Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Apr 2025

Galo Could Prove Too Strong

Atlético Mineiro can deliver the goods when it comes to Full-Time Result betting and we’ll back them with confidence against São Paulo. The odds of -105 look attractive when it comes to the home team.

2-2 Draw in Previous H2H Meeting

Atlético Mineiro were defeated in their last Série A game. Away from home, they suffered a 2-1 loss against Grêmio. Galo had seven shots on target and enjoyed 66% possession, while Rony registered the goal.

On Tuesday night, Atlético played out a goalless draw away to Peruvian Liga 1 side Cienciano in the Copa Sudamericana.

São Paulo drew their previous league game which was at home. The action ended 0-0 against Sport Recife. Luis Zubeldia's team dominated possession with 64% of the ball and had three shots on goal.

Last time out, São Paulo won 1-0 when visiting Argentine Primera División side Talleres in the Copa Libertadores.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Atlético are unbeaten in the past ten matches against São Paulo, with the last encounter ending in a 2-2 draw. The 10 most recent H2H games have included five Atlético victories along with five draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	São Paulo	17	5	7	5	18	19	-1	18:19	22
13	Atlético MG	15	5	5	5	16	16	0	16:16	20

View Full Table

1 win, 6 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts. Atlético have had 53.2% possession and 4.9 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.7 corners.

Eduardo Vargas and Paulinho are the top scorers with 2 goals each, while Rony has 1. Gustavo Scarpa, Eduardo Vargas and Hulk are the leading assists makers with 1.

São Paulo have won 3, lost 3 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.5 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 8.2 attempts. There’s been an average of 59.6% possession, 5.1 corners taken and 4.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts.

Lucas Moura is the leading goalscorer with 4, Luciano Neves has 3, with Luiz Gustavo and Andre getting 2. Lucas Moura, Wellington Rato and Jonathan Calleri have been the top assists providers with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Everson (GK), Natanael, Lyanco, Junior Alonso, Guilherme Arana, Gustavo Scarpa, Alan Franco, Gabriel Menino, Rony, Hulk, Tomas Cuello.

São Paulo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rafael (GK), Nahuel Ferraresi, Robert Arboleda, Alan Franco, Wendell, Alisson, Marcos Antonio, Cedric Soares, Luciano Neves, Ferreira, Andre.

Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips

Atlético Mineiro look a great bet for this Série A game as we’re expecting them to win. You can get odds of -105 that the home team claim a victory and this looks like a value wager based on the latest stats and team news.

The latest team news and current form are always useful information when it comes to providing football tips. It’s also important to pay attention to the available stats so that we make the best predictions.

Key Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo league stats:

• São Paulo have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• São Paulo have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• São Paulo have lost their last 2 games on the road.

Atlético to Win Probability

According to the odds, there’s a 51.3% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Those who are looking for bigger odds when backing Atlético should consider the Asian Handicap. Place a wager on them to cover the line that makes the most appeal.

Our Match Prediction

Atlético MG To Win @ -105 Bet Now

bet365 Promo Get $150 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Atlético 1 - 0 São Paulo

Atlético are available at +390 to secure a 1-0 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.

Corners Prediction

Atlético To Have Most Corners -149

Atlético Mineiro have had the most corners in four straight games. We think that the value can be found by backing Atlético to win the Corner Match Bet and you can get attractive odds of -149.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atlético

Total

9.60 4.90 4.70

Home

9.40 4.50 4.90

Away

9.90 4.70 5.20

São Paulo

Total

9.70 5.10 4.60

Home

8.80 5.80 3.00

Away

10.00 4.60 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-120

Atlético Corners

Over 5.5

-119

Under 5.5

-119

São Paulo Corners

Over 4.5

+112

Under 4.5

-159

Most Corners

1

-179

X

+600

2

+165

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo Odds

Atlético Mineiro are regarded as having a 51% chance of winning this Serie A match according to the bookies’ latest betting odds who have priced them up at -105. São Paulo are regarded as the least likely winner at +350.

Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those customers expecting two goals or less.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Série A match. All the leading football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

-105

X

+210

2

+350

Half-Time Result

1

+175

X

-120

2

+450

Double Chance

1X

-549

12

-275

X2

-125

Draw No Bet

1

-275

2

+200

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

+101

2 Hcp +0.5

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-250

Over 2.5

+187.5

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+150

No

-200

Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo Lineups & Team News

Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Atlético vs São Paulo team news.

The Série A squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.

Atlético Mineiro Team Page São Paulo Team Page