Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Nov 2025
Serie A Betting Preview: Atalanta vs Fiorentina
Atalanta clash with Fiorentina at Gewiss Stadium, with kick-off set for 12:00 on Sunday 30 November.
Atalanta can’t be ignored when they meet Fiorentina, especially as betting odds of -143 are available for this prediction. Head to the Full-Time Result market to back this value selection.
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Atalanta have been defeated in their last three games. Away from home, they recently suffered a 3-1 loss against Napoli at Diego Armando Maradona. Raffaele Palladino's men boasted 55% possession and recorded three shots on target, with Gianluca Scamacca registering the goal.
On Wednesday night, Atalanta landed a 3-0 win when facing Eintracht Frankfurt away in the Champions League.
Fiorentina drew 1-1 in their previous Serie A game. This was at home against Juventus at Stadio Artemio Franchi. The Florence team had 41% possession and managed two shots on goal, while Rolando Mandragora found the net.
Three days ago, Fiorentina lost to AEK Athens in the Europa Conference League by a 1-0 home scoreline.
Head-to-Head Statistics
These two teams last met at Stadio Artemio Franchi, with Fiorentina claiming the home win. Beating Atalanta by a 1-0 scoreline. The previous 10 H2H meetings have seen Fiorentina win six times, one draw and three Atalanta triumphs.
| Serie A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Atalanta |
12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 19 | Fiorentina |
12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 10:19 | 6 |
2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts. Atalanta have had 56.6% possession, 517.9 passes and 5.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 3.8 corners.
The three top scorers are Kamaldeen Sulemana, Nikola Krstovic and Charles De Ketelaere, with these players all scoring 2 goals. Nikola Krstovic has the most assists with 2, while goalkeeper Marco Carnesecchi has 2 clean sheets.
Fiorentina have 6 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 0.9 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 49.0% possession, 374.8 passes, 5.0 corners taken and 4.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.8 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts.
We’ve seen Rolando Mandragora, Albert Gudmundsson and Moise Kean score 2 goals each. Moise Kean, Simon Sohm and Hans Nicolussi Caviglia have had 1 assists in the last 10 games, while David de Gea has one clean sheet to his name.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Atalanta predicted lineup (4-4-2): Marco Carnesecchi (GK), Berat Djimsiti, Isak Hien, Honest Ahanor, Raoul Bellanova, Marten de Roon, Ederson, Davide Zappacosta, Mario Pasalic, Charles De Ketelaere, Ademola Lookman.
Fiorentina predicted lineup (3-5-2): David de Gea (GK), Marin Pongracic, Pablo Mari, Luca Ranieri, Pietro Comuzzo, Rolando Mandragora, Nicolo Fagioli, Simon Sohm, Fabiano Parisi, Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean.
Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips
The Atalanta vs Fiorentina betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, our best corners bet, player prop picks, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.
Match Prediction
It could be beneficial to back Atalanta for this Serie A clash. There’s loads of value in the -143 that the home team get the job done and we think a victory could be on the cards.
We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Serie A form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.
Key Atalanta vs Fiorentina league stats:
The best bookies are estimating that there is a 58.8% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, we have this number between 65-70% based on our in-depth research. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
If you think that Atalanta will have their noses in front by the interval, why not consider backing them to lead at half-time and full-time. There are some attractive odds available.
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Correct Score Prediction
One bet that has caught our eye is Atalanta to claim a 2-0 correct score win. This selection is available at +650 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Moise Kean (Fiorentina) has totalled over 2.5 shots in four consecutive Serie A games. The stats suggest that he can oblige with our Overs wager and we’re more than happy to take the -154 available.
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Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta) has registered two goals in his past four Serie A games on home soil. There are odds of +200 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Corners Prediction
In their past three games, Atalanta have not covered the 5.5 corners line, while the previous three Fiorentina matches have involved them conceding under 5.5 corners. It stands to reason that the line won’t be reached and you can secure odds of -141 for this Atalanta Team Corners bet.
Atalanta
Fiorentina
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Bet Builder Tips
Check out our bet builder which has the following: Atalanta to come out on top, less than three goals in total as well as Moise Kean (Fiorentina) to record Over 2.5 shots.
A bet builder provides an exciting opportunity to follow various picks for the same football match. Should a bettor get all selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.
