-189

No

+143

There’s the chance to back Sehrou Guirassy at +420 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.

Sehrou Guirassy (Dortmund)

First

+145

Anytime

+420

Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta)

First

+170

Anytime

+450

Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta)

First

+200

Anytime

+525

Nicola Zalewski (Atalanta)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Fabio Silva (Dortmund)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Julian Brandt (Dortmund)

First

+330

Anytime

+950

Maximilian Beier (Dortmund)

First

+340

Anytime

+950

Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Lazar Samardzic (Atalanta)

First

+370

Anytime

+1000

Davide Zappacosta (Atalanta)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Kamal-Deen Sulemana (Atalanta)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Emre Can (Dortmund)

First

+525

Anytime

+1500

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Mitchel Bakker (Atalanta)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Jobe Bellingham (Dortmund)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Éderson José dos Santos Lourenco da Silva (Atalanta)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Carney Chukwuemeka (Dortmund)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Marten de Roon (Atalanta)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Giorgio Scalvini (Atalanta)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Ramy Bensebaïni (Dortmund)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Nico Schlotterbeck (Dortmund)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Sehrou Guirassy (Dortmund)

Over 3.5

+114

Under 3.5

-

Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta)

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-

Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta)

Over 3.5

-108

Under 3.5

-

Nicola Zalewski (Atalanta)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

Davide Zappacosta (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-

Lazar Samardzic (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Kamal-Deen Sulemana (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

+106

Under 1.5

-

Maximilian Beier (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Julian Brandt (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-

Fabio Silva (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Emre Can (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Mitchel Bakker (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Jobe Bellingham (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Éderson José dos Santos Lourenco da Silva (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Carney Chukwuemeka (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Marten de Roon (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Giorgio Scalvini (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Ramy Bensebaïni (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-

Nico Schlotterbeck (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Atalanta Stats

Borussia Dortmund Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 3.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 52.60% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 53.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 51.70% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 49.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Atalanta vs Dortmund team news before you bet. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Champions League along with up-to-date injury news.

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