Atlas vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Apr 2025

Goals the Play in Atlas vs Toluca

Betting Over 2.5 in the Total Goals market at -150 looks to be the way forward based on the available stats. We anticipate three goals or more to be recorded in the contest between Atlas and Toluca.

4-1 Toluca Triumph in Previous H2H

Atlas played Juárez at home in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at Estadio Jalisco. Los Rojinegros had 46% possession and totalled two shots on target, with Matias Coccaro being the goalscorer.

Deportivo Toluca have won their previous four games. The latest was a 2-1 home win at Estadio Nemesio Diez against Santos Laguna. Antonio Mohamed's side enjoyed 54% possession and managed six shots on goal, with Paulinho and Marcel Ruiz finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Toluca have claimed consecutive victories over Atlas, winning by 4-1 and 4-1 scorelines when hosting at Estadio Nemesio Diez. The past 10 H2H games have featured four triumphs for Toluca, two for Atlas and four draws.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Toluca	3	2	0	1	10	7	3	10:7	6
9	Atlas	3	1	1	1	7	8	-1	7:8	4

View Full Table

3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts. Atlas have had 46.1% possession and 5.3 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 2.1 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 10.5 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.3 corners.

Top scorer Uros Djurdjevic has found the net 9 times, with Matias Coccaro, Eduardo Aguirre, Matheus Doria and Matheus Doria getting 1 goals each. Rivaldo Lozano is the top assists maker with 2.

Deportivo Toluca have 8 victories, 1 defeat and 1 draw, averaging 7.5 shots on goal, 13.3 attempts and 2.8 goals. Los Diablos Rojos average 59.9% possession, 5.1 corners taken and 3.5 corners against them, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 8.0 attempts and 3.1 shots on goal.

Paulinho is the leading goalscorer with 8, Alexis Vega has 7, with Jesus Angulo and Robert Morales getting 3. Jesus Gallardo, Alexis Vega and Marcel Ruiz have managed 4 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Atlas confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Camilo Vargas (GK), Carlos Orrantia, Martin Hugo Nervo, Matheus Doria, Gaddi Aguirre, Diego Gonzalez, Jeremy Marquez, Aldo Rocha, Rivaldo Lozano, Uros Djurdjevic, Eduardo Aguirre.

Toluca confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Luis Garcia (GK), Bruno Mendez, Federico Pereira, Everardo Del Villar, Isaias Violante, Marcel Ruiz, Hector Herrera, Juan Dominguez, Jesus Angulo, Alexis Vega, Paulinho.

Atlas vs Toluca Prediction & Betting Tips

The latest stats suggest that we’ll see a number of goals being scored during this Liga MX clash. If you agree with this verdict, you can secure a price of -150 when it comes to betting on Over 2.5 Goals.

We’re always monitoring the team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.

Key Atlas vs Toluca league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Atlas games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Atlas games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in all of the last 5 Toluca games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Toluca games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 9 Toluca games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Over 2.5 Probability

The betting sites are estimating that there is a 60% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 70%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

There’s a chance to back selections at larger odds, with bettors able to combine the Over 2.5 Goals pick with BTTS Yes on the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market.

Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -150 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Atlas 1 - 2 Toluca

There could be merit in backing Toluca to win 2-1. Odds of +700 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Corners Prediction

Toluca Under 5.5 Corners -150

It’s been under 5.5 corners for Toluca in 8 of their past 10 away matches, while Atlas have conceded less than 5.5 corners in five straight home games. There is value when it comes to going under the Toluca Team Corners line and this is available at -150.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atlas

Total

9.60 5.30 4.30

Home

10.40 5.80 4.60

Away

9.50 4.40 5.10

Toluca

Total

8.60 5.10 3.50

Home

8.50 4.40 4.10

Away

7.40 4.20 3.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+110

Under 10.5

-150

Atlas Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

Toluca Corners

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-150

Most Corners

1

+112

X

+550

2

-116

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Atlas vs Toluca Odds

With a 49% chance of winning, Deportivo Toluca are favourites to win this Liga MX match and they’re available at betting odds of +105 with the bookies. For those wanting to back Atlas, you will find +240 about this outsider.

A high-scoring match is a possibility and that is reflected in the Over 2.5 Goals odds.

You can back Atlas at +150 on the Draw No Bet market, with money back if the game is a draw. Deportivo Toluca are -200 with the football betting sites to win this Liga MX game.

Full-Time Result

1

+240

X

+275

2

+105

Half-Time Result

1

+275

X

+130

2

+162.5

Double Chance

1X

-138

12

-400

X2

-333

Draw No Bet

1

+150

2

-200

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-125

2 Hcp -0.5

+105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+120

Over 2.5

-154

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-175

No

+125

Atlas vs Toluca Lineups & Team News

It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Atlas vs Toluca team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’re on hand to provide you with full details of the latest Liga MX squads.

Atlas Team Page Toluca Team Page