Bahia vs Vasco da Gama Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Nov 2025
Série A Betting Preview: Bahia vs Vasco da Gama
Bahia take on Vasco da Gama at Arena Fonte Nova, with kick-off set for 14:00 on Sunday 23 November.
Bahia and Vasco da Gama both look capable of finding the net and we’re really taken by the -114 available when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection. This means a nice return if there are goals at both ends.
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Bahia lost their last game, being beaten 3-2 at home to Fortaleza. The Salvador club managed nine shots on target and enjoyed 71% possession, while Willian Jose and Tiago scored one goal apiece.
Vasco da Gama suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 2-0 scoreline occurred on the road against Grêmio, making it four losses on the spin. The Giant of the Hill enjoyed 63% possession and managed two shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Vasco have won the last two encounters against Bahia, landing winning home scorelines of 3-1 and 3-2. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in four Bahia wins, three draws and three Vasco successes.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bahia |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Bahia have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.4 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts. Rogerio Ceni's men have averaged 56.0% possession and 5.3 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.5 goals from 4.4 shots on goal, 8.7 attempts and 5.1 corners.
Willian Jose leads the way with 7 goals, while Tiago and Rodrigo Nestor have scored 3 and 2 respectively. Ademir Santos has recorded the most assists with 3.
Vasco have 5 victories and 5 defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 7.7 attempts. There’s been an average of 56.3% possession, 3.6 corners awarded and 4.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts.
Rayan has scored 6, followed by Pablo Vegetti, GB and Nuno Moreira with 2 goals apiece. Paulo Henrique has been top assists provider with 3 in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Bahia confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Ronaldo (GK), Santiago Arias, Kanu, Santiago Ramos, Luciano Juba, Everton Ribeiro, Nicolas Acevedo, Jean Lucas, Ademir Santos, Willian Jose, Erick Pulga.
Vasco da Gama confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Leo Jardim (GK), Paulo Henrique, Carlos Cuesta, Robert Renan, Lucas Piton, Cauan Barros, Hugo Moura, Andres Gomez, Matheus Franca, Nuno Moreira, Rayan.
Bahia vs Vasco da Gama Prediction & Betting Tips
Step into Bahia vs Vasco da Gama with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners angle, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.
Match Prediction
There could be goals from both teams which leads us to a confident BTTS Yes wager for this Série A clash. We’re especially taken by the -114 available when it comes to the teams scoring.
The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. The latest Série A team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.
Key Bahia vs Vasco da Gama league stats:
According to the latest odds, there’s a 53.2% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our tipsters have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
There’s a chance to secure bigger odds for your BTTS Yes pick by heading to the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market and including Over 2.5. Land a return if there are at least three goals along with both sides finding the net.
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Correct Score Prediction
The game ending in a 1-1 draw is available at odds of +550. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.
Player Prop Picks
Tiago Souza de Jesus Carvalho (Bahia) can be backed to have at least one shot on goal at -154. For those wanting to wager on Shots on Target, this player looks really appealing at the odds.
Nuno Moreira (Vasco) has racked up two goals in his past nine Série A matches. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +700 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 3.5 corners line has not been covered by Vasco da Gama in their past five away games, while the previous 10 Bahia home matches have seen them concede an average of 2.80 corners. For Team Corners, we’re expecting Vasco to fall short and you can land odds of -132.
Bahia
Vasco
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve got a same-game multi and the legs include both teams scoring, Vasco da Gama to cover the +0.75 Asian Handicap combined with Tiago Souza de Jesus Carvalho (Bahia) to finish with a minimum of one shot on target.
A bet builder is a great alternative for football punters who want to focus their wagering on a single game. Should a bettor get all selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.
Bahia vs Vasco da Gama Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers have Bahia at -156 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 61% chance of winning this Série A clash based on the betting odds. At +425, Vasco da Gama are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
If you wager Bahia -0.75 on the Asian Handicap at -125, your stake is split between -0.5 and -1.0. A 2+ goal victory over Vasco achieves a full payout, with a one goal win meaning half the stake is a winner and the other half refunded.
If you’re betting on Total Goals, the market is finding it hard to split Unders and Overs. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -130 on the BTTS market.
The leading football betting sites provide bettors with an abundance of options. For every Série A match, you’re able to select from hundreds of markets and make the best choice.
Willian José is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +340 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at +140.
- Série A: 25/09 2025 Vasco da Gama 3 Bahia 1
- Série A: 29/10 2024 Vasco da Gama 3 Bahia 2
- Série A: 27/06 2024 Bahia 2 Vasco da Gama 1
- Série A: 03/09 2023 Bahia 1 Vasco da Gama 1
- Série A: 02/05 2023 Vasco da Gama 0 Bahia 1
- Série B: 28/08 2022 Bahia 2 Vasco da Gama 1
- Série B: 15/05 2022 Vasco da Gama 1 Bahia 0
- Série A: 31/01 2021 Vasco da Gama 0 Bahia 0
- Série A: 08/10 2020 Bahia 3 Vasco da Gama 0
- Série A: 05/12 2019 Bahia 1 Vasco da Gama 1
Bahia League Stats
Vasco da Gama League Stats
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 2.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 5.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 56.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 60.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 56.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 55.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Bahia this season are Willian Jose (11), Luciano Juba (5), Michel Araujo (4)
- Top Assistors for Bahia this season are Willian Jose (5), Ademir Santos (4), Luciano Juba (4)
Bahia vs Vasco da Gama Lineups & Team News
Always review the Bahia vs Vasco team news before locking in your bets. Receive the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.
Bahia Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Vasco da Gama Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Bahia Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Vasco da Gama Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Bahia Substitutes
- 2Gilberto Junior
- 3Gabriel Xavier
- 5Rezende
- 8Cauly Oliveira Souza
- 11Rodrigo Nestor
- 14Erick
- 15Michel Araujo
- 19Caio Alexandre
- 25Iago
- 34Joao Paulo
- 37Kayky
- 77Tiago Carvalho
Vasco da Gama Substitutes
- 2Jose Rodriguez
- 3Tche Tche
- 7David
- 13Daniel Fuzato
- 18Paulinho
- 19GB
- 23Thiago Mendes
- 29Lucas Oliveira
- 43Lucas Freitas
- 66Leandrinho
- 85Mateus Cocao
- 99Pablo Vegetti
Previous Bahia Lineups
Previous Vasco da Gama Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Bahia Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Rogerio Ceni
Vasco da Gama Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chapecoense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Vitória | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Bahia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 | São Paulo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Athletico PR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 8 | Palmeiras | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 | Atlético MG | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 10 | Botafogo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Mirassol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 15 | Flamengo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 16 | Grêmio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 17 | Coritiba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 18 | Internacional | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 19 | Santos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 20 | Remo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chapecoense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Vitória | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | São Paulo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Atlético MG | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 6 | Bahia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Athletico PR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Palmeiras | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Botafogo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Mirassol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Flamengo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Santos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 | Remo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 | Corinthians | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 19 | Coritiba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 20 | Internacional | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
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