Bahia vs Palmeiras Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Sep 2025
Série A Betting Preview: Bahia vs Palmeiras
Bahia host Palmeiras in this Brazilian Série A clash, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 28 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
We’re going to side with Palmeiras at +110 to defeat Bahia and this looks like a standout bet. The Full-Time Result market presents us with the opportunity to grab some value for this prediction.
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Bahia were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 3-1 reverse against Vasco da Gama. The Salvador outfit had just 33% possession and recorded three shots on target, with Mateo Sanabria getting the goal.
Palmeiras claimed a home win in their previous Série A game. A 4-1 victory against Fortaleza made it two league triumphs on the spin. Abel Ferreira's team enjoyed 71% possession and had nine shots on goal, with Andreas Pereira netting two, while Raphael Veiga and Ramon Sosa were also on the scoresheet.
Four days ago, Palmeiras triumphed 3-1 in the Copa Libertadores when hosting River Plate.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Bahia won the last clash between the two sides. Landing a 1-0 away victory when facing Palmeiras. We’ve seen the previous 10 H2H matches involve five Palmeiras victories. There have also been three draws and two Bahia triumphs.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Palmeiras |
38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 66 | 33 | 33 | 66:33 | 76 |
| 7 | Bahia |
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 50:46 | 60 |
3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts. Bahia have had 56.4% possession and 3.9 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.6 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.2 corners.
Jean Lucas is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Willian Jose, Rodrigo Nestor, Luciano Juba and Luciano Rodriguez each have 2. Leading assistor is Willian Jose with 3.
Palmeiras have 8 victories and 2 draws, with an average of 2.3 goals from 5.8 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 56.8% possession, 5.6 corners taken and 3.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.9 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 8.5 attempts.
Vitor Roque got 6 goals, Jose Lopez notched 4, while Andreas Pereira and two other players scored 2. Mauricio and Vitor Roque have had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Bahia confirmed lineup (4-3-2-1): Ronaldo (GK), Gilberto Junior, Gabriel Xavier, Santiago Ramos, Luciano Juba, Everton Ribeiro, Nicolas Acevedo, Rodrigo Nestor, Kayky, Mateo Sanabria, Willian Jose.
Palmeiras confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Weverton (GK), Agustin Giay, Gustavo Gomez, Murilo Cerqueira, Joaquin Piquerez, Andreas Pereira, Lucas Evangelista, Emiliano Martinez, Felipe Anderson, Vitor Roque, Jose Lopez.
Bahia vs Palmeiras Prediction & Betting Tips
We’ve lined up expert Bahia vs Palmeiras betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to player prop picks and best bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.
Match Prediction
If you’re in agreement with our viewpoint that Palmeiras will have the upper hand in this Série A match, you can get odds of +110. We anticipate a return when it comes to this match winner wager.
The formbook always proves to be helpful when it comes to providing football betting tips. The latest Série A team news is also vital, with the stats helping to shape our opinion too.
Key Bahia vs Palmeiras league stats:
When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 47.6% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 50-55%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
A Bet Builder offers a chance to combine Palmeiras to win with other selections. For every extra pick that you make, the price gets bigger until you’re content with the wager.
Before your next wager, read our guide featuring today’s top betting offers, free bet deals, and sign-up bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
A potentially entertaining bet is going for Palmeiras to win by a 1-0 scoreline. At odds of +525, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.
Player Prop Picks
Willian José (Bahia) is available at -120 to finish with one or more shots on goal. He looks like an attractive pick and we’ll have a bet on this Shots on Target outcome as the betting odds stand out.
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Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras) can be backed to find the net at +500. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing considering all angles and we’ll take a chance on him.
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Bet Builder Tips
Try out our bet builder picks which include Palmeiras to succeed, one or both teams not scoring combined with Willian José (Bahia) to finish with one or more shots on target.
The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. Bettors enjoy creating a tailored wager based on their predictions for how a match is likely to turn out.
Bahia vs Palmeiras Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
For this Série A encounter, the bookmakers have Palmeiras as the -111 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 53% chance of triumphing. Bahia are regarded as the least likely winner at +300.
You can choose Palmeiras -0.5 or Bahia +0.5 at respective Asian Handicap odds of -110 and -112. The former is the same as betting the favourites to win, with the latter giving you a return if it’s a draw.
