Athletico Paranaense vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Nov 2024

Can the Underdogs Make it a Close Contest?

We will split our stake on the Asian Handicap between 0 and +0.5 when wagering Atlético Mineiro +0.25 at -112 against Athletico Paranaense. We need a victory for a full payout although the draw means a return is on the cards.

Atlético Have Won 7 of Previous 10 H2H Encounters

Athletico Paranaense have lost back-to-back games. On their travels, São Paulo recently beat them 2-1. Lucho Gonzalez's team enjoyed just 22% possession and had three shots on target, with Julimar bagging the only goal.

Atlético Mineiro drew 0-0 in their previous game. This took place on their travels against Flamengo. Galo had 43% possession and two shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last clash between Athletico and Atlético ended all square. This head-to-head was a 1-1 draw. In the past 10 H2H meetings, there has been one draw. Atlético have won seven games and Athletico two.

1 win, 7 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts. Athletico have had 42.1% possession and 6.1 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.5 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.6 corners.

Julimar leads the way with 3 goals, Nikao has 2, with Pablo and two others on 1. Tomas Cuello has made the most assists with 2.

Atlético have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.3 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts. Gabriel Milito's side have averaged 53.9% possession, 4.0 corners taken and 5.6 corners against, while conceding 1.5 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts.

Eduardo Vargas and Hulk have top scored with 3, while Fausto Vera is next on 2. Brahian Palacios has managed to clock up 2 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Athletico Paranaense confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Mycael (GK), Leonardo Godoy, Lucas Belezi, Thiago Heleno, Lucas Esquivel, Erick, Gabriel, Tomas Cuello, Nikao, Julimar, Pablo.

Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Everson (GK), Renzo Saravia, Rodrigo Andres Battaglia, Lyanco, Gustavo Scarpa, Fausto Vera, Otavio, Rubens, Hulk, Deyverson, Bernard.

Athletico Paranaense vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction & Betting Tips

Atlético Mineiro +0.25 at -112 have the look of a value bet on the Asian Handicap. We give them a good chance of landing a victory in this Série A clash and it’s therefore a pick we’ll back with confidence.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of stats and present the key numbers to our readers.

Key Athletico Paranaense vs Atlético Mineiro league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Atlético MG in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Atlético MG in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Athletico PR in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Athletico PR in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Athletico PR in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Athletico PR in 3 consecutive games against Atlético MG.

Atlético +0.25 Probability

The bookies are estimating that there is a 52.9% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

Bettors have the flexibility of being able to buy or sell goals depending on whether they want a safer or a riskier wager, with the odds moving according to the line.

Our Match Prediction

Atlético MG Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -112 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Athletico 0 - 1 Atlético

A 1-0 win in favor of Atlético is available at odds of +650. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.

Athletico Paranaense vs Atlético Mineiro Odds

With a 46% chance of winning, Athletico Paranaense are favourites to win this Serie A match and they’re available at betting odds of +118 with the bookies. Atlético Mineiro are the +255 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

The odds suggest that Under 2.5 Goals is the likelier outcome in this match.

The Draw No Bet market is popular for Série A matches, with the football betting sites offering Athletico Paranaense at -189 and Atlético Mineiro are priced at +148 for the win.

Full-Time Result

1

+118

X

+220

2

+255

Half-Time Result

1

+190

X

+102

2

+310

Double Chance

1X

-370

12

-303

X2

-159

Draw No Bet

1

-189

2

+148

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-118

2 Hcp +0.25

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-185

Over 2.5

+148

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+102

No

-143

Athletico Paranaense vs Atlético Mineiro Lineups & Team News

It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Athletico vs Atlético team news.

Getting the player information you need is easy thanks to the Série A squads.

Athletico Paranaense Team Page Atlético Mineiro Team Page