Atlético Madrid vs Alavés Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Jan 2026

La Liga Betting Preview: Atlético Madrid vs Alavés

Atlético Madrid square off against Alavés at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, with kick-off set for 10:15 on Sunday 18 January.

Atlético Madrid could have the upper hand against Alavés. We think the favourites will win by two goals or more, so we’ll play the -1.5 on the Asian Handicap at tempting betting odds of +102.

Atlético Madrid drew on the road in their last La Liga game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Real Sociedad at Reale Arena. Diego Simeone's side had most of the ball enjoying 55% possession and two shots on target, with Alexander Soerloth scoring the goal.

On Tuesday night, Atléti won 1-0 when visiting Deportivo La Coruña in the Copa del Rey.

Deportivo Alavés have lost their previous six away games. They recently suffered a 3-1 defeat against Villarreal at Estadio de la Ceramica. Los Babazorros had five shots on goal and boasted 56% possession, while Antonio Martinez was on the scoresheet.

Four days ago, Alavés triumphed 2-0 at home to Rayo Vallecano in the Copa del Rey.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Atléti are unbeaten when it comes to the past three meetings against Alavés, with the last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw at Estadio Mendizorroza. The previous 10 H2H games have ended in six Atléti victories, two draws and two Alavés wins.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Atlético Madrid	26	15	6	5	43	23	20	43:23	51
16	Alavés	26	7	6	13	23	34	-11	23:34	27

View Full Table

7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.8 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts. Atléti have had 52.4% possession, 481.9 passes and 7.3 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.7 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.4 corners.

Antoine Griezmann is the top scorer with 5 goals, Alexander Soerloth has 3, with Koke and Alejandro Baena on 2. The leading assistors are Giuliano Simeone and Julian Alvarez with 2, while goalie Jan Oblak has recorded 4 clean sheets.

Alavés have won 2, lost 7 and drawn 1, averaging 9.4 attempts, 3.3 shots on goal and 0.7 goals. The Vitoria-Gasteiz team average 48.6% possession, 424.7 passes, 3.7 corners awarded and 5.8 corners against them, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 4.3 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts.

Lucas Boye has scored 3 goals, followed by Antonio Martinez, Carlos Vicente, Pablo Ibanez and Denis Suarez on 1. Antonio Blanco and Victor Parada have clocked up 1 assists, with Antonio Sivera keeping one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Marcos Llorente, Marc Pubill, David Hancko, Matteo Ruggeri, Giuliano Simeone, Pablo Barrios, Johnny Cardoso, Thiago Almada, Julian Alvarez, Alexander Soerloth.

Alavés confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Antonio Sivera (GK), Jonny Otto, Nahuel Tenaglia, Jon Pacheco, Victor Parada, Antonio Blanco, Carlos Vicente, Jon Guridi, Pablo Ibanez, Carles Alena, Antonio Martinez.

Atlético Madrid vs Alavés Prediction & Betting Tips

Dive into our full Atlético Madrid vs Alavés betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, valuable corners advice, top player prop bet and a bet builder designed for value.

Match Prediction

There’s a strong chance that Atlético Madrid won’t just win this La Liga game but have a comfortable margin of victory. We’re happy to wager the favourites -1.5 at odds of +102 for this reason.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming La Liga action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our football predictions.

Key Atlético Madrid vs Alavés league stats:

• The -1.5 line has been covered by Atléti in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -1.5 line has been covered by Atléti in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Alavés in 3 consecutive games on the road.

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 49.5% chance of winning. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

It’s great to place a Winning Margin wager if you want an alternative to Asian Handicap. Choose whether a team will achieve a close victory or something bigger.

Before you back your picks, see how far a bonus can take you — our guide highlights the top betting offers live now.

Our Match Prediction

Atléti Asian Hcp -1.5 @ +102 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 16, 16:38). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Atléti 3 - 0 Alavés

A 3-0 win in favor of Atléti is available at odds of +600. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Giuliano Simeone Over 0.5 Shots On Target +180

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti) has chalked up at least one shot on goal in three straight La Liga home games. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to him covering the Shots on Target line, with betting odds of +180 now available.

