Bahia vs Vasco da Gama Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Nov 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Bahia vs Vasco da Gama

Bahia take on Vasco da Gama at Arena Fonte Nova, with kick-off set for 14:00 on Sunday 23 November.

Bahia and Vasco da Gama both look capable of finding the net and we’re really taken by the -114 available when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection. This means a nice return if there are goals at both ends.

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Bahia lost their last game, being beaten 3-2 at home to Fortaleza. The Salvador club managed nine shots on target and enjoyed 71% possession, while Willian Jose and Tiago scored one goal apiece.

Vasco da Gama suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 2-0 scoreline occurred on the road against Grêmio, making it four losses on the spin. The Giant of the Hill enjoyed 63% possession and managed two shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Vasco have won the last two encounters against Bahia, landing winning home scorelines of 3-1 and 3-2. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in four Bahia wins, three draws and three Vasco successes.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	Bahia	34	15	8	11	46	43	3	46:43	53
13	Vasco da Gama	34	12	6	16	50	51	-1	50:51	42

View Full Table

Bahia have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.4 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts. Rogerio Ceni's men have averaged 56.0% possession and 5.3 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.5 goals from 4.4 shots on goal, 8.7 attempts and 5.1 corners.

Willian Jose leads the way with 7 goals, while Tiago and Rodrigo Nestor have scored 3 and 2 respectively. Ademir Santos has recorded the most assists with 3.

Vasco have 5 victories and 5 defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 7.7 attempts. There’s been an average of 56.3% possession, 3.6 corners awarded and 4.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts.

Rayan has scored 6, followed by Pablo Vegetti, GB and Nuno Moreira with 2 goals apiece. Paulo Henrique has been top assists provider with 3 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Bahia predicted lineup (4-3-3): Ronaldo (GK), Gilberto, David Duarte, Santi Ramos Mingo, Luciano Juba, Caio Alexandre, Erick Carvalho, Jean Lucas, Erick Pulga, Willian José, Ademir Santos.

Vasco da Gama predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Léo Jardim (GK), Paulo Henrique, Carlos Cuesta, Robert Renan, Lucas Piton, Cauan Barros, Tchê Tchê, Carlos Andres Gomez, Matheus França, Nuno Moreira, Rayan Vitor.

Bahia vs Vasco da Gama Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Bahia vs Vasco da Gama with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners angle, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Match Prediction

There could be goals from both teams which leads us to a confident BTTS Yes wager for this Série A clash. We’re especially taken by the -114 available when it comes to the teams scoring.

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. The latest Série A team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.

Key Bahia vs Vasco da Gama league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Bahia games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 11 of the last 20 Bahia games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 2 straight Bahia games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 4 games between these teams.

According to the latest odds, there’s a 53.2% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our tipsters have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

There’s a chance to secure bigger odds for your BTTS Yes pick by heading to the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market and including Over 2.5. Land a return if there are at least three goals along with both sides finding the net.

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Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -114 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Bahia 1 - 1 Vasco

The game ending in a 1-1 draw is available at odds of +525. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tiago Souza de Jesus Carvalho Over 0.5 Shots On Target -154

Tiago Souza de Jesus Carvalho (Bahia) can be backed to have at least one shot on goal at -154. For those wanting to wager on Shots on Target, this player looks really appealing at the odds.

Latest Tiago Souza de Jesus Carvalho Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+230

First

+500

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-115

Shots

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

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Nuno Moreira to Score +700

Nuno Moreira (Vasco) has racked up two goals in his past nine Série A matches. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +700 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Nuno Moreira Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+700

First

+1800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-400

Shots

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Vasco Under 3.5 Corners -132

The 3.5 corners line has not been covered by Vasco da Gama in their past five away games, while the previous 10 Bahia home matches have seen them concede an average of 2.80 corners. For Team Corners, we’re expecting Vasco to fall short and you can land odds of -132.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Bahia

Total

10.40 5.30 5.10

Home

8.20 5.40 2.80

Away

9.60 3.60 6.00

Vasco

Total

8.40 3.60 4.80

Home

9.30 5.20 4.10

Away

8.80 3.80 5.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-125

Bahia Corners

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-104

Vasco Corners

Over 3.5

-102

Under 3.5

-133

Most Corners

1

-270

X

+700

2

+260

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Bahia vs Vasco da Gama Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The bookmakers have Bahia at -147 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 60% chance of winning this Série A clash based on the betting odds. At +400, Vasco da Gama are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

If you wager Bahia -0.75 on the Asian Handicap at -112, your stake is split between -0.5 and -1.0. A 2+ goal victory over Vasco achieves a full payout, with a one goal win meaning half the stake is a winner and the other half refunded.

The Total Goals market is a great option and Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds right now. If you’re betting on Both Teams to Score, you can back Yes at -114 and No at -125.

The leading football betting sites provide bettors with an abundance of options. For every Série A match, you’re able to select from hundreds of markets and make the best choice.

Full-Time Result

1

-147

X

+265

2

+400

Half-Time Result

1

+128

X

+125

2

+400

Double Chance

1X

-667

12

-400

X2

+108

Draw No Bet

1

-400

2

+245

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-112

2 Hcp +0.75

-110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-127

Over 2.5

-102

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-114

No

-125

Willian José is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +400 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at +170.

Willian José (Bahia)

First

+170

Anytime

+400

Kayky da Silva Chagas (Bahia)

First

+220

Anytime

+575

Tiago Souza de Jesus Carvalho (Bahia)

First

+230

Anytime

+500

Rayan Vitor (Vasco)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Pablo Vegetti (Vasco)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

First

+420

Anytime

+950

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Carlos Andrés Gómez (Vasco)

First

+475

Anytime

+1150

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Philippe Coutinho (Vasco)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Nuno Moreira (Vasco)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Luciano Junior Batista "Juba" (Bahia)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

José Puma Rodríguez (Vasco)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

+140

Kayky da Silva Chagas (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

+102

Rayan Vitor (Vasco)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-102

Pablo Vegetti (Vasco)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-108

Tiago Souza de Jesus Carvalho (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-115

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-133

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-172

Carlos Andrés Gómez (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-227

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-238

Philippe Coutinho (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-263

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-278

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-278

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-303

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-370

Nuno Moreira (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-400

José Puma Rodríguez (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-526

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-588

Luciano Junior Batista "Juba" (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-625

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 3.5

+133

Under 3.5

-

Kayky da Silva Chagas (Bahia)

Over 2.5

-103

Under 2.5

-

Tiago Souza de Jesus Carvalho (Bahia)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Rayan Vitor (Vasco)

Over 2.5

-109

Under 2.5

-

Pablo Vegetti (Vasco)

Over 2.5

+106

Under 2.5

-

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+106

Under 1.5

-

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Carlos Andrés Gómez (Vasco)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Nuno Moreira (Vasco)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Luciano Junior Batista "Juba" (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

José Puma Rodríguez (Vasco)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

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Bahia vs Vasco da Gama Lineups & Team News

Always review the Bahia vs Vasco team news before locking in your bets. Receive the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Bahia Team Page Vasco da Gama Team Page

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