Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 Sep 2025

La Liga Betting Preview: Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

Atlético Madrid host Rayo Vallecano in this Spanish La Liga encounter at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, with kick-off set for 15:30 on Wednesday 24 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Get With Atléti on the Asian Handicap

We’re sweet on Atlético Madrid against Rayo. They’re available at -1 on the Asian Handicap and we’re happy to take odds of -122 that the favourites win by two goals or more, with the stake back if they win by one.

On board with our Asian Handicap selection? Unlock today’s BetMGM promo code and find out how the bookie performs in our in-depth site review before jumping in.

7 Wins for Atléti in Last 9 H2H Encounters

Atlético Madrid played Mallorca on their travels in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at Estadi Son Moix. Diego Simeone's side had the majority of the ball enjoying 59% possession and seven shots on target, while Conor Gallagher was the goalscorer.

Rayo Vallecano drew 1-1 in their previous game. This was at home against Celta Vigo at Estadio de Vallecas. Los Franjirrojos recorded 59% possession and had five shots on goal, while Jorge de Frutos found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Atléti have not lost any of the past nine games against Rayo. In the last clash, Atléti secured a 3-0 win when hosting at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. The past 9 H2H meetings have featured seven Atléti wins and two draws.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Atlético Madrid	5	1	3	1	6	5	1	6:5	6
14	Rayo Vallecano	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5:6	5

View Full Table

Atléti have 4 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 6.2 shots on goal and 12.9 attempts. Los Colchoneros have averaged 59.1% possession, 560.8 passes and 6.1 corners per game, with the opposition getting 0.8 goals from 2.8 shots on goal, 7.2 attempts and 2.4 corners.

Alexander Soerloth is the top goalscorer with 8, Julian Alvarez has 3, with Conor Gallagher and two other players on 1. Julian Alvarez has the most assists with 3, while goalkeepers Jan Oblak and Juan Musso have recorded 4 clean sheets between them.

Rayo have won 4, lost 2 and drawn 4, with an average of 5.2 shots on goal, 14.2 attempts and 1.1 goals. Inigo Perez's men average 54.8% possession, 436.0 passes, 6.8 corners taken and 4.8 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 10.9 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

Jorge de Frutos has scored 4, followed by Alvaro Garcia, Isi Palazon and Florian Lejeune with 2 goals apiece. Isi Palazon has had 2 assists, with Augusto Batalla and Dani Cardenas notching 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Madrid predicted lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet, David Hancko, Giuliano Simeone, Koke, Pablo Barrios, Conor Gallagher, Julián Álvarez, Antoine Griezmann.

Rayo Vallecano predicted lineup (4-4-2): Augusto Batalla (GK), Ivan Balliu, Florian Lejeune, Jozhua Vertrouwd, Pep Chavarría, Jorge de Frutos, Pathé Ciss, Unai López Cabrera, Álvaro García Rivera, Isi Palazón, Alexandre Alemão.

Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips

Gear up for Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market value, top player props and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

Atlético Madrid at -1 on the Asian Handicap looks like an appealing selection. We think that betting odds of -122 can be taken with confidence when it comes to this La Liga match.

The latest La Liga injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.

Key Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano league stats:

• The -1 line has been covered by Atléti in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -1 line has been covered by Atléti in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +1 line hasn’t been covered by Rayo in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +1 line hasn’t been covered by Rayo in 7 of their last 9 games against Atléti.

Atléti -1 Probability

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 54.9% prospect of winning. However, our tipsters research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

If you want to land bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your bet to be.

Boost your wager with the newest free bets, sign-up promotions and the best betting offers featured in our easy-to-use guide.

Our Match Prediction

Atléti Asian Hcp -1 @ -122 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Atléti 2 - 0 Rayo

There are betting odds of +575 that Atléti land a 2-0 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jorge de Frutos Over 0.5 Shots On Target -102

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo) has racked up at least one shot on goal in nine of his past ten La Liga matches. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll back him to cover the Shots on Target line which is available at odds of -102.

Latest Jorge de Frutos Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+360

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-154

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Julián Álvarez To Score -102

Julián Álvarez (Atléti) can be backed to score at -102. We’re happy to take this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Julián Álvarez Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-102

First

+260

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-147

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Corners Prediction

Rayo Over 3.5 Corners -138

Rayo Vallecano have had over 3.5 corners in six straight matches. There’s an opportunity to go over the Rayo Team Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -138 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atléti

Total

8.50 6.10 2.40

Home

9.80 6.30 3.50

Away

8.20 5.10 3.10

Rayo

Total

11.60 6.80 4.80

Home

11.20 6.80 4.40

Away

10.00 4.60 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+102

Under 10.5

-143

Atléti Corners

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-120

Rayo Corners

Over 3.5

-138

Under 3.5

-100

Most Corners

1

-217

X

+700

2

+235

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Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest 1x2 Odds Suggest Atléti Victory

Atlético Madrid are the -208 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 68% chance of winning this La Liga encounter according to the latest betting odds. The +540 means that Rayo Vallecano are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then Atléti are +104 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Rayo are +475 and the draw is priced at +138.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. When it comes to BTTS betting, the market suggests that Both Teams to Score Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.

Bettors love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every La Liga game. The best football betting sites ensure that their customers always have plenty of options.

Full-Time Result

1

-208

X

+330

2

+540

Half-Time Result

1

+104

X

+138

2

+475

Double Chance

1X

-909

12

-476

X2

+150

Draw No Bet

1

-588

2

+340

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-122

2 Hcp +1

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-102

Over 2.5

-127

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-109

No

-125

Julián Álvarez Favourite to Find the Net First

Julián Álvarez is the First Goalscorer favourite at +260. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at -102.

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

-102

Anytime

+260

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+140

Anytime

+350

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+220

Anytime

+525

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

First

+320

Anytime

+750

Nicolás González (Atléti)

First

+330

Anytime

+750

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Álvaro García (Rayo)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Isi Palazón (Rayo)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Sergio Camello (Rayo)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Randy Nteka (Rayo)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

David Hancko (Atléti)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Conor Gallagher (Atléti)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Fran Pérez (Rayo)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Matteo Ruggeri (Atléti)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Óscar Trejo (Rayo)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Marcos Llorente (Atléti)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Marc Pubill (Atléti)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Nahuel Molina (Atléti)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

+110

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-133

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-147

Nicolás González (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-147

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-149

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-154

Álvaro García (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-161

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-179

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-192

Isi Palazón (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-200

Sergio Camello (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-250

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-263

Randy Nteka (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-263

Fran Pérez (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-385

David Hancko (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-417

Conor Gallagher (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-500

Óscar Trejo (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-500

Matteo Ruggeri (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-625

Marcos Llorente (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-769

Atléti Unbeaten at Home in Past Six Games

Atlético Madrid have avoided defeat in their last six matches at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Diego Simeone's side have collected six victories, three losses and one draw in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 2.20 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Rayo have recorded six defeats and four victories in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

The past meeting at Riyadh Air Metropolitano saw Atléti defeat Rayo 3-0. Aside from one draw, Atléti have dominated the past 4 H2H meetings at Riyadh Air Metropolitano with three victories.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Atlético Madrid Home Stats		6-1-3	3.10	2.20	0.90	5	5	4	6
Rayo Vallecano Away Stats		4-0-6	2.40	1.00	1.40	5	5	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Atléti vs Rayo before you bet. Get the latest predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups and injury news right here.

Atlético Madrid Team Page Rayo Vallecano Team Page