Atlético Mineiro vs Independiente del Valle Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Oct 2025

Copa Sudamericana Betting Preview: Atlético Mineiro vs Independiente del Valle

Brazilian Série A club Atlético Mineiro host Ecuadorian LigaPro outfit Independiente del Valle in the second leg of this Copa Sudamericana semi-final, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Tuesday 28 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and confirmed lineups.

If you agree with our verdict that Atlético Mineiro will have the edge when clashing with IDV, then you can back the home team at -147. We’re expecting a return with this Full-Time Result bet.

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Atlético Mineiro were winners last time out. It was a 1-0 Série A victory at home to Ceará. Galo enjoyed 54% possession and had two shots on target, with a very early Alan Franco goal proving to be the winner.

Head-to-Head Statistics

In the first leg of this semi-final tie, IDV were held to a 1-1 draw at home against Atlético. The hosts enjoyed 54% possession, although Atlético edged the shots on target 4-3. Júnior Sornoza opened the scoring for IDV before Dudu struck a late equaliser for the visitors.

Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Everson (GK), Ruan, Vitor Hugo, Junior Alonso, Alan Franco, Igor Gomes, Fausto Vera, Guilherme Arana, Rony, Dudu, Bernard.

Independiente del Valle confirmed lineup (4-3-1-2): Guido Villar (GK), Matias Fernandez, Mateo Carabajal, Richard Schunke, Gustavo Cortez, Jean Arroyo, Jordy Alcivar, Patrik Mercado, Junior Sornoza, Michael Hoyos, Claudio Spinelli.

Atlético Mineiro vs Independiente del Valle Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for Atlético Mineiro vs Independiente del Valle, including a key match prediction, our best correct score selection, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

There are several reasons to back Atlético Mineiro, especially considering that you can get value odds of -147. We think that the favourites will have too much in hand for this Copa Sudamericana encounter.

Sportsgambler.com has plenty of Copa Sudamericana insights and that includes getting the team news immediately. The recent form will also help deliver our expert football predictions and we ensure that the most relevant stats are used to good effect.

Key Atlético Mineiro vs Independiente del Valle Copa Sudamericana & league stats:

• Atlético MG have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Atlético MG have won 12 of their last 20 games at home.

According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 59.5% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

The Asian Handicap provide a range of alternatives when it comes to backing Atlético. There’s a chance to get bigger odds if you think that a sizeable win can be achieved.

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Our Match Prediction

Atlético MG To Win @ -147 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Atlético 2 - 0 IDV

There are betting odds of +510 that Atlético land a 2-0 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" To Score +265

Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" (Atlético MG) can be wagered to find the net at +265. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and we recommend backing this Anytime Goalscorer selection.

Latest Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+260

First

+500

Shots

Over 2.5

-133

Under 2.5

-

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Atlético Mineiro vs Independiente del Valle Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The latest Atlético Mineiro odds are -164 which leads to them being favourites in this Copa Sudamericana clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 62% prospect of securing a victory. Independiente del Valle are the outsiders at +500 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.

Betting Atlético -0.75 on the Asian Handicap at -125 means splitting stake between -0.5 and -1.0. Therefore, a one-goal win over IDV means a win and a push, with a 2+ goal victory meaning a full payout.

The Total Goals price implies that Under 2.5 is the most likely result in this contest. If you’re expecting at least one team to draw a blank, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market is available at -179.

The best football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any Copa Sudamericana game and take your pick.

Full-Time Result

1

-164

X

+275

2

+500

Half-Time Result

1

+125

X

+116

2

+500

Double Chance

1X

-833

12

-400

X2

+118

Draw No Bet

1

-476

2

+300

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-125

2 Hcp +0.75

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-175

Over 2.5

+128

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+128

No

-179

Favourite Givanildo Souza "Hulk" is now available at +360 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

First

+165

Anytime

+360

Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" (Atlético MG)

First

+260

Anytime

+500

'Biel' Teixeira Aragão (Atlético MG)

First

+300

Anytime

+600

Isaac Aguiar Tomich (Atlético MG)

First

+300

Anytime

+600

João Marcelo Soares de Freitas (Atlético MG)

First

+340

Anytime

+600

Claudio Spinelli (IDV)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

First

+370

Anytime

+750

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero (Atlético MG)

First

+400

Anytime

+800

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

First

+420

Anytime

+900

Michael Hoyos (IDV)

First

+420

Anytime

+900

Reinier (Atlético MG)

First

+420

Anytime

+900

Bernard (Atlético MG)

First

+450

Anytime

+900

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

First

+550

Anytime

+1100

Guilherme Arana (Atlético MG)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Alexsander Gomes da Costa (Atlético MG)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Fausto Vera (Atlético MG)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Junior Sornoza (IDV)

First

+1000

Anytime

+1900

Júnior Alonso (Atlético MG)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Renato Ibarra (IDV)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Lyanco (Atlético MG)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Ruan Tressoldi (Atlético MG)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Jean Pierre Arroyo (IDV)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2000

Patrik Mercado (IDV)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Caio Fernando de Oliveira "Paulista" (Atlético MG)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Iván Román (Atlético MG)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

Over 3.5

-111

Under 3.5

-

Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

-133

Under 2.5

-

'Biel' Teixeira Aragão (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

Isaac Aguiar Tomich (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

+133

Under 2.5

-

Claudio Spinelli (IDV)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

João Marcelo Soares de Freitas (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Michael Hoyos (IDV)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Patrik Mercado (IDV)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Junior Sornoza (IDV)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Renato Ibarra (IDV)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Latest Copa Sudamericana and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Atlético Mineiro Stats

Independiente del Valle Stats

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 0.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 1.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Atlético Mineiro vs Independiente del Valle Lineups & Team News

Check the Atlético vs IDV team news before you place your bets. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Copa Sudamericana along with up-to-date injury news.

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