Atlético Mineiro vs Sport Recife Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 08 Oct 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Atlético Mineiro vs Sport Recife

Atlético Mineiro host Sport Recife in this Brazilian Série A clash, with kick-off set for 18:00 on Wednesday 8 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Bet Against Goals

Atlético Mineiro and Sport Recife could be set for a low-scoring encounter. We will therefore head to the Total Goals market where Under 2.5 can be backed at an eye-catching price of -167.

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Sport Came Out on Top in Previous H2H

Atlético Mineiro were beaten last game and this was away from home. Fluminense claimed a 3-0 win. The Belo Horizonte outfit had one shot on target and enjoyed 56% possession.

Sport Recife played Cruzeiro away from home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw. Daniel Paulista's team had just 38% possession and totalled six shots on goal, while Derik Lacerda found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Sport landed a 1-0 Copa do Brasil home victory when they last faced Atlético. The previous 6 H2H meetings have involved four Atlético wins, a single draw and one Sport victory.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
15	Atlético MG	25	7	8	10	22	29	-7	22:29	29
20	Sport Recife	25	2	10	13	19	38	-19	19:38	16

View Full Table

2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.6 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts. Atlético have had 53.3% possession and 5.1 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.3 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 8.6 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.3 corners.

Top scorer Igor Gomes has found the net 2 times, with Vitor Hugo, Gustavo Scarpa, Gabriel Menino and Natanael getting 1 goals each. Rony, Gustavo Scarpa and Hulk have racked up the most assists with 1 each.

Sport have 2 victories, 3 defeats and 5 draws, averaging 4.0 shots on goal, 8.0 attempts and 1.0 goals. The Pernambuco side average 43.9% possession, 4.8 corners taken and 6.1 corners against them, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 12.6 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal.

Derik Lacerda and Lucas Lima have 3 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Matheusinho on 2. Lucas Lima has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 2.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Atlético Mineiro predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Everson (GK), Ruan Tressoldi, Lyanco, Vitor Hugo, Natanael, Gustavo Scarpa, Igor Gomes, Guilherme Arana, Bernard, Rony, Hulk.

Sport Recife predicted lineup (4-3-3): Gabriel (GK), Matheus Alexandre, Rafael Thyere, Ramon Menezes, Luan Cândido, Christian Rivera, Ze Lucas, Hyoran, Matheusinho, Derik Lacerda, Romarinho.

Atlético Mineiro vs Sport Recife Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve broken down Atlético Mineiro vs Sport Recife from every angle, offering our expert match prediction, expected final score, best corners pick, player prop recommendations and a well-constructed bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re more than happy with odds of -167 when it comes to betting Under 2.5 Goals, with this price standing out for the Série A encounter. The teams might not net too many between them.

Sportsgambler.com boast Série A expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our football betting tips and we make sure that the best stats are on hand.

Key Atlético Mineiro vs Sport Recife league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Atlético MG games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Atlético MG games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Atlético MG games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Sport games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Sport games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Sport games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Under 2.5 Probability

The best football betting sites make it a 62.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are similar bets available and that includes Under 1.5 Goals where you can get bigger odds although you don’t want two or more goals to be scored in order to land a return.

Before you bet, make sure to check out the latest offers. Our guide is packed with the best welcome bonuses from leading sportsbooks.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -167 Watch Live Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Atlético 2 - 0 Sport Recife

We’ve picked out a correct score of 2-0 being landed by Atlético. You can secure odds of +540 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Derik Lacerda Under 0.5 Shots On Target -152

Derik Lacerda (Sport Recife) is available to finish without a shot on goal at -152. It’s really hard to rule him out at an attractive price for the Shots on Target betting market.

