Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 12 Feb 2026
Primera A Betting Preview: Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza
Atlético Nacional go head-to-head with Fortaleza, with kick-off set for 20:30 on Thursday 12 February.
We’re delighted to snap up odds of -109 when it comes to wagering Under 2.5 Goals, with the Total Goals market affording us this value proposition. Atlético Nacional and Fortaleza might fall short of the line.
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Atlético Nacional have recorded back-to-back Primera A wins. They recently secured a 2-1 home triumph against América de Cali.
Fortaleza played Santa Fe at home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Nacional are unbeaten in the past three games against Fortaleza, with the last clash ending in a 2-2 draw. The past 4 H2H games have involved two Nacional victories, a single draw and one Fortaleza win.
| Categoria Primera A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Fortaleza |
5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 14 | Atlético Nacional |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6:1 | 6 |
Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza Prediction & Betting Tips
We’ve got your Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza bets covered, including our expert match prediction, top correct score pick, must-see player props and a tailored bet builder built for value.
Match Prediction
For those that agree with our view that this will be low-scoring, take the -109 when it comes to Under 2.5 Goals. We don’t think this Primera A encounter will be a goalfest.
The football experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of Primera A stats and present the key numbers to our readers.
Key Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza league stats:
The betting apps are estimating that there is a 52.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability close to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
There are a number of similar wagers and Under 1.5 Goals allows you to secure a larger price. However, there’s more risk as you can’t have more than one goal being scored.
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Correct Score Prediction
Nacional are available at +450 to win by a 1-0 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.
Player Prop Picks
Edwin Cardona (Nacional) can be backed to be among the goals at +190. We’ll have a play on this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder picks are no more than two goals, Nacional to come out on top as well as Edwin Cardona (Nacional) to score.
A football bet builder is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same game. It’s a great bet to have if you’re confident of certain outcomes, especially as the price for each selection is combined.
Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Atlético Nacional have been priced up as the overwhelming -313 favourites for this Primera A clash. This means the bookies give them a 76% chance of claiming victory. For those wanting to back Fortaleza, you will find +800 about the outsider.
An Asian Handicap -1.25 bet on Nacional gives you a full payout at -128 if they beat Fortaleza by two or more goals. If they win by one, you get half your stake returned but will lose the other half.
If you’re anticipating a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. If you think at least one side will keep a clean sheet, then Both Teams to Score No is -149.
If you’re wanting hundreds of football markets, then the good news is that the top betting sites can provide this. For any Primera A match, take your pick and hopefully find a winning angle.
Those interested in Alfredo Morelos to find the net anytime are able to get +112. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +260.
- Primera A Apertura: 05/02 Atlético Nacional 2 América de Cali1
- Primera A Apertura: 18/01 Atlético Nacional 4 Boyacá Chicó0
- Primera A Clausura Playoff Grp. A: 08/12 América de Cali 3 Atlético Nacional2
- Primera A Clausura Playoff Grp. A: 05/12 Atlético Nacional 2 DIM1
- Primera A Clausura Playoff Grp. A: 01/12 Junior 2 Atlético Nacional1
Atlético Nacional League Stats
Fortaleza League Stats
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Atlético Nacional this season are Andres Sarmiento (1), Edwin Cardona (1), Juan Bauza (1)
- Top Assistors for Atlético Nacional this season are Juan Rengifo (2), Dairon Asprilla (1), Edwin Cardona (1)
Atlético Nacional vs Fortaleza Lineups & Team News
Make sure to look over the Nacional vs Fortaleza team news before betting. We’ll provide the confirmed Primera A lineups along with the latest injury updates.
Previous Atlético Nacional Lineups
Previous Fortaleza Lineups
Atlético Nacional Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Diego Arias
Fortaleza Player Stats & Squad
Primera A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Pasto | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 10 |
| 3 | La Equidad | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 4 | Junior | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Tolima | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 7 | Águilas Doradas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 8 |
| 8 | Deportivo Cali | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 9 | América de Cali | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 11 | Santa Fe | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 12 | Jaguares | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 14 | Atlético Nacional | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 15 | DIM | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 5 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 17 | Dep. Pereira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | 2 |
| 18 | Cucuta | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | 2 |
| 19 | Alianza | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:10 | 2 |
| 20 | Boyacá Chicó | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 4 | Atlético Nacional | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 5 | Águilas Doradas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 6 | Jaguares | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 7 | Fortaleza | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 8 | América de Cali | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 9 | La Equidad | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 10 | Junior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 11 | Tolima | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 12 | Santa Fe | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 13 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 14 | Alianza | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 15 | Llaneros | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | 2 |
| 17 | DIM | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 18 | Millonarios | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 19 | Dep. Pereira | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 20 | Boyacá Chicó | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
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