Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Jul 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro

Bahia host Atlético Mineiro in this Brazilian Série A match, with kick-off set for 20:00 on Saturday 12 July 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Don’t Rule Out the BTTS No Betting Option

We’re not sold on both teams scoring, with Bahia or Atlético Mineiro potentially failing to find the net here. Let’s go for the BTTS No option which is attractively priced at -133 and could deliver a return.

Trusting our BTTS No forecast? Grab the updated BetMGM promo code and read our complete site review before placing your bet.

3-0 Win for Bahia in Last Head-to-Head

Bahia have got the win in their last four home games. In their last game, they enjoyed a 3-0 victory away to Red Bull Bragantino. The Salvador side had five shots on target and enjoyed 67% possession, with Luciano Juba, Guilherme Lopes (own goal) and Michel Araujo among the goals.

Atlético Mineiro have won back-to-back Série A games, including a recent 2-0 success against Internacional at home. Galo were 53% in the possession stakes and managed four shots on goal, while Vitao (own goal) and Junior Santos were both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Bahia have not lost any of the past three games against Atlético. In their last clash, it was a 3-0 home win for Bahia. The past 10 H2H meetings have resulted in four wins apiece along with two draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Bahia	19	10	6	3	27	17	10	27:17	36
12	Atlético MG	19	6	6	7	20	23	-3	20:23	24

View Full Table

Bahia have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.1 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts. The Squad of Steel have averaged 56.4% possession and 5.1 corners per match, conceding 0.8 goals and 4.8 corners from 3.7 shots on goal and 10.6 attempts.

Michel Araujo, Willian Jose and Erick are joint-top scorers with 2 goals on the board. Erick Pulga and Erick are tied for the most assists on 2.

Atlético have won 5, lost 1 and drawn 4, with an average of 5.0 shots on goal, 11.4 attempts and 1.2 goals. Cuca's team average 55.6% possession, 6.8 corners taken and 5.1 corners against them, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 8.7 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal.

Junior Santos and Rony have top scored with 2, while Rubens is next on 1. Igor Gomes and Hulk have both managed 2 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Bahia confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Marcos Felipe (GK), Gilberto Junior, David Duarte, Santiago Ramos, Luciano Juba, Caio Alexandre, Jean Lucas, Everton Ribeiro, Ademir Santos, Willian Jose, Erick Pulga.

Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (4-5-1): Gabriel Delfim (GK), Natanael, Lyanco, Junior Alonso, Guilherme Arana, Gabriel Menino, Alan Franco, Rubens, Gustavo Scarpa, Dudu, Hulk.

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction & Betting Tips

Discover the top Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro betting angles — from our trusted match prediction and likely score to corners market advice, key prop plays and a customized bet builder.

Match Prediction

It’s hard to see how the Série A sides can both find the net and that means a BTTS No wager. We’re more than happy to land the generous -133 when it comes to this particular outcome.

Plenty of research goes into our football picks. It begins by focusing on the latest Série A form and knowing the injury situation. The important numbers can then be utilised to help complete the picture.

Key Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro league stats:

• 7 of the last 10 Bahia matches have resulted in BTTS No
• 3 of the last 5 Bahia matches have resulted in BTTS No
• The last 4 Atlético MG matches have resulted in BTTS No
• 7 of the last 10 Atlético MG matches have resulted in BTTS No
• 14 of the last 20 Atlético MG matches have resulted in BTTS No

BTTS No Probability

The best betting sites make it a 57.1% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

We would recommend considering a Bet Builder if you’re looking for a bigger-priced alternative. Go for BTTS No with other selections, with a handsome pay out on the cards.

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Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - No @ -133 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Bahia 1 - 0 Atlético

A potentially entertaining bet is going for Bahia to win by a 1-0 scoreline. At odds of +575, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Erick Pulga Over 0.5 Shots On Target -147

Erick Pulga (Bahia) can be wagered to have at least one shot on goal at -147. He looks like a value bet on the Shots on Target market and we recommend backing this player prop pick.

