Atlético Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 07 Dec 2025
Série A Betting Preview: Atlético Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama
Atlético Mineiro clash with Vasco da Gama, with kick-off set for 14:00 on Sunday 7 December.
We will go for Vasco da Gama +0.75 on the Asian Handicap at a price of -110. We will divide our stake equally between +0.5 and +1.0 with some confidence that we can see a win or draw against Atlético Mineiro.
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Atlético Mineiro have been defeated in back-to-back Série A games. They were recently beaten at home to Palmeiras by a 3-0 scoreline. The Belo Horizonte team had 53% possession and ten shots on target.
Vasco da Gama have lost their previous three away games. Their latest contest was a 2-0 home defeat to Mirassol. The Giant of the Hill had seven shots on goal and 44% possession.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Vasco boast an unbeaten record in the past three games against Atlético, with their last clash ending 1-1. The previous 10 H2H meetings have ended in five Vasco victories, two draws and three Atlético wins.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Vasco da Gama |
37 | 13 | 6 | 18 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 55:55 | 45 |
| 13 | Atlético MG |
37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 38:44 | 45 |
3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts. Atlético have had 49.3% possession and 5.5 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.3 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 11.2 attempts, while being awarded 5.4 corners.
Hulk is the top goalscorer with 3, Rony has 2, with Bernard and two other players on 1. The top assist makers are Dudu, Rony and Hulk, all of whom have 2 on the board.
Vasco have won 4 and lost 6, with an average of 1.3 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 7.5 attempts. There’s been an average of 51.4% possession, 3.9 corners taken and 5.2 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.4 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts.
Rayan has top scored with 5, while Nuno Moreira and Pablo Vegetti are next best on 2. Paulo Henrique has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Atlético Mineiro predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Everson (GK), Ruan Tressoldi, Vitor Hugo, Júnior Alonso, Renzo Saravia, Igor Gomes, Alan Franco, Guilherme Arana, Gustavo Scarpa, Dudu, Rony.
Vasco da Gama predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Léo Jardim (GK), Paulo Henrique, Hugo Moura, Lucas Freitas, José Luis Rodríguez, Thiago Mendes, Tchê Tchê, Carlos Andres Gomez, Matheus França, David, Pablo Vegetti.
Atlético Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama Prediction & Betting Tips
We’ve lined up expert Atlético Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to corners betting insight, best player prop picks and bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.
Match Prediction
Take Vasco da Gama +0.75 at -110 for this Série A encounter. Dividing stakes between +0.5 and +1.0 could be the best plan and we think a price of 2.0 is value when it comes to the visitors.
Injuries and suspensions are studied by the team at Sportsgambler.com. Our football predictions also come from studying the latest Série A form, with the numbers playing a huge part before the tips are decided.
Key Atlético Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama league stats:
The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 52.4% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
Wanting bigger odds when it comes to your pick? With the line being moved, you can secure a larger price although the wager is a more risky one.
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Correct Score Prediction
Our prediction is a 1-1 draw which is available at odds of +510. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.
Player Prop Picks
Pablo Vegetti (Vasco) has managed two goals in his past four Série A matches away from home. When it comes to him scoring, we think that the +280 available is attractive when betting on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
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Corners Prediction
In their past six away games, Vasco da Gama have had less than 3.5 corners. For Team Corners, we’re expecting Vasco to fall short and you can land odds of -111.
Atlético
Vasco
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Bet Builder Tips
Get in the game with a bet builder. Our picks are Vasco da Gama to cover the +0.75 Asian Handicap, less than three goals to be scored together with Vasco da Gama to finish with under 3.5 corners.
The bet builder option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same football game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.
Atlético Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
With the bookies giving them a 60% probability of winning, Atlético Mineiro might be a popular acca pick. Their current betting odds are -147 when it comes to triumphing in this Série A clash. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +375 about Vasco da Gama.
