Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 13 Sep 2025

La Liga Betting Preview: Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal

Atlético Madrid host Villarreal in this Spanish La Liga fixture at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Saturday 13 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’re Expecting the Net to Bulge Several Times

It’s hard to ignore odds of -149 when it comes to betting Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market. The numbers suggest that Atlético Madrid and Villarreal will produce a combined three goals and we’ll confidently play this selection.

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1-1 Draw When Teams Last Clashed

Atlético Madrid played Deportivo Alavés away in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at Estadio Mendizorroza. Los Colchoneros boasted 60% possession and had six shots on target, while Giuliano Simeone was the goalscorer.

Villarreal played Celta Vigo away from home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw at Estadio Balaídos. Marcelino Garcia's men enjoyed just 35% possession and had three shots on goal, while Nicolas Pepe found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Atléti have gone unbeaten in their past five games against Villarreal, with the last encounter ending 1-1 at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. The previous 10 H2H meetings have featured six draws, three wins for Atléti and just one for Villarreal.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	8	1	7	8:1	7
16	Atlético Madrid	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	3:4	2

View Full Table

Atléti have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts. Los Colchoneros have averaged 57.2% possession, 537.9 passes and 5.7 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.8 goals from 3.0 shots on goal, 7.5 attempts and 2.5 corners.

Alexander Soerloth leads the way with 9 goals, Julian Alvarez has 4, with Giuliano Simeone and two others on 1. Rodrigo De Paul, Julian Alvarez and Antoine Griezmann are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie Jan Oblak managing 3 clean sheets.

Villarreal have won 8, lost 1 and drawn 1, with an average of 13.3 attempts, 5.5 shots on goal and 2.4 goals. Marcelino Garcia's team average 45.1% possession, 423.4 passes, 4.8 corners in their favour and 5.0 corners against, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 4.4 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts.

Ayoze Perez is top scorer on 5, with Nicolas Pepe and Tajon Buchanan next on 4. Nicolas Pepe has clocked up 5 assists, with Luiz Junior keeping 5 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Madrid predicted lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet, David Hancko, Giuliano Simeone, Johnny, Conor Gallagher, Pablo Barrios, Alexander Sørloth, Julián Álvarez.

Villarreal predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Luiz Júnior (GK), Santiago Mouriño, Juan Foyth, Rafa Marín, Sergi Cardona, Pape Gueye, Thomas Partey, Tajon Buchanan, Nicolas Pepe, Santi Comesaña, Georges Mikautadze.

Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ahead of the game with our Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely score outcome, corners betting edge, standout player prop plays and a fully loaded bet builder.

Match Prediction

The two La Liga sides can combine to score three goals or more. We are therefore going to play Over 2.5 Goals at -149 in the expectation that we can land a solid return if our prediction is correct.

The La Liga experts at Sportsgambler.com have a strong handle when it comes to injuries and suspensions. The recent form also helps to shape our football predictions, with this being cross-referenced with the latest numbers.

Key Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Atléti games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Villarreal games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 Villarreal games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 games between these teams.

Over 2.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, there’s a 59.9% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

An Over 2.5 Goals selection can be included in a Bet Builder with a number of other picks. There’s the chance to get a larger price although there’s clearly more risk involved.

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Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -149 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Atléti 2 - 1 Villarreal

A potentially entertaining bet is going for Atléti to win by a 2-1 scoreline. At odds of +700, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nicolas Pepe Over 0.5 Shots On Target -114

Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal) has totalled one or more shots on goal in three consecutive La Liga games. The numbers imply that he can succeed with our Overs bet and we’re delighted to take the -114 available.

Latest Nicolas Pepe Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+340

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-139

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Pape Gueye to Score +750

Pape Gueye (Villarreal) has racked up three goals in his past five La Liga matches. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +750.

Latest Pape Gueye Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+750

First

+1800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-313

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Corners Prediction

Atléti To Have Most Corners -149

Atlético Madrid have had the most corners in six straight games. Atléti should be capable of having the most corners and the odds of -149 look value.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atléti

Total

8.20 5.70 2.50

Home

9.80 6.00 3.80

Away

8.00 4.50 3.50

Villarreal

Total

9.80 4.80 5.00

Home

11.00 6.50 4.50

Away

8.80 4.20 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-147

Under 8.5

+104

Atléti Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Villarreal Corners

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-138

Most Corners

1

-185

X

+650

2

+205

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Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Atléti Favourites to Win According to Bookies

The bookmakers have Atlético Madrid as -123 favourites for this La Liga encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 55% likely to triumph. Villarreal are seen as the most unlikely winner at +325.

You can choose Atléti -0.5 or Villarreal +0.5 at respective Asian Handicap odds of -120 and -102. The former is the same as betting the favourites to win, with the latter giving you a return if it’s a draw.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. For those expecting both sides to find the net, Both Teams to Score Yes is available at -159.

The top football betting sites are on hand to provide lots of choice to bettors. It’s now the case that you can select from hundreds of markets for all of the La Liga games.

Full-Time Result

1

-123

X

+260

2

+325

Half-Time Result

1

+133

X

+135

2

+325

Double Chance

1X

-455

12

-357

X2

-108

Draw No Bet

1

-286

2

+195

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-120

2 Hcp +0.5

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+116

Over 2.5

-149

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-159

No

+117

Julián Álvarez Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

There’s the chance to back Julián Álvarez at +330 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

+117

Anytime

+330

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+135

Anytime

+360

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+230

Anytime

+550

Ayoze Pérez (Villarreal)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Tani Oluwaseyi (Villarreal)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Gerard Moreno (Villarreal)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

David Hancko (Atléti)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Pape Gueye (Villarreal)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Conor Gallagher (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Alfonso Pedraza (Villarreal)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Dani Parejo (Villarreal)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Matteo Ruggeri (Atléti)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-105

Ayoze Pérez (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-116

Tani Oluwaseyi (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-122

Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-139

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-154

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-156

Gerard Moreno (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-167

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-167

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-200

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-217

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-213

Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-270

Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-313

Pape Gueye (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-313

David Hancko (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-435

Conor Gallagher (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-556

Alfonso Pedraza (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-526

Dani Parejo (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-667

Atléti Tough to Defeat in Recent Home Games

Atlético Madrid have gone unbeaten at Riyadh Air Metropolitano in the last five games. Diego Simeone's side have finished with five wins, three losses and two draws in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.10 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

Villarreal have avoided defeat in their last three away matches. El Submarino Amarillo have managed six victories, two draws and two losses in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

When Atléti last played Villarreal at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, they drew 1-1. The previous 7 H2H meetings at Riyadh Air Metropolitano have ended up with three Atléti wins, one Villarreal victory and three draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Atlético Madrid Home Stats		5-2-3	3.10	2.10	1.00	5	5	5	5
Villarreal Away Stats		6-2-2	2.40	1.30	1.10	5	5	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Atléti vs Villarreal before making your bets. Get the latest predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups and injury news right here.

Atlético Madrid Team Page Villarreal Team Page