Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Aug 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio

Atlético Mineiro host Grêmio in this Brazilian Série A match, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 17 August. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Galo Look a Great Bet to Win

If you agree with our verdict that Atlético Mineiro can defeat Grêmio, then there’s the chance to get betting odds of -143 that this happens. We think that this price sticks out on the Full-Time Result market.

Got Atlético down for the win? Grab that BetMGM promo code and see what our expert review has to say before you lock in your bet.

2-1 Victory for Grêmio in Pair’s Previous H2H

Atlético Mineiro played Vasco da Gama away in their last Série A game. It was a 1-1 draw. Cuca's men had 44% possession and totalled four shots on target, with Gabriel Menino registering the goal.

Three days ago, Atlético beat Godoy Cruz 2-1 at home in the Copa Sudamericana.

Grêmio were beaten 1-0 in their previous league game. They were turned over at home to Sport Recife, making it two consecutive Série A losses. The Porto Alegre side enjoyed 58% possession and had six shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Grêmio had the upper hand in the last encounter between these sides. They recorded a 2-1 home victory over Atlético. The 10 H2H games most recently played have featured five Atlético wins, one draw and four victories for Grêmio.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Grêmio	29	9	9	11	30	37	-7	30:37	36
15	Atlético MG	28	8	9	11	26	32	-6	26:32	33

View Full Table

4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts. Atlético have had 49.6% possession and 5.9 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.0 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 5.3 corners.

Hulk leads the way with 3 goals, with Igor Gomes and Junior Santos getting 2 apiece. Tomas Cuello, Biel and Joao Marcelo are the leading assists makers with 1.

Grêmio have 3 victories, 5 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 0.9 goals from 8.5 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal. Mano Menezes' team average 44.4% possession, 3.5 corners in their favour and 6.9 corners against, while conceding 1.2 goals from 11.0 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal.

Martin Braithwaite has scored 5 goals, followed by Gustavo Martins, Andre, Cristian Olivera and Alexander Aravena on 1. Look no further than Franco Cristaldo for the top assist maker (2) in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Everson (GK), Natanael, Ivan Roman, Junior Alonso, Guilherme Arana, Alan Franco, Alexsander Gomes, Reinier, Gustavo Scarpa, Tomas Cuello, Hulk.

Grêmio confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Tiago Volpi (GK), Ronald, Fabian Balbuena, Walter Kannemann, Marlon, Edenilson, Gustavo Cuellar, Mathias Villasanti, Cristian Olivera, Carlos Vinicius, Alysson Edward.

Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio Prediction & Betting Tips

We dive into the top Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, corners market tip, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

Atlético Mineiro could land the money in this Série A game and we’ll take this pick with confidence. There are appealing odds of -143 and we can’t pass up the chance to back the favourites.

Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together football betting tips. Once we’ve also looked at the Série A form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.

Key Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio league stats:

• Atlético MG have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Atlético MG have won 2 consecutive games at home.
• Grêmio have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Grêmio have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Grêmio have lost their last 2 games.

Atlético to Win Probability

The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 58.8% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

We’d recommend taking a look at the Asian Handicap, Double Result and Result & Both Teams to Score markets if you’re interested in siding with Atlético but want bigger odds.

Check our complete list of betting promo codes, free bet deals and the latest welcome bonuses before wagering.

Our Match Prediction

Atlético MG To Win @ -143 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Atlético 2 - 0 Grêmio

We’re predicting Atlético to land a 2-0 victory and this is available at +575. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Cristian Olivera Under 0.5 Shots On Target -159

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio) can be wagered to fail to register a shot on goal at -159. All things considered, we think that the betting odds are really appealing when it comes to backing him on the Shots Target market.

Latest Cristian Olivera Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+475

First

+1100

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-189

Shots

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Gustavo Scarpa To Score +480

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG) can be wagered to be on the scoresheet at +480. There are attractive odds available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for him to find the net.

Latest Gustavo Scarpa Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+420

First

+1000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-127

Shots

Over 2.5

+114

Under 2.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -141

The 10.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in four consecutive Grêmio games, with the last five Atlético Mineiro home matches averaging 8.80 corners. We’re going to wager on the teams to fall short for Total Corners and this selection is available at -141.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atlético

Total

11.20 5.90 5.30

Home

11.10 7.70 3.40

Away

12.40 6.10 6.30

Grêmio

Total

10.40 3.50 6.90

Home

10.30 3.50 6.80

Away

10.30 4.30 6.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-141

Atlético Corners

Over 6.5

+102

Under 6.5

-143

Grêmio Corners

Over 3.5

-130

Under 3.5

-106

Most Corners

1

-263

X

+800

2

+290

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Think Atlético Most Likely to Win

The bookmakers have Atlético Mineiro at -149 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 60% chance of winning this Série A clash based on the betting odds. The +420 means that Grêmio are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

There’s an alternative Asian Handicap angle where you back Atlético -0.75 against Grêmio at -120. A 2+ goal win means a full return, although you get a payout on half your stake if they win by one and the other half is refunded.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. Both Teams to Score betting is always popular and the No option on the BTTS market is available at -141.

It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever Série A match interests you. The recommended football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.

Full-Time Result

1

-149

X

+265

2

+420

Half-Time Result

1

+128

X

+120

2

+410

Double Chance

1X

-667

12

-400

X2

+108

Draw No Bet

1

-400

2

+250

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-120

2 Hcp +0.75

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-141

Over 2.5

+110

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-100

No

-141

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" Favourite to Find the Net First

There’s the chance to back Givanildo Souza "Hulk" at +390 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

First

+163

Anytime

+390

Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" (Atlético MG)

First

+200

Anytime

+475

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

First

+260

Anytime

+600

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero (Atlético MG)

First

+410

Anytime

+850

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

First

+420

Anytime

+1000

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

First

+475

Anytime

+1100

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Júnior Alonso (Atlético MG)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Fausto Vera (Atlético MG)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+133

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

+105

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-127

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-143

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-130

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-189

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-185

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-286

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-263

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-345

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-556

Fausto Vera (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-435

Júnior Alonso (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+275

Under 0.5

-625

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+275

Under 0.5

-625

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

Over 4.5

-139

Under 4.5

-

Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" (Atlético MG)

Over 3.5

-103

Under 3.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

+114

Under 2.5

-

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Júnior Alonso (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Atlético vs Grêmio before you bet. We’ll deliver both predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A as well as the latest injury reports.

Atlético Mineiro Team Page Grêmio Team Page