Latest Derik Lacerda Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+500

First

+1050

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-152

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Guilherme Arana To Score +750

Guilherme Arana (Atlético MG) can be backed to find the net at +750. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager which means we need him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Guilherme Arana Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+750

First

+1600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

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Corners Prediction

Atlético Under 5.5 Corners +102

Atlético Mineiro have had under 5.5 corners in four straight matches. There’s everything to like about the Atlético Team Corners line which looks too big and we’d expect them to go under at +102.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Atlético

Total

9.40 5.10 4.30

Home

10.20 7.00 3.20

Away

11.00 4.50 6.50

Sport Recife

Total

10.90 4.80 6.10

Home

10.70 5.70 5.00

Away

10.80 5.60 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-141

Under 9.5

-100

Atlético Corners

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-110

Sport Recife Corners

Over 3.5

-163

Under 3.5

+120

Most Corners

1

-238

X

+750

2

+250

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Atlético Mineiro vs Sport Recife Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Make Atlético Most Likely Winners

Atlético Mineiro are the -159 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 61% chance of winning this Série A encounter according to the latest betting odds. Sport Recife are the +480 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

Atlético are -120 if you take them on the Asian Handicap at -0.75. Stakes are split between -0.5 and -1 which means you need a 2+ goal win for a full payout. A one-goal victory means a return with half your stake and the other half refunded.

Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. The Both Teams to Score No pick is -172 if you’re expecting at least one side will fail to find the net.

You’ll be blown away by the hundreds of markets available for Série A matches. Head to the best betting sites and take your pick from the various football options available.

Full-Time Result

1

-159

X

+260

2

+480

Half-Time Result

1

+125

X

+115

2

+460

Double Chance

1X

-833

12

-385

X2

+115

Draw No Bet

1

-455

2

+290

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-120

2 Hcp +0.75

-103

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-167

Over 2.5

+128

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+120

No

-172

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

There’s the chance to back Givanildo Souza "Hulk" at +340 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

First

+155

Anytime

+340

Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" (Atlético MG)

First

+260

Anytime

+510

Isaac Aguiar Tomich (Atlético MG)

First

+280

Anytime

+600

'Biel' Teixeira Aragão (Atlético MG)

First

+290

Anytime

+575

João Marcelo Soares de Freitas (Atlético MG)

First

+320

Anytime

+575

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero (Atlético MG)

First

+390

Anytime

+750

Reinier (Atlético MG)

First

+410

Anytime

+900

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

First

+410

Anytime

+950

Chrystian Barletta (Sport Recife)

First

+450

Anytime

+900

Bernard (Atlético MG)

First

+475

Anytime

+950

Derik Lacerda (Sport Recife)

First

+500

Anytime

+1050

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

First

+525

Anytime

+1100

Ignacio Ramirez (Sport Recife)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

'Matheusinho' Cardoso (Sport Recife)

First

+650

Anytime

+1200

Pablo Felipe Teixeira (Sport Recife)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Guilherme Arana (Atlético MG)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Lucas Rafael Araújo Lima (Sport Recife)

First

+900

Anytime

+1800

Fausto Vera (Atlético MG)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Hyoran Kauê Dalmoro (Sport Recife)

First

+1000

Anytime

+1800

Júnior Alonso (Atlético MG)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Lyanco (Atlético MG)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Caio Fernando de Oliveira "Paulista" (Atlético MG)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+140

Isaac Aguiar Tomich (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

+108

'Biel' Teixeira Aragão (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

+110

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

+102

João Marcelo Soares de Freitas (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-108

Chrystian Barletta (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-135

Derik Lacerda (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-152

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-156

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-164

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-172

Ignacio Ramirez (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-222

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-227

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-238

Pablo Felipe Teixeira (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

'Matheusinho' Cardoso (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-278

Guilherme Arana (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

Lucas Rafael Araújo Lima (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-435

Hyoran Kauê Dalmoro (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-455

Fausto Vera (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

Lyanco (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-625

Júnior Alonso (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-667

Caio Fernando de Oliveira "Paulista" (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-769

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Atlético Mineiro vs Sport Recife Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Atlético vs Sport team news. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

Atlético Mineiro Team Page Sport Recife Team Page