Latest Giuliano Simeone Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+450

First

+1150

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-333

Shots

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

---

Pablo Barrios To Score +750

Pablo Barrios (Atléti) is available to be among the goals at +750. We’ll have a play on this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Pablo Barrios Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+750

First

+1900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-769

Shots

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -135

In terms of average corners for the past five Atlético Madrid home matches, the number is 13.00. The last five Alavés games have averaged 10.80 corners. The Total Corners line looks attractive and we’re going to take the -135 that it’s covered.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atléti

Total

11.70 7.30 4.40

Home

12.20 8.60 3.60

Away

8.70 4.90 3.80

Alavés

Total

9.50 3.70 5.80

Home

10.20 5.70 4.50

Away

9.90 4.80 5.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-123

Under 9.5

-115

Atléti Corners

Over 6.5

-104

Under 6.5

-137

Alavés Corners

Over 2.5

-175

Under 2.5

+120

Most Corners

1

-400

X

+800

2

+360

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atlético Madrid vs Alavés Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

You might not get rich backing Atlético Madrid at -313 to win this La Liga clash although these betting odds imply a 76% chance that the favourites end up winning. If you’re interested in wagering Deportivo Alavés, you can get +1000 for the underdog.

For those wanting an alternative, Atléti are -125 on the Half-Time Result market. This means they need to lead at the break, with Alavés being priced up at +700 and the draw is +148.

The Under 2.5 / Over 2.5 Goals betting market suggests that there’s not much between the two options. The Both Teams to Score No wager is -182 and it’s perfect if you anticipate that one side or more will fail to score by the full-time whistle.

If you’re wanting hundreds of football markets, then the good news is that the best betting apps can provide this. For any La Liga game, take your pick and hopefully find a winning angle.

Full-Time Result

1

-313

X

+375

2

+1000

Half-Time Result

1

-125

X

+148

2

+700

Double Chance

1X

-2500

12

-556

X2

+210

Draw No Bet

1

-1429

2

+540

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.5

-100

2 Hcp +1.5

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-115

Over 2.5

-111

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+135

No

-182

Favourite Julián Álvarez is available at +240 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

-122

Anytime

+240

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+125

Anytime

+330

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+195

Anytime

+510

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Nicolás González (Atléti)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Pablo Ibáñez (Alavés)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Carlos Vicente (Alavés)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Conor Gallagher (Atléti)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

David Hancko (Atléti)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Marcos Llorente (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Robin Le Normand (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Johnny Cardoso (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Koke (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Clément Lenglet (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Marc Pubill (Atléti)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Nahuel Molina (Atléti)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

José Giménez (Atléti)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Abde Rebbach (Alavés)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Matteo Ruggeri (Atléti)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Carles Aleñá (Alavés)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva (Alavés)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-111

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-114

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-143

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-200

Nicolás González (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-208

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-208

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-233

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-250

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-333

Pablo Ibáñez (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-385

Carlos Vicente (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-400

Abde Rebbach (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-500

Carles Aleñá (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-625

David Hancko (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-769

Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Conor Gallagher (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Johnny Cardoso (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-833

Robin Le Normand (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-909

Clément Lenglet (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-833

Matteo Ruggeri (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1000

Koke (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-1000

Marc Pubill (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-1000

Marcos Llorente (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-1429

José Giménez (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-1667

Nahuel Molina (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+400

Under 0.5

-1667

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 3.5

-119

Under 3.5

-

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 3.5

+108

Under 3.5

-

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

Over 1.5

-104

Under 1.5

-

Pablo Ibáñez (Alavés)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Nicolás González (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+114

Under 1.5

-

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Vicente (Alavés)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

David Hancko (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-

Johnny Cardoso (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Abde Rebbach (Alavés)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Carles Aleñá (Alavés)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

Calebe Goncalves Ferreira da Silva (Alavés)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Atlético Madrid are ten wins from ten at Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

Alavés are on a six game losing streak on the road. Los Babazorros have finished with seven losses, two victories and one draw in the past 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.50 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

Atléti were 2-1 victors against Alavés last time out at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. In the previous 5 H2H games at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Atléti have a 100% win rate.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Atlético Madrid Home Stats		10-0-0	3.80	2.90	0.90	8	2	7	3
Alavés Away Stats		2-1-7	1.90	0.50	1.40	3	7	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Atlético Madrid vs Alavés Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Atléti vs Alavés before making your bets. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for La Liga and all current injury news.

Atlético Madrid Team Page Alavés Team Page

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