Atalanta vs Lecce Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Sep 2025

Serie A Betting Preview: Atalanta vs Lecce

Atalanta host Lecce in this Italian Serie A clash at Gewiss Stadium, with kick-off set for 09:00 on Sunday 14 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Back Lecce to Keep the Scoreline Close

Lecce +1.25 looks an interesting Asian Handicap wager at odds of -108. Our stake is divided between +1 and +1.5 when the underdogs clash with Atalanta and that gives us a fighting chance.

Going with our Asian Handicap bet? Learn more about BetMGM in our review, then access the latest promo code ahead of making your move.

1-1 Draw in Last H2H Battle

Atalanta drew on the road in their last game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Parma at Stadio Ennio Tardini. La Dea recorded 47% possession and managed three shots on target, while Mario Pasalic was the goalscorer.

Lecce lost when last in action. In a home game at Stadio Via del Mare, they were turned over 2-0 by AC Milan. The Apulia club had 45% possession and managed two shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Atalanta haven’t lost to Lecce in their past four games, with the last clash ending 1-1 at Gewiss Stadium. The 8 previous H2H meetings have involved five Atalanta wins, one draw and two Lecce victories.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
11	Atalanta	10	2	7	1	13	8	5	13:8	13
15	Lecce	10	2	3	5	8	14	-6	8:14	9

View Full Table

Atalanta have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 13.0 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal. La Dea have averaged 54.0% possession, 470.9 passes and 6.4 corners per game, conceding 1.0 goals and 4.7 corners from 11.1 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.

Top scorers Daniel Maldini and Mateo Retegui have found the net 3 times, with Mario Pasalic getting 2. Leading assistor is Mateo Retegui with 4, while goalkeeper Marco Carnesecchi has 3 clean sheets.

Lecce have won 2, lost 4 and drawn 4, with an average of 0.6 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts. Eusebio Di Francesco's side have averaged 40.1% possession, 298.3 passes, 5.3 corners taken and 5.9 corners against, while conceding 1.1 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts.

Federico Baschirotto is top of the team’s scoring charts with 2, while Lassana Coulibaly, Ylber Ramadani, Nikola Krstovic and Jesper Karlsson have 1. Nikola Krstovic and Thorir Helgason are top assists providers with 2, while Wladimiro Falcone has recorded 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Atalanta confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Marco Carnesecchi (GK), Odilon Kossounou, Isak Hien, Giorgio Scalvini, Raoul Bellanova, Mario Pasalic, Marten de Roon, Nicola Zalewski, Charles De Ketelaere, Kamaldeen Sulemana, Nikola Krstovic.

Lecce confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Wladimiro Falcone (GK), Christ-Owen Kouassi, Kialonda Gaspar, Jamil Siebert, Antonino Gallo, Alex Sala, Ylber Ramadani, Lassana Coulibaly, Tete Morente, Nikola Stulic, Riccardo Sottil.

Atalanta vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips

Make the most of Atalanta vs Lecce with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, corners advice, key player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

We can’t pass up the opportunity to side with the underdog by backing Lecce +1.25. They look easy to wager on the Asian Handicap at -108 when it comes to this Serie A encounter.

Our football experts study the form, while injuries and suspensions can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest Serie A stats.

Key Atalanta vs Lecce league stats:

• The +1.25 line has been covered by Lecce in 9 consecutive games on the road.
• The +1.25 line has been covered by Lecce in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atalanta in 5 consecutive games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atalanta in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atalanta in 16 of their last 20 games at home.

Lecce +1.25 Probability

According to the top bookies, our pick has a 51.8% chance of landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

If you want to land a big potential return from a small stake, then a Bet Builder could be the way to go. Back Lecce to cover the line in a combination with other selections.

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Our Match Prediction

Lecce Asian Hcp +1.25 @ -108 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Atalanta 1 - 1 Lecce

Our prediction for the correct score is for the teams to play out a 1-1 draw and this is available at +700. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mario Pasalic Under 0.5 Shots On Target -147

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta) hasn’t registered a shot on goal in three straight Serie A matches on home soil. We think that he will fail to cover the Shots on Target Line and betting odds of -147 are available for this wager.

