Bahia vs Ceará Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Apr 2025

Ceará Should Be Able to Cover the Line

The draw can be a favourable outcome when wagering Ceará +0.5 at an Asian Handicap price of +107. They should be able to avoid a loss against Bahia and this wager has the numbers to secure a return.

1-1 Draw in Last H2H

Bahia lost on the road in their last game. Cruzeiro won 3-0. The Squad of Steel had most of the ball enjoying 60% possession and one shot on target.

Ceará won their previous game which was at home. It was a 2-1 triumph against Vasco da Gama. Leo Conde's side had just 36% of the ball and recorded two shots on goal, while Pedro Raul scored twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Ceará were on the road when they previously faced Bahia and the game ended 1-1. We’ve seen the past 6 H2H games involve three Ceará wins. There have also been two draws and one Bahia victory.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Bahia	15	8	4	3	20	13	7	20:13	28
9	Ceará	16	6	3	7	16	16	0	16:16	21

View Full Table

2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 10.9 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal. Bahia have had 53.4% possession and 4.9 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.6 goals from 9.5 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal, while earning 4.8 corners.

Luciano Rodriguez is the top goalscorer with 3, Erick has 2, with Luciano Juba and two other players on 1. Luciano Juba is the leading assists maker with 3.

Ceará have won 2, lost 1 and drawn 1, with an average of 1.8 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 41.0% possession, 2.3 corners awarded and 6.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts.

Pedro Raul has scored 4, followed by Aylon, Matheus Araujo and Marllon with 1 goals apiece. Lucas Mugni is the top assists provider in the last 4 games with 2.

Confirmed Lineups

Bahia confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Marcos Felipe (GK), Gilberto Junior, David Duarte, Santiago Ramos, Iago, Erick, Nicolas Acevedo, Rodrigo Nestor, Ademir Santos, Luciano Rodriguez, Cauly Oliveira Souza.

Ceará confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Fernando Miguel (GK), Fabiano Silva, Marllon, Willian Machado, Rafael Ramos, Fernando Sobral, Diego, Antonio Galeano, Lucas Mugni, Aylon, Pedro Raul.

Bahia vs Ceará Prediction & Betting Tips

Ceará +0.5 could be a value play in this Série A match. We’ll take the Asian Handicap odds of +107 for the visitors to claim a victory or a draw, giving us two outcomes against one with this bet.

A good deal of research goes into our football picks. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Key Bahia vs Ceará league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Ceará in 3 of their last 4 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Bahia in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Bahia in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Bahia in 4 consecutive games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Bahia in 5 of their last 6 games against Ceará.

Ceará +0.5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 48.3% chance of winning. However, we have this number between 55-60% based on our in-depth research. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you’re hunting for bigger odds and feel confident your pick is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.

Our Match Prediction

Ceará Asian Hcp +0.5 @ +107 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Bahia 1 - 1 Ceará

We think there’s a chance of a 1-1 draw and this can be backed at odds of +525. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Pedro Raul Garay da Silva To Score +430

Pedro Raul Garay da Silva (Ceará) can be backed at +430 to be on the scoresheet. There are appealing odds on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer pick and we think this is an attractive wager for him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Pedro Raul Garay da Silva Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+295

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-105

Shots

Over 2.5

-135

Under 2.5

-

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Bahia vs Ceará Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

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With a 60% chance of winning, Bahia are favourites to win this Serie A match and they’re available at betting odds of -150 with the bookies. Ceará are the outsiders at +425 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

For those expecting a low-scoring clash, Under 2.5 Goals is the market leader on the Total Goals market.

To combine various Série A selections within the same match, you will find football betting sites offer a Bet Builder. Start adding the picks you fancy until you’re happy with the overall payout.

Full-Time Result

1

-150

X

+270

2

+425

Half-Time Result

1

+130

X

+120

2

+450

Double Chance

1X

-599

12

-350

X2

+105

Draw No Bet

1

-400

2

+275

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-105

2 Hcp +0.75

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-125

Over 2.5

-100

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-105

No

-125

Luciano Rodríguez is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Luciano Rodríguez is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +380. If you want to back him to score the last goal, you can get similar odds.

Luciano Rodríguez (Bahia)

First

+170

Anytime

+380

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

First

+290

Anytime

+600

Pedro Raul Garay da Silva (Ceará)

First

+295

Anytime

+600

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

First

+340

Anytime

+700

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

First

+360

Anytime

+750

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+380

Anytime

+800

Aylon Darwin Tavella (Ceará)

First

+380

Anytime

+800

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

First

+410

Anytime

+850

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+480

Anytime

+1100

Fernando "Fernandinho" Marques Maciel (Ceará)

First

+550

Anytime

+1150

Silvio Alejandro Martínez (Ceará)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Antonio Galeano (Ceará)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Fernando Sobral (Ceará)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Pedro Henrique Konzen Medina (Ceará)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Romulo Azevedo Simão (Ceará)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Jorge Recalde (Ceará)

First

+900

Anytime

+1800

João Paulo Ferreira Lourenço (Ceará)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Gilberto Moraes Júnior (Bahia)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Victor "Kanu" Hugo

First

+950

Anytime

+1800

Lucas Mugni (Ceará)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Caio Alexandre Souza e Silva (Bahia)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Luciano "Juba" Junior Batista (Bahia)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Gabriel Xavier (Bahia)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-104

Pedro Raul Garay da Silva (Ceará)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-105

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-147

Aylon Darwin Tavella (Ceará)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-164

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-175

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-189

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-204

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-208

Luciano Rodríguez (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-270

Fernando "Fernandinho" Marques Maciel (Ceará)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-263

Silvio Alejandro Martínez (Ceará)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-270

Pedro Henrique Konzen Medina (Ceará)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-278

Antonio Galeano (Ceará)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-278

Fernando Sobral (Ceará)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-286

Romulo Azevedo Simão (Ceará)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-500

João Paulo Ferreira Lourenço (Ceará)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-476

Jorge Recalde (Ceará)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-526

Gilberto Moraes Júnior (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-667

Lucas Mugni (Ceará)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Caio Alexandre Souza e Silva (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Luciano "Juba" Junior Batista (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Gabriel Xavier (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-909

Luciano Rodríguez (Bahia)

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-

Pedro Raul Garay da Silva (Ceará)

Over 2.5

-135

Under 2.5

-

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Pedro Henrique Konzen Medina (Ceará)

Over 1.5

+133

Under 1.5

-

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Fernando "Fernandinho" Marques Maciel (Ceará)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Aylon Darwin Tavella (Ceará)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-112

Under 1.5

-

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Antonio Galeano (Ceará)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Fernando Sobral (Ceará)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Romulo Azevedo Simão (Ceará)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Jorge Recalde (Ceará)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

João Paulo Ferreira Lourenço (Ceará)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Gilberto Moraes Júnior (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Luciano "Juba" Junior Batista (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Bahia vs Ceará Lineups & Team News

It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Bahia vs Ceará team news.

We’ve got details of the Série A squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Bahia Team Page Ceará Team Page