Latest Erick Pulga Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-119

Shots

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

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Santi Ramos Mingo To Score +1050

Santi Ramos Mingo (Bahia) can be wagered to be on the scoresheet at +1050. We think this is the pick of the player props, with generous odds available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Santi Ramos Mingo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+1100

First

+2200

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-909

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -125

We’ve seen an average 13.00 corners in the past five Atlético Mineiro away games, while the previous five Bahia matches have averaged 11.00. If you’re in agreement with our opinion that the Total Corners line is on the low side, take the odds of -125 that the teams go over.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Bahia

Total

9.90 5.10 4.80

Home

9.50 5.40 4.10

Away

9.90 4.50 5.40

Atlético

Total

11.90 6.80 5.10

Home

10.80 7.10 3.70

Away

11.20 5.10 6.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-143

Under 9.5

-100

Bahia Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Atlético Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-150

Most Corners

1

-122

X

+540

2

+120

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Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bahia Full-Time Odds Suggest Victory

The bookies have priced up the Full-Time Result betting odds and Bahia are +135 to land a Série A victory, while Atlético Mineiro are +235 to win. The draw is trading at +195 should you think the clash will end all square.

If Bahia only draw with Atlético, then the Asian Handicap -0.25 wager means you get half your stake back. However, you get a full payout at -102 if they’re able to land a victory.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Under 2.5 is the likelier outcome in this contest. As long as one team or more fails to score, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market will pay out at -127.

Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Série A games, with the best football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.

Full-Time Result

1

+135

X

+195

2

+235

Half-Time Result

1

+200

X

+104

2

+285

Double Chance

1X

-333

12

-270

X2

-182

Draw No Bet

1

-172

2

+123

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-102

2 Hcp +0.25

-123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-172

Over 2.5

+132

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-112

No

-127

Luciano Rodríguez Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Luciano Rodríguez is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +480, while you can get similar odds if you want him to score the last goal.

Luciano Rodríguez

First

+235

Anytime

+480

Givanildo "Hulk" Souza (Atlético MG)

First

+310

Anytime

+600

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

First

+320

Anytime

+650

João Marcelo Soares de Freitas (Atlético MG)

First

+330

Anytime

+650

Jose Antonio dos Santos Júnior (Atlético MG)

First

+360

Anytime

+750

Isaac Aguiar Tomich (Atlético MG)

First

+375

Anytime

+750

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+430

Anytime

+900

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

First

+500

Anytime

+1000

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+540

Anytime

+1150

Brahian Palacios (Atlético MG)

First

+540

Anytime

+1150

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

First

+540

Anytime

+1100

Eduardo "Dudu" Pereira Rodrigues (Atlético MG)

First

+575

Anytime

+1050

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

First

+575

Anytime

+1150

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

First

+575

Anytime

+1150

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Guilherme Arana (Atlético MG)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Igor Gomes (Atlético MG)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2000

Santi Ramos Mingo (Bahia)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Caio Alexandre Souza e Silva

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Patrick Roberto da Silva Campos (Atlético MG)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Luciano Rodríguez

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

+125

Givanildo "Hulk" Souza (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

+118

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-119

João Marcelo Soares de Freitas (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-133

Jose Antonio dos Santos Júnior (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-141

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-154

Isaac Aguiar Tomich (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-156

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-192

Eduardo "Dudu" Pereira Rodrigues (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-208

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-208

Brahian Palacios (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-217

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-263

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-286

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-625

Guilherme Arana (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+295

Under 0.5

-769

Patrick Roberto da Silva Campos (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Santi Ramos Mingo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-909

Caio Alexandre Souza e Silva

Over 0.5

+380

Under 0.5

-909

Luciano Rodríguez

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

-

Givanildo "Hulk" Souza (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

-182

Under 2.5

-

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

João Marcelo Soares de Freitas (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

Jose Antonio dos Santos Júnior (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Isaac Aguiar Tomich (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-103

Under 1.5

-

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Brahian Palacios (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Eduardo "Dudu" Pereira Rodrigues (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-3333

Under 0.5

-

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

Bahia vs Atlético Mineiro Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Bahia vs Atlético team news before betting. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Série A lineups plus current injury reports.

Bahia Team Page Atlético Mineiro Team Page