Under 2.5 Goals is operating at the shortest price for those anticipating two or less goals. A viable alternative is betting the BTTS market and opting for the -130 about Both Teams to Score No.
For those visiting one of our recommended sports betting sites, you are guaranteed a fantastic service for all the Série A matches. The hundreds of football markets always ensure lots of choice.
Favourite Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira is +360 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.
- Série A: 27/04 2025 Palmeiras 0 Bahia 1
- Série A: 20/11 2024 Bahia 1 Palmeiras 2
- Série A: 07/07 2024 Palmeiras 2 Bahia 0
- Série A: 29/10 2023 Palmeiras 1 Bahia 0
- Série A: 22/06 2023 Bahia 1 Palmeiras 0
- Série A: 13/10 2021 Bahia 0 Palmeiras 0
- Série A: 28/06 2021 Palmeiras 3 Bahia 2
- Série A: 12/12 2020 Palmeiras 3 Bahia 0
- Série A: 30/08 2020 Bahia 1 Palmeiras 1
- Série A: 17/11 2019 Bahia 1 Palmeiras 1
Bahia League Stats
Palmeiras League Stats
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 3.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 56.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 56.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Bahia this season are Luciano Juba (5), Michel Araujo (4), Willian Jose (4)
- Top Assistors for Bahia this season are Willian Jose (4), Cauly Oliveira Souza (3), Luciano Juba (3)
Bahia vs Palmeiras Lineups & Team News
Avoid surprises — review the Bahia vs Palmeiras team news before you bet. Get the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.
Bahia Confirmed Lineup 4-3-2-1
Palmeiras Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Bahia Confirmed Lineup 4-3-2-1
Palmeiras Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Bahia Substitutes
- 1Danilo Fernandes
- 5Rezende
- 7Ademir Santos
- 8Cauly Oliveira Souza
- 13Santiago Arias
- 15Michel Araujo
- 25Iago
- 44Luiz Gustavo Santos
- 66Jose Guilherme
- 70Vitinho
- 77Tiago
- 83Fredi Gomes
Palmeiras Substitutes
- 1Carlos Miguel
- 3Bruno Fuchs
- 5Anibal Moreno
- 6Jefte
- 11Bruno Rodrigues
- 14Marcelo Lomba
- 17Facundo Torres
- 18Mauricio
- 19Ramon Sosa
- 23Raphael Veiga
- 40Allan
Previous Bahia Lineups
Previous Palmeiras Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Bahia Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Rogerio Ceni
Palmeiras Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 78:27 | 79 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 66:33 | 76 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 55:31 | 70 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 63:39 | 67 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 50:39 | 64 |
| 6 | Botafogo | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 58:38 | 63 |
| 7 | Bahia | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 50:46 | 60 |
| 8 | São Paulo | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43:47 | 51 |
| 9 | Grêmio | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 45:57 | 48 |
| 11 | Atlético MG | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 43:44 | 48 |
| 12 | Santos | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 45:50 | 47 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 42:47 | 47 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 55:60 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitória | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35:52 | 45 |
| 16 | Internacional | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44:57 | 44 |
| 17 | Ceará | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 34:40 | 43 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:58 | 43 |
| 19 | Juventude | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 35:69 | 35 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 28:75 | 17 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 46:8 | 47 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 31:11 | 46 |
| 3 | Bahia | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 33:14 | 45 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 19 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 42:17 | 43 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 35:14 | 43 |
| 6 | Palmeiras | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 35:11 | 41 |
| 7 | Botafogo | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 39:24 | 38 |
| 8 | Atlético MG | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 30:18 | 35 |
| 9 | São Paulo | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27:17 | 34 |
| 10 | Vitória | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 21:15 | 33 |
| 11 | Grêmio | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 24:17 | 32 |
| 12 | Bragantino | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27:24 | 31 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27:18 | 30 |
| 14 | Internacional | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27:20 | 30 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 24:19 | 30 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 31:26 | 28 |
| 17 | Fortaleza | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 23:23 | 27 |
| 18 | Ceará | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:18 | 26 |
| 19 | Juventude | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21:26 | 23 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17:39 | 10 |
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