Atalanta vs Fiorentina Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The Full-Time Result odds of -143 suggest that Atalanta are likely victors and there’s a 59% probability that the favourites win this Serie A clash. Fiorentina are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +370.
There’s an alternative Asian Handicap angle where you back Atalanta -0.75 against Fiorentina at -109. A 2+ goal win means a full return, although you get a payout on half your stake if they win by one and the other half is refunded.
Under and Over 2.5 Goals bettors are able to get odds which are similar for the Total Goals market. Both Teams to Score is a two-way market and, when it comes to latest odds, there’s not much to separate Yes and No.
If you head to the best football betting sites, you can take your pick when it comes to Serie A matches. The hundreds of markets always ensure lots of choice.
Nikola Krstovic is the First Goalscorer favourite at +400 and there’s an opportunity to back him to find the net anytime at +150.
Atalanta haven’t tasted victory in five consecutive matches at Gewiss Stadium. Raffaele Palladino's men have five draws, three wins and two losses in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.20.
Fiorentina haven’t won any of their past six away games. The Florence team have racked up four draws, four losses and two victories in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.40.
Atalanta beat Fiorentina 3-2 when the teams last met at Gewiss Stadium. We’ve seen four Atalanta wins and two Fiorentina victories in the past 6 H2H meetings at Gewiss Stadium.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Atalanta Home Stats |
3-5-2 | 2.50 | 1.30 | 1.20 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 3 | |
Fiorentina Away Stats |
2-4-4 | 2.40 | 1.00 | 1.40 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Serie A: 30/03 2025 Fiorentina 1 Atalanta 0
- Serie A: 15/09 2024 Atalanta 3 Fiorentina 2
- Serie A: 02/06 2024 Atalanta 2 Fiorentina 3
- Coppa Italia: 24/04 2024 Atalanta 4 Fiorentina 1
- Coppa Italia: 03/04 2024 Fiorentina 1 Atalanta 0
- Serie A: 17/09 2023 Fiorentina 3 Atalanta 2
- Serie A: 17/04 2023 Fiorentina 1 Atalanta 1
- Serie A: 02/10 2022 Atalanta 1 Fiorentina 0
- Serie A: 20/02 2022 Fiorentina 1 Atalanta 0
- Coppa Italia: 10/02 2022 Atalanta 2 Fiorentina 3
Atalanta League Stats
Fiorentina League Stats
- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 3.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.50 corners awarded and 3.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 56.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 49.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 55.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Atalanta this season are Charles De Ketelaere (2), Gianluca Scamacca (2), Kamaldeen Sulemana (2)
- Top Assistors for Atalanta this season are Nikola Krstovic (3), Mario Pasalic (2), Davide Zappacosta (1)
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Atalanta vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News
Know who’s in and who’s out for Atalanta vs Fiorentina before making your bets. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Serie A lineups as well as the most recent injury news.
Atalanta Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Fiorentina Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Atalanta Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Fiorentina Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Previous Atalanta Lineups
Previous Fiorentina Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Serie A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 15:6 | 27 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18:9 | 25 |
| 3 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19:11 | 25 |
| 4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 26:13 | 24 |
| 5 | Bologna | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21:8 | 24 |
| 6 | Como | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19:7 | 24 |
| 7 | Juventus | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15:11 | 20 |
| 8 | Lazio | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:9 | 18 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16:16 | 17 |
| 10 | Udinese | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:20 | 15 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:16 | 14 |
| 12 | Torino | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 15 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 16 | Pisa | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 10:16 | 10 |
| 17 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8:16 | 10 |
| 18 | Genoa | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11:19 | 8 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 10:19 | 6 |
| 20 | Hellas Verona | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 7:18 | 6 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17:5 | 15 |
| 3 | Como | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:3 | 15 |
| 4 | Lazio | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 13 |
| 5 | Bologna | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | 13 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 13 |
| 7 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:5 | 12 |
| 8 | Roma | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:3 | 12 |
| 9 | Udinese | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:10 | 8 |
| 10 | Torino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:11 | 8 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 13 | Pisa | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1:2 | 6 |
| 14 | Cremonese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 15 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | 5 |
| 17 | Hellas Verona | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 18 | Lecce | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 19 | Genoa | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:8 | 3 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | 2 |
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