Atlético Madrid vs Alavés Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Jan 2026

La Liga Betting Preview: Atlético Madrid vs Alavés

Atlético Madrid square off against Alavés at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, with kick-off set for 10:15 on Sunday 18 January.

Atlético Madrid could have the upper hand against Alavés. We think the favourites will win by two goals or more, so we’ll play the -1.5 on the Asian Handicap at tempting betting odds of +102.

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Atlético Madrid drew on the road in their last La Liga game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Real Sociedad at Reale Arena. Diego Simeone's side had most of the ball enjoying 55% possession and two shots on target, with Alexander Soerloth scoring the goal.

On Tuesday night, Atléti won 1-0 when visiting Deportivo La Coruña in the Copa del Rey.

Deportivo Alavés have lost their previous six away games. They recently suffered a 3-1 defeat against Villarreal at Estadio de la Ceramica. Los Babazorros had five shots on goal and boasted 56% possession, while Antonio Martinez was on the scoresheet.

Four days ago, Alavés triumphed 2-0 at home to Rayo Vallecano in the Copa del Rey.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Atléti are unbeaten when it comes to the past three meetings against Alavés, with the last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw at Estadio Mendizorroza. The previous 10 H2H games have ended in six Atléti victories, two draws and two Alavés wins.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Atlético Madrid	19	11	5	3	34	17	17	34:17	38
16	Alavés	19	5	4	10	16	24	-8	16:24	19

View Full Table

7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.8 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts. Atléti have had 52.4% possession, 481.9 passes and 7.3 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.7 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.4 corners.

Antoine Griezmann is the top scorer with 5 goals, Alexander Soerloth has 3, with Koke and Alejandro Baena on 2. The leading assistors are Giuliano Simeone and Julian Alvarez with 2, while goalie Jan Oblak has recorded 4 clean sheets.

Alavés have won 2, lost 7 and drawn 1, averaging 9.4 attempts, 3.3 shots on goal and 0.7 goals. The Vitoria-Gasteiz team average 48.6% possession, 424.7 passes, 3.7 corners awarded and 5.8 corners against them, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 4.3 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts.

Lucas Boye has scored 3 goals, followed by Antonio Martinez, Carlos Vicente, Pablo Ibanez and Denis Suarez on 1. Antonio Blanco and Victor Parada have clocked up 1 assists, with Antonio Sivera keeping one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Madrid predicted lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Marcos Llorente, Marc Pubill, David Hancko, Matteo Ruggeri, Giuliano Simeone, Pablo Barrios, Koke, Alejandro Baena, Alexander Soerloth, Julian Alvarez.

Alavés predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Antonio Sivera (GK), Jonny Otto, Nahuel Tenaglia, Jon Pacheco, Victor Parada, Pablo Ibanez, Antonio Blanco, Carlos Vicente, Jon Guridi, Carles Alena, Antonio Martinez.

Atlético Madrid vs Alavés Prediction & Betting Tips

Dive into our full Atlético Madrid vs Alavés betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, valuable corners advice, top player prop bet and a bet builder designed for value.

Match Prediction

There’s a strong chance that Atlético Madrid won’t just win this La Liga game but have a comfortable margin of victory. We’re happy to wager the favourites -1.5 at odds of +102 for this reason.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming La Liga action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our football predictions.

Key Atlético Madrid vs Alavés league stats:

• The -1.5 line has been covered by Atléti in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -1.5 line has been covered by Atléti in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Alavés in 3 consecutive games on the road.

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 49.5% chance of winning. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

It’s great to place a Winning Margin wager if you want an alternative to Asian Handicap. Choose whether a team will achieve a close victory or something bigger.

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Our Match Prediction

Atléti Asian Hcp -1.5 @ +102 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Atléti 3 - 0 Alavés

A 3-0 win in favor of Atléti is available at odds of +600. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Giuliano Simeone Over 0.5 Shots On Target +180

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti) has chalked up at least one shot on goal in three straight La Liga home games. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to him covering the Shots on Target line, with betting odds of +180 now available.

