Bahia vs Botafogo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 May 2025

Get Ready for a Low-Scoring Encounter

The best bet on this Bahia vs Botafogo game could involve a Total Goals selection. We think that Under 2.5 is crying out to be backed based on the available stats and the odds of -143 look value.

Goalless Draw in Previous H2H

Bahia won their previous game 1-0. This road victory against Palmeiras made it two on the spin. The Squad of Steel had 52% possession and recorded three shots on target, with a late strike from Kayky proving the difference.

Botafogo have had back-to-back away defeats while their previous game was a 2-0 home win against Fluminense. Renato Paiva's team had 40% possession and recorded seven shots on goal, while Vitinho and Jefferson Savarino were both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Bahia are unbeaten in the past four games against Botafogo, with the last clash ending in a 0-0 draw. The past 10 meetings between these sides have resulted in five Bahia victories and three Botafogo wins. There have also been two draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Bahia	15	8	4	3	20	13	7	20:13	28
6	Botafogo	15	7	5	3	18	8	10	18:8	26

View Full Table

Bahia have 4 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 10.7 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal. The Salvador outfit have averaged 53.6% possession and 5.1 corners per game, conceding 1.2 goals and 4.6 corners from 9.6 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

Top scorers are Luciano Rodriguez and Erick on 2 goals, while Kayky has racked up 1. The leading assistors have been Cauly Oliveira Souza and Luciano Juba with 3.

Botafogo have won 5, lost 2 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.3 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts. Fogo have averaged 51.3% possession, 5.3 corners awarded and 3.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts.

The leading scorer has been Jefferson Savarino with 5, while Igor Jesus and Gregore have 2. Igor Jesus has managed to clock up 3 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Bahia confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Marcos Felipe (GK), Erick, David Duarte, Santiago Ramos, Luciano Juba, Everton Ribeiro, Caio Alexandre, Jean Lucas, Cauly Oliveira Souza, Luciano Rodriguez, Erick Pulga.

Botafogo confirmed lineup (4-3-3): John Victor (GK), Vitinho, Jair Cunha, David Ricardo, Cuiabano, Patrick de Paula, Newton, Marlon Freitas, Artur Guimaraes, Igor Jesus, Gonzalo Mastriani.

Bahia vs Botafogo Prediction & Betting Tips

The two teams aren’t expected to deliver on the goals front and that means we will bet Under 2.5. This Série A pick could be a sensible play and that’s particularly the case on the basis that odds of -143 are available.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football picks. The form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key Bahia vs Botafogo league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in any of the last 5 Bahia games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Bahia games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 Bahia games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Botafogo games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Botafogo games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Botafogo games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 games between these teams.

Under 2.5 Probability

The bookies make it a 58.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you’re hunting larger odds, there’s the opportunity to not only back the Under 2.5 Goals selection but also back a specific team to win. The Result & Total Goals market presents this opportunity.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -143 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Bahia 1 - 1 Botafogo

The game ending in a 1-1 draw is available at odds of +460. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Gonzalo Mastriani Over 0.5 Shots On Target -127

Gonzalo Mastriani (Botafogo) is available to register a minimum of one shot on goal at -127. He stands out as a value pick when it comes to Shots on Target, with the recommendation being to wager this player prop pick.

Latest Gonzalo Mastriani Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+340

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-152

Shots

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

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Gonzalo Mastriani To Score +330

Gonzalo Mastriani (Botafogo) can be backed to be on the scoresheet at +330. We believe this is the best of the player props, with healthy odds available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Gonzalo Mastriani Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+340

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-152

Shots

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Bahia Under 5.5 Corners -125

Bahia have had under 5.5 corners in three consecutive games, while the previous 10 Botafogo matches have seen them concede an average of 3.80 corners. We’re expecting Bahia to fall short of the mark, with odds of -125 on offer when it comes to this Team Corners selection.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Bahia

Total

9.70 5.10 4.60

Home

9.70 6.30 3.40

Away

9.30 4.30 5.00

Botafogo

Total

9.10 5.30 3.80

Home

8.80 6.60 2.20

Away

10.00 5.00 5.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-138

Under 9.5

-100

Bahia Corners

Over 5.5

-110

Under 5.5

-125

Botafogo Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-150

Most Corners

1

-159

X

+575

2

+155

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Bahia vs Botafogo Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Match Odds Suggest Bahia Win

With the bookies giving them a 48% probability of winning, Bahia might become a popular accumulator pick at their current betting odds. That is reflected in their +110 price of winning this Serie A clash. Botafogo are the +250 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest price for this interesting match.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Série A match. All the leading football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+110

X

+250

2

+250

Half-Time Result

1

+175

X

+110

2

+300

Double Chance

1X

-300

12

-350

X2

-150

Draw No Bet

1

-188

2

+137.5

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-114

2 Hcp +0.25

+102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-125

Over 2.5

-100

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-125

No

-105

Luciano Rodríguez Heads First Goalscorer Market

Luciano Rodríguez is available at +205 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favourite is now priced at odds of +440 to find the net first.

Luciano Rodríguez (Bahia)

First

+205

Anytime

+440

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

First

+245

Anytime

+540

Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz (Botafogo)

First

+250

Anytime

+575

Gonzalo Mastriani (Botafogo)

First

+340

Anytime

+700

Matheus Martins (Botafogo)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Elias Manoel (Botafogo)

First

+390

Anytime

+800

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

First

+410

Anytime

+850

Jefferson Savarino (Botafogo)

First

+410

Anytime

+900

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

First

+440

Anytime

+900

Santiago Rodríguez (Botafogo)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+460

Anytime

+950

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

First

+475

Anytime

+1000

Jefferson Ruan "Jeffinho" Santos (Botafogo)

First

+600

Anytime

+1100

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Danilo Barbosa da Silva (Botafogo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Luis Eduardo Soares 'Cuiabano' da Silva (Botafogo)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Kauê Rodrigues Pessanha (Botafogo)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Marques Allan (Botafogo)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Patrick de Paula (Botafogo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Gabriel Xavier

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Marlon Freitas (Botafogo)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Gilberto Moraes Júnior (Bahia)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Luciano Rodríguez (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+132

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+116

Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

+112

Matheus Martins (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-143

Jefferson Savarino (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-147

Gonzalo Mastriani (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-152

Elias Manoel (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-156

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-182

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-185

Santiago Rodríguez (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-192

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-227

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+133

Under 0.5

-233

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-244

Jefferson Ruan "Jeffinho" Santos (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-370

Danilo Barbosa da Silva (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-435

Luis Eduardo Soares 'Cuiabano' da Silva (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-435

Patrick de Paula (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-500

Kauê Rodrigues Pessanha (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-625

Marques Allan (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Marlon Freitas (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-909

Gilberto Moraes Júnior (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Gabriel Xavier

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-1250

Luciano Rodríguez (Bahia)

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

-

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

-

Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz (Botafogo)

Over 2.5

-135

Under 2.5

-

Gonzalo Mastriani (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Matheus Martins (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Elias Manoel (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Jefferson Ruan "Jeffinho" Santos (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Patrick de Paula (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Gilberto Moraes Júnior (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-

Bahia vs Botafogo Lineups & Team News

You’ve found the right place for Bahia vs Botafogo team news, with all the latest information available including lineups and injuries so you’re fully informed.

If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the Série A squads.

Bahia Team Page Botafogo Team Page