Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Aug 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio

Atlético Mineiro host Grêmio in this Brazilian Série A match, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 17 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Galo Look a Great Bet to Win

If you agree with our verdict that Atlético Mineiro can defeat Grêmio, then there’s the chance to get betting odds of -143 that this happens. We think that this price sticks out on the Full-Time Result market.

Got Atlético Mineiro down for the win? Grab that bet365 promo code and see what our expert review has to say before you lock in your bet.

2-1 Victory for Grêmio in Pair’s Previous H2H

Atlético Mineiro played Vasco da Gama away in their last Série A game. It was a 1-1 draw. Cuca's men had 44% possession and totalled four shots on target, with Gabriel Menino registering the goal.

Three days ago, Atlético beat Godoy Cruz 2-1 at home in the Copa Sudamericana.

Grêmio were beaten 1-0 in their previous league game. They were turned over at home to Sport Recife, making it two consecutive Série A losses. The Porto Alegre side enjoyed 58% possession and had six shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Grêmio had the upper hand in the last encounter between these sides. They recorded a 2-1 home victory over Atlético. The 10 H2H games most recently played have featured five Atlético wins, one draw and four victories for Grêmio.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
10	Atlético MG	17	6	6	5	19	18	1	19:18	24
15	Grêmio	18	5	5	8	16	24	-8	16:24	20

View Full Table

4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts. Atlético have had 49.6% possession and 5.9 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.0 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 5.3 corners.

Hulk leads the way with 3 goals, with Igor Gomes and Junior Santos getting 2 apiece. Tomas Cuello, Biel and Joao Marcelo are the leading assists makers with 1.

Grêmio have 3 victories, 5 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 0.9 goals from 8.5 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal. Mano Menezes' team average 44.4% possession, 3.5 corners in their favour and 6.9 corners against, while conceding 1.2 goals from 11.0 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal.

Martin Braithwaite has scored 5 goals, followed by Gustavo Martins, Andre, Cristian Olivera and Alexander Aravena on 1. Look no further than Franco Cristaldo for the top assist maker (2) in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Mineiro predicted lineup (4-3-3): Everson (GK), Natanael, Lyanco, Júnior Alonso, Guilherme Arana, Alan Franco, Gabriel Menino, Gustavo Scarpa, Hulk, Rony, Tomás Cuello.

Grêmio predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Tiago Volpi (GK), Camilo, Fabian Balbuena, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon, Gustavo Cuéllar, Dodi, Alysson Edward, Edenilson, Cristian Olivera, Carlos Vinícius.

Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio Prediction & Betting Tips

We dive into the top Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, corners market tip, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

Atlético Mineiro could land the money in this Série A game and we’ll take this pick with confidence. There are appealing odds of -143 and we can’t pass up the chance to back the favourites.

Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together football betting tips. Once we’ve also looked at the Série A form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.

Key Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio league stats:

• Atlético MG have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Atlético MG have won 2 consecutive games at home.
• Grêmio have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Grêmio have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Grêmio have lost their last 2 games.

Atlético to Win Probability

The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 58.8% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

We’d recommend taking a look at the Asian Handicap, Double Result and Result & Both Teams to Score markets if you’re interested in siding with Atlético but want bigger odds.

Check our complete list of betting promo codes, free bet deals and the latest welcome bonuses before wagering.

Our Match Prediction

Atlético MG To Win @ -143 Watch Live Bet Now

bet365 Promo Get $150 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Atlético 2 - 0 Grêmio

We’re predicting Atlético to land a 2-0 victory and this is available at +600. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Cristian Olivera Under 0.5 Shots On Target -159

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio) can be wagered to fail to register a shot on goal at -159. All things considered, we think that the betting odds are really appealing when it comes to backing him on the Shots Target market.

Latest Cristian Olivera Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+525

First

+1150

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-159

Shots

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Gustavo Scarpa To Score +480

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG) can be wagered to be on the scoresheet at +480. There are attractive odds available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for him to find the net.

Latest Gustavo Scarpa Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+480

First

+1050

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-149

Shots

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -141

The 10.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in four consecutive Grêmio games, with the last five Atlético Mineiro home matches averaging 8.80 corners. We’re going to wager on the teams to fall short for Total Corners and this selection is available at -141.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atlético

Total

11.20 5.90 5.30

Home

11.10 7.70 3.40

Away

12.40 6.10 6.30

Grêmio

Total

10.40 3.50 6.90

Home

10.30 3.50 6.80

Away

10.30 4.30 6.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-141

Atlético Corners

Over 6.5

-110

Under 6.5

-125

Grêmio Corners

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-250

X

+800

2

+275

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Think Atlético Most Likely to Win

The bookmakers have Atlético Mineiro at -143 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 59% chance of winning this Série A clash based on the betting odds. The +400 means that Grêmio are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

There’s an alternative Asian Handicap angle where you back Atlético -0.75 against Grêmio at -115. A 2+ goal win means a full return, although you get a payout on half your stake if they win by one and the other half is refunded.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. Both Teams to Score betting is always popular and the No option on the BTTS market is available at -141.

It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever Série A match interests you. The recommended football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.

Full-Time Result

1

-143

X

+265

2

+400

Half-Time Result

1

+133

X

+118

2

+400

Double Chance

1X

-625

12

-385

X2

+104

Draw No Bet

1

-370

2

+235

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-115

2 Hcp +0.75

-123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-143

Over 2.5

+110

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-100

No

-141

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" Favourite to Find the Net First

There’s the chance to back Givanildo Souza "Hulk" at +390 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

First

+163

Anytime

+390

Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" (Atlético MG)

First

+200

Anytime

+475

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

First

+260

Anytime

+600

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

First

+320

Anytime

+750

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero (Atlético MG)

First

+410

Anytime

+800

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

First

+500

Anytime

+1050

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

First

+525

Anytime

+1150

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Fausto Vera (Atlético MG)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Júnior Alonso (Atlético MG)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+133

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

+102

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-133

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-141

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-149

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-159

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-189

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-217

Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-286

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-263

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-357

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-370

Fausto Vera (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-435

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+275

Under 0.5

-625

Júnior Alonso (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-476

Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" (Atlético MG)

Over 3.5

-104

Under 3.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Júnior Alonso (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-

You can watch and bet on Série A games thanks to the live streaming service that’s available. This is only available to eligible sportsbook customers and is subject to geo-restrictions.

Fans love the opportunity to watch thousands of sporting events per year with the best betting apps.

Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio Live Streaming Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Atlético vs Grêmio before you bet. We’ll deliver both predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A as well as the latest injury reports.

Atlético Mineiro Team Page Grêmio Team Page