Latest Mario Pasalic Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+290

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-143

Shots

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

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Santiago Pierotti to Score +650

Santiago Pierotti (Lecce) has scored three goals in his past eight Serie A away games. We’ll use this stat and take odds of +650 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Santiago Pierotti Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+650

First

+1500

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-278

Shots

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Lecce Over 2.5 Corners -138

Lecce have had over 2.5 corners in ten straight games, with Atalanta conceding over 2.5 corners in their past seven home games. We think that the value can be landed by betting on Team Corners and you can get -138 that Lecce go over the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atalanta

Total

11.10 6.40 4.70

Home

11.00 7.10 3.90

Away

7.80 3.70 4.10

Lecce

Total

11.20 5.30 5.90

Home

10.50 6.10 4.40

Away

10.00 3.90 6.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-127

Under 9.5

-112

Atalanta Corners

Over 6.5

-120

Under 6.5

-120

Lecce Corners

Over 2.5

-138

Under 2.5

-100

Most Corners

1

-667

X

+950

2

+575

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Atalanta vs Lecce Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Running Scared of Atalanta Win

Atalanta are overwhelming -294 favourites to win this Serie A clash based on the latest betting odds. The bookmakers afford them a 75% probability of claiming the spoils. Lecce are trading at a much larger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +850.

There’s a Half-Time Result market should you wish to predict the outcome at the break. Lecce are +600 here and the draw is +150, with Atalanta on offer at -119.

Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted. A different angle is going for a BTTS wager and there’s -149 available for Both Teams to Score No.

If you head to the best football betting sites, you can take your pick when it comes to Serie A matches. The hundreds of markets always ensure lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

-294

X

+370

2

+850

Half-Time Result

1

-119

X

+150

2

+600

Double Chance

1X

-1667

12

-556

X2

+200

Draw No Bet

1

-1111

2

+525

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.5

-102

2 Hcp +1.5

-122

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+106

Over 2.5

-137

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+110

No

-149

Nikola Krstovic is the First Goalscorer Favourite

The First Goalscorer favourite is Nikola Krstovic at +300, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.

Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta)

First

-100

Anytime

+300

Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta)

First

+138

Anytime

+360

Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta)

First

+180

Anytime

+475

Daniel Maldini (Atalanta)

First

+185

Anytime

+450

Kamal-Deen Sulemana (Atalanta)

First

+245

Anytime

+575

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta)

First

+290

Anytime

+750

Lazar Samardzic (Atalanta)

First

+340

Anytime

+850

Marco Brescianini (Atalanta)

First

+360

Anytime

+900

Francesco Camarda (Lecce)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Nikola Stulic (Lecce)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Nicola Zalewski (Atalanta)

First

+410

Anytime

+1000

Marten de Roon (Atalanta)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Giorgio Scalvini (Atalanta)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Tete Morente (Lecce)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Davide Zappacosta (Atalanta)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Santiago Pierotti (Lecce)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Konan Ignace Jocelyn N'dri (Lecce)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Lameck Banda (Lecce)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Mohamed Kaba (Lecce)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Medon Berisha (Lecce)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Raoul Bellanova (Atalanta)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Thórir Helgason (Lecce)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Daniel Maldini (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

+155

Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

+140

Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-141

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-143

Nikola Stulic (Lecce)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-143

Francesco Camarda (Lecce)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-149

Kamal-Deen Sulemana (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-200

Lazar Samardzic (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-179

Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-179

Marco Brescianini (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-200

Nicola Zalewski (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-217

Santiago Pierotti (Lecce)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-278

Tete Morente (Lecce)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-294

Konan Ignace Jocelyn N'dri (Lecce)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-303

Marten de Roon (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-313

Lameck Banda (Lecce)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-313

Mohamed Kaba (Lecce)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-370

Giorgio Scalvini (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-526

Davide Zappacosta (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-400

Medon Berisha (Lecce)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-667

Thórir Helgason (Lecce)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-909

Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta)

Over 4.5

-132

Under 4.5

-

Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta)

Over 2.5

-156

Under 2.5

-

Daniel Maldini (Atalanta)

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

-

Kamal-Deen Sulemana (Atalanta)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Lazar Samardzic (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

-112

Under 1.5

-

Marco Brescianini (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Nikola Stulic (Lecce)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Nicola Zalewski (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Tete Morente (Lecce)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Santiago Pierotti (Lecce)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Konan Ignace Jocelyn N'dri (Lecce)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-

Lameck Banda (Lecce)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Giorgio Scalvini (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Medon Berisha (Lecce)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Thórir Helgason (Lecce)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Four Atalanta Defeats in Previous Ten at Home

Atalanta have recorded four draws, four losses and two wins in the previous 10 home games, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

Lecce are unbeaten in the last four games on their travels. The Apulia team have managed four draws, four losses and two victories in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

The last meeting at Gewiss Stadium saw Atalanta and Lecce draw 1-1. The previous 4 H2H meetings at Gewiss Stadium have involved two Atalanta triumphs, one Lecce win and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Atalanta Home Stats		2-4-4	2.10	0.90	1.20	3	7	5	5
Lecce Away Stats		2-4-4	2.10	0.90	1.20	4	6	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Atalanta vs Lecce Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the Atalanta vs Lecce team news beforehand. Get the predicted and confirmed Serie A lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Atalanta Team Page Lecce Team Page