You can back Atlético at +125 on the Half-Time Result market, meaning you need them to be ahead at the break. Vasco are +370 and the draw is chalked up at +133.
The Under 2.5 / Over 2.5 Goals betting market suggests that there’s not much between the two options. For those anticipating both sides finding the net, then BTTS Yes might prove attractive. Alternatively, you can wager BTTS No.
The best football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any Série A game and take your pick.
Givanildo Souza "Hulk" can be backed to find the net anytime at +115. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +320.
- Série A: 10/08 2025 Vasco da Gama 1 Atlético MG 1
- Série A: 04/12 2024 Vasco da Gama 2 Atlético MG 0
- Copa do Brasil: 19/10 2024 Vasco da Gama 1 Atlético MG 1
- Copa do Brasil: 03/10 2024 Atlético MG 2 Vasco da Gama 1
- Série A: 21/07 2024 Atlético MG 2 Vasco da Gama 0
- Série A: 20/08 2023 Vasco da Gama 1 Atlético MG 0
- Série A: 16/04 2023 Atlético MG 1 Vasco da Gama 2
- Série A: 24/01 2021 Vasco da Gama 3 Atlético MG 2
- Série A: 05/10 2020 Atlético MG 4 Vasco da Gama 1
- Série A: 03/10 2019 Atlético MG 1 Vasco da Gama 2
Atlético Mineiro League Stats
Vasco da Gama League Stats
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 5.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 5.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 5.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 49.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 51.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Atlético Mineiro this season are Hulk (7), Rony (6), Igor Gomes (4)
- Top Assistors for Atlético Mineiro this season are Hulk (5), Rony (4), Gustavo Scarpa (3)
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Atlético Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama Lineups & Team News
Know who’s in and who’s out for Atlético vs Vasco before making your bets. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.
Atlético Mineiro Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Vasco da Gama Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Atlético Mineiro Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Vasco da Gama Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Atlético Mineiro Lineups
Previous Vasco da Gama Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Atlético Mineiro Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Jorge Sampaoli
Vasco da Gama Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 37 | 23 | 9 | 5 | 75:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 63:32 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 37 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 55:28 | 70 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 60:36 | 66 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 48:39 | 61 |
| 6 | Bahia | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50:44 | 60 |
| 7 | Botafogo | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 54:36 | 60 |
| 8 | São Paulo | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 43:46 | 51 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 37 | 14 | 6 | 17 | 44:54 | 48 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 41:46 | 46 |
| 11 | Grêmio | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 43:50 | 46 |
| 12 | Vasco da Gama | 37 | 13 | 6 | 18 | 55:55 | 45 |
| 13 | Atlético MG | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 38:44 | 45 |
| 14 | Santos | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 42:50 | 44 |
| 15 | Ceará | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 33:37 | 43 |
| 16 | Fortaleza | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 41:54 | 43 |
| 17 | Vitória | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 34:52 | 42 |
| 18 | Internacional | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 41:56 | 41 |
| 19 | Juventude | 37 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 34:68 | 34 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 37 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 28:71 | 17 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 46:8 | 47 |
| 2 | Bahia | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 33:14 | 45 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 35:14 | 43 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 29:11 | 43 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 18 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 39:14 | 42 |
| 6 | Palmeiras | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 35:11 | 41 |
| 7 | Botafogo | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 35:22 | 35 |
| 8 | São Paulo | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27:17 | 34 |
| 9 | Atlético MG | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 25:18 | 32 |
| 10 | Grêmio | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 24:17 | 32 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27:24 | 31 |
| 12 | Vitória | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 20:15 | 30 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 26:17 | 29 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 31:26 | 28 |
| 15 | Internacional | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:19 | 27 |
| 16 | Santos | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 21:19 | 27 |
| 17 | Fortaleza | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 23:23 | 27 |
| 18 | Ceará | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 26 |
| 19 | Juventude | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21:26 | 23 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 17:35 | 10 |
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