Bahia vs Flamengo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Oct 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Bahia vs Flamengo

Bahia host Flamengo in this Brazilian Série A game, with kick-off set for 17:30 on Sunday 5 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Get Ready for a Low-Scoring Encounter

We don’t think the net will bulge too many times when Bahia go up against Flamengo. For this reason, we’re backing Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market and this selection is priced at -141.

Thinking it’ll be a low-scoring game? Snag the newest BetMGM promo code and give our review a read before you place your bet.

Flamengo Bidding to Maintain Winning Run Over Bahia

Bahia lost on the road in their last game. Botafogo won 2-1. The Squad of Steel recorded 49% possession and managed two shots on target, with Rodrigo Nestor scoring the goal.

Flamengo played Cruzeiro at home in their previous game. It was a 0-0 draw. The Rio de Janeiro club had two shots on goal and enjoyed 62% possession.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Flamengo beat Bahia in their last head-to-head encounter. It was a 1-0 scoreline at home. In the past 10 games between these teams, Flamengo have won all of them.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Flamengo	25	16	7	2	50	12	38	50:12	55
6	Bahia	25	11	7	7	33	30	3	33:30	40

View Full Table

3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts. Bahia have had 53.6% possession and 3.9 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.7 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.2 corners.

Rodrigo Nestor, Willian Jose and Luciano Juba are joint-top scorers with 2 goals on the board. Willian Jose is the top assists maker on 3.

Flamengo have won 6 and drawn 4, with an average of 2.1 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 11.9 attempts. There’s been an average of 62.5% possession, 6.5 corners awarded and 5.1 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.6 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 8.0 attempts.

Giorgian De Arrascaeta and Pedro have scored 5 goals, followed by Luiz Araujo with 2. Giorgian De Arrascaeta has been top assists provider with 5 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Bahia predicted lineup (4-3-3): Ronaldo (GK), Gilberto, Luiz Gustavo, Santi Ramos Mingo, Iago Borduchi, Everton Ribeiro, Nicolás Acevedo, Jean Lucas, Kayky, Willian José, Ademir Santos.

Flamengo predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Agustin Rossi (GK), Guillermo Varela, Léo Ortiz, Danilo, Ayrton, Saúl Ñíguez, Jorginho, Jorge Carrascal, Giorgian de Arrascaeta, Samuel Lino, Pedro.

Bahia vs Flamengo Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for Bahia vs Flamengo, including a key match prediction, our correct score selection, best corners advice, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re confident that there will be a low goal count for this Série A meeting. The betting sites offer us the chance to bet on Under 2.5 and the odds of -141 look really appealing.

The Série A injury and suspension data can be utilised to provide expert football betting tips. You can also identify that a stats-led approach is adopted by considering the most important stats.

Key Bahia vs Flamengo league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 10 of the last 19 Bahia games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Flamengo games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Flamengo games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 games between these teams.

Under 2.5 Probability

The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 58.5% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

A Bet Builder provides a refreshing option if you want a bigger price for your Under 2.5 Goals wager. Combine this pick with others, with bettors needing all legs to win.

Make smarter bets by exploring our bonus guide full of updated betting offers, free bets, and exciting new promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -141 Watch Live Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Bahia 0 - 1 Flamengo

A 1-0 win in favor of Flamengo is available at odds of +500. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Samuel Lino Over 0.5 Shots On Target -132

Samuel Lino (Flamengo) is available at -132 to have a minimum of one shot on goal. All things considered, we think that the betting odds are really appealing when it comes to backing him on the Shots Target market.

Latest Samuel Lino Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-119

Shots

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Giorgian de Arrascaeta to Score +210

Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Flamengo) has scored at least one goal in his past two Série A games away from home. There are odds of +210 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Giorgian de Arrascaeta Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+210

First

+420

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+125

Shots

Over 2.5

-109

Under 2.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Corners Prediction

Flamengo Under 5.5 Corners -138

The 5.5 corners line has not been covered by Flamengo in their past three games, with the corner count against Bahia going under 5.5 in their last five home matches. On this basis, we can take a price of -138 that this Flamengo Team Corners bet falls short of the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Bahia

Total

8.10 3.90 4.20

Home

7.50 3.60 3.90

Away

10.00 4.40 5.60

Flamengo

Total

11.60 6.50 5.10

Home

10.50 6.70 3.80

Away

9.90 5.60 4.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-102

Under 9.5

-139

Bahia Corners

Over 4.5

+120

Under 4.5

-163

Flamengo Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Most Corners

1

+200

X

+650

2

-182

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Bahia vs Flamengo Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Think Flamengo Most Likely to Win

The favourites have a 60% likelihood of success according to the bookies, with Flamengo chalked up at -149 to land a win in this Série A clash. The market suggests that Bahia are least likely to win at +410.

A 2+ goal margin of victory for Flamengo against Bahia means a full payout at -114 when backing them on the Asian Handicap -0.75. A one-goal win means half the stake wins and half is refunded.

Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. If you think at least one side will keep a clean sheet, then Both Teams to Score No is -143.

The leading football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all Série A games. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.

Full-Time Result

1

+410

X

+270

2

-149

Half-Time Result

1

+430

X

+120

2

+125

Double Chance

1X

+108

12

-400

X2

-667

Draw No Bet

1

+255

2

-385

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-109

2 Hcp -0.75

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-141

Over 2.5

+108

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-100

No

-143

Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

The First Goalscorer favourite is Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos at +350, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.

Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos (Flamengo)

First

+160

Anytime

+350

Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Flamengo)

First

+210

Anytime

+420

Luiz Araújo (Flamengo)

First

+300

Anytime

+650

Samuel Lino (Flamengo)

First

+320

Anytime

+650

Bruno Henrique Pinto (Flamengo)

First

+330

Anytime

+650

Éverton Souza Soares "Cebolinha" (Flamengo)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Gonzalo Plata (Flamengo)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Willian José (Bahia)

First

+420

Anytime

+900

Kayky da Silva Chagas (Bahia)

First

+430

Anytime

+1000

Jorge Carrascal (Flamengo)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

First

+525

Anytime

+1150

Saúl Ñíguez (Flamengo)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Jorginho (Flamengo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Nicolás de la Cruz (Flamengo)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+125

Luiz Araújo (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-118

Samuel Lino (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-119

Bruno Henrique Pinto (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-133

Éverton Souza Soares "Cebolinha" (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-149

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-167

Gonzalo Plata (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-156

Kayky da Silva Chagas (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-172

Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-217

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-217

Jorge Carrascal (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-294

Saúl Ñíguez (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-313

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-303

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-345

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-435

Jorginho (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-435

Nicolás de la Cruz (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-435

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-435

Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos (Flamengo)

Over 3.5

+107

Under 3.5

-

Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Flamengo)

Over 2.5

-109

Under 2.5

-

Samuel Lino (Flamengo)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Luiz Araújo (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Bruno Henrique Pinto (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Éverton Souza Soares "Cebolinha" (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Gonzalo Plata (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Kayky da Silva Chagas (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Jorge Carrascal (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Saúl Ñíguez (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

You can watch and bet on Série A games thanks to the live streaming service that’s available. This is only available to eligible sportsbook customers and is subject to geo-restrictions.

The leading betting apps stream many of the latest events across a wide range of sports and leagues.

Bahia vs Flamengo Live Streaming Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Bahia vs Flamengo Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Bahia vs Flamengo before making your bets. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A together with updated injury news.

Bahia Team Page Flamengo Team Page