Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Feb 2026

Bundesliga Betting Preview: Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli

Bayer Leverkusen square off against St. Pauli at BayArena, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 14 February.

St. Pauli are a standout wager at +1.25 for their clash against Bayer Leverkusen, with our money split equally between +1 and +1.5. We’re expecting the visitors to keep this contest close, so this Asian Handicap bet at odds of -120 is the way forward.

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Bayer Leverkusen played out a 1-1 draw when last in action. This was on the road at Borussia-Park against Borussia Monchengladbach. The Werkself had the majority of the ball enjoying 61% possession and two shots on target, with Philipp Sander (own goal) being the goalscorer.

St. Pauli have lost three consecutive away games. In their previous appearance, they recorded a 2-1 home triumph over Stuttgart at Millerntor-Stadion. The Hamburg side had just 32% possession and recorded seven shots on goal, with Manolis Saliakas and Danel Sinani on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Leverkusen have triumphed in the last two encounters against St. Pauli. As the home side at BayArena, the most recent scoreline was 3-0 which came after a 2-1 away success at Millerntor-Stadion. Leverkusen have landed three victories from the past 4 H2H games, with a solitary draw also taking place.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Leverkusen	20	11	3	6	39	27	12	39:27	36
17	St. Pauli	21	4	5	12	20	35	-15	20:35	17

View Full Table

5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts. Leverkusen have had 59.9% possession, 627.4 passes and 5.4 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.3 goals from 5.8 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts, while being awarded 4.3 corners.

Martin Terrier and Malik Tillman lead the way with 2 goals, while Aleix Garcia has 1. Alejandro Grimaldo, Ibrahim Maza and Arthur are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie Mark Flekken managing one clean sheet.

St. Pauli have 2 victories, 4 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 3.3 shots on goal, 8.9 attempts and 1.1 goals. The Kiezkickers average 39.7% possession, 387.3 passes, 4.3 corners awarded and 6.3 corners against, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 11.6 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.

Martijn Kaars has scored 3, followed by Danel Sinani and Ricky-Jade Jones with 2 goals apiece. Eric Smith and Joel Chima Fujita have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Nikola Vasilj has 2 clean sheets to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Bayer Leverkusen predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Janis Blaswich (GK), Jarell Quansah, Robert Andrich, Edmond Tapsoba, Arthur, Exequiel Palacios, Aleix Garcia, Alejandro Grimaldo, Ernest Poku, Malik Tillman, Patrik Schick.

St. Pauli predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Tomoya Ando, Karol Mets, Adam Dzwigala, Manolis Saliakas, Jackson Irvine, James Sands, Arkadiusz Pyrka, Danel Sinani, Mathias Rasmussen, Martijn Kaars.

Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, a corners recommendation, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Match Prediction

St. Pauli +1.25 looks like the Asian Handicap bet to place at odds of -120. We’re expecting the outsiders to prosper in this Bundesliga match and generate a solid return based on the numbers.

We only create the football betting tips after consulting the latest Bundesliga team news along with the form of both sides. There are also stats that can be mined to good effect to come up with predictions.

Key Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli league stats:

• The +1.25 line has been covered by St. Pauli in 9 consecutive games.
• The +1.25 line has been covered by St. Pauli in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leverkusen in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leverkusen in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leverkusen in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leverkusen in 3 of their last 4 games against St. Pauli.

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 54.6% chance of landing a return. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

If you are hunting down bigger odds for St. Pauli to cover the line, then consider placing a Bet Builder. Add different picks to your wager until you’re happy with the overall price.

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Our Match Prediction

St. Pauli Asian Hcp +1.25 @ -120 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (15:38, 12 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Leverkusen 1 - 1 St. Pauli

There are odds of +650 available that we see a 1-1 scoreline played out. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Danel Sinani to Score +450

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli) has netted two goals in his past four Bundesliga games. There are odds of +450 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Danel Sinani Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+450

First

+1200

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

St. Pauli Over 3.5 Corners -109

St. Pauli have had over 3.5 corners in nine straight matches, while the last 10 Bayer Leverkusen games have seen them concede an average of 4.30 corners. The latest stats suggest that it’s worth backing St. Pauli to cover the Team Corners line, with -109 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Leverkusen

Total

9.70 5.40 4.30

Home

9.60 5.80 3.80

Away

9.80 4.10 5.70

St. Pauli

Total

10.60 4.30 6.30

Home

10.10 6.40 3.70

Away

9.70 3.50 6.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-115

Under 9.5

-123

Leverkusen Corners

Over 5.5

-128

Under 5.5

-111

St. Pauli Corners

Over 3.5

-109

Under 3.5

-133

Most Corners

1

-250

X

+700

2

+235

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Bayer Leverkusen are forecasted to have a 70% chance of triumphing in this Bundesliga encounter according to the bookmakers. It leads to their latest betting odds being -238. The market implies that St. Pauli are the most unlikely to win at +700.

As the name suggests, the Half-Time Result market is settled at the break. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Leverkusen at -110, St. Pauli at +550 or the draw at +145.

There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. If you’re betting on Both Teams to Score, you can back Yes at -109 and No at -120.

Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to Bundesliga matches, with the recommended football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.

Full-Time Result

1

-238

X

+335

2

+700

Half-Time Result

1

-110

X

+145

2

+550

Double Chance

1X

-1250

12

-500

X2

+170

Draw No Bet

1

-833

2

+410

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-103

2 Hcp +1.25

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+102

Over 2.5

-132

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-109

No

-120

Patrik Schick is the market leader at +320 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Patrik Schick (Leverkusen)

First

+115

Anytime

+320

Christian Michel Kofane (Leverkusen)

First

+160

Anytime

+380

Malik Tillman (Leverkusen)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Ernest Poku (Leverkusen)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Álex Grimaldo (Leverkusen)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Jonas Hofmann (Leverkusen)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Ibrahim Maza (Leverkusen)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Aleix Garcia (Leverkusen)

First

+380

Anytime

+1050

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Robert Andrich (Leverkusen)

First

+510

Anytime

+1500

Exequiel Palacios (Leverkusen)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Arthur de Matos Soares (Leverkusen)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Edmond Tapsoba (Leverkusen)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Jackson Irvine (St. Pauli)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Joel Chima Fujita (St. Pauli)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Mathias Rasmussen (St. Pauli)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Jarell Quansah (Leverkusen)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Loïc Badé (Leverkusen)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Ezequiel Fernández (Leverkusen)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Lucas Vázquez (Leverkusen)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Bayer Leverkusen have enjoyed three straight wins at BayArena. The Werkself have finished with six wins, three losses and one draw in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.30 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

St. Pauli haven’t tasted victory in ten consecutive matches on the road. The Hamburg side have finished with eight losses and two draws in the last 10 away games, netting an average of 0.70 goals per match and conceding 1.80.

Leverkusen beat St. Pauli 3-0 when they last met at BayArena.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Bayer Leverkusen Home Stats		6-1-3	3.80	2.30	1.50	7	3	4	6
St. Pauli Away Stats		0-2-8	2.50	0.70	1.80	5	5	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Leverkusen vs St. Pauli before you bet. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

Bayer Leverkusen Team Page St. Pauli Team Page

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