Bahia vs Cruzeiro Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 15 Sep 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Bahia vs Cruzeiro

Bahia host Cruzeiro in this Brazilian Série A fixture, with kick-off set for 20:00 on Monday 15 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Cruzeiro to Give Bahia a Tough Test

If you agree with our view that Cruzeiro can perform well against Bahia, then you can bet them with a +0.25 goal start at -125. This means our Asian Handicap stake is divided equally between 0 and +0.5.

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3-0 Victory for Cruzeiro in Last H2H

Bahia were beaten in their last Série A game and this was away from home. Mirassol claimed a 5-1 win. Rogerio Ceni's team had most of the ball enjoying 61% possession and six shots on target, with Rodrigo Nestor bagging the goal.

On Wednesday night, Bahia were beaten 2-0 away to Fluminense in the Copa do Brasil.

Cruzeiro have won back-to-back Série A matches, including a recent 1-0 victory against São Paulo at home. The Foxes had 40% of possession and seven shots on goal, with Matheus Pereira firing the winner in the 64th minute.

The last outing involving Cruzeiro saw them triumph 2-0 in the Copa do Brasil when hosting Atlético Mineiro.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 3-0 home win for Cruzeiro when they last played Bahia. The past 9 H2H games have included three Cruzeiro wins, two Bahia victories and four draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Cruzeiro	30	16	9	5	42	21	21	42:21	57
5	Bahia	30	14	7	9	40	34	6	40:34	49

View Full Table

Bahia have 6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 10.5 attempts. The Squad of Steel have averaged 58.0% possession and 3.5 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.2 goals from 3.5 shots on goal, 7.9 attempts and 4.2 corners.

Luciano Juba is the top scorer with 4 goals, while Michel Araujo and Willian Jose both have 3. The leading assistor is Willian Jose with 3.

Cruzeiro have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.8 goals from 10.6 attempts and 5.5 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 48.0% possession, 6.1 corners in their favour and 4.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 9.4 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal.

Kaio Jorge has landed 7 goals, Matheus Pereira 3, with Fabricio Bruno and two others scoring 2. Matheus Pereira has managed to clock up 5 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Bahia confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Ronaldo (GK), Santiago Arias, Gabriel Xavier, Nicolas Acevedo, Luciano Juba, Santiago Ramos, Jean Lucas, Mateo Sanabria, Everton Ribeiro, Kayky, Willian Jose.

Cruzeiro confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Cassio (GK), William, Fabricio Bruno, Lucas Villalba, Kaiki, Matheus Henrique, Lucas Daniel Romero, Christian Cardoso, Matheus Pereira, Wanderson, Kaio Jorge.

Bahia vs Cruzeiro Prediction & Betting Tips

Dive into our full Bahia vs Cruzeiro betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, valuable corners advice, top player prop bet and a bet builder designed for value.

Match Prediction

When Cruzeiro kick off this Série A match, we will wager them at -125 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. Avoiding defeat seems well within their capability and a win could be on the cards.

Understanding the injured players situation proves useful when assembling football picks. Once we’ve also considered the form guide, we use the latest stats and provide Série A betting predictions.

Key Bahia vs Cruzeiro league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Cruzeiro in 7 consecutive games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Cruzeiro in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Cruzeiro in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Bahia in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Bahia in 2 consecutive games against Cruzeiro.

Cruzeiro +0.25 Probability

If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 55.6% chance of delivering a return. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

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Our Match Prediction

Cruzeiro Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -125 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Bahia 0 - 1 Cruzeiro

Our correct score prediction is a 1-0 win for Cruzeiro which is available at odds of +650. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Willian José Over 0.5 Shots On Target -159

Willian José (Bahia) is available to record one or more shots on goal at -159. Shots on Target bettors should definitely consider him at the available odds and we’ll have a play.

