Atlético Mineiro vs Palmeiras Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Jan 2026

Série A Betting Preview: Atlético Mineiro vs Palmeiras

Atlético Mineiro clash with Palmeiras, with kick-off set for 17:00 on Wednesday 28 January.

Atlético Mineiro look capable of beating Palmeiras and we’ll take them on the Asian Handicap. Back the home team at -127 with a +0.25 goal start, with our stake split between 0 and +0.5 which means a return if they avoid defeat.

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Atlético Mineiro were victorious when last playing, landing a 5-0 home success over Vasco da Gama. Galo enjoyed 58% possession and managed five shots on target, with Dudu able to score two goals.

Palmeiras won their previous game by a 3-1 scoreline. It was on their travels against Ceará. The São Paulo outfit enjoyed 57% possession and had five shots on goal, while Facundo Torres, Ramon Sosa and Jose Lopez were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Palmeiras have won four on the spin against Atlético. Their last encounter involved a 3-0 Palmeiras away victory. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved six Palmeiras wins, one Atlético victory and three draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Atlético MG	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
14	Palmeiras	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Atlético have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts. The Belo Horizonte side have averaged 51.3% possession and 5.8 corners per match, conceding 1.2 goals and 5.0 corners from 4.6 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts.

Hulk leads the way with 4 goals, while Dudu and Rony have 3 and 2 respectively. The leading assistors are Rony and Hulk with 3.

Palmeiras have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.3 goals from 13.0 attempts and 5.9 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 52.2% possession, 5.7 corners in their favour and 6.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 11.4 attempts and 5.5 shots on goal.

Vitor Roque is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Facundo Torres and Jose Lopez have 2. Jefte and Raphael Veiga have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Mineiro predicted lineup (4-4-2): Everson (GK), Natanael, Ruan Tressoldi, Júnior Alonso, Renan Lodi, Gustavo Scarpa, Igor Gomes, Maycon, Bernard, Hulk, Rony.

Palmeiras predicted lineup (4-4-2): Carlos Miguel (GK), Khellven, Gustavo Gomez, Murilo Cerqueira, Joaquín Piquerez, Allan, Marlon Freitas, Andreas Pereira, Emiliano Martínez, Vitor Roque, José Manuel López.

Atlético Mineiro vs Palmeiras Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve got your Atlético Mineiro vs Palmeiras bets covered, including our expert match prediction, correct score tip, corners outlook, must-see player props and a tailored bet builder built for value.

Match Prediction

We’ll split our stake by backing Atlético Mineiro +0.25 at odds of -127 for this Asian Handicap wager. There’s every chance that we see a strong performance from the home team in this Série A encounter.

Our football predictions are always well-researched and it starts with a combination of team news and form guide. Once we have a clear idea of what might happen, we match up the latest Série A data.

Key Atlético Mineiro vs Palmeiras league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Atlético MG in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Atlético MG in 17 of their last 19 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Palmeiras in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Palmeiras in 3 of their last 5 games.

The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 55.9% prospect of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

It’s possible to move the line for your selection and this allows bettors to get increasingly bigger odds. If you’re looking for more juice, then this option could tick the boxes.

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Our Match Prediction

Atlético MG Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -127 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (23:07, 26 January 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Atlético 2 - 1 Palmeiras

Atlético can be backed at +750 to triumph by a 2-1 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Gustavo Scarpa To Score +525

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG) can be wagered at +525 to score. All things considered, we think that the odds are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Gustavo Scarpa Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+525

First

+1300

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-250

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Atlético Over 4.5 Corners -104

We’ve seen an average of 8.20 Atlético Mineiro corners in the past 5 home games, with Palmeiras conceding over 4.5 corners in the previous five away matches. The Atlético Team Corners line is on the low side and we’re looking to go over this number at odds of -104.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atlético

Total

10.80 5.80 5.00

Home

10.90 6.00 4.90

Away

9.10 3.90 5.20

Palmeiras

Total

12.00 5.70 6.30

Home

10.30 6.90 3.40

Away

10.60 5.60 5.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-147

Under 9.5

+104

Atlético Corners

Over 4.5

-105

Under 4.5

-130

Palmeiras Corners

Over 5.5

+105

Under 5.5

-143

Most Corners

1

+150

X

+650

2

-149

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atlético Mineiro vs Palmeiras Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

You can get betting odds of +135 for Palmeiras winning this Série A clash and the bookies have Atlético Mineiro available at +200. If you want to back the draw, it’s on offer at +225.

Palmeiras can be backed alternatively on the Draw No Bet market and that means getting -154. However, if you want insurance on the underdogs instead, Atlético are +108.

When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. An alternative angle is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been chalked up at -139.

It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Série A match. Each of our recommended football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+200

X

+225

2

+135

Half-Time Result

1

+245

X

+120

2

+188

Double Chance

1X

-182

12

-333

X2

-286

Draw No Bet

1

+108

2

-154

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-127

2 Hcp -0.25

+102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-132

Over 2.5

+102

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-139

No

-102

There’s the chance to back Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira at +370 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

First

+150

Anytime

+370

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

First

+170

Anytime

+420

José Manuel López (Palmeiras)

First

+180

Anytime

+430

Carlos Eduardo Castro "Cadú" (Atlético MG)

First

+260

Anytime

+600

Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" (Atlético MG)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos (Palmeiras)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

'Biel' Teixeira Aragão (Atlético MG)

First

+360

Anytime

+850

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

First

+430

Anytime

+1050

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero (Atlético MG)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Bernard (Atlético MG)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Reinier (Atlético MG)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (Palmeiras)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Facundo Torres (Palmeiras)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

+150

José Manuel López (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

+138

Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-111

Carlos Eduardo Castro "Cadú" (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-118

'Biel' Teixeira Aragão (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-164

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-172

Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-189

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-182

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-222

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-244

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-270

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-250

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-286

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-294

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-313

Facundo Torres (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-333

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-385

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-769

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Atlético Mineiro vs Palmeiras Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Atlético vs Palmeiras before you bet. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

Atlético Mineiro Team Page Palmeiras Team Page

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