Latest Giuliano Simeone Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+450

First

+1100

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Shots

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

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Pablo Barrios To Score +750

Pablo Barrios (Atléti) is available to be among the goals at +750. We’ll have a play on this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Pablo Barrios Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+750

First

+2000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Shots

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -135

In terms of average corners for the past five Atlético Madrid home matches, the number is 13.00. The last five Alavés games have averaged 10.80 corners. The Total Corners line looks attractive and we’re going to take the -135 that it’s covered.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atléti

Total

11.70 7.30 4.40

Home

12.20 8.60 3.60

Away

8.70 4.90 3.80

Alavés

Total

9.50 3.70 5.80

Home

10.20 5.70 4.50

Away

9.90 4.80 5.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-132

Under 9.5

-106

Atléti Corners

Over 6.5

-102

Under 6.5

-139

Alavés Corners

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-159

Most Corners

1

-370

X

+800

2

+330

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Atlético Madrid vs Alavés Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

You might not get rich backing Atlético Madrid at -333 to win this La Liga clash although these betting odds imply a 77% chance that the favourites end up winning. If you’re interested in wagering Deportivo Alavés, you can get +900 for the underdog.

For those wanting an alternative, Atléti are -122 on the Half-Time Result market. This means they need to lead at the break, with Alavés being priced up at +650 and the draw is +148.

The Under 2.5 / Over 2.5 Goals betting market suggests that there’s not much between the two options. The Both Teams to Score No wager is -175 and it’s perfect if you anticipate that one side or more will fail to score by the full-time whistle.

If you’re wanting hundreds of football markets, then the good news is that the best betting apps can provide this. For any La Liga game, take your pick and hopefully find a winning angle.

Full-Time Result

1

-333

X

+420

2

+900

Half-Time Result

1

-122

X

+148

2

+650

Double Chance

1X

-2000

12

-667

X2

+225

Draw No Bet

1

-1250

2

+525

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.5

+102

2 Hcp +1.5

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-112

Over 2.5

-115

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+132

No

-175

Favourite Julián Álvarez is available at +230 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

-125

Anytime

+230

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+140

Anytime

+360

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+190

Anytime

+510

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+230

Anytime

+575

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Nicolás González (Atléti)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Pablo Ibáñez (Alavés)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

David Hancko (Atléti)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Carlos Vicente (Alavés)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Johnny Cardoso (Atléti)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Conor Gallagher (Atléti)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Koke (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Matteo Ruggeri (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Clément Lenglet (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Marcos Llorente (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Abde Rebbach (Alavés)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Marc Pubill (Atléti)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Robin Le Normand (Atléti)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Nahuel Molina (Atléti)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

José Giménez (Atléti)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

+150

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-108

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-120

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-143

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-200

Nicolás González (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-200

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-204

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-227

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-222

Carlos Vicente (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Pablo Ibáñez (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-345

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Abde Rebbach (Alavés)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-500

David Hancko (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-769

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Conor Gallagher (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Johnny Cardoso (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-909

Matteo Ruggeri (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-909

Koke (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1250

Clément Lenglet (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-833

Robin Le Normand (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-909

Marc Pubill (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-1000

José Giménez (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-1000

Marcos Llorente (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-1250

Nahuel Molina (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-1429

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 4.5

+104

Under 4.5

-

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 3.5

+123

Under 3.5

-

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+114

Under 1.5

-

Nicolás González (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Mariano Diaz (Alavés)

Over 1.5

-108

Under 1.5

-

Toni Martínez (Alavés)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Pablo Ibáñez (Alavés)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

David Hancko (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Vicente (Alavés)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Johnny Cardoso (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Abde Rebbach (Alavés)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Atlético Madrid are ten wins from ten at Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

Alavés are on a six game losing streak on the road. Los Babazorros have finished with seven losses, two victories and one draw in the past 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.50 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

Atléti were 2-1 victors against Alavés last time out at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. In the previous 5 H2H games at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Atléti have a 100% win rate.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Atlético Madrid Home Stats		10-0-0	3.80	2.90	0.90	8	2	7	3
Alavés Away Stats		2-1-7	1.90	0.50	1.40	3	7	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Atlético Madrid vs Alavés Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Atléti vs Alavés before making your bets. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for La Liga and all current injury news.

Atlético Madrid Team Page Alavés Team Page

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