Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Feb 2026
Bundesliga Betting Preview: Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli
Sixth-placed Bayer Leverkusen square off against second-from-bottom St. Pauli at BayArena, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 14 February.
St. Pauli are a standout wager at +1.25 for their clash against Bayer Leverkusen, with our money split equally between +1 and +1.5. We’re expecting the visitors to keep this contest close, so this Asian Handicap bet at odds of -120 is the way forward.
Bayer Leverkusen played out a 1-1 draw when last in action. This was on the road at Borussia-Park against Borussia Monchengladbach. The Werkself had the majority of the ball enjoying 61% possession and two shots on target, with Philipp Sander (own goal) being the goalscorer.
St. Pauli have lost three consecutive Bundesliga away games. In their previous league appearance, they recorded a 2-1 home triumph over Stuttgart at Millerntor-Stadion. The Hamburg side had just 32% possession and recorded seven shots on goal, with Manolis Saliakas and Danel Sinani on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Leverkusen have triumphed in the last two encounters against St. Pauli. As the home side at BayArena, the most recent scoreline was 3-0 which came after a 2-1 away success at Millerntor-Stadion. Leverkusen have landed three victories from the past 4 H2H games, with a solitary draw also taking place.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |  Leverkusen |
27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 52:36 | 46 |
| 16 |  St. Pauli |
27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 24:44 | 24 |
5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts. Leverkusen have had 59.9% possession, 627.4 passes and 5.4 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.3 goals from 5.8 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts, while being awarded 4.3 corners.
Martin Terrier and Malik Tillman lead the way with 2 goals, while Aleix Garcia has 1. Alejandro Grimaldo, Ibrahim Maza and Arthur are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie Mark Flekken managing one clean sheet.
St. Pauli have 2 victories, 4 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 3.3 shots on goal, 8.9 attempts and 1.1 goals. The Kiezkickers average 39.7% possession, 387.3 passes, 4.3 corners awarded and 6.3 corners against, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 11.6 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.
Martijn Kaars has scored 3, followed by Danel Sinani and Ricky-Jade Jones with 2 goals apiece. Eric Smith and Joel Chima Fujita have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Nikola Vasilj has 2 clean sheets to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Bayer Leverkusen confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Janis Blaswich (GK), Jarell Quansah, Robert Andrich, Edmond Tapsoba, Lucas Vázquez, Exequiel Palacios, Aleix Garcia, Alejandro Grimaldo, Ibrahim Maza, Ernest Poku, Patrik Schick.
St. Pauli confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Tomoya Ando, Karol Mets, Adam Dzwigala, Manolis Saliakas, Jackson Irvine, James Sands, Arkadiusz Pyrka, Danel Sinani, Mathias Rasmussen, Martijn Kaars.
Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips
Our Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, a corners recommendation, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.
Match Prediction
St. Pauli +1.25 looks like the Asian Handicap bet to place at odds of -120. We’re expecting the outsiders to prosper in this Bundesliga match and generate a solid return based on the numbers.
We only create the football betting tips after consulting the latest Bundesliga team news along with the form of both sides. There are also stats that can be mined to good effect to come up with predictions.
Key Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli league stats:
According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 54.6% chance of landing a return. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
If you are hunting down bigger odds for St. Pauli to cover the line, then consider placing a Bet Builder. Add different picks to your wager until you’re happy with the overall price.
Before placing your wager, explore the best betting offers. Our in-depth bonus guide features a wide range of promotions to choose from.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
St. Pauli
There are odds of +600 available that we see a 1-1 scoreline played out. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.
Player Prop Picks
Danel Sinani (St. Pauli) has covered the 1.5 shots total in back-to-back Bundesliga matches. We’ve decided to back him on the Overs for Player Shots, with this line looking attractive at odds of -125.
Mathias Rasmussen (St. Pauli) can be backed to score at +800. There are attractive odds available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for him to find the net.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
St. Pauli have had over 3.5 corners in nine straight matches, while the last 10 Bayer Leverkusen games have seen them concede an average of 4.30 corners. The latest stats suggest that it’s worth backing St. Pauli to cover the Team Corners line, with -109 available.
Leverkusen
St. Pauli
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up a bet builder including these picks: St. Pauli to cover the +1.25 Asian Handicap, both teams to find the net as well as St. Pauli to have over 3.5 corners.
A bet builder provides football punters an option to bet a multiple on the same match. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.
Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Bayer Leverkusen are forecasted to have a 68% chance of triumphing in this Bundesliga encounter according to the bookmakers. It leads to their latest betting odds being -208. The market implies that St. Pauli are the most unlikely to win at +540.
As the name suggests, the Half-Time Result market is settled at the break. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Leverkusen at +107, St. Pauli at +480 or the draw at +133.
If you want to bet on the number of goals, you can get similar odds on Under or Over 2.5 Goals. If you’re betting on Both Teams to Score, you can back Yes at -115 and No at -114.
Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to Bundesliga matches, with the recommended football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.
Patrik Schick is the market leader at +320 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.
Bayer Leverkusen have enjoyed three straight wins at BayArena. The Werkself have finished with six wins, three losses and one draw in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.30 goals per game and conceding 1.50.
St. Pauli haven’t tasted victory in ten consecutive matches on the road. The Hamburg side have finished with eight losses and two draws in the last 10 away games, netting an average of 0.70 goals per match and conceding 1.80.
Leverkusen beat St. Pauli 3-0 when they last met at BayArena.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen Home Stats |
6-1-3 | 3.80 | 2.30 | 1.50 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | |
| St. Pauli Away Stats |
0-2-8 | 2.50 | 0.70 | 1.80 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Bayer Leverkusen League Stats
St. Pauli League Stats
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 6.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 6.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 59.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 60.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 39.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Bayer Leverkusen this season are Patrik Schick (6), Alejandro Grimaldo (5), Ernest Poku (4)
- Top Assistors for Bayer Leverkusen this season are Alejandro Grimaldo (5), Aleix Garcia (4), Arthur (3)
Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Lineups & Team News
Get the latest team news for Leverkusen vs St. Pauli before you bet. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.
Bayer Leverkusen Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
St Pauli Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Bayer Leverkusen Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
St Pauli Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Previous Bayer Leverkusen Lineups
Previous St. Pauli Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Bayer Leverkusen Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Kasper Hjulmand
St. Pauli Player Stats & Squad
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 27 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 97:25 | 70 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 58:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 56:36 | 53 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53:35 | 50 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 54:39 | 50 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 52:36 | 46 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 50:51 | 38 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 39:44 | 37 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 31:46 | 31 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 33:50 | 31 |
| 11 | Mainz 05 | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 33:42 | 30 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 31:40 | 30 |
| 13 | B. M'gladbach | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 33:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30:47 | 28 |
| 15 | FC Koln | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 38:47 | 26 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 24:44 | 24 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 35:57 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 27:61 | 15 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 56:13 | 37 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 33:13 | 35 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 22:12 | 32 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 34:18 | 29 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 28:15 | 25 |
| 6 | Freiburg | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24:16 | 25 |
| 7 | Leverkusen | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:12 | 24 |
| 8 | Frankfurt | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:18 | 23 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:24 | 21 |
| 10 | Hamburger SV | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 11 | Mainz 05 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:17 | 17 |
| 12 | Union Berlin | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25:24 | 16 |
| 14 | B. M'gladbach | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:21 | 16 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | 16 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:23 | 16 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18:34 | 11 |
| 18 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 20:29 | 9 |
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