Latest Willian José Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+295

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-108

Shots

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

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Matheus Pereira to Score +525

Matheus Pereira (Cruzeiro) has racked up three goals in his past five Série A games. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +525 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Matheus Pereira Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+525

First

+1100

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-137

Shots

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners +102

The average corner count for the past five Bahia home matches has been 7.00, with the previous five Cruzeiro away games seeing less than 9.5 corners three times. We expect the teams to fall short and this Total Corners bet can be backed at +102.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Bahia

Total

7.70 3.50 4.20

Home

7.90 4.20 3.70

Away

10.40 4.40 6.00

Cruzeiro

Total

10.70 6.10 4.60

Home

12.90 8.00 4.90

Away

10.70 4.40 6.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-149

Under 9.5

+104

Bahia Corners

Over 5.5

+105

Under 5.5

-147

Cruzeiro Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-115

Most Corners

1

-120

X

+700

2

+133

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Bahia vs Cruzeiro Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Expecting Close Encounter

Cruzeiro are +170 with the bookies to get the better of Bahia, with the latter having betting odds of +180. If you want to back the draw to be landed in this Série A encounter, this can be wagered at +200.

It sometimes pays to take the Draw No Bet option meaning there’s a safety net if the game ends all square. Cruzeiro can be backed at -119 or alternatively Bahia are on offer at -111.

When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. For those wanting to bet on Both Teams to Score, you won’t find much between Yes and No.

You can find hundreds of markets for every Série A match, with the top betting apps creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your football bets.

Full-Time Result

1

+180

X

+200

2

+170

Half-Time Result

1

+240

X

+104

2

+230

Double Chance

1X

-238

12

-278

X2

-250

Draw No Bet

1

-111

2

-119

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-159

2 Hcp -0.25

+128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-164

Over 2.5

+125

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-115

No

-123

Kaio Jorge Pinto Ramos is the First Goalscorer Favourite

You will find Kaio Jorge Pinto Ramos at +280 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite. There’s the chance to get +128 that he finds the net at anytime.

Kaio Jorge Pinto Ramos (Cruzeiro)

First

+128

Anytime

+280

Willian José (Bahia)

First

+295

Anytime

+600

Kayky da Silva Chagas (Bahia)

First

+295

Anytime

+650

Luciano Rodríguez (Bahia)

First

+330

Anytime

+600

Gabriel Barbosa "Gabigol" (Cruzeiro)

First

+370

Anytime

+700

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

First

+370

Anytime

+750

Yannick Bolasie (Cruzeiro)

First

+475

Anytime

+1000

Matheus Pereira (Cruzeiro)

First

+525

Anytime

+1100

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+575

Anytime

+1150

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Christian Roberto Cardoso (Cruzeiro)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Matheus Henrique (Cruzeiro)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Wanderson Sousa Campos (Cruzeiro)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Luciano Junior Batista "Juba" (Bahia)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Kaio Jorge Pinto Ramos (Cruzeiro)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

+145

Luciano Rodríguez (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+143

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-108

Kayky da Silva Chagas (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-111

Gabriel Barbosa "Gabigol" (Cruzeiro)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-108

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-127

Matheus Pereira (Cruzeiro)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-137

Yannick Bolasie (Cruzeiro)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-161

Christian Roberto Cardoso (Cruzeiro)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-238

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-250

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-263

Matheus Henrique (Cruzeiro)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-278

Wanderson Sousa Campos (Cruzeiro)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-270

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-333

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-417

Luciano Junior Batista "Juba" (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-476

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-526

Kaio Jorge Pinto Ramos (Cruzeiro)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Kayky da Silva Chagas (Bahia)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Gabriel Barbosa "Gabigol" (Cruzeiro)

Over 2.5

+133

Under 2.5

-

Matheus Pereira (Cruzeiro)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

Yannick Bolasie (Cruzeiro)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Christian Roberto Cardoso (Cruzeiro)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Wanderson Sousa Campos (Cruzeiro)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Matheus Henrique (Cruzeiro)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Luciano Junior Batista "Juba" (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Bahia vs Cruzeiro Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Bahia vs Cruzeiro team news before betting. Expect the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups along with timely injury updates.

Bahia Team Page Cruzeiro Team Page