Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 13 Sep 2025

La Liga Betting Preview: Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal

Atlético Madrid host Villarreal in this Spanish La Liga fixture at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, with kick-off set for 16:00 on Saturday 13 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’re Expecting the Net to Bulge Several Times

It’s hard to ignore odds of -149 when it comes to betting Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market. The numbers suggest that Atlético Madrid and Villarreal will produce a combined three goals and we’ll confidently play this selection.

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1-1 Draw When Teams Last Clashed

Atlético Madrid played Deportivo Alavés away in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at Estadio Mendizorroza. Los Colchoneros boasted 60% possession and had six shots on target, while Giuliano Simeone was the goalscorer.

Villarreal played Celta Vigo away from home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw at Estadio Balaídos. Marcelino Garcia's men enjoyed just 35% possession and had three shots on goal, while Nicolas Pepe found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Atléti have gone unbeaten in their past five games against Villarreal, with the last encounter ending 1-1 at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. The previous 10 H2H meetings have featured six draws, three wins for Atléti and just one for Villarreal.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Villarreal	10	6	2	2	18	10	8	18:10	20
5	Atlético Madrid	9	4	4	1	16	10	6	16:10	16

View Full Table

Atléti have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts. Los Colchoneros have averaged 57.2% possession, 537.9 passes and 5.7 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.8 goals from 3.0 shots on goal, 7.5 attempts and 2.5 corners.

Alexander Soerloth leads the way with 9 goals, Julian Alvarez has 4, with Giuliano Simeone and two others on 1. Rodrigo De Paul, Julian Alvarez and Antoine Griezmann are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie Jan Oblak managing 3 clean sheets.

Villarreal have won 8, lost 1 and drawn 1, with an average of 13.3 attempts, 5.5 shots on goal and 2.4 goals. Marcelino Garcia's team average 45.1% possession, 423.4 passes, 4.8 corners in their favour and 5.0 corners against, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 4.4 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts.

Ayoze Perez is top scorer on 5, with Nicolas Pepe and Tajon Buchanan next on 4. Nicolas Pepe has clocked up 5 assists, with Luiz Junior keeping 5 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet, Matteo Ruggeri, Giuliano Simeone, Koke, Pablo Barrios, Nico Gonzalez, Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez.

Villarreal confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Luiz Junior (GK), Santiago Mourino, Juan Foyth, Renato Veiga, Sergi Cardona, Tajon Buchanan, Thomas Partey, Daniel Parejo, Alberto Moleiro, Nicolas Pepe, Georges Mikautadze.

Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ahead of the game with our Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely score outcome, corners betting edge, standout player prop plays and a fully loaded bet builder.

Match Prediction

The two La Liga sides can combine to score three goals or more. We are therefore going to play Over 2.5 Goals at -149 in the expectation that we can land a solid return if our prediction is correct.

The La Liga experts at Sportsgambler.com have a strong handle when it comes to injuries and suspensions. The recent form also helps to shape our football predictions, with this being cross-referenced with the latest numbers.

Key Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Atléti games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Villarreal games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 Villarreal games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 games between these teams.

Over 2.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, there’s a 59.9% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

An Over 2.5 Goals selection can be included in a Bet Builder with a number of other picks. There’s the chance to get a larger price although there’s clearly more risk involved.

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Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -149 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Atléti 2 - 1 Villarreal

A potentially entertaining bet is going for Atléti to win by a 2-1 scoreline. At odds of +700, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nicolas Pepe Over 0.5 Shots On Target -114

Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal) has totalled one or more shots on goal in three consecutive La Liga games. The numbers imply that he can succeed with our Overs bet and we’re delighted to take the -114 available.

Latest Nicolas Pepe Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-143

Shots

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

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Pape Gueye to Score +750

Pape Gueye (Villarreal) has racked up three goals in his past five La Liga matches. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +750.

Latest Pape Gueye Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+800

First

+1800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-333

Shots

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Atléti To Have Most Corners -149

Atlético Madrid have had the most corners in six straight games. Atléti should be capable of having the most corners and the odds of -149 look value.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atléti

Total

8.20 5.70 2.50

Home

9.80 6.00 3.80

Away

8.00 4.50 3.50

Villarreal

Total

9.80 4.80 5.00

Home

11.00 6.50 4.50

Away

8.80 4.20 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-139

Under 8.5

-102

Atléti Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Villarreal Corners

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-200

X

+650

2

+220

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Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Atléti Favourites to Win According to Bookies

The bookmakers have Atlético Madrid as -130 favourites for this La Liga encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 56% likely to triumph. Villarreal are seen as the most unlikely winner at +360.

Stake is split between -0.5 and -1.0 when betting Atléti -0.75 at -100 on the Asian Handicap. Beating Villarreal by 2+ goals sees a full payout. Winning by one goal means a return on the former and a push on the latter.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. For those expecting both sides to find the net, Both Teams to Score Yes is available at -154.

The top football betting sites are on hand to provide lots of choice to bettors. It’s now the case that you can select from hundreds of markets for all of the La Liga games.

Full-Time Result

1

-130

X

+260

2

+360

Half-Time Result

1

+130

X

+135

2

+340

Double Chance

1X

-526

12

-357

X2

-102

Draw No Bet

1

-333

2

+215

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-100

2 Hcp +0.75

-122

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+108

Over 2.5

-141

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-154

No

+114

Julián Álvarez Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

There’s the chance to back Julián Álvarez at +270 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

-108

Anytime

+270

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+135

Anytime

+350

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+235

Anytime

+575

Ayoze Pérez (Villarreal)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+320

Anytime

+750

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Tani Oluwaseyi (Villarreal)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Gerard Moreno (Villarreal)

First

+360

Anytime

+850

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+510

Anytime

+1300

Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

David Hancko (Atléti)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Pape Gueye (Villarreal)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Conor Gallagher (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Alfonso Pedraza (Villarreal)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Dani Parejo (Villarreal)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Matteo Ruggeri (Atléti)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Marcos Llorente (Atléti)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-108

Ayoze Pérez (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-120

Tani Oluwaseyi (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-123

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-137

Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-143

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-149

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-156

Gerard Moreno (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-175

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-192

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-217

Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-303

Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-313

Pape Gueye (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-333

David Hancko (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-417

Conor Gallagher (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-526

Alfonso Pedraza (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-588

Dani Parejo (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-667

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 3.5

+102

Under 3.5

-

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Ayoze Pérez (Villarreal)

Over 2.5

+133

Under 2.5

-

Tani Oluwaseyi (Villarreal)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Gerard Moreno (Villarreal)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Pape Gueye (Villarreal)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Alfonso Pedraza (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Atléti Tough to Defeat in Recent Home Games

Atlético Madrid have gone unbeaten at Riyadh Air Metropolitano in the last five games. Diego Simeone's side have finished with five wins, three losses and two draws in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.10 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

Villarreal have avoided defeat in their last three away matches. El Submarino Amarillo have managed six victories, two draws and two losses in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

When Atléti last played Villarreal at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, they drew 1-1. The previous 7 H2H meetings at Riyadh Air Metropolitano have ended up with three Atléti wins, one Villarreal victory and three draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Atlético Madrid Home Stats		5-2-3	3.10	2.10	1.00	5	5	5	5
Villarreal Away Stats		6-2-2	2.40	1.30	1.10	5	5	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Atléti vs Villarreal before making your bets. Get the latest predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups and injury news right here.

Atlético Madrid Team Page Villarreal Team Page