Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Apr 2026

Champions League Betting Preview: Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona

Atlético Madrid and Barcelona meet in the second leg of this UEFA Champions League quarter-final tie at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 14 April. Atléti won the first leg 2-0.

We think that Atlético Madrid should be able to perform well when playing Barcelona and we’re backing the home team +0.75 at -122 on the Asian Handicap. This means the stake is split evenly at +0.5 and +1.0.

Atlético Madrid lost 2-1 away to Sevilla at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán in La Liga at the weekend. Diego Simeone's team enjoyed 68% possession and had two shots on target, with Javier Bonar being the goalscorer.

Barcelona secured a 4-1 home win over Espanyol in the Derbi Barceloní at Camp Nou in La Liga on Saturday. The Blaugranes boasted an impressive 77% of possession and had ten shots on goal, with Ferran Torres scoring two, while Lamine Yamal and Marcus Rashford also found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Atléti claimed a surprise 2-0 away win over Barcelona in the first leg. Despite having Pau Cubarsi sent off in the 44th minute, Barca dominated possession with 55% of the ball and had eight shots on target to three. However, Atléti made their chances count, with Julian Alvarez and Alexander Soerloth scoring.

The two teams met at the Riyadh Metropolitano in La Liga ten days ago, with Barca beating Atleti 2-1. In that game, it was Atleti who had a player sent off late in the first half, with Nicolas Gonzalez dismissed. The previous 10 head-to-head meetings have resulted in eight Barca victories and two Atléti wins.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Barcelona	8	5	1	2	22	14	8	22:14	16
14	Atlético Madrid	8	4	1	3	17	15	2	17:15	13

View Full Table

Atléti have 6 wins and 4 losses, averaging 2.2 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts. Los Colchoneros have averaged 52.3% possession and 4.3 corners per match, conceding 1.5 goals and 5.4 corners from 6.0 shots on goal and 14.1 attempts.

Alexander Soerloth and Julian Alvarez are the leading goalscorers with 5, while Nahuel Molina has 2. Matteo Ruggeri, Julian Alvarez and Antoine Griezmann have the most assists with 3, while goalie Juan Musso has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Barca have 8 victories, 1 defeat and 1 draw, with an average of 7.1 shots on goal, 16.5 attempts and 2.8 goals. Hansi Flick's side average 65.4% possession, 6.2 corners awarded and 4.2 corners against, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 8.4 attempts and 3.0 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Lamine Yamal with 7, Raphinha on 5 and Robert Lewandowski 4. Lamine Yamal and Fermin Lopez have been top assists providers with 4, while Joan Garcia has kept 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Madrid predicted lineup (4-4-2): Juan Musso (GK), Nahuel Molina, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet, Matteo Ruggeri, Giuliano Simeone, Marcos Llorente, Rodrigo Mendoza, Ademola Lookman, Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez.

Barcelona predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Joan Garcia (GK), Jules Kounde, Ronald Araujo, Gerard Martin, Joao Cancelo, Eric Garcia, Pedri, Lamine Yamal, Dani Olmo, Marcus Rashford, Robert Lewandowski.

Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Betting Tips

Get set for Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top corners play, player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

There’s a strong case for siding with underdogs Atlético Madrid at +0.75. The Asian Handicap odds of -122 looks like a value play for this Champions League clash and the stats suggest that a return could be on the cards.

Injuries and suspensions are studied by the team at Sportsgambler.com. Our football predictions also come from studying the latest Champions League form, with the numbers playing a huge part before the tips are decided.

Key Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Champions League & league stats:

• The +0.75 line has been covered by Atléti in 17 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Atléti in 4 of their last 5 games at home.

If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 54.9% chance of delivering a return. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

There’s a chance to land a larger price and this can be attained by moving the line. Increase your odds for your selection by taking a different wagering stance.

Before placing your bet, explore our exclusive betting promo codes, welcome offers, and best free bets for today.

Our Match Prediction

Atléti Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -122 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 12, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Atléti 1 - 1 Barcelona

The teams can be backed at +750 to play out a 1-1 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Giuliano Simeone to Score +550

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti) has netted two goals in his past nine matches on home soil. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +550.

Latest Giuliano Simeone Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+550

First

+1900

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Atléti Over 2.5 Corners -102

Atlético Madrid have had a corner average of 6.50 in the past ten home games, while Barcelona have conceded an average 4.50 corners in their last ten away matches. The latest stats suggest that it’s worth backing Atléti to cover the Team Corners line, with -102 available.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atléti

Total

9.70 4.30 5.40

Home

10.30 6.50 3.80

Away

10.60 5.20 5.40

Barcelona

Total

10.40 6.20 4.20

Home

11.20 7.70 3.50

Away

11.30 6.80 4.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-141

Under 10.5

-100

Atléti Corners

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-141

Barcelona Corners

Over 8.5

-102

Under 8.5

-139

Most Corners

1

+850

X

+1200

2

-1667

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Barcelona are the -127 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 56% chance of winning this Champions League encounter according to the latest betting odds. Atlético Madrid are the underdogs at +285 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.

Barca can be backed at +128 on the Half-Time Result and you’ll need them to have their noses in front by the break. Atléti can be chanced at +275 and the draw is +163.

The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. If you think both teams will score, then you can back BTTS Yes at -270.

You’ll be blown away by the hundreds of markets available for Champions League matches. Head to the best betting sites and take your pick from the various football options available.

Full-Time Result

1

+285

X

+330

2

-127

Half-Time Result

1

+275

X

+163

2

+128

Double Chance

1X

-103

12

-476

X2

-400

Draw No Bet

1

+175

2

-263

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-122

2 Hcp -0.75

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+215

Over 2.5

-278

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-270

No

+200

Favourite Alexander Sørloth is now available at +360 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+105

Anytime

+360

Lamine Yamal (Barcelona)

First

+110

Anytime

+380

Robert Lewandowski (Barcelona)

First

+130

Anytime

+430

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

+130

Anytime

+450

Ferran Torres (Barcelona)

First

+150

Anytime

+510

Marcus Rashford (Barcelona)

First

+200

Anytime

+650

Fermín López (Barcelona)

First

+240

Anytime

+800

Roony Bardghji (Barcelona)

First

+250

Anytime

+800

Dani Olmo (Barcelona)

First

+270

Anytime

+950

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+290

Anytime

+950

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

First

+290

Anytime

+950

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+380

Anytime

+1200

Ronald Araujo (Barcelona)

First

+500

Anytime

+1700

Nicolás González (Atléti)

First

+525

Anytime

+1600

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

+550

Anytime

+1800

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+550

Anytime

+1900

Marc Bernal (Barcelona)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Pedri (Barcelona)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Frenkie de Jong (Barcelona)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Marc Casadó (Barcelona)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

João Cancelo (Barcelona)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Atlético Madrid Stats

Barcelona Stats

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the previous 10 matches
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 5.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.80 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 52.30% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 55.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 65.40% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 66.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 10 of the last 10 away matches

Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Atléti vs Barca team news before betting. Expect the predicted and confirmed Champions League lineups along with